The conventional approach to assessing structural change in regional input – output tables is to measure the impact of coefficient change on the estimation of outputs and multipliers. The methods developed and tested in this paper focus exclusively on the coefficients. Univariate and multivariate statistical analyses can be used to identify and measure various types of changes ranging from coefficient instability to changes in interindustry relationships as a system. A distinction is made between structural changes in input relationships and those in output relationships. The methods are tested by using Washington State data for the years 1963 and 1967. The results are compared with previous analyses of change in these data.
Get full access to this article
View all access options for this article.
References
1.
AndersonTW, 1958Introduction to Multivariate Statistical Analysis (John Wiley, New York)
2.
AugustinovicsM, 1970, “Methods of international and intertemporal comparison of structure”, in Contributions to Input – Output Analysis Eds CarterAPBrodyA, (North-Holland, Amsterdam) pp 249–269
3.
AyeniB, 1982, “The testing of hypotheses on interaction data matrices”Geographical Analysis1479–84
4.
BaxterM, 1983, “Estimation and inference in spatial interaction models”Progress in Human Geography740–59
5.
BeyersWB, 1972, “On the stability of regional interindustry models: The Washington data for 1963 and 1967”Journal of Regional Science12363–374
6.
BeyersWB, 1976, “Empirical identification of key sectors: Some further evidence”Environment and Planning A8231–236
7.
BeyersWBBourquePJSeyfriendWRWeeksEE, 1970, “Input – output tables for the Washington economy 1967”Graduate School of Business Administration, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195
8.
BezdekRHWendlingRH, 1976, “Disaggregation of structural change in the American economy: 1947–1966”The Review of Income and Wealth22167–185
9.
BourquePLWeeksEE, 1969, “Detailed input-output tables for Washington State, 1963” circular number 508, Washington Agricultural Station, Washington State University, Pullman, WA 99164
10.
CarterAP, 1967, “Changes in the structure of the American economy, 1947 to 1958 and 1962”Review of Economics and Statistics49209–224
11.
CarterAP, 1970Structural Change in the American Economy (Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA)
12.
ConwayRSJr, 1975, “A note on the stability of regional interindustry models”Journal of Regional Science1567–72
13.
ConwayRSJr, 1977, “The stability of regional input-output multipliers”Environment and Planning A9197–214
14.
EmersonMJ, 1976, “Interregional trade effects in static and dynamic input-output models”, in Advances in Input-Output Analysis Eds PolenskeKRSkolkaJV, (Ballinger, Cambridge, MA) pp 263–277
15.
GhoshA, 1958, “Input-output approach to an allocative system”Economica2558–64
16.
GiarrataniF, 1976, “Application of an interindustry supply model to energy issues”Environment and Planning A8447–454
17.
GiarrataniF, 1980, “The scientific basis for explanation in regional analysis”Papers of the Regional Science Association45185–196
18.
GordonIR, 1979, “Freight distribution model predictions compared: A comment”Environment and Planning A11219–221
19.
HaksatianAR, 1973, “Procedures for the factor analytic treatment of measures obtained on different occasions”British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology26219–239
20.
HamiltonJRJensenRC, 1983, “Summary measures of interconnectedness for input – output models”Environment and Planning A1555–65
21.
JensenRC, 1980, “The concept of accuracy in regional input – output models”International Regional Science Review5139–154
22.
JensenRCWestGRHewingsGJD, 1984, “An approach to the analysis of regional economic structure using input – output models” paper presented at the North American Meeting of the Regional Science Association, Denver, Colorado; copy available from Ó hUallacháin
23.
LeontiefW, 1953, “Structural change” in Studies in the Structure of The American Economy Ed LeontiefW, (Oxford University Press, New York) pp 17–52
24.
LoviscekAL, 1984, “The generation of industry groups from input – output data: A comparison of four methods”Environment and Planning A16779–792
25.
MosesL, 1955, “The stability of interregional trading patterns and input – output analysis”American Economic Review45803–822
26.
ÓhUallacháinB, 1984, “The identification of industrial complexes”Annals of the Association of American Geographers74420–436
27.
ÓhUallacháinB, 1985, “Complementary linkages and the hierarchical structure of regional economies”Geographical Analysis17130–142
28.
PitfieldDE, 1978a, “Freight distribution model predictions compared: A test of hypotheses”Environment and Planning A10813–836
29.
PitfieldDE, 1978b, “Algorithm 6: The x2 test for predicted trip matrices”Environment and Planning A101201–1206
30.
PlaneDARogersonPA, 1986, “Dynamic flow modeling with interregional dependency effects: An application to structural change in the US migration system”Demography2391–104
31.
RieflerRTieboutCM, 1970, “Interregional input – output: An empirical California – Washington model”Journal of Regional Science10135–152
32.
SzyrmerJM, 1984, “Measuring connectedness of input – output models”Working Papers in Regional Science and Transportation number 9, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104
33.
TilanusCB, 1966Input-Output Experiments, the Netherlands, 1948–1961 (Rotterdam University Press, Rotterdam)
34.
WilsonSR, 1976, “Statistical notes on the evaluation of calibrated gravity models”Transportation Research10343–345
