Abstract
The factors associated with overall mortality and liver decompensation in HIV and hepatitis C virus (HCV)-coinfected patients who are evaluated to receive HCV antiviral therapy with a known liver histological fibrosis stage were evaluated in a prospective cohort study. A total of 387 consecutive HIV/HCV-coinfected patients attending an outpatient clinical unit between January 1997 and December 2007 who fulfilled criteria to be treated with interferon and to whom liver biopsy was performed were included and followed every 6 months from time of liver biopsy to death or to December 2008. The follow-up period was 6.2 years (IQR: 3.5–9.2). The median age at time of liver biopsy was 38 years. This included 73% men; 28% had advanced liver fibrosis (F3–F4) and a CD4 cell count of 556 cells/mm3, 72% had HIV RNA <400 copies/ml and a mean CD4 nadir of 207 cell/mm3, 21% had a previous diagnosis of AIDS, and 92% were on antiretroviral therapy. During follow-up 48% underwent HCV antiviral therapy, with a sustained virological response in 33%. The overall mortality rate and the incidence of liver decompensation or liver-related death were 1.17 and 0.72 per 100 patients-year, respectively. End stage liver disease (9/28 patients) and non-AIDS-related cancer (6/28) were the main causes of death. F3–F4 (HR: 3.74, 95% CI: 1.69–8.26, p=0.001) and previous AIDS diagnosis (HR: 3.04, 95% CI: 1.36–6.81) were the factors independently associated with death. Mortality rates in patients who received and who did not receive HCV antiviral therapy were 0.44 and 2.04 per 100 patients-year, respectively (p=0.003). In addition to the low mortality rate observed, HIV/HCV-coinfected patients with poor predictors of survival are candidates for intensive clinical management.
Introduction
T
Studies aimed at evaluating the predictors of survival in HIV/HCV-coinfected patients published so far have shown end-stage liver disease to be the main cause of mortality in these patients 3 and have also shown the benefit of HAART 5,6 and of the achievement of sustained virological response to HCV 7 –9 therapy. However, the effect of fibrosis stage on mortality, which is the main prognostic factor of survival in HCV-infected patients, 10 has been poorly evaluated in this group of patients.
There is currently a profile of an HIV/HCV-coinfected patient who regularly attends the HIV outpatient clinic of certain hospitals not specialized in drug addition treatment, characterized by having stable HIV infection, being on HAART, and not having a large number of comorbidities that accelerate progression of liver disease, in which the natural history of coinfection is largely unknown.
The main objective of this study is to analyze the mortality in this subgroup of patients with a known liver histological fibrosis stage. Secondary objectives include the evaluation of immunological and virological outcomes.
Materials and Methods
Study design
This is a prospective study to describe mortality, immunological and virological outcomes of HIV and HCV-coinfected patients with known stage of liver fibrosis from time of liver biopsy to death or December 2008.
Patients and follow-up
Consecutive HIV/HCV-coinfected patients naive for HCV antiviral therapy attending an outpatient HIV Clinical Unit in a tertiary teaching hospital who underwent liver biopsy as a step in the decision-making process to receive HCV antiviral therapy between January 1997 and December 2007 were included in the study. Thus, the date required to enter in the cohort was the date when liver biopsy was performed. Only patients who fulfilled the criteria to be treated with interferon-based therapies according to most international consensus during this period were evaluated for liver biopsy performance. The main criteria to receive interferon-based therapies were a positive HCV RNA in plasma, stable HIV infection, and CD4 higher than 100 cells/ml regardless of HIV viral load. Patients also had to be without active opportunistic infections and without comorbid conditions that contraindicate treatment with interferon and ribavirin. Hemoglobin levels above 12 g/dl in men or above 11 g/dl in women, neutrophil count more than 1500 cells/μl, and platelet count above 70,000 cells/μl were also required. Moreover, patients with active illicit drug consumption or alcohol intake more than 40 g/day and cirrhotic patients with a Child–Pugh score more than 6 were excluded.
At time of liver biopsy, demographic data and data related to HIV and HCV infection were collected from each patient. After liver biopsy was performed, patients were prospectively followed every 6 months until death or until December 2008.
Liver biopsy
Liver biopsy was echo-guided and performed by an expert radiologist. Biopsies were always evaluated by the same pathologist and necroinflammatory activity and fibrosis stage and steatosis were evaluated according to the Scheuer 11 and Brunt 12 index, respectively.
Statistical analysis
Endpoints
We selected any-cause mortality and liver decompensation as the primary and secondary clinical endpoints, respectively. Death was classified as liver related if it was a consequence of portal hypertensive gastrointestinal bleeding, hepatic encephalopathy, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, or hepatocellular carcinoma. Patients who died from end stage liver disease or had a liver decompensation during follow-up were considered to have reached the secondary clinical endpoint. Life status was obtained from clinical history and from the regional death registry. Causes of death were established based on the information recorded from the clinical charts and ICD-10.
To assess immunological outcome, time to a CD4 cell count below 200 cells/mm3 was considered as the immunological endpoint, so only patients with a CD4 cell count above 200 cells/mm3 at the time of liver biopsy were considered. Due to the known effect of interferon therapy on the absolute CD4 cell count, 13 a CD4 cell count <200 cells/mm3 more than 6 months after stopping peginterferon-based therapies was required for the patients who underwent HCV antiviral therapy to considered as having reached the immunological endpoint. To analyze the virological outcome, we assessed time to virological failure defined by an HIV RNA concentration >400 copies/ml in those patients with an HIV RNA concentration below 400 copies/ml at the time of liver biopsy. Patients were censored on December 31, 2008.
Statistics
Overall mortality rates and liver decompensation rates were expressed in 100 person-years. Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis was used to assess baseline risk factors for the different endpoints: age (≤38 or >38 years), sex, liver fibrosis stage (F0–F2 vs. F3–F4), necroinflammatory activity (<4 or ≥4), steatosis (Brunt score 0 vs. 1–3), CD4 cell count (≤500 or >500 cells/mm3), CD4 cell count nadir (≤200 or >200 cells/mm3), HIV RNA (≤400 or >400 copies/ml), antiretroviral therapy (yes or no), protease inhibitor (PI), nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI), number of previous antiretroviral treatment regimens (≤7 or >7), and calendar period when the liver biopsy was performed (1997–2002 and 2003–2007).
Advanced liver fibrosis was defined as liver fibrosis stage ≥F3. Coinfection with hepatitis B virus was not included in the analysis as data on HBV DNA at time of liver biopsy were not available. Multivariate Cox regressions were adjusted by gender, age, and CD4 at time of liver biopsy. Given the fact that HCV antiviral therapy during follow-up was not a baseline factor, this variable was not included in the COX analysis, but the relative risk for death in patients who had received and not received HCV antiviral therapy in our cohort was calculated. Sustained virological response (SVR) was defined by the presence of HCV RNA below 50 IU/ml 6 months after stopping peginterferon-based therapy.
Factors associated with the different endpoints in the univariate analysis (p<0.10) were selected for a multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression model. Kaplan–Meier survival was performed to compare time to reach the clinical endpoint. Continuous variables are presented as median±standard deviation and/or median (interquartile range, IQR) when appropriate. Categorical variables are presented as percentages. Student's t test for continuous variables was used when normal distribution was proven and the Mann-Whitney U test otherwise. The Chi-square or Fisher's test was used to compare categorical variables.
Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS version 12 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL) and EPI INFO version 6.04 (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, USA and WHO, Geneva, Switzerland). We considered p values lower than 0.05 as statistically significant.
Results
Follow-up time
Three hundred and eighty-seven HIV/HCV-coinfected patients who underwent a liver biopsy between 1997 and 2007 were included in this study and prospectively followed until death or the end of follow-up (31 December 2008).
Baseline characteristics
The study population was predominantly male, including former intravenous drug users with well-controlled HIV replication and good immunological status at time of liver biopsy (Table 1). There was a significant difference in CD4 cell count nadir between patients with previous AIDS diagnosis (21%) [median 97 (IQR: 23–205)] and patients without [median 211 (IQR: 133–312)] (p<0.0001). Time between nadir and liver biopsy data was 21.5 (IQR: 15.7–59.5) months. Time between previous AIDS diagnosis and liver biopsy was 6.0 (±4.0) years. Twelve patients (4%) were HBV and HCV coinfected. Data on baseline HBV DNA quantification were not available for these patients.
Liver biopsy sample was insufficient for staging in nine patients of whom two died during follow-up.
IQR, interquartile range; IDU, intravenous drug users; SVR, sustained virological response; ART, antiretroviral therapy; HAART, highly active antiretroviral therapy; PI, protease inhibitor; NNRTI, nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor; NRTI, nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor; IVDU, intraverous drug use.
Most of the patients were on antiretroviral therapy, of whom 315 were on HAART (88%); the remaining were on antiretroviral combinations including two or more nucleoside analogs. Among patients on PIs only 40% were on lopinavir, atazanavir, or darunavir, while the remaining were on indinavir, nelfinavir, saquinavir, ritonavir, and amprenavir. Among patients on nonnucleoside analogs, 64% were on nevirapine and 36% on efavirenz. The proportion of patients on ddI and/or d4T was 53
Liver biopsy
The size of liver biopsy sample was 1.7 (±0.8) cm [median number of portal tracts 8 (IQR: 6–10)]. The proportion of patients with F0–F2 and F3–F4 was 72 and 28%, respectively (Table 1). There were no statistical differences in the number of liver biopsies by calendar year (p=0.55). The proportion of patients with advanced liver fibrosis did not differ between calendar year either (p=0.153). Younger patients and patients with >500 cells/mm3 had less advanced liver fibrosis stages (F3–F4 in patients ≤38 and >38 years old was 24% and 35%, respectively, p=0.013; F3–F4 in patients with ≤500 and >500 cells/mm3 was 34 and 25%, respectively, p=0.05). There were no significant differences in liver fibrosis stage and necroinflammatory activity between HBsAg+ and HBsAg− patients.
No differences in the prevalence of F3–F4 were found between patients taking PI, NNRTI-based regimens, nucleoside analog combinations, and without antiretroviral therapy at time of liver biopsy. In addition, we have found no differences in the prevalence of F3–F4 between patients with and without ddI and/or d4T.
Liver steatosis was similar in patients with F3–F4 and F0–F2 (66% vs. 34% in F3–F4 and F0–F2, respectively). No histological features of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis or liver storage diseases were found.
HCV antiviral therapy during follow-up
During follow-up, nearly half of the patients received interferon (IFN)-based therapies for the treatment of chronic HCV infection. Time between liver biopsy and the initiation of HCV antiviral therapy was 10 (IQR: 2–24) months. Forty-five percent (N=120) of patients with F0–F2 and 59% (N=64) of patients with F3–F4 received HCV antiviral therapy (p=0.012). Moreover, patients who were treated were significantly older [39 (IQR: 35–42) vs. 37 (IQR: 34–41) years, p=0.011] than patients who did not receive IFN. No other significant differences were found between IFN-treated and nontreated patients. Sustained virological response (SVR) was observed in 33% of the patients (53% and 27% in HCV genotype 3c/d and 1a/b, respectively, p=0.01) and was higher in older patients (24% and 41% in ≤38 years and >38 years, respectively). There were no differences in SVR according to liver fibrosis (34 vs. 31% in F0–F2 and F3–F4, respectively).
Mortality rate and causes of death
The follow-up time was 6.2 (IQR: 3.5–9.2) years. Twenty-eight patients died during follow-up (0.7%). The mortality rate during follow-up was of 1.17 per 100 patient-years (95% CI: 0.81–1.70). The most frequent cause of death was end-stage liver disease (nine patients), followed by non-AIDS-related cancer (three lung, one rectum, one cervical cancer, and one Hodgkin lymphoma), AIDS (three non-Hodgkin lymphoma and two toxoplasmosis), cardiovascular disease (two acute myocardial infarction and one nontraumatic cerebral hemorrhage), non-AIDS-related infection (two gram-negative septicemia), heroin overdose (one), homicide (one), and suicide (one). In addition to the nine patients who died from cirrhosis, 17 more showed hepatic decompensation (eight patients with F0–F2 and nine patients with F3–F4). The incidence rate of liver decompensation or death due to liver decompensation was 0.72 per 100 patient-years (95% CI: 0.42–1.16). Ascites was the first manifestation of liver decompensation in 10 patients, upper gastrointestinal bleeding due to portal hypertension in four, hepatocellular carcinoma in two, and hepatic encephalopathy in one.
Risk factors for death from any cause
Univariate analysis showed that liver fibrosis stage, CD4 cell count nadir, and previous AIDS diagnosis were factors associated with death from any cause but multivariate analysis demonstrated that only liver fibrosis stage and AIDS diagnosis before liver biopsy were the independent factors of survival (Table 2). Figure 1 shows the cumulative survival according to liver fibrosis and previous AIDS diagnosis.

KM of overall mortality according to liver fibrosis
Liver biopsy sample was insufficient for staging in nine patients of whom two died during follow-up.
IDU, intravenous drug users; SVR, sustained virological response; ART, antiretroviral therapy; HAART, highly active antiretroviral therapy; PI, protease inhibitor; NNRTI, nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor; NRTI, nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor.
Patients who received HCV antiviral therapy had a lower relative risk of death from any cause than patients who had never received HCV antiviral therapy.
Table 3 shows the overall mortality rates and relative risk of death according to the independent factors of overall mortality and in those patients who had and had not received HCV antiviral therapy during follow-up.
Liver biopsy sample was insufficient for staging in nine patients of whom two died during follow-up.
There were no significant differences in the causes of death between patients with F0–F2 and F3–F4, with or without previous AIDS diagnosis, or those who had or had not received HCV antiviral therapy (Table 4).
Liver biopsy sample was insufficient for staging in nine patients of whom two died during follow-up.
ESLD, end stage liver disease.
Immunological and virological outcomes
Immunological outcome was evaluated only in patients with CD4 cell count at time of liver biopsy above 200 cells/mm3 (N=374). Eighty-four patients (22.5%) had a CD4 cell count <200 cells during follow-up. No independent risk factors for achievement of the immunological endpoint were found. Virological outcome was evaluated only in patients with HIV RNA at time of liver biopsy <400 copies/ml (N=262). One hundred and ten patients (42%) had an HIV RNA above 400 copies/ml during follow-up. The Cox multivariate analysis showed that age ≤38 years (HR: 2.29, 95% CI: 1.19–4.41, p=0.013) and PI treatment at time of liver biopsy (HR: 3.27, 95% CI: 1.50–7.16, p=0.013) were the only independent risk factors for virological failure. These results were confirmed when the analysis included only patients who had been treated with the same antiretroviral family from time of liver biopsy performance to the end of follow-up [N=168 (45%); PI: N=108 (64%); NNRTI N=60 (36%)].
Discussion
We conducted a study to evaluate the incidence of mortality and the main causes of death in a cohort of HIV and HCV-coinfected patients selected to be treated with interferon and with known liver fibrosis stage, who were prospectively followed for 6.2 years. Our most important results are the low mortality rate observed and also the demonstration that end-stage liver disease and non-AIDS-related diseases are the most frequent causes of death in this cohort. Patients with advanced liver fibrosis and those with previous AIDS diagnosis were at higher risk of death from any cause. On the other hand, patients not receiving HCV antiviral therapy were also at higher risk of death in our cohort.
Mortality in individuals with HCV chronic infection has been described extensively in the past decade. 14 –18 Some cohort studies conducted in chronic HCV infection have shown a mortality rate of 0.8 to 1.5 per 100 patient-years in monoinfected patients followed between 5 and 14 years and 1.4 to 2.5 per 100 patient-years in HIV and HCV-coinfected patients followed between 5 and 6 years. 14 –16 In one of these studies, the proportion of related deaths in HCV-monoinfected patients was 6%, while this figure was 15% in the HIV/HCV-coinfected population after a median follow-up period of nearly 8 and 6 years, respectively. 14 In the absence of case-control studies comparing the mortality between HCV-monoinfected and HIV/HCV-coinfected individuals, the above mentioned results suggest a higher incidence rate of mortality in HIV/HCV-coinfected than HIV/HCV-monoinfected patients.
Our results are consistent with those found in other studies 19 but more similar to those observed in the HCV-monoinfected populations than in HIV/HCV coinfection. Several reasons can explain the hypothetical lower mortality rate and also the low liver decompensation rate in our cohort, but the most important is probably the criteria used to select our study population. In our study, patients with comorbidities, including active alcohol or drug abuse, were not considered as candidates to receive interferon therapy and hence did not undergo liver biopsy, which was the main criterion to enter the cohort. The exclusion of the patients with additional predictors of poor mortality outcomes due to the presence of concomitant diseases, advanced HIV infection, low adherence to antiretroviral medications, indirectly measured by the poor HIV replication suppression, or faster liver fibrosis progression due to active drug abuse prevents generalizing our results to the entire HIV/HCV-coinfected population. However, given the low incidence of HIV/HCV coinfection in individuals newly diagnosed with HIV infection in certain geographic areas, mainly in southern Europe due to the decrease in intravenous drug addiction as the major risk factor for acquisition of HIV infection 20 and the increased survival of patients with HIV/HCV coinfection diagnosed in the early 1990s due to HAART, 1 –3 the majority of HIV/HCV-coinfected patients who regularly attend outpatient clinical units of certain hospitals have characteristics similar to those of our study population, so our data are perfectly applicable to an important subgroup of patients with HIV/HCV coinfection. Other features of our study mainly related to the characteristics of the patient population such as the high CD4 cell count, the evaluation of liver fibrosis, necroinflammatory activity and steatosis according to the most commonly used histological scores, and also high antiretroviral treatment exposure contribute to explaining the differences between other studies and ours.
Despite the low mortality in this cohort, it is important to stress that the main cause of death was complications of end-stage liver disease (ESLD) followed by non-AIDS-defining cancers. ESLD has been shown to be the main cause of death in unselected cohorts of HIV/HCV-coinfected patients, as also occurs in our study. 3,4,19 On the other hand, the fact that six of our patients died from non-AIDS-related cancers is also consistent with the steady increase in the cumulative incidence of non-AIDS-defining cancers over time since HAART has been widely available. 21 –27
The fact that in our study liver fibrosis stage was an independent factor for death from any cause is noteworthy for various reasons. On the one hand, our findings add to current evidence recommending that antiretroviral therapy be started early in coinfected patients 28 to prevent progression to advanced forms of immunosuppression, which could irreversibly accelerate progression of liver fibrosis in some patients, though it is important to stress that this strategy makes no sense without control of other viral coinfections and promotion of abstinence from alcohol and other drugs that by themselves further increase liver damage. On the other, we should point out the need to include regular assessment of liver fibrosis by biopsy or other noninvasive methods such as elastography in the clinical management of HIV/HCV-coinfected patients to improve early detection of liver complications and add information that can help to decide the best time to start HCV treatment. 29
The finding in our study that prior AIDS diagnosis before liver biopsy performance was an independent factor for death does not appear to indicate only the association of severe immunosuppression with death from end-stage liver disease or the occurrence of new AIDS diseases, since only 25% and 17% of patients with a prior AIDS diagnosis die from liver complications or AIDS, respectively. Our study also shows that patients in our cohort who received HCV treatment had a lower mortality over the follow-up, though we were unable to demonstrate an association between the achievement of sustained virological response and lower mortality, as has been shown in other studies, 7 probably due to the low number of patients who received HCV treatment. We also cannot rule out that this lower mortality was related more to a selection bias of patients who finally are treated who receive or do not receive interferon treatment.
Various studies of characteristics similar to ours have also shown that liver fibrosis does not affect virological or immunological response of HIV/HCV-coinfected patients. In our study, patients who were receiving PIs at the time of liver biopsy or who were treated with this drug family during the follow-up had a greater risk of virological failure than those who received nonnucleoside analogs. Probably the fact that more than 60% of the patients who were receiving PIs were receiving first-generation PIs associated with high rates of adverse effects that required them to discontinue treatment could have influenced these results.
In summary, our study indicates that clinical management of this subgroup of patients should be focused on preventing advanced grades of immunosuppression and control of other factors that accelerate progression of fibrosis and on screening of complications of end-stage liver disease and non-AIDS-related cancers. Specifically HIV/HCV-coinfected patients with advanced liver fibrosis and with previous AIDS diagnosis are candidates for more intensive clinical management. Despite the limitations of our study but taking into account the benefit of HCV antiviral therapy in our cohort, this treatment should be offered at least to patients with poor predictors of survival.
Footnotes
Author Disclosure Statement
No competing financial interests exist.
