Abstract

Introduction
The European Sustainable Chemicals Support Service is a project financed by the European Commission's Directorate General for Growth. 1 Its main aim is to support European regions in developing a sustainable chemical industry based on three types of raw materials: biomass, waste, and effluent gases (such as carbon dioxide (CO2). The European Commission awarded the tender to conduct this project to a consortium led by Spanish Research Centre for Energy Resources and Consumptions (CIRCE), and includes the consultancy firm PNO Consultants and the European Chemical Industry Council (CEFIC). Work on the project began in February 2016 and will go on for eighteen months, divided into two parts.
The first part consists in developing a self-assessment tool based on an online, automated, and modular analysis, and will be the basis for European regions to improve and adapt their regional strategies in order to boost sustainable economy in their area. The self-assessment tool will be freely and publicly available to any European area interested in using it on the European Commission web page.
The second part of the project consists in lending technical support and providing consultancy services to six European regions, called Model Demonstration Regions (MDRs), in order to strengthen their strategies for drawing in the investments they need to produce sustainable chemicals. 2
This article describes the project aims as well as the activities to be carried out with the six MDRs, including some first conclusions based on the ongoing analysis and works with those regions.
Self-Assessment Tool
The self-assessment tool (SAT) focuses on the following three main feedstock categories for sustainable chemicals: • Biomass from agriculture and forestry; mainly to be processed in high capital and energy intensive installations (e.g., integrated biorefineries). • Waste from farms, municipalities, sewage sludge, plastics, agri-food industry, paper and pulp industry; this feedstock is mainly to be processed in decentralized installations with a certain degree of industrial symbiosis. • Effluent gases such as CO2 and carbon monoxide; mainly to be processed in conglomerates in a typical industrial symbiosis
Key Factors
Three different questionnaires have been prepared evaluating the following Key Factors (KF):
KF 1: Long term, stability and availability of feedstock
This KF assesses the availability and access to raw materials, including traditional and the alternative targeted in the SAT; trends in raw material demand; raw material evolution; information and statistics on available types of biomass, effluent gasses and waste; and their existing potential and competitors for future use.
KF 2: Infrastructure to handle feedstocks and production
This KF intends to draw a picture of the set of infrastructures (both physical and administrative) and installations that enable the link between feedstock production sites, collection nodes, production, and consumption to meet the requirements of the supply chains—all of which are key decision factors for investors. This KF also considers potential synergies and legislative barriers.
KF 3: Access to finance
This KF defines the current regional availability of both private and public funds, as well as other kinds of investment mechanisms, if available. Examples include the existence of private institutions interested in financing sustainable industrial projects or public budgets for such project financing. In addition, it assesses the frameworks available to create an environment in which innovations can be developed, reach the market, and become widely used.
KF 4: Skilled workforce, technical expertise, and training
This KF intends to analyze the availability of a capable workforce for a Sustainable Chemical Region based on the feedstock category selected. It includes questions regarding statistics on skilled workforce, non-skilled workforce, availability of schools, and training programs for skilled and non-skilled profiles. In addition, the questionnaire includes inquiries into the existence of mechanisms of managing those human resources towards a Sustainable Chemical Regional economy.
KF 5: Existence of support institutions
This KF is related to the information about supporting institutions such as universities, testing and certification bodies, research institutions, and other organizations that could build and transfer know-how and offer technical and technological assistance to the entrepreneurship willing to be or already being part of the Sustainable Chemical Regional.
KF 6: Strength and availability of regional markets
Questions included for this KF focus on the framework for establishing regional markets, including the existence of stakeholders networks and related statistics at regional level; suppliers of feedstock; potential clients of regional Sustainable Chemical production; innovative producers; and institutions facilitating networking.
KF 7: Entrepreneurship
This KF is intended to obtain information about the existing framework to support and enhance existing businesses and to promote new enterprises. KF 7 includes questions regarding the existence of business incubators, industrial parks, business, and supporting organizations and initiatives (i.e., information campaigns for the exploitation of regional feedstock for sustainable chemicals production, match-making events, services for business plan drafting, etc.), as well as the existence of potential companies interested in investing in circular economy or sustainable chemicals production.
KF 8: Public support policies
The regulatory environment should not only be stable and predictable, but also flexible enough to adapt to new developments as well. This is a prerequisite for investor confidence. Information regarding the existence of policies and programs for the development and channeling of entrepreneurial talent for increasing the effectiveness of entrepreneurs and demand for entrepreneurship is needed. Furthermore, the existing regulatory framework for facilitating the establishment of new entrepreneurship would also be very valuable information.
Working Method
Within a specific feedstock category, a set of accurate, self-explanatory, and straightforward questions for each KF has been defined according to a three-step approach. First, start from the definition of an ideal case/scenario for each feedstock category and KF. An in-depth analysis of the role, needs, and barriers found for the alternative feedstock(s) considered is a core activity in the questionnaire-building process, ultimately paving the way towards a Sustainable Chemical Industry. Best practices found worldwide will help to draw the scenario.
Secondly, 5–10 main features that comprise a representative description of the scenario and make it ideal are identified.
Thirdly, 5–10 questions related to the main features described in step two are established in order to obtain the relevant information that allows for a thorough characterization of the particular region's suitability given the KFs. More than one question may be needed for the description of a single main feature, but no more than 10 questions must be set for each KF. In the end, appropriate and straightforward questions, which that avoid excessive technicality technical as well as room for misunderstanding, are formulated. Having a limited number of questions—5 to 10 per KF—ensures the whole questionnaire remains of reasonable length. This prevents the respondent from taking too long to complete it, but ensures the necessary information is collected to provide the regions with useful and specific conclusions and recommendations.
There are mainly two types of questions in all three questionnaires: multiple-answer questions and single-answer questions. No open questions have been included in the questionnaires (further discussion on the type and weighting of the answers is included below).
Moreover, cascade questions—in which a certain answer prompts additional questions to narrow down the information needed to accurately describe the current situation of the region—are employed. Some KF questions in cascade may appear among other KFs.
Each KF is evaluated on a scale from 0 to 10, taking into account the answers given by the respondent to the questions proposed. The higher the final score in a KF, the closer the region is to the ideal scenario.
Each of the questions displayed per KF is linked to a feature of the ideal case/scenario, according to the three-step approach previously described. However, there may be one or more questions linked to a specific feature. The weighting factor for the questions has been established according to their relevance in the transition towards a strong Sustainable Chemical Industry. The sum of the weighting factor (wi) of all the questions is always 10, so that all the KF in the different feedstock categories can be compared and graphically displayed.
Lastly, a set of up to 5 answers has been defined for each question, providing the actual and accurate meaning behind each answer—not just a figure from 0 to 1. The set of answers define precisely, but not extensively, the range of situations that can be found in each of the features to be analyzed and described. This includes both the closest to the ideal situation and the worst possible situation. The respondent should easily identify the position of its region with respect to the answers given.
Neutral answers have been avoided so that the respondent tips the balance in one or another direction. Thus, a more in-depth analysis is required from the respondent and more accurate results will be reached.
Potential inconsistency in the answers given by the respondent and conclusions/recommendations given by the SAT can occur, and accordingly a detection module has been implemented in the tool as an Inconsistency Module to avoid incongruous reports. The Inconsistency Module displays a contradiction warning and additional questions, asking for clarification. As a last resort, it hides some contradictory conclusions/recommendations in the final report.
Weighing Mechanisms for Answers
The score linked to each question's answer has been thoroughly established, from 0 to 1, in order to keep the relevancy of the answer as reasonable as possible.
The highest the score of an answer is linked to the closest to the ideal scenario. A score of 1 represents the ideal situation for that specific KF—no action or recommendation in principle will be needed, just best practices—while 0 is the worst scenario possible.
Eventual relations within answers from different questions within the same KF or other KF have been also studied when establishing this weighting mechanism. The robustness of the weighting mechanism has been checked and improved through a sensitivity analysis and validated by the industrial platforms and the MDRs.
The score for that question with a specific answer would be: • If a1 is chosen → q1 = 1 × 3 = 3 • If a2 is chosen → q1 = 0.8 × 3 = 2.4 • If am is chosen → q1 = 0 × 3 = 0
That is to say, the result qn of a question n with an answer a
m
:
where sm is the score of the answer chosen and wn is the weight factor for the question.
On the other hand, the result qn of a multiple-choice question would be:
where sm is the score of the answer chosen and wn is the weight factor for the question.
For this case, when choosing a1 and a2, the q3 would be:
Additionally, if the multiple-choice answer includes subanswers, the weighting sm would be multiplied times the score of the subanswer selected as follows:
where Sm is the score of the answer chosen, Wn is the weight factor for the question and Sr 0 ≤ sr ≤ 1, is the score of the subanswer selected within the selected multiple choice answer.
In the case of single-answer subquestions, when choosing an answer then the final score of the question would be:
where Sm is the score of the answer chosen in the question, sr the score of the answer chosen in the subquestion and Wn the weighting of the question.
In this case, when choosing a1 in the question and the additional answer a2 in the subquestion the q1 will be:
The final result of the KF, always between 0 and 10, will be represented in the spider graph and is the sum of all questions' results:
Final SAT results
The information gathered from the questions for each feedstock will permit to assess the Investment Readiness Level (IRL) of the region. The assessment results will be given through a final report for each feedstock (biomass, waste, and CO2). It will be displayed online or through a downloadable .pdf once each of the feedstock questionnaires selected have been filled in.
The SAT is addressed mainly to the region's decision-makers, as it will conclude with general recommendations to be adopted at regional level. Most of these recommendations are related to strategic actions that foster the region's Sustainable Chemical sector.
For each feedstock category, the report will include a representation of a spider chart with the quantification of the IRL for each of the KF assessed, accompanied by the automated and modular interpretation of these results.
The spider chart is a valuable tool to give a first picture of the region in comparison with the European Union average for each KF. Visually, the assessment can detect which areas should be improved in order to develop an effective and successful Sustainable Chemical industry. It will give the information about the main KFs where region needs to improve to obtain its highest IRL. The results will display examples of Sustainable Chemical regions where the weakest KFs of the assessed region have been addressed successfully.
The interpretation of the results includes a general diagnostic of the region's current situation and recommends holistic actions it could take to improve its current IRL. Extension of the recommendations will be no longer than a few paragraphs per each KF. Most of the conclusions and recommendations will be common for KFs 3, 4, 5, and 7, which deal with horizontal issues for the three feedstocks; the rest of KFs results will be more specifically for each feedstock.
The information gathered from the different respondent regions during the SAT life will be stored and used in order to establish and update an EU average and allow benchmarking. At a first stage, the tool will be fed data and results from the Model Demonstration Regions. This average data will be refined and updated over time with the input from other regions.
Assessment of the MDRs
The second pillar of the project is to offer technical assistance and consultancy services to the six MDRs to strength their regional strategies and increase their IRLs for sustainable chemistry production. In particular, investments in biorefineries, water treatment, and recycling and recovery plants for plastics and other substances, together with their associated infrastructures and resource assessments, will be evaluated. A Strength Weaknesses Opportunities Threats (SWOT) analysis is encouraged, as it will consider the specificities of the region characterized by the 10 KF factors. Both the characterization and the results of the analysis have been developed in coordination with the regional actors involved in order to promote a direct increase in the region's IRL. It is recommended that the results be presented in the form of Master Plans where concrete investment possibilities are identified and assessed. In this way, methods for leveraging funding while evaluating the necessary support through public investment in infrastructures, can be determined.
The consultancy services provided follow methodologies as standardized as possible to ensure the homogeneity, comparability, and replicability of the results process. The service provided is composed of three main elements: a report on the region's IRL, peer review meetings, and policy briefings.
Report on Region's IRL
The report has assessed the investment readiness of six MDRs in the field of sustainable chemicals. The analysis has been performed using information provided by the provinces. This information consists of policy documents, SAT questionnaires, and a number of interviews with stakeholders in the region. For the most part, the analysis has been based on the eight aforementioned KFs.
The specific objectives of the IRL report are: • To identify and determine existing databases and information sources containing reliable data for the performance of the analysis; • To develop a SWOT analysis of each of the factors considered based on the information gathered; • To perform a complete evaluation all SWOT analysis input to reach overall conclusions; • To identify possible actions to increase the IRL of the region relying on the SWOT analysis conclusions; • To present the results of the region in a 20-page report ready to be shared with the regional representatives in order to prepare the workshop (second step of the service).
Methodology
Once the information is gathered and considering, and the “input-throughput-output”-model is detailed, the SWOT analysis will be performed to separately evaluate each of the factors determined. The region's entire SWOT will be then integrated and evaluated to extract general conclusions about the region's IRL for large-scale industrial investments in biorefineries, phosphate and other critical materials recovery, and plastic recycling. The long-term availability of biomass or secondary raw materials at competitive prices, associated infrastructure, available funding mechanisms, market evolution, etc are taken into account. The report will build on this state-of-play analysis when discussing the individual factors for investment readiness. The state-of-play analysis identifies the potential value chains based on biomass and (organic) waste streams, which are already in place or which could be created. This will enable more specific recommendations later in the report by taking into account the specific strengths of the region on a value-chain level.
Peer Review Meetings
The general objective of peer review meetings is to provide a direct contact with the representatives of the studied region. A workshop is arranged to gather and document comprehensive feedback for the preparation of useful policy briefings and to promote discussion among stakeholders. The peer review meetings have been undertaken following these specific objectives: • To involve a group of between 10 and 15 region representatives for the region, including the views of the main actors (e.g., industries [3–5], investors [2–4], technology and research community [1–2], regional authority [2–3] and other possible stakeholders of the region). • To prepare a structured and efficient meeting in which the results of the regional investment readiness report will be presented to solicit feedback for the development of policy briefings. • To agree on actions that can be undertaken by the regional authorities in order to increase the IRL. • To stimulate join actions between the different regional stakeholders by fostering discussion between them.
Methodology
The meetings have been led by at least two experts from the external support service provider and regional technical expert. The two-day peer review meetings are organized at least two months in advance so that the report and the information are ready to be analyzed in detail by the attendees.
During the two days, the particular investment actions proposed in the regional IRL reports are discussed together with others that arose between the regional stakeholders and potential investors. The discussions aim to foster agreement on the actions regional authorities can undertake to increase IRL. Particular attention is paid to actions that would have the greatest impact.
Policy Briefing
Scope and Methodology
The policy actions determined to be most impactful, based on feedback gathered during the workshop, are analyzed. These policy actions are evaluated based on the private investment they aim to stimulate—namely whether such investment would make optimal use of the available domestic resources and help overcome identified barriers. Finally, the links and synergies between actions and their associated impacts, mainly in terms of the stimulation of concrete investments, is assessed.
Next, a roadmap is generated. Each option is analyzed based on funding needs and expected investment stimulation. The roadmap considers a 2025 temporary horizon, including the periods 2016–2018, 2018–2020 and 2020–2025. A cost-benefit analysis is performed to compare the public funds invested to the private investment mobilized. The role that European funding can play in the roadmap is also analyzed, including the European Structural and Investment Funds, the European Agriculture Funds for Rural Development, the European Fund for Strategic Investment and Horizon 2020. In addition, the support that national and regional initiatives or funds (e.g., Regional Innovation Strategies, Smart Specialization Strategies, etc.) may give to the roadmap implementation is assessed and determined.
The optimized roadmap is provided to the advisory panels and regional representatives to get final feedback. This helps ensure the usefulness of the result.
Once the roadmap is finalized, practical recommendations and a schedule are developed to mitigate identified risks, therefore facilitating roadmap implementation. In addition, a monitoring system of the roadmap implementation that relies on checkpoints and milestones is established.
The reports include roadmap: scheduling and description of policy measures; impact in terms of concrete private investment stimulated; possible links to EU, national, and regional funds and initiatives; a roadmap monitoring system; and policy recommendations for roadmap implementation.
Conclusions
The SAT is going to officially launch in April 2017, and all public authorities are encouraged to use it in the development of their respective regional strategies. Cluster managers will also find it very useful in motivating their members towards the development of more sustainable chemicals.
On the other hand, the first conclusions of the service provided to the Model Demonstration Regions are that it was noted in some cases that all of the investment plans had a positive business case without the use of subsidies. The amount of subsidy was a large factor in deciding the location to execute the plans. Other decisive factors are resource availability and value chain integration. However, the biggest barriers for the investment plan in the regions are all closely related. The market is indicated as the biggest hurdle, closely follow by available financing. The lack of basic biobased chemical feedstock makes every investment more costly and without a proven market financers are acting risk-adverse and will not provide the amounts needed to fund the projects. The narrow R&D focus of subsidies makes it in practice troublesome to acquire grants for implementing biobased processes. Furthermore public policy intensifies the risk of projects since current standards are more based on energy reduction instead of CO2 elimination from the value chain. Public policy could ease the biobased markets and increase demand, however there are currently no public or law incentives to do so.
In other cases, there is a lack of end-user involvement in basically all biobased innovation projects by the respective regional companies. This can be explained by the significant presence of feedstock suppliers, but a lack of chemical companies which are really interested in biobased products. In some regions, chemical industry is traditionally very fossil feedstock oriented and little breakthroughs have been achieved so far in supplying these industries with biobased intermediates for further processing. Engagement with the chemical industry at regional, national and EU-level is needed to further involve end-users.
