Abstract
Although most commonly associated with infection, elevated temperature and fever also occur in a variety of critically ill populations. Prior studies have suggested that fever and elevated temperature may be detrimental to critically ill patients and can lead to poor outcomes, but the evidence surrounding the association of fever with outcomes is rapidly evolving. To broadly assess potential associations of elevated temperature and fever with outcomes in critically ill adult patients, we performed a systematic literature review focusing on traumatic brain injury, stroke (ischemic and hemorrhagic), cardiac arrest, sepsis, and general intensive care unit (ICU) patients. Searches were conducted in Embase® and PubMed® from 2016 to 2021, following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, including dual-screening of abstracts, full texts, and extracted data. In total, 60 studies assessing traumatic brain injury and stroke (24), cardiac arrest (8), sepsis (22), and general ICU (6) patients were included. Mortality, functional, or neurological status and length of stay were the most frequently reported outcomes. Elevated temperature and fever were associated with poor clinical outcomes in patients with traumatic brain injury, stroke, and cardiac arrest but not in patients with sepsis. Although a causal relationship between elevated temperature and poor outcomes cannot be definitively established, the association observed in this systematic literature review supports the concept that management of elevated temperature may factor in avoidance of detrimental outcomes in multiple critically ill populations. The analysis also highlights gaps in our understanding of fever and elevated temperature in critically ill adult patients.
Introduction
Fever, the elevation of an individual's core body temperature by a regulatory mechanism, is commonly associated with infections, whereas hyperthermia is defined as elevated temperature that is not due to regulatory control (Bush and Schmidt, 2022). Fever is typically triggered by the release of proinflammatory mediators that are responsible for many of the effects and symptoms related to the febrile response (Ogoina, 2011). Up to 70% of intensive care patients may experience elevated temperature (Barie et al., 2004; Bota et al., 2004; Circiumaru et al., 1999; Kane et al., 2021; Ogoina, 2011; Sunden-Cullberg et al., 2017). In addition to being observed with sepsis in critically ill patients, fever and elevated temperature have been reported to be associated with a substantial number of noninfectious conditions in critically ill adult patients, such as stroke (ischemic and hemorrhagic), traumatic brain injury, and cardiac arrest.
Early examinations of elevated temperature and fever, particularly in cardiac arrest, suggested that hyperthermia is detrimental and can lead to poor outcomes, such as increased length of stay (LOS), worsened functional status, organ damage/failure, and potentially death (Walter et al., 2016). Similarly in stroke, fever has been associated with worse outcomes, including mortality and disability (Greer et al., 2008; Rincon et al., 2014; Saini et al., 2009). Whether fever is definitively causative of worse injury or a marker for such is unclear. A prospective study of trauma patients found no association between fever and injury severity in polytrauma or isolated body injury patients; however, fever was associated with more severe injury in isolated head injury patients (Hinson et al., 2018).
Earlier studies have looked at clinical outcomes associated with fever and elevated temperature on an indication-by-indication basis, and it is unclear if findings in specific indications are generalizable across critically ill adult patients or if elevated temperature and fever should be treated in a more indication specific manner. In this systematic literature review, we sought to investigate the association of fever and elevated temperature with clinical and economic outcomes over a broad set of indications in critically ill adult patients.
Methods
Data sources and search algorithm
This systematic literature review was conducted in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) 2020 checklist (Page et al., 2021). Searches were conducted across PubMed® (via PubMed.com) and Embase® (via embase.com) to identify peer-reviewed articles published in the last 5 years before the search date (July 21, 2021). Articles published in the last 5 years were chosen in an attempt to capture the most up-to-date high-quality evidence. Search terms were implemented to capture relevant critically ill patient populations based on prior literature. Search terms included: critically ill, intensive care unit (ICU), cardiac arrest, traumatic brain injury, stroke (ischemic and hemorrhagic), brain hemorrhage, sepsis, mortality, neurological function, and LOS terms (Supplementary Tables S1 and S2). Search algorithms for each electronic database were designed using appropriate syntax, with combinations of medical subject headings (MeSH), Emtree terms, and free text in titles and abstracts of records.
Eligibility criteria
The populations, outcomes, and study design/eligibility criteria are described in Supplementary Table S3. Studies of elevated temperature and fever among traumatic brain injury or stroke (ischemic and hemorrhagic), cardiac arrest, sepsis, or general ICU (i.e., critically ill, not otherwise classified) patients that reported clinical or economic outcomes were included. Primary studies, such as randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies, were included for data extraction, whereas guidelines and other systematic literature reviews were included for background information only. Reference lists were hand-searched for manual additions. The systematic literature review was limited to human studies published in English in the last 5 years.
Study selection
After conducting the searches, duplicate records were removed using EndNote™ X9 (EndNote, 2013). Screening was performed in two stages according to the eligibility criteria: title and abstract screening and then full-text screening (Fig. 1 and listing of studies in Supplementary Table S4). Title and abstract screening was performed by three independent reviewers. Full-text publications were included for data extraction when at least two reviewers agreed that a citation was eligible. If full-text articles were not available for a citation, the abstract was reviewed for availability of adequate information for extraction. Both levels of screening were conducted using a web-based screening software (Covidence; Veritas Health Innovation, Melbourne, Australia). After full-text screening, a complete list of included and excluded citations was generated with reasons for exclusion at full-text screening.

Systematic literature review study identification and selection. This systematic literature review followed the PRISMA guidelines. PRISMA, Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses.
Data extraction
Data from included articles were extracted into a custom Microsoft® Excel®-based evidence grid by two researchers, and all data points were independently validated by a third researcher. Data that specifically answer the research questions of interest were extracted, including publication details, study characteristics, patient characteristics, elevated temperature definitions, and specific clinical and economic outcomes potentially impacted by fever and elevated temperature, as detailed below. Outcomes that were reported by studies as the primary or secondary endpoints were well captured in the resulting evidence grid, including mortality, functional and neurological status, and LOS, and are reported below. Additional outcomes sought by the search strategy (Supplementary Tables S1 and S2) were not captured or were insufficiently captured for reporting.
Results
Included studies and patient characteristics
The electronic database searches identified 2539 records across the 2 databases, of which 1883 were eligible for screening after de-duplication. Upon comprehensive review of all titles and abstracts, 144 records were selected for further full-text review, pending availability. From those records, this systematic literature review included 60 studies for qualitative synthesis of the literature on the relationship of fever to outcomes in critically ill adult patients (Fig. 1).
In total, 24 articles assessed traumatic brain injury or stroke (ischemic and hemorrhagic), cardiac arrest (8; including cardio-circulatory arrest), sepsis (22), and general ICU (6) patients (Supplementary Table S4) and assessed fever as a variable. The included studies were heterogeneous with respect to study design, methodology, patient populations, geographical regions, and even elevated temperature definitions. Most of the studies were observational studies (82%), and the remaining were RCTs, post hoc analyses of RCTs, registries, case–control, or chart audit studies. All studies described fever and elevated temperature within their population; however, only 70% provided the percentage or proportion with elevated temperature, and an elevated temperature definition was provided by 85% of the studies.
Studies provided elevated temperature threshold definitions that ranged from 37°C to 39°C, with the most frequent threshold being 38°C (Supplementary Fig. S1). The percentage of patients with elevated temperature, as defined within each study, ranged from 1.4% to 100%. Due to differences in definitions for fever, hyperthermia, elevated temperature, and pyrexia, the use of these terms below is based on their usage in each specific cited study.
Mortality outcomes
A total of 41 studies reported all-cause mortality outcomes for both in-hospital and longer term/out-of-hospital mortality (Table 1). In general, febrile patients with brain injury, stroke, or cardiac arrest experienced increased mortality versus nonfebrile patients, while febrile patients with sepsis had reduced mortality versus nonfebrile patients. Specific results are reported by indication below.
Mortality Outcomes Reported in Studies on Patients with Elevated Temperature
CI, confidence interval; ICU, intensive care unit.
Traumatic brain injury or stroke
Twelve studies reported an association between elevated temperature and mortality in patients with traumatic brain injury (five studies) or stroke (seven studies) (Table 1). The majority of the studies (11/12, 92%) found that elevated temperature and fever are significantly associated with increased mortality. One study found that hyperthermia was a significant predictor of 6-month death (hazard ratio, 1.70; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.18–2.45) when adjusting for demographics, prestroke function, baseline diseases, and risk factors (Di Carlo et al., 2018). Muhith et al. (2020) and Hinson et al. (2017) also noted the correlation between fever and mortality in stroke and traumatic brain injury. Other studies reported increased rates of mortality when compared with patients without elevated temperature and fever (Table 1).
Cardiac and cardio-circulatory arrest
Seven studies reported an association of elevated temperature and rebound hyperthermia with mortality in patients with cardiac arrest (six studies) and cardiac surgery patients with cardio-circulatory arrest (one study). Five of the studies associated elevated temperature with significantly increased mortality, while the other two remaining studies found elevated temperature decreased or had no impact on mortality. Hyperthermia, prolonged fever, and rebound hyperthermia were all found to be associated with increased mortality (Hu et al., 2020; Makker et al., 2017; Rungatscher et al., 2017). Grossestreuer et al. (2017) reported that higher maximum temperature was associated with lower survival (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.25; 95% CI, 0.10–0.59; p = 0.002) in patients who experienced post-rewarming pyrexia.
Sepsis or bacteremia
Seventeen studies examined fever and mortality in patients with sepsis or bacteremia. Multiple studies found that the absence of fever was significantly associated with mortality. Sozio et al. (2021) reported that higher temperature was associated with reduced in-hospital mortality. Other studies found that fever and elevated temperature are associated with select mortality outcomes. Antonio et al. (2019) reported mixed results in which the early case fatality rate, but not the 30-day mortality rate, was associated with low-grade fever (<38°C). De Rosa et al. (2016) found fever 48 hours after first positive cultures (odds ratio [OR] 5.281; 95% CI, 1.542–18.080) to be significantly associated with mortality. Sanderson et al. (2018) found fever to be associated with 30-day mortality (OR 0.35, 95% CI, 0.23–0.55). Another study found that inpatient mortality was not statistically different in the afebrile and febrile groups (15.8% vs. 6.9%, p = 0.070), but 30-day mortality was higher among afebrile patients (27.6% vs. 10.1%, p = 0.010) (Chiodo-Reidy et al., 2020).
General ICU
Fever and elevated temperature were generally associated with mortality, but Young et al. (2019a) found no statistically significant difference between afebrile and febrile patients. One study found that per every degree Celsius >37.5°C, the likelihood for ICU mortality increased (OR 1.82, 95% CI, 1.40–2.38; p < 0.001) (Erkens et al., 2020).
Functional and neurological outcomes
Twenty studies reported functional or neurological outcomes (Table 2). Elevated temperature and fever were generally linked to poor outcomes in patients with cardiac arrest, traumatic brain injury, or stroke, as described below.
Functional and Neurological Outcomes Reported in Studies on Patients with Elevated Temperature
BT, body temperature; IQR, interquartile range; mRS, modified Rankin Scale; NIHSS, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale/Score; OHCA, out-of-hospital cardiac arrest; SD, standard deviation.
Traumatic brain injury or stroke
Thirteen studies reported on functional and neurological outcomes in patients with traumatic brain injury (five studies) or stroke (nine studies) with elevated temperature and fever (Table 2). Multiple studies found that elevated temperature was significantly associated with poor Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) scores, modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores, and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores (Table 2). Forlivesi et al. (2018) showed that ORs for no neurological improvement at 24 hours were higher in patients with hyperthermia relative to baseline/intravenous thrombolysis (OR 2.88, 95% CI, 1.20–6.91, p = 0.018) in patients with stroke.
Cardiac and cardio-circulatory arrest
Five studies reported on functional and neurological outcomes in patients with cardiac arrest with elevated temperature and fever. Many studies found that a higher maximum temperature (in the total observed time period) was significantly associated with worse neurological outcomes. In one study, after controlling for age, duration of arrest, witnessed arrest, arrest location, and initial rhythm, higher maximum temperature was associated with a worse neurological outcome (aOR 0.30; 95% CI, 0.10–0.84; p = 0.022) in patients who experienced post-rewarming pyrexia (Grossestreuer et al., 2017). Another study reported that elevated temperature is a frequent clinical occurrence following cardiac arrest and that maximum temperature during hospitalization in the ICU is significantly associated with worsened neurological outcome (Picetti et al., 2016). Ryu et al. (2017) discovered no differences in neurological outcomes between the actively controlled fever group and the normothermia group.
Sepsis or bacteremia
The association of fever and functional outcomes was not reported in the studies evaluating patients with bacteremia or sepsis.
General ICU
One study found longer duration of high fever (>39°C; OR 9.366; 95% CI, 1.08–81.214) to be independently associated with new and persistent post-ICU cognitive impairment (i.e., documented 3–24 months post-discharge) (Sakusic et al., 2018).
LOS outcomes
Sixteen studies captured LOS outcomes (Table 3). Fever and elevated temperature in patients with traumatic brain injury or stroke increased LOS, but in patients with sepsis, the LOS decreased with fever and elevated temperature.
Length of Stay Outcomes Reported in Studies on Patients with Elevated Temperature
LOS, length of stay.
Traumatic brain injury or stroke
Five studies reported on LOS in patients with traumatic brain injury (four studies) or stroke (one study) with fever. Most studies concluded that patients with fever have significantly higher ICU and hospital LOS (Hinson et al., 2018; Huang et al., 2021). One study found there was longer LOS in patients with fever (mean days 13.1 vs. 5.1, p < 0.0001) (Table 3) (Gillow et al., 2017). Alexandrov et al. (2018) reported that poorly controlled fever was associated with significantly longer hospital LOS compared with normothermic patients who experienced a stroke.
Cardiac and cardio-circulatory arrest
The association of elevated temperature and LOS was not reported in patients with cardiac arrest. Nonsignificant longer hospital LOS was observed in hyperthermic patients following deep hypothermic circulatory arrest compared with those who remained normothermic (Rungatscher et al., 2017).
Sepsis or bacteremia
Nine studies reported on LOS in patients with sepsis or bacteremia with fever. Many of the studies reported that fever was significantly associated with shorter hospital and ICU LOS. Drewry et al. (2018) found that, compared with the afebrile group, febrile patients had significantly shorter hospital LOS (median 8.3 days [interquartile range, IQR 4.9, 12.7] vs. median 12.6 days [IQR 7.4, 19.2], p = 0.02). Similarly, other studies report that normothermia patients or patients without fever had increased LOS.
General ICU
The association of elevated temperature and LOS was not reported in general ICU patients.
Other outcomes
Ten studies reported outcomes that did not fit the criteria of mortality, functional and neurological, or LOS (Table 4). Fever was suggestive of reducing the risk of ICU admission in patients with septic shock (Jouffroy et al., 2019); however, fever correlated with secondary transfer to an intensive care setting among emergency department admissions (Cancella de Abreu et al., 2020). Fever was associated with significantly increased cost and hospital resources; in a multivariate analysis of general ICU patients, the presence of fever increased hospitalization cost by an additional €418 (p = 0.0487) (Armaganidis et al., 2017).
Other Outcomes Reported in Studies on Patients with Elevated Temperature
SAT, systemic anti-fungal therapy.
Discussion
The pathological processes of elevated temperature and fever and its presence in critically ill adult patients are widely reported in the literature, but our understanding of the outcomes associated with this condition continues to evolve. This systematic review aimed to assess the evidence base for the association of fever and elevated temperature with outcomes in multiple critical illnesses, including traumatic brain injury, stroke (ischemic and hemorrhagic), cardiac arrest, and sepsis for which a solid evidence base may exist for determining outcomes associated with elevated temperature. The potential negative association of elevated temperature and fever was frequently highlighted across the examined conditions with increased mortality, LOS, and poor functional and neurological status (Alexandrov et al., 2018; Di Carlo et al., 2018; Gillow et al., 2017; Hinson et al., 2018; Hinson et al., 2017; Huang et al., 2021; Muhith et al., 2020; Picetti et al., 2016). Whether increased morbidity is caused by fever and elevated temperature or if the febrile condition is a marker for that higher morbidity remains poorly defined.
Studies identified in our review that investigated elevated temperature and fever in patients with cardiac arrest mainly addressed the detrimental outcomes associated with rebound hyperthermia after targeted temperature management (TTM). These studies showed poor clinical outcomes associated with rebound hyperthermia in patients with cardiac arrest, supporting existing guidelines that recommend treating rebound hyperthermia with antipyretics and active cooling. The literature supporting elevated temperature avoidance for critically ill adult patients beyond cardiac arrest is less mature and thus primarily addresses the initial fever.
As Greer et al. reported in 2008, and as supported by our findings, fever demonstrated a relationship with detrimental outcomes in critically ill adult patients beyond cardiac arrest and should be properly managed (Greer et al., 2008). In patients with stroke, Thompson (2015) highlighted the importance of temperature intervention, calling for action beyond focusing on the frequency of temperature measurement or antipyretic administration. Guidelines for the care of patients with stroke support the maintenance of normothermia, but there is currently no consensus on interventions for optimal fever management (Powers et al., 2018).
In contrast to other critically ill populations, studies of patients with sepsis or bacteremia have demonstrated that fever is associated with reduced mortality and LOS. Fever may be beneficial because it increases the clearance of microorganisms, or it may be beneficial as part of the sepsis diagnosis by physicians (Launey et al., 2011). Historically, fever was a diagnostic marker for sepsis, but this criterion was removed from guidelines in 2016 (Rhodes et al., 2017). Only recently have the systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria been reintroduced as a screening tool for sepsis (Evans et al., 2021).
This literature review likely captures patients evaluated under the previous diagnostic guidelines, and if elevated temperature was/is used as part of the sepsis diagnosis, patients without fever may have delayed diagnoses, inappropriate antibiotic usage, inadequate fluid resuscitation, and overall poorer quality of care. Once patients are diagnosed, controlling fever in patients with sepsis has been shown to improve oxygen consumption and overall hemodynamics (Bernard et al., 1997; Kreymann et al., 1993; Villar and Slutsky, 1993). Further studies are needed to control for practice changes due to the revisions of the sepsis criteria and to further characterize outcomes in patients with sepsis after receiving appropriate initial resuscitation.
Although the World Health Organization and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recognize fever as a temperature of 38°C or greater, in practice, there is no universally accepted threshold value. Elevated temperature threshold definitions among the studies included in this literature search ranged from 37°C to 39°C, with the most frequent threshold being 38°C. Although the studies in this review report body temperature, an important consideration is that brain temperature can vary widely and be as much as 15% higher than core body temperature, which may add to the importance of precisely monitoring body temperature and rapidly recognizing elevated temperature and fever in patients with traumatic brain injury or stroke (Mrozek et al., 2012). A potential solution to fever prevention and management is TTM, although the use of TTM is unclear in most disease processes outside of cardiac arrest, traumatic brain injury, and neonatal ischemic encephalopathy (Perman et al., 2014).
TTM has also encompassed application of therapeutic hypothermia, and the clinical results in studies enrolling post-cardiac arrest patients have varied considerably depending on the populations, protocols, and outcomes studied (Bernard et al., 2002; Dankiewicz et al., 2021; Lascarrou et al., 2019; Nielsen et al., 2013). Current ERC-ESICM guidelines do not take a position on hypothermic temperature control or early cooling of patients following cardiac arrest (Sandroni et al., 2022). Those current guidelines do, however, recommend preventing fever in comatose cardiac arrest patients and not actively rewarming those same patients who may be mildly hypothermic following return of spontaneous circulation.
In future research, it may be beneficial to investigate certain parameters of elevated temperature and their potential relation to clinical and economic outcomes. Beyond just the presence of elevated temperature, it is unclear if the duration of fever, the maximum temperature, or the degree of temperature fluctuation play significant roles in outcomes. A better understanding of all the dimensions of elevated temperature may facilitate optimized treatment of critically ill adult patients. For example, failure to continuously monitor patients for fever and elevated temperature can result in missed opportunities to intervene. Additionally, although few studies identified in our search reported on costs associated with elevated temperature, many studies showed changes to LOS, which may have significant cost implications.
Reported costs of care per day range from ∼$2600 per inpatient day to ∼$4300 per day in the ICU (American Hospital Association 2022; SCCM, 2022). Several studies documented the positive association of fever with improved outcomes in patients with sepsis. However, sepsis as a condition places a tremendous burden on hospitals with the mean total of care for an episode of sepsis when present upon admission being $18,023 and $51,022 when not present upon admission (Paoli et al., 2018). Likewise, fever is associated with positive outcomes in patients with bacteremia; however, the incremental cost of nosocomial bacteremia is estimated to be €15,526 (Riu et al., 2017). As noted above, changing guidelines for sepsis diagnosis may have impacted the literature assessed in this review, and future research is required to evaluate the association of fever with outcomes under current guidelines. Furthermore, additional research is required to quantify the potential impact of elevated temperature and fever on cost in critically ill adult patients.
This systematic literature review is subject to several limitations. Although there are many conditions that are considered critical illnesses, this systematic literature review focused on traumatic brain injury, stroke (ischemic and hemorrhagic), cardiac arrest, and sepsis due to the large number of patients and anticipated evidence base associated with these conditions. Another limitation is the indirect nature of the evidence. Fever and elevated temperature were described within the included studies, but the examination of the impact of this condition on outcomes was often not the primary research objective. A considerable amount of heterogeneity also existed across studies, including variations in population selection criteria, elevated temperature definitions, outcomes, and methodological approaches that precluded the application of a meta-analysis and could result in study biases. In addition, this review may be subject to publication bias (i.e., that studies finding an association between fever and outcomes are more likely to be published than finding no such association).
Conclusions
In conclusion, elevated temperature is associated with negative outcomes across many kinds of critically ill adult patients, including patients with cardiac arrest, traumatic brain injury, or stroke. Unfavorable outcomes, such as increased mortality, decreased functional status, and increased LOS, are consistently associated with the presence of fever. However, it is unclear if these associations are also present in patients with sepsis or bacteremia. Additionally, despite significant evidence on clinical outcomes, there is a limited amount of evidence on the costs and health care resource utilization of critically ill adult patients with fever and elevated temperature. Overall, these findings suggest a potential opportunity for improving patients' outcomes through improved management of body temperature. More robust studies, including factorial trials (Olsen et al., 2022; STEPCARE, 2022), are needed to fully characterize the clinical and economic impact of fever and elevated temperature.
Footnotes
Authors' Contributions
T.K., C.N., B.M., and A.P.: Conceptualization, investigation, methodology, visualization, writing—original draft, and writing—review and editing. J.R.S. and M.O.H.: Conceptualization, investigation, methodology, project administration, visualization, writing—original draft, and writing—review and editing.
Author Disclosure Statement
T.K. is an employee of Becton, Dickinson and Company (Franklin Lakes, NJ). J.R.S., M.O.H., and A.P. are employees of Trinity Life Sciences, which was engaged by Becton, Dickinson and Company for the purposes of this research. J.R.S. and M.O.H. hold equity in Trinity Life Sciences. B.M. was an employee of Trinity Life Sciences during this study and is currently employed by Boehringer Ingelheim.
Funding Information
This study was funded by Becton, Dickinson and Company.
References
Supplementary Material
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