Abstract
We evaluated the effect of early use of ribavirin on outcomes of patients at a secondary care hospital. The study included patients who were hospitalized between 2005 and 2010 at the Infectious Diseases Department of Kastamonu Dr. Münif İslamoğlu Hospital in the Kastamonu Province of Turkey. In total, 342 confirmed cases of Crimean–Congo hemorrhagic fever (CCHF) were included in the study. The overall case fatality rate was 2.9%. In multivariate analysis, the patients that were admitted to the hospital within 2 days after onset of symptoms (odds ratio [OR]=0.5, confidence interval [CI] 0.31–0.86) and received oral ribavirin (OR=0.12, CI 0.05–0.26) were less likely to become more severe cases and less likely to be transferred to the tertiary care centers. Having vaginal bleeding was a significant parameter for transfer.
Introduction
C
Methods
This study included patients who were hospitalized between 2005 and 2010 at the Infectious Diseases Department of Kastamonu Dr. Münif İslamoğlu Hospital in the Kastamonu Province of Turkey. Severely ill patients were transferred to tertiary centers according to the regulations of Ministry of Health of Turkey. All of the cases were confirmed by CCHF immunoglobulin M (IgM) positivity and/or PCR RNA positivity. The patients that had onset of symptoms in less than 7 days and had no contraindications received ribavirin. Oral ribavirin was administered at the dosage recommended by the World Health Organization (4 grams once daily [q.d.] for 4 days, 2.4 grams q.d. for 6 days). According to a case management algorithm of the Ministry of Health of Turkey, patients older than 65 years old or severely ill patients were to be transferred to tertiary care centers. The severity criteria were defined as presence of rapid deterioration in clinical status, loss of consciousness, thrombocyte count less than 50,000/ mm3, prolonged activated partial thromboplastin time, and severe co-morbid conditions.
Statistical analysis was performed by STATA v. 11 (College Station, TX). Categorical comparisons were performed by a chi-squared test; if data were sparse, the Fisher test was used. Comparison of the means of continuous variables was tested by the Student t-test; the Kruskal–Wallis test was used for asymmetric distributions. Multivariate analysis was performed for the predictors of transfer of the patients.
Results
A total of 342 confirmed cases of CCHF were included in the study. Overall case fatality rate was 2.9%. The mean of days from tick bite to onset of symptoms and also from onset of symptoms to admission to hospital was longer in transferred group than nontransferred group (Table 1). The signs and symptoms, including vaginal bleeding, were more commonly observed among the transferred group (Table 1). Ribavirin use was less common, but case fatality rate was higher in the transferred group (Table 1). Laboratory records of 122 subjects are presented in Table 2. The patients that were transferred to tertiary centers had significantly lower platelet counts and elevated aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels.
SD, standard deviation.
AST, aspartate transaminase; ALT, alanine transaminase.
In multivariate analysis, the patients that were admitted to the hospital within 2 days after onset of symptoms (odds ratio [OR]=5, confidence interval [CI] 0.31–0.86) and received oral ribavirin (OR=0.12, CI 0.05–0.26) were less likely to become more severe cases and less likely to be transferred to tertiary care centers (Table 3). Having vaginal bleeding was a significant parameter for transfer.
Discussion
Our results from a secondary care hospital clearly indicated that early use of oral ribavirin was beneficial for the patients (Table 3). Our results were not parallel with the results of another study that was published recently, in which the outcomes of 400 CCHF patients were followed at an epidemic center (Duygu et al. 2012). The authors did not administer oral ribavirin to CCHF patients, and they reported that a 5% fatality rate for CCHF could be acceptable. However, in our study, by using earlier ribavirin, the case fatality rate was 2.9%, and the patients that received ribavirin were less likely to be referred to tertiary care centers (OR=0.12, CI 0.05–0.26), which means their condition became less severe. Because both of these studies were performed in epidemic regions, the patients included in the studies have shorter duration from the onset of symptoms to admission than the patients included in studies at tertiary care centers. In the tertiary care center, ribavirin could be given about 4–5 days after the onset of symptoms (Cevik et al. 2008, Koksal et al. 2010). Some of the controversies about the effect of ribavirin arose from different timing of drug use and accordingly different severity of the symptoms (Ergonul 2009).
Ribavirin is still the only antiviral option in CCHF infection according to the studies performed in vitro (Paragas et al. 2004), in a knockout mouse model (Bente et al. 2010), and in some observational studies (Fisher-Hoch et al. 1995, Mardani et al. 2003, Ergonul et al. 2004, Ozkurt et al. 2005). The ribavirin could be more effective at the earlier and viremic phase of infection. Studies from Iran emphasized the prompt treatment with oral ribavirin for decreasing the case fatality among the patients with CCHF infection (Izadi and Salehi 2009, Sharifi-Mood et al. 2009).
The lack of randomization is the main criticism for these observational studies; however, performing a randomized clinical study is not possible because of ethical constrains (Arda et al. 2012). The observational studies could also give qualified information if they could be well designed and if the researchers would be aware of potential confounders (Ergonul 2009).
Conclusions
The patients that were admitted to the hospital within 2 days after onset of symptoms and received oral ribavirin were less likely to become more severe cases and accordingly less likely to be transferred to the tertiary care centers. Vaginal bleeding should be explored carefully, because it is a significant parameter of severity.
Footnotes
Author Disclosure Statement
No competing financial interests exist.
