Some Dangers in Parole Prediction

As prediction techniques are perfected and increasingly used, certain incongruities existing between parole theory and parole prediction may have detrimental effects on parole itself. The inadequacies of substandard parole jurisdictions may become less evident if only good risks are released; challenge to pro fessional skills may be reduced; the administrative advantages inherent in prediction may supersede correctional ends; the principle of individualized treatment may be threatened. The best use to which prediction can be put is in the identification of prisoners whose parole tends to bring this measure into public disrepute.