Abstract
One hundred years ago, J.K. Fotheringham famously derived the “accelerations” of the Sun and Moon from the reports of 11 classical solar eclipses. We review critically the reliability of these eclipse reports and rework his diagrammatic method, treating the deceleration of the Earth’s rotation as an unknown, rather than the “acceleration” of the Sun. There is some serendipity in his choice of the critical eclipses, which opportunely facilitated his derivation of seemingly accurate results for the accelerations.
Introduction
The Oxford scholar John Knight Fotheringham in 1920 published a seminal paper 1 in which he derived what were then termed the “accelerations of the Sun and Moon.” It had been known for some time that without tidal interactions the purely point-to-point gravitational theories of the geocentric motions of the Sun and Moon could not account for their apparent long-term positions. In particular, both longitudes required extra accelerations in order to reconcile reports of the places of ancient eclipses with the calculated tracks of totality or annularity. Fotheringham’s result for these accelerations from a consideration of 11 records of ancient solar eclipses formed the cornerstone of the subject for many years, and attracted much attention among geophysicists, notably in the influential discussion of the Earth’s rotation in the monograph by Munk and MacDonald. 2
Fotheringham’s method entailed finding a linear combination of the unknown solar and lunar accelerations such that the computed resultant range of the paths of total or annular eclipses satisfied the geographical constraints imposed by the historical records. By way of illustrating his method, we consider one of the historical eclipses that Fotheringham analysed. The total solar eclipse of

Two limiting tracks of totality for the eclipse of –762 June 15 that was recorded as occurring somewhere in Assyria, which Fotheringham assumed lay between the N. and S. limits shown in the diagram.

Reproduction of Fotheringham’s diagram showing his solutions for the solar and lunar accelerations derived from classical eclipses. The letter “F” marks his adopted solution.
Figure 2 shows the linear solutions for the 10 classical eclipses that Fotheringham analysed in the period
By “acceleration” he meant the coefficient of
Fotheringham’s result for the “acceleration” of the Sun is now regarded as purely apparent, and the consequence of the deceleration of the Earth’s rate of rotation produced principally by the tidal torques exerted by the Moon and Sun. This deceleration causes the UT scale, based on the period of the Earth’s rotation, to depart from the uniform time-scale Terrestrial Time (TT) by an amount ∆T, measured in seconds of time. The parabolic behaviour of ∆T over the historical period is measured in units of seconds of time per century per century (s/cy2).
In our recent discussion of many eclipses garnered from Babylon, China, ancient Greece, the Arab Dominions and medieval Europe (Stephenson et al.
3
), we found the average parabolic correction to the UT scale to be
Fotheringham’s result for the Moon’s longitude includes the gravitational term
These amended results are quite close to those that are obtained today. For the tidal acceleration of the Moon in longitude, the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) (Folkner et al.
4
) gives us
On this – the centenary of the publication of his paper – we thought it would be interesting to look again at the reliability of the classical eclipses he used, and what degree of serendipity underlies his result.
Fotheringham’s eclipses
Total or near-total solar eclipses are memorable events and many eyewitness reports of them have survived in the extant records of ancient civilisations. The 10 classical eclipses analysed by Fotheringham are listed in Table 1 with his attribute.
The 10 classical eclipses analysed by Fotheringham.
Fotheringham also analysed an 11th eclipse – the so-called eclipse of Theon, identified as that of
The reliability of Fotheringham’s result is dependent on the correct identification of the eclipses in question, and whether they were total or annular in the regions mentioned in the historical reports. Partial eclipses cover too wide a geographical area to be of use in his method of analysis.
We consider each of the eclipses he used in the light of more recent research. In computing the tracks of totality or annularity, the values of ∆T are taken from Morrison et al. 7 It should be noted that these values are derived from a consideration of a wide range of eclipses reported from various civilisations, and, therefore, they are virtually independent of the eclipses under consideration here.
We begin with a detailed investigation of the two earliest eclipses in Fotheringham’s list, which we have not considered in our previous publications, namely;
—1062 July 31? (Babylon)
In his two-volume book, Chronicles concerning Early Babylonian Kings, King
8
edited the Babylonian tablet BM 35968. Volume I, pp. 70–86 has a report of a putative eclipse in column 1 line 14. In volume II, chapter IX (pp. 232–240), he includes some comments on the possible identification of the eclipse from Cowell,
9
who dated the eclipse to –1062 July 31. The tablet has been re-edited in Grayson.
10
The relevant line is translated on page 135:
On the twenty-sixth day of the month Siwan, in the seventh year, day turned to night and [there was] a fire in the sky.
He italicises there was, because the relevant signs cannot be read and this is just his suggestion. The text of the tablet is very incomplete, but the part with this report seems to deal with a king who reigned for at least 17, or maybe 18 years. If the text follows any sequence at all, then the date falls between Nabu-Sumu-libur (
Thus, the conjectured eclipse would have occurred in the period
The eclipse of

The total eclipse of –1011 May 9, showing that the Sun set before reaching Babylon.
These two objections, combined with the fact that
Although Fotheringham did seem to regard this as a reliable and datable observation of a solar eclipse, we discount this eclipse as contributing any useful limits in his diagram.
–762 June 15 (Eponym canon eclipse)
The record of the solar eclipse of
The Chronicle, which covers a period of more than 250 years (from
References to natural events in the Assyrian Chronicle are very rare, and – apart from the isolated reference to the solar eclipse – no astronomical phenomena are cited. Millard
16
translates the brief account as follows: [Eponym of] Bur-Saggile of Guzana. Revolt in the citadel; in (the month) Siwan, the Sun had an eclipse (in-a simani samas attalu istakan).
Points of specific importance are as follows: (1) the magnitude of the eclipse and the place of observation and (2) the year and the month of occurrence. We shall consider each of these issues in turn.
Although the Chronicle makes no mention of the magnitude of the eclipse, its inclusion suggests that it was a fairly striking event. It is the only reference to an eclipse in the entire annals, and occurred when Bur-Saggile was eponym. Fotheringham suggested that the uniqueness of the record implied that the eclipse was total. However, this is no more than speculation. Unfortunately, the precise place of observation of the eclipse is not reported. The capital of Assyria at this period was Assur, but in principle the observation might have been made anywhere in Assyria.
Millard
17
gives a complete list of the names of the Assyrian eponyms and their year of office from
This date is remarkably close to that of the large solar eclipse of
In summary, we confirm the date of the eclipse is
Following the inference by Fotheringham, we assume that the eclipse was total somewhere in the most populous region of Assyria, and we adopt his two boundary geographical positions for Assyria at the epoch of the eclipse (see Figure 1):
The next five eclipses in Fotheringham’s list were investigated in our recent paper Astronomical Dating of Seven Classical Greek Eclipses. 18 We summarise in Table 2 our conclusions in that paper for the dating and area of observation of each eclipse.
A summary of the dating and area of observation for eclipses 3 to 7 of Fotheringham’s list.
These remarks and conclusions are taken from Stephenson et al. 19
The dates are all correct, but the lack of precision in the historical accounts as to where the eclipses were seen, produce a wide range of solutions which either do not fall within the bounds of Fotheringham’s diagram, or at best appear only marginally (Figure 2). They have no affect on his final solution, and we do not consider them further.
–128 November 20 (Hipparchus)
This eclipse was discussed extensively in our paper On the Eclipse of Hipparchus.
20
We concluded that the eclipse that Hipparchus used to calculate the distance of the Moon, was more likely to have been that of

Calculated eclipse tracks for (a) –128 November 20 and (b) –189 March 14.
+29 November 24 (Phlegon)
Eusebius, the fourth century theologian and historian, preserves a record of a very large solar eclipse which occurred early in the first century. Eusebius’ source for this record is an extant fragment from the Olympiads, originally a major work by the second century
And Phlegon who also compiled the “Olympiads” writes about the same things in his 13th book in the following words: ‘In the fourth year of the 202nd “Olympiad” (AD 32-33), an eclipse of the Sun took place greater than any previously known, and night came on at the sixth hour of the day, so that stars actually appeared in the sky; and a great earthquake took place in Bithynia and overthrew the greater part of Nicaea.
Whereas Phlegon only gives brief details about the earthquake, he gives a fairly detailed account of the eclipse, including the time of day and remarks that stars were seen, which is one of the hallmarks of a total eclipse. There can be no doubt that at the place of observation, the eclipse was either total or virtually so. However, there are two main problems with this record. First, there is the question of the date of the eclipse. The only large solar eclipse visible in the eastern Mediterranean for many years around the recorded year (equivalent to
A more serious difficulty relates to the place where the eclipse was actually observed. The track of totality is plotted in Figure 5 with a value of 10,250 seconds for ∆T taken from Morrison el al. 22 As Phlegon asserts, the earthquake which took place around the same time as the eclipse, took place in Bithynia and caused great damage at Nicaea. Fotheringham presumed that Nicaea was the place where the eclipse was seen. However, he felt that this was the weakest presumption in his paper.

The total eclipse of +29 November 24 passing very close to Nicaea in Bithynia.
We assume that the report of totality emanated from somewhere in Bithynia, and adopt the boundary positions of
+71 March 20 (Plutarch)
The last eclipse in his list is discussed in Astronomical Dating of Seven Classical Greek Eclipses, 23 where we conclude that the date is definitely correct and it was observed somewhere in Greece, between Athens and Delphi. Fotheringham adopted a smaller region, stretching from Chaeronea to Delphi. Their positions are listed in Table 3. In Figure 6, we show the track of totality using our best estimate of 9803 seconds for ∆T, taken from Morrison et al. 24
List of critical Greek locations in Figure 6.

The eclipse of +71 March 20, passing over Athens.
Analysis of the eclipses
We repeat Fotheringham’s analysis, but instead of his “acceleration of the Sun” we consider a change of the deceleration of the rotation of the Earth as expressed by the quadratic expression for the correction ∆T to the UT scale. For the tidal acceleration in the Moon’s longitude, we first subtract the latest value of

Two alternative versions of Fotheringham’s diagram, with the parabolic correction to UT due to the Earth’s deceleration in rotation plotted against the tidal acceleration in the longitude of the Moon. The common area of overlap is shown in black. The “Hipparchus” eclipse is identified as: (a) –128 and (b) –189.
In Figure 7(a), the modern solution (
The black triangular area in Figure 7(a) is dependent on the identification of the Hipparchus eclipse with that of the year
Conclusion
Fotheringham’s remarkable result was serendipitous on two counts:
He identified the Hipparchus eclipse as that of
It was also fortunate that he correctly identified the Eponym canon eclipse as that of
Serendipity apart, Fotheringham’s method had the potential to produce good results from the material available to him in 1920.
[… fama semper vivat!….]
Footnotes
Acknowledgements
We thank Christopher Walker, formerly of the British Museum, for providing the possible date span for the putative eclipse of –1062 on Babylonian tablet BM 35968. We also acknowledge HM Nautical Almanac Office and the International Astronomical Union’s Standards Of Fundamental.
