Abstract
Background
Previous studies have correlated the maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) of breast cancer lesions with histological and biological characteristics such as tumor size, histologic grade, or hormonal receptor expression status. However, controversy remains concerning the prognostic value of SUVmax in breast cancer.
Purpose
To determine if the SUVmax of a tumor on 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (18F-FDG PET) is associated with disease-free survival in patients with primary invasive ductal breast cancer.
Material and Methods
The institutional review board of our hospital approved this retrospective study. From 2009 to 2011, 508 women (mean age, 53.6 years; age range, 26–85 years) with newly diagnosed invasive ductal breast cancer who had undergone preoperative 18F-FDG PET/CT followed by surgery were identified. Clinicopathological variables and FDG uptake quantified by SUVmax were analyzed. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to evaluate the association between SUVmax and disease-free survival after controlling for clinicopathological parameters.
Results
There were 21 recurrences at a median follow-up of 46 months. The mean SUVmax of the primary tumor was significantly higher in patients with a recurrence than those who remained disease-free (9.5 ± 3.5 vs. 6.6 ± 4.2, P < 0.001). A receiver operating characteristic curve indicated that a SUVmax of 5.95 was the optimal cut-off value to predict disease-free survival. Multivariate analysis identified a high SUVmax (≥5.95) and high T stage as independent significant variables associated with worse disease-free survival.
Conclusion
A high primary tumor SUVmax on 18F-FDG PET/CT was an independent factor associated with worse disease-free survival in patients with primary invasive ductal breast cancer.
Keywords
Introduction
The advent of mammographic screening in conjunction with therapeutic improvements has led to a significant increase in breast cancer survival over the last few decades (1). Nevertheless, breast cancer is the leading cause of cancer death among women worldwide (2). In addition, locoregional recurrences are unfortunately common in breast cancer and about 20% of patients diagnosed with local disease will develop metastases (3–5). A better understanding of tumor biology is needed to develop rational, individualized treatments.
18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (18F-FDG PET) has the ability to identify the increased tissue glucose metabolism of malignant tumors. 18F-FDG PET is a unique, non-invasive method of tissue characterization that is important for the diagnosis and follow-up of cancer (6). In breast cancer, tumor metabolism measured by maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) varies considerably among primary sites (7). Thus, the relationship between tumor biology and glucose metabolism has been investigated for several years. Some studies demonstrate that the FDG uptake in breast cancers is significantly correlated with traditional prognostic factors including tumor size, histological grade, and proliferation index (8–10). Furthermore, FDG uptake is correlated with tumor subtypes, which are known to be associated with tumor prognosis (11–14). In more recent studies, the association between tumor blood flow and glucose metabolism has been evaluated in patients with breast cancer. These studies have shown that FDG uptake is associated with tumor angiogenesis, as measured by immunohistochemistry bioassay, and suggested that 18F-FDG PET may aid in the development of an optimal biological and functional profile of a tumor as well as individualized breast cancer therapies (15,16).
However, the prognostic value of 18F-FDG PET in predicting clinical outcomes has not been assessed fully (17–20). Therefore, the purpose of this study was to evaluate whether tumor SUVmax on 18F-FDG PET/CT was associated with disease-free survival in patients with primary invasive ductal breast cancer.
Material and Methods
Study population
The Institutional Review Board of our hospital approved this retrospective study, and the requirement for informed consent was waived. A review of medical records from January 2009 to December 2011 at our institution identified 618 consecutive women with newly diagnosed invasive ductal breast cancer who had undergone whole-body 18F-FDG PET/CT for staging and subsequently underwent curative surgery with a clear resection margin. Among these 618 patients, 110 were excluded: 37 women underwent surgical excision or ultrasound-guided vacuum-assisted excision before 18F-FDG PET/CT, 52 had no focal uptake on 18F-FDG PET/CT, 14 had distant metastasis at the time of initial diagnosis, and seven did not have available immunohistochemical data. The remaining 508 breast cancer patients comprised our study population. Of these 508 patients, 351 women had presented with breast symptoms and 157 women had screening-detected cancer. The mean age of the patients was 53.6 years (age range, 26–85 years). The mean interval between 18F-FDG PET/CT and surgery was 14.5 days (range, 2–35 days).
18F-FDG PET/CT
All patients fasted for at least 8 h and had serum glucose levels <120 mg/dL at the time of 18F-FDG injection (5.2 MBq/kg of body weight) and were examined in the supine position with arms elevated. 18F-FDG PET/CT scans were obtained from the skull base to the upper thigh 1 h after an intravenous administration of 18F-FDG using a Biograph instrument (Siemens Medical Solution, Hoffman Estates, IL, USA), which is based on a full-ring PET scanner and a dual-slice helical CT scanner. A CT scan was obtained for attenuation correction (tube voltage 120 kVp, current intensity 80–170 mAs, and slice thickness of 3 mm) prior to the PET scan without the use of contrast agent. A PET scan was then acquired in three-dimensional mode for 3 min per bed position. PET data were obtained using a high-resolution whole body scanner with an axial field of view of 21.6 cm. Attenuation correction was performed for all patients with iterative reconstruction.
The PET/CT images were interpreted by two nuclear medicine physicians (both with more than 10 years of experience in PET/CT imaging) in consensus. Regions of interest were manually placed over the area of maximal activity on slices of the primary breast tumors in attenuation-corrected images, and the SUVmax within the region of interest was obtained. The SUVmax was calculated as follows: SUVmax = maximum activity concentration in region of interest (MBq/g)/[injected dose (MBq)/body weight (g)].
Clinicopathological evaluation
Clinicopathological information, including age, tumor size, axillary nodal status, histologic grade, nuclear grade (assessed using the Elston and Ellis method (21)), and type of surgery, was obtained from electronic medical records or surgical pathology reports. The expression status of the estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) were determined based on the surgical specimen. ER and PR positivity were defined by an Allred score ≥3 (22), which were expressed as the sum of the proportion score and intensity score of positively stained tumor cells, and is in the range of 0–8. The intensity of HER2 staining was scored as 0, 1+, 2+, or 3+ (23). Tumors with a 3+ score were deemed HER2 positive, and tumors with a 0 or 1+ score were deemed HER2 negative. Tumors with a 2+ score were submitted for fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) testing to determine HER2 status. If the ratio of the HER2 score to the chromosome 17 probe signals was greater than 2.2, the tumor was considered HER2 positive.
Breast cancers were classified into four subtypes based on immunohistochemistry or FISH findings of ER, PR, HER2, and Ki-67 as follows: luminal A (ER positive and/or PR positive, HER2 negative, Ki-67 <14%), luminal B (ER positive and/or PR positive, HER2 positive, Ki-67 ≥14%), triple-negative (ER negative, PR negative, and HER2 negative), and HER2 positive (ER negative, PR negative, and HER2 positive) (24).
Statistical analysis
The relationships between 18F-FDG uptake of the primary tumor and the clinicopathological parameters were calculated using the Kruskal-Wallis and Mann-Whitney U test with Bonferroni correction.
The primary outcome was disease-free survival, defined as the time interval from the date of surgery to the date of first disease recurrence. Breast cancer recurrence was defined as the first reappearance, including either local (limited to ipsilateral breast or chest wall and/or axillary, infraclavicular, or supraclavicular lymph nodes) or distant (metastasis to other parts of the body). The last date of data collection was 31 January 2014, and women for whom no event had occurred or who were lost to follow-up were censored accordingly.
The optimal cut-off value was determined using a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to dichotomize SUVmax values for survival analysis. Survival curves were estimated using Kaplan-Meier analysis, and the survival differences were analyzed by the log-rank test. The clinicopathological variables (age, tumor stage, axillary lymph node, histologic grade, nuclear grade, ER status, PR status, HER2 status, and type of surgery) and the SUVmax were analyzed in a univariate analysis of disease-free survival with a Cox proportional hazards model. Variables with P values less than 0.1 in the univariate analysis were entered into the multivariate model for the prediction of outcome.
The SPSS software (version 18.0, SPSS, Chicago, IL, USA) was used for all the data analyses except the ROC curve analysis, which was performed using the MedCalc software (version 10.3.0.0, MedCalc Software, Mariakierke, Belgium). A P value of less than 0.05 indicated statistical significance.
Results
Patients’ characteristics and recurrence outcome
The majority of patients (66.7%, 339 of 508) underwent breast-conserving surgery; the remainder (33.3%, 169 of 508) underwent total mastectomy. None of the patients received primary systemic therapy before surgery. All patients who had breast-conserving surgery received adjuvant radiation therapy. The mean tumor size at surgical histology was 2.5 ± 2.0 cm (range, 0.2–12.5 cm). The mean SUVmax of the 508 tumors was 5.7 ± 3.2 (range, 1.0–24.5). Tumor SUVmax values according to clinicopathological parameter are shown in Table 1. The mean SUVmax values were 5.3 ± 3.0 in luminal A, 7.1 ± 4.3 in luminal B, 9.5 ± 5.2 in triple-negative, 8.1 ± 4.0 in HER2 positive, with significant differences among the groups (P < 0.001) (Table 1) (Fig. 1a).
SUVmax according to tumor subtypes (a) and disease recurrence status (b) using box and whisker plots. Whiskers denote the maximum and minimum data points or 1.5× the intequartile range. Open circles represent outlier and asterisks represent extreme values. Relationship between SUVmax and clinicopathological parameters. ER, estrogen receptor; HER2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; PR, progesterone receptor.
During a median follow-up period of 46 months (range, 16–60 months), 21 patients (4.1%, 21 of 508) experienced a recurrence. There were 10 local, seven distant, and four combined local and distant recurrences. The median disease-free survival was 33 months (range, 10–59 months). Patients with a cancer recurrence had a significantly higher primary tumor SUVmax than those without recurrence (9.5 ± 3.5 vs. 6.6 ± 4.2; P < 0.001) (Table 1) (Fig.1b).
Disease-free survival analysis
The ROC curve demonstrated that a SUVmax of 5.95 was the optimal cut-off for predicting disease-free survival (area under the curve, 0.734; standard error, 0.042) (Fig. 2). Based on SUVmax, patients were divided into two groups, and the disease-free survival was compared between patients with high (≥5.95) and low (<5.95) SUVmax. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis indicated that patients with a high SUVmax (≥5.95) had a significantly lower disease-free survival rate than those with a low SUVmax (<5.95) (P < 0.001) (Fig. 3).
The ROC curve for predicting disease-free survival. Disease-free survival curves of patients according to SUVmax for the primary tumor.

Univariate and multivariate analyses
Univariate Cox proportional hazards analysis of variables with disease-free survival outcomes.
BCS, breast-conserving surgery; ER, estrogen receptor; HER2, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; PR, progesterone receptor.
Mutivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis of disease-free survival outcomes.
ER, estrogen receptor.
Discussion
In this study, patients whose tumors had high FDG uptake on pretreatment 18F-FDG PET/CT, as indicated by a high SUVmax, were at increased risk of cancer recurrence compared to those with low FDG uptake tumors. On multivariate Cox analysis, a high SUVmax (adjusted HR = 5.541, 95% CI = 1.524–20.141, P = 0.009) of the primary tumor was one of the most important independent factors influencing disease-free survival of breast cancer patients, along with high tumor stage (adjusted HR = 3.504, 95% CI = 1.283–9.564, P = 0.014).
Several authors have investigated the usefulness of 18F-FDG PET/CT in predicting the clinical outcomes of breast cancer and proposed several SUVmax cut-off values (17–20). In particular, Ueda et al. separated low SUVmax (≤4.0) and high SUVmax (>4.0) groups in a series of 152 patients (3 ductal carcinoma in situ, 136 invasive ductal carcinoma, 9 invasive lobular carcinoma, and 4 other special subtype), and found that tumors with a high SUVmax had increased 10-year relapse and 10-year mortality rates (17). Song et al. used a SUVmax cut-off of 6.6 in 55 patients with invasive ductal breast cancer (20). However, these previous studies were based on small numbers of cancer cases or tumors of varied histological subtypes. The mean SUVmax of breast cancer is known to differ among histologic subtype, and the histologic subtype of breast cancer is also a prognostic factor (7,10). Thus, we only analyzed tumors from 508 primary breast cancer patients with an invasive ductal subtype and concluded that a SUVmax cut-off of 5.95 was optimal for predicting disease-free survival from a primary tumor. Furthermore, while 18F-FDG PET is not currently recommended for routine use in primary breast cancer (25), at our institution, 18F-FDG PET/CT was routinely performed preoperatively for staging in patients with invasive breast cancer during our study period. Therefore, the strengths of our study were both the large sample size and enrollment of patients with a specific pathology. We believe our study will help to clarify the prognostic utility of FDG uptake for patients with primary invasive ductal carcinoma.
Breast cancer is a heterogeneous disease. Several biological features – such as ER, PR, and HER2 status – are routinely used to identify patients at increased risk of recurrence or those likely to benefit from systemic therapies. Triple-negative and HER2 positive breast cancers have more aggressive biological features and are associated with poor clinical outcomes when compared to luminal subtypes (26–29). In our study, the mean SUVmax values of the triple-negative and HER2 positive breast cancers were 9.5 ± 5.2 and 8.1 ± 4.0, respectively, which was higher than luminal A and luminal B subtypes (5.3 ± 3.0 and 7.1 ± 4.3, respectively). This finding is compatible with a previous report (14) of FDG uptake according to the immunohistochemically defined breast cancer subtypes recommended by the St. Gallen International Expert Consensus (24). In this previous study, triple-negative (9.8 ± 6.0) and HER2 positive (7.4 ± 4.7) tumors had 1.67- and 1.27-fold higher SUVmax values than luminal A (4.7 ± 3.5) tumor after adjustment for confounding factors (14). We believe FDG uptake could be useful in predicting tumor aggressiveness and therefore, tumor prognosis and treatment response may be predicted preoperatively using 18F-FDG PET/CT.
Our study had several limitations. First, this was a retrospective study with a relatively short-term follow-up period (median duration, 46 months; range, 16–60 months). We are preparing a prospective study to confirm the currently reported results, and to determine if preoperative PET/CT has predictive prognostic value. Second, all invasive ductal breast cancers with positive FDG uptake on PET/CT were included in this study, regardless of size. The SUVmax of small tumors may be underestimated due to the partial volume effect (30,31). Finally, we did not evaluate the status of adjuvant chemotherapy or adjuvant hormonal therapy, which could have affected the survival outcomes.
In conclusion, a high primary tumor SUVmax on preoperative 18F-FDG PET/CT and high tumor stage were independent significant factors associated with worse disease-free survival in patients with primary invasive ductal breast cancer. Although a SUVmax cut-off of 5.95 was identified as the most valuable predictive factor in the present study, large, prospective studies with longer follow-up are warranted for confirmation. The results of our study suggest that the SUVmax of a primary tumor could be used as a biomarker for risk stratification of patients with primary invasive ductal breast cancer.
Footnotes
Conflict of interest
None declared.
Funding
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial or not-for-profit sectors.
