Effect of ply level thickness uncertainty on reliability of laminated composite panels

The present study provides a comparative investigation and discussion on the influence of laminate thickness uncertainty on reliability of laminated composite. Laminate thickness uncertainty in three different scenarios is considered: component level thickness uncertainty, fiber-dominated ply level thickness uncertainty and matrix-dominated ply level thickness uncertainty. Monte-Carlo and Markov-chain Monte-Carlo methods are employed to calculate failure probabilities of symmetric and balanced laminate panels bearing uniaxial and multiaxial loads. It is shown that conventional considerations on laminate thickness uncertainty in the component level could underestimate or overestimate the composite failure probability. Ply level thickness uncertainty primarily caused by fiber or matrix quantity may also result in very different failure probabilities. This study highlights the importance of a thorough analysis and classification of the laminate thickness uncertainty in the ply level in order to achieve confident reliability evaluation of composite structures.