Abstract
Objectives
To develop a predictive model for nasogastric tube (NGT) removal and examine survival-related factors among community-dwelling residents.
Design
Retrospective cohort study (2016–2020) using medical records.
Setting and Participants
A total of 255 home care residents with NGTs from a regional hospital in Taiwan.
Methods
This retrospective study was conducted to identify predictors across 30 variables from clinical records and nursing assessments. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models assessed predictors of successful NGT removal, with model performance evaluated using ROC curve.
Results
Key predictors of successful NGT removal (18.0%, n = 46) and 12-month survival were activities of daily living, instrumental activities of daily living, and upper limb strength. Survival was higher in the removal group, and the model showed good accuracy (AUC = 0.811).
Conclusion
This model provides a clinically applicable tool that incorporates functional and medical indicators to assess NGT removal readiness, demonstrating strong predictive validity.
Get full access to this article
View all access options for this article.