Abstract
C-reactive protein (CRP) is an acute-phase protein that is released early in the body’s inflammatory response (Du Clos & Mold, 2004; Pepys & Hirschfield, 2003). Research has identified that CRP is predictive of a variety of chronic and acute health conditions, such as diabetes (Dehghan et al., 2007; Pradhan, Manson, Rifai, Buring, & Ridker, 2001), hypertension (Dehghan et al., 2007), heart failure (Athilingam et al., 2013), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (Broekhuizen, Wouters, Creutzberg, & Schols, 2006), upper respiratory tract infection (Melbye, Hvidsten, Holm, Nordbø, & Brox, 2004), and depression (Danner, Kasl, Abramson, & Vaccarino, 2003; Valkanova, Ebmeier, & Allan, 2013). In general, higher CRP levels are suggested to signal higher inflammatory response.
When activated, CRP induces the synthesis of additional proinflammatory markers, yet some studies have shown that CRP is a more sensitive measure for identifying active inflammation (Frost, Roach, Kushner, & Schreiber, 2005; Sheldon, Riches, Gooding, Soni, & Hobbs, 1993). The assessment of CRP is relatively easy and noninvasive, thus making it a relatively useful indicator of overall physical health (Kao, Shiesh, & Wu, 2006).
In addition to the relationships among CRP and health conditions, researchers have also identified a link between CRP and cognition, with higher levels of CRP being associated with greater decline in various measures of cognitive functioning (Dimopoulos et al., 2006; McGeer & McGeer, 2001; Yasojima, Schwab, McGeer, & McGeer, 2000). However, to the best of our knowledge, no study to date has assessed whether memory decline may reflect subsequent higher levels of CRP, whereby indicating more global, physiological change rather than cognitive decline alone. The notion that memory decline may represent an important indicator of subsequent global health changes has been given more attention in recent research. For example, Terhorst, Holm, Toto, and Rogers (2017) reported that global cognition and executive function predicted mobility difficulties 6 months later. Yaffe et al. (2016) recently reported that steeper trajectories of change in the same domains over about two decades were predictive of a subsequent greater risk of mortality. Finally, Batty, Deary, and Zaninotto (2016) reported that poor performance in executive function, memory, and speed was a significant indicator of early death due to a wide variety of chronic conditions 9 years later.
Building on previous research, the purpose was to use data from the nationally representative Health and Retirement Study (HRS) to conduct an exploratory analysis of the potential relationship between changes in episodic memory, a known early marker of cognitive impairment (Bäckman, Jones, Berger, Laukka, & Small, 2005), over a 10-year period and subsequent CRP levels. It was hypothesized that steeper declines in episodic memory would predict higher levels of CRP. In addition, the interactions among episodic memory and CRP with depressive symptoms (Danner et al., 2003; Valkanova et al., 2013), a greater waistline circumference (Behan & Mbizo, 2007), and the number of health conditions were examined. It was hypothesized that higher depressive symptoms, greater waistline circumference, and increased amount of health conditions would strengthen the association between greater decline in episodic memory and higher CRP levels.
Method
Participants
Data were obtained from 1996 to 2006 biannual waves of the HRS. The HRS is a nationally representative longitudinal panel study conducted at the University of Michigan. The current study included 6,213 participants aged 30 years and older with an average age of 68 years who were predominantly Caucasian and female with at least a high school education. Regarding the number of health conditions, the participants reported, approximately only 14% reported no health conditions, 25% reported one health condition, 26% reported two, and 38% reported three or more. See Table 1 for additional baseline characteristics.
Descriptive Statistics.
Note. N = 6,212. CRP = C-reactive protein.
Measures
CRP
CRP was analyzed by a dried blood spot test to measure the levels of inflammation (Crimmins et al., 2008). The dried blood spot samples were mailed to Biosafe labs in Chicago and the University of Vermont where the assays were completed. Only the 2006 wave included measures of CRP, and these data were included in the analyses.
Episodic memory
Episodic memory was measured by the total amount of words recalled in both immediate and delayed tasks (Ofstedal, Fisher, & Herzog, 2005). Biennial waves from 1996 to 2006 of episodic memory were included in the analysis. To measure a change in cognition, the slope estimates that were saved were subsequently used in multivariate regression models to investigate whether steeper changes in cognition predict levels of CRP.
Covariates
Covariates included age (continuous), gender (male/female), ethnicity/race (Caucasian, African American, or other), education (number of school years), the number of depressive symptoms, waistline circumference (continuous), and the number of health conditions (ordinal). Depressive symptoms were assessed by the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CES-D), an eight-item scale where higher scores indicate more depressive symptoms (Radloff, 1977; Steffick, 2000).
Statistical Analysis
SAS 9.4 software was used to conduct all analyses. The analytical procedure included two steps to examine whether changes in episodic memory predict levels of CRP. First, mixed effects models were used to obtain intercept and slope estimates for episodic memory performance measured biennially between 1996 and 2006. More specifically, a linear model of change was estimated, with the intercept representing levels of episodic memory being set in 2006 and the slope representing changes over the 10-year period. Participants with missing data for episodic memory were excluded from further analysis. A total of 216 participants had missing data for waistline circumference and the sample mean was imputed. Z scores were used to standardize the rate of change in episodic memory and for cognition in 1996. Second, multivariate regression analyses were conducted to determine whether changes in cognition between 1996 and 2006 would predict CRP levels in 2006. In addition, the covariates were examined for any interactions with a change in episodic memory and CRP.
To further examine the rates of declines, a general linear model was conducted to determine group differences in CRP based on the different trajectories of change in episodic memory. Change in episodic memory was categorized based on quartiles values. The first quartile was −0.50 or lower, second quartile ranged from −0.50 to 0.07, third quartile ranged from 0.07 to 0.60, and the fourth quartile was 0.60 and greater. Ad hoc analyses were conducted with Tukey’s HSD (honest significant difference) to determine significant differences among the groups.
Results
Of the 6,213 participants, one was removed due to a coding error in the database for CES-D; thus, resulting in a total of 6,212 participants included for analyses.
Results from the multivariate regression model adjusted for cognition in 2006, age, sex, education, race, depression, health conditions, and waistline circumference are presented in Table 2. These results indicated that a change in cognition over a 10-year period did predict subsequent CRP levels. The rate of change, sex, education, depression, health conditions, and waistline circumference covariates were significant to the model, whereas age, race, and cognition in 2006 were not (Table 2). When examining interactions, there were no significant interactions found among any of the covariates (ps > .05).
Parameter Estimates for Change in Cognition to Predict CRP Levels in a Multivariate Regression.
Note. CRP = C-reactive protein; β = standardized beta coefficient.
To compare the group differences in CRP based on the different trajectories of change in cognition, a general linear model was conducted that adjusted for age, sex, education, race, depression, health conditions, and waistline circumference. There was a main effect for group, F = 26.50, p < .001. Tukey’s HSD post hoc analysis indicated that individuals who had the greatest amount of cognitive decline had significantly higher levels of CRP compared with the two groups that had the lowest amounts of change in cognition (see Figure 1).

Tukey’s HSD post hoc analysis of predicted CRP levels based on the different trajectories of change in episodic memory.
Discussion
The current study examined whether changes in episodic memory over a 10-year period would be associated with a subsequent inflammatory response as assessed by levels of CRP in a nationally representative sample. The results indicated that a steeper decline in episodic memory over a decade prior was associated with greater CRP levels. These findings provide unique evidence suggesting that changes in episodic memory may mark not only oncoming cognitive problems but may also indicate broader physiological changes. The findings support recent research suggesting that cognitive performance and decline reflect the risk of mobility problems (Terhorst et al., 2017) and mortality from a wide variety of causes (Batty et al., 2016; Yaffe et al., 2016).
Previous research has focused on identifying the relationship between CRP levels and subsequent cognitive decline (Bettcher et al., 2012; Dlugaj et al., 2012; Gunstad et al., 2006; Komulainen et al., 2007; Mancinella et al., 2009; Noble et al., 2010; Schuitemaker et al., 2009; Xu, Zhou, Zhu, Fan, & Liu, 2009), finding that a relatively consistent significant association between higher CRP and cognitive decline may exist. Together with the findings reported here, one can assume that the link between cognition and CRP may have important implications for assessing and treating individuals experiencing cognitive decline. Specifically, for individuals coming to memory clinics with complaints about cognitive decline, a comprehensive assessment that goes beyond cognitive assessment may be useful to help identify underlying causes and/or consequences of cognitive decline among older adults.
The strengths of the study included, first, the use of a nationally representative sample to examine the prediction of CRP which allows for greater generalizability, and second, the use of biennial total recall scores over a 10-year period, thus allowing for an examination of episodic memory over time.
The study is not without limitations. First, CRP was the only measure of inflammation, and it is known for CRP to fluctuate for a number of reasons (Du Clos & Mold, 2004; Macy, Hayes, & Tracy, 1997). Given this, it may be that the association between cognition and inflammation would be stronger with a more sensitive and stable measurement of inflammation. However, CRP has been shown to reflect active inflammation (Frost et al., 2005; Sheldon et al., 1993). Further research conducted by Ballou and Lozanski (1992) further found that when CRP levels were equivalent to moderate or severe inflammation, there was a rapid induction of cytokines. However, when there were low levels of CRP, there was a noticeable decrease in the amount of cytokines produced; therefore, supporting CRP as a useful indicator of systemic inflammation.
Second, episodic memory was the only measure of cognition accessed for cognitive decline. At the same time, episodic memory is a well-established early indicator of cognitive impairment, hence making it particularly relevant for this study. As evidenced by a meta-analysis conducted by Bäckman et al. (2005), episodic memory is a cognitive domain that is affected in the early stages of cognitive impairment that precedes a diagnosis of Alzheimer’s disease.
Third, the measure of health conditions was only for 2006. This measure does not allow for the potential changes in the number of health conditions during the duration of the current study. Future studies need to examine the potential changes in the number of health conditions in coordination with changes in CRP.
In conclusion, when examined over a 10-year period, changes in episodic memory were associated with particularly high levels of CRP. It may be that age-related memory decline coincides with a global physiological decline expressed by a heightened inflammatory response, creating a new avenue for a potentially more effective intervention that targets overall health rather than cognition alone. These notions may deserve the attention of future studies.
Footnotes
Declaration of Conflicting Interests
The authors declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Funding
The authors received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
