Abstract
In medical diagnostic studies, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) is a widely used metric that captures a continuous test’s overall ability to discriminate between diseased and non-diseased individuals across all possible cutoffs. However, in practice, disease status is sometimes only partially verified, introducing verification bias that undermines the validity of AUC estimation. While numerous methods address bias correction for AUC estimation, approaches that directly construct confidence intervals for the AUC remain limited. This paper proposes two robust methods for constructing bias-corrected confidence intervals for the AUC under the missing-at-random assumption: one based on bootstrap resampling and the other on empirical likelihood. Both approaches accommodate missing disease verification by leveraging the bias-corrected ROC estimators introduced by Alonzo and Pepe. Extensive simulation studies and real-world data analyses demonstrate that our proposed methods yield valid and precise interval estimates for the AUC under various clinically relevant settings.
Keywords
Get full access to this article
View all access options for this article.
References
Supplementary Material
Please find the following supplemental material available below.
For Open Access articles published under a Creative Commons License, all supplemental material carries the same license as the article it is associated with.
For non-Open Access articles published, all supplemental material carries a non-exclusive license, and permission requests for re-use of supplemental material or any part of supplemental material shall be sent directly to the copyright owner as specified in the copyright notice associated with the article.
