Abstract
India and Africa have experienced the rapid expansion of bilateral trade during the last two decades. The India–Africa trade is understudied in general and in the agriculture sector. Very few considerable efforts have been made to study the agro-trade restrictions between both the economies. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to empirically identify the recent evidence of non-tariff measures (NTMs) imposed on the agro-products between India and Africa, which also work as non-tariff barriers. It is perceived that India being one of the frequent users of NTMs in the world poses many challenges for its trading partners. Based on the Revealed Trade Barrier (RTB) index, using 28 agro-products (HS-4 digit level), this paper assesses bilateral agro-trade barriers. The frequency index (Fi) and coverage ratio (Cr) were used to analyse the complex nature of NTMs. The study findings show that both trading partners imposed a wide range of NTMs on each other’s agro-products, which resulted in the discriminatory effects on trade. Comparatively, India has imposed the lesser number of NTMs on Africa’s agro-products. Despite the recent bilateral trade agreements between both the economies, trade barriers were frequently noticed. The paper suggests applying strategic trade policies and reduction of NTMs along with harmonisation of standards to flourish the bilateral agro-trade.
Introduction
The current world trade regime is not free from protectionism. India and Africa have gone through a rapid expansion of bilateral trade during the last two decades. Both the countries being agrarian societies have strong complementarities in the agriculture sector and apply a diversity of approaches to combat the current developmental issues. Agriculture is an important component of ‘policy priority’ in both the countries. Real growth in Africa’s agriculture sector began with the process ‘globalisation in reverse’ post 2007–08 crises. India too experienced tremendous growth in agriculture post-1960s and economic reforms in 1991. The current debate continues for both the economies to take maximum comparative advantages in agro-trade and diversify their production and to move towards quality improvements in exports for building the trade-growth nexus. Despite tariff reductions worldwide, the recent substantial escalation of non-tariff measures (NTMs) has severely affected the India–Africa international trade. The role of NTMs in the India–Africa trade is unavoidable and has a deep impact on each other’s growth. NTMs are one of the multi-faceted challenges of agriculture and remain a task to judge whether the measures imposed were legitimate or not. Dubey (2016) contended that India is one of the emerging players with a competitive edge, which aims to diversify its economic linkages in Africa and raised the question whether Indian multinationals would be successful in raising Africa’s agriculture sector. For the mutual growth of both the economies, India may leverage its growth strategies and experiences and help in Africa’s development. India’s valuable input can escalate Africa’s strategic interests. On the other hand, Africa too provides a growing platform for India’s investments. Such forward-looking agendas and emerging outreach can definitely synchronise mutual trade and investment.
Literature Review
Desai (1972) studied the India–Africa trade over the period 1960–69 and identified that India mostly exported traditional products such as tea, cotton and spices to Africa. He also suggested that India may engage in trade with developing African countries with diverse exports and attain mutual benefits. Vink (2000) highlighted that there has been paucity of research on the issues related to Africa’s trade. Amanda et al. (2015) stated that both the countries aim to build economic diplomacy with each other. They also analysed the India–Africa trade for 2005–11 and argued that Africa’s export to India remained low overall except with few countries such as South Africa and Nigeria. Martin (2008) studied Africa’s global trade over the period 1948–98 and interpreted that India has emerged as a strong competitor for South Africa’s trade and investment. Naidu (2008) presented the pattern of India–Africa trade over the period 1999–2006 and regarded Africa as a ‘strategic market’. Flames (2011) pointed out that India and South Africa produce similar goods and share confined complementarities and stressed on the promotion of trade facilitation. Sandrey et al. (2011) studied the agro-trade of South Africa over the period 1970–74 and 2006–08 and concluded that the impact of trade liberalisation on South Africa was still unexplored. Roy (2012) highlighted that tariffs and NTMs have reduced the bilateral agro-trade of India–Africa and discussed few measures by which Africa could increase her economic prospects by following the developmental models of India and reduce tariff barriers. In a study conducted by Confederation of Indian Industry and World Trade Organization (WTO 2013), it was highlighted that during 2005–11, NTMs such as standards and technical regulations were one of the major factors which have hindered African exports to India. Folashadé (2013) studied the India–South Africa trade over the period 1995–2002 and argued that protectionist barriers such as tariffs from India have restricted the South Africa’s agro-trade. ASSOCHAM (2015) highlighted that African countries applied mostly pre-shipment inspection measures to restrict the imports of India. It also emphasised on bringing regional co-operation, developing proper regulatory procedures and promoting trade partnerships to achieve more mutual benefits in the agriculture sector. Sidiropoulos and Alden (2015) argued that India’s trade with Africa has increased at both bilateral and multilateral levels with the initiation of the India–Africa Forum Summit (IAFS). Bestbier (2016) while studying non-tariff barriers (NTBs) in South Africa found that India restricted South Africa’s apples imports through 40 per cent import duty. Mullen and Arora (2016) studied the India–Africa trade over the period 2009–15 and discussed the achievements of IAFS and recent developmental programmes. Dubey and Biswas (2016) argued empirically that India was a bigger player than Africa and explained that India’s regular involvement offers economic development to Africa. They also contended that both trading partners have actively participated in developing their trade policies and other trade negotiations at the WTO. Alden and Verma (2016) emphasised that India’s exporters faced many obstacles in making investments in African markets due to the lack of capital resources, business environment and investment agreements. Gieg (2016) discussed that India has attained momentum in trade and investment with Africa and become a ‘decisive emerging power’ in Africa’s international relations and posed challenges for China, which has been ahead in trade with Africa due to earlier liberalisation policies compared to India. Kumar (2017) studied the India–Africa trade over the period 2007–16 and suggested that the Continental Free Trade Agreement (CFTA) and the ‘Asia Africa Growth Corridor’ (AAGC) initiative may bring mutual benefit and synergy for both the partners. It will also generate more market access and reallocation of resources. Mishra (2018) studied the India–Africa trade over the period 2005–15 and analysed the role and impact of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCTA). He also pioneered that African government must work to eliminate and harmonise tariffs and NTBs. It was further suggested that India’s integration effects in Africa may bring the long-term economic growth.
Although there have been few considerable efforts to analyse the India–Africa trade, most of the literature focused on the impact of tariffs and very scarce on NTMs. Against this background, and considering the growing incidence of imposing NTMs, it is necessary to examine the effect of NTMs on the bilateral agro-trade of India and Africa. This research contributes to expand literature by providing empirical analyses of the effects of NTMs on the agro-trade between both the trading partners. The study mainly addresses two research questions: first, what role NTMs play in the bilateral agro-trade of India–Africa? Second, are the NTMs imposed legitimate or justifiable?
Data and Methodology
Unavailability of data is one of the major constraints in the study of NTMs. Till today, UNCTAD TRAINS NTMs is regarded as the major database to study NTMs. The measures are collected from official sources, national trade sources of given countries and different regulations. As a part of qualitative research, trade relations of India–Africa were studied over the period 2010–16 and the cases of bilateral agro-trade restrictions were compiled from the UNCTAD database. For this, it used the approach of content analysis. For the quantitative research, the study calculates the Revealed Trade Barrier (RTB) index to analyse any trade restrictions between both the trading partners. For this, 28 agro-products of the HS-4 digit level were considered for calculations. The study also uses frequency index (Fi), coverage ratio (Cr) and prevalence score (Ps) to highlight the pattern of NTMs in India and selected African countries. Data were taken and compiled from institutional bodies such as Agricultural and Processed Food Products Export Development Authority (APEDA), World Trade Organization (WTO), International Trade Centre (ITC) Database, etc.
Revealed Trade Barrier Index
This index shows that what degree of a commodity’s share of imports in the import basket from a country is larger or smaller than the share of total imports of that commodity in partner country’s total import baskets (summed over all products) (Kalaba et al. 2005). In other words, it shows whether import of a particular commodity from a country is relatively more or less important compared to partner country’s total imports from all sources of that commodity. It is estimated using the following formula:
where Mjik is country j’s import from country i of product k. If the ratio is less than 1, it may be concluded that India is exporting a commodity more to the rest of the world than to African countries possibly due to the trade barriers in Africa. For the calculation of this index, the HS-4 digit classification products were considered since the HS-6 digit data were unavailable.
The frequency index indicates the presence or absence of an NTM and summarises the percentage of products to which one or more NTMs are applied. The frequency index of different agro-products is calculated as
where D is the dummy variable reflecting the presence or absence of one or more NTMs on good i. M indicates whether there are imports of good i, and is also a dummy variable. A low ratio implies that NTMs are less restrictive and vice versa.
The coverage ratio is the ratio of imports that face NTMs to the value of total imports. It shows the percentage of imports that are subject to one or more NTMs:
where D is defined in the same way as the frequency index. V represents the value of imports of product i. Thus, the frequency index and the coverage ratio are dealt in general in the agriculture sector. This provides the incidence of NTMs and estimates the impact on trade flows.
The prevalence score shows the average number of NTMs (N) affecting the imported product (M):
Non-Tariff Measures: An Introduction
Addressing the issues and challenges of trade is not a new phenomenon. For many years, trade among the countries remained restrictive. Governments induced restrictions or barriers on the international trade to protect their domestic market. These trade barriers, mainly tariffs and NTBs, were detrimental and decreased the overall economic efficiency. Tariffs restricted imports by increasing the price of the imported product and protected the domestic products from foreign competition. Post-1990s, tariff reductions worldwide resulted in continued protectionism through the intense use of NTBs or NTMs to affect the cross-border trade. As per the UNCTAD (2012), ‘NTMs are the policy measures other than ordinary customs tariffs that potentially have an economic effect on the international trade in goods, changing quantities traded or prices or both’. NTMs are broadly categorised as technical and non-technical measures. Technical measures include sanitary and phytosanitary measures (SPS), technical barriers to trade (TBT) and pre-shipment inspection. Non-technical measures include intellectual property rights, rules of origin, distribution restrictions, finance measures, etc. NTMs affect trade more ambiguously than tariffs. Different views are present in favour of NTMs which include from protecting domestic exporters to concerns for human life and so on. They are used with trade-distortive and trade-protective intent. NTMs such as standards are crucial factors which create disputes as well as improve food safety systems. They act as barriers as well as catalysts and severely affect the high-value exports of different countries. Exporting countries have to comply with a wide range of requirements such as technical regulations, product standards, customs procedures, etc. Despite the widespread use of NTMs, its effects on the international trade are still understudied. NTMs have become an important agenda from the perspective of meeting economic development, competitiveness and global demand. The effects of NTMs on the agro-trade are still understudied due to its non-generalised diverse impact. In the recent decade, market access in trade depends to a large extent on how trading countries manage NTMs and comply with different regulatory measures.
India–Africa Trade Relations
Africa has gone through a rapid structural transformation in the last decade. Although it is highly dependent on the international aid, it has started promulgating its trade. Africa faces the challenges of food security. It is also prone to critical poverty due to unfavourable trade policies and mounting debt burdens. Africa is not well-equipped in complying with the SPS and TBT measures of developed countries in the agriculture sector. The international trade is a principal source of revenue for Africa and tariffs and NTBs have played a major role in creating trade impediments. Meyersfeld and Meyersfield (2008) argued that factors such as tariffs, dumping and subsidies have severely affected Africa’s agriculture sector. Wood and Mayer (2001) advocated that Africa possessed capability to produce more returns through increased exports in the world market. Taylor (2014) based on the GDP data, regarded Africa as ‘the next Asia is Africa’. In a study done by ECA and OECD (2015), it was pointed out that reducing trade barriers and facilitating trade has been one of the top commitments of Africa which was well powered by establishing the Continental Free Trade Area [CFTA]. Jensen and Sandrey (2015) also pioneered that eliminating tariffs and NTBs in the intra-African trade has a positive impact on trade.
Africa is the next frontier in the economic growth. It is an average trader that needs to draw attention to bring competitiveness and export diversification and liberal trade regimes. Some African countries have high chances to benefit from trade openness in spite of practicing high trade protection. It depends a lot on the other advanced countries that how Africa can achieve more opportunities through international trade.
On the other hand, India has experienced a paradigm shift in its trade right from the economic reforms in 1991. Remarkable changes have occurred in the international trade where India has also embraced new market strategies for building the two-way trade in the multilateral trading system. Still, a huge trade gap prevails between India and its few trading partners. India has made strenuous efforts to develop the agriculture sector. But bans on agro-products cause harm to farmers as well as the traders. India is regarded as a new influential power in the global arena. As a commitment to the WTO, it actively participates in the world trade but its shares are low compared to the developed countries. Anti-dumping duties and import bans are also highly frequent here. NTMs are one of the major factors behind its low growth and trade. Unprecedented and unforeseen growth in NTMs can be found in India where developed countries have highly restricted India’s agro-products especially horticultural products. Food security agendas such as implementation of safety standards result in high costs making India’s agro-trade sensitive. Thus, there is an urgent need to take NTMs vigorously and maintain consistency as per the WTO guidelines.
As per the data available from APEDA (2018), in 2016–17, among all the African countries, India imported maximum pulses (value USD 303.31 million) from East Africa followed by cocoa products (USD 2.49 million) and fruits and vegetables seeds (USD 2.02 million). From North Africa, pulses (USD 71.99 million) were also highly imported followed by other fresh fruits (USD 60.46 million). From West Africa, top imports were cocoa products (USD 33.02 million) followed again by pulses (USD 8.97 million). From Central Africa, pulses (USD 54.92 million) again remained as the top exports followed by the cocoa products (USD 4.47 million).
Table 1 shows that during the period 2010–16, India has exported the maximum agro-products to West Africa. The exports increased from USD 183.71 million in 2010 to USD 1277 million in 2016. During the same period, the exports to East Africa grew from USD 89.96 million to USD 424.68 million. India’s exports to Central Africa increased from USD 6.13 million in 2010 to USD 34.53 million in 2016.
Table 2 shows that India’s agro-imports were maximum only from East African countries during the period 2010–16. Imports from the other African countries were very low. The value of agro-imports from West Africa was USD 31.36 million in 2010 which increased to USD 108.02 million in 2011 but decreased to USD 40.01 million in 2016. The value of the agro-imports from North Africa grew from USD 23.14 million in 2010 to USD 117.49 million in 2016 but that of the agro-imports from South African Customs Union decreased from USD 66.52 million to USD 15.84 million during the same period.
India has engaged in many trade agreements with Africa and liberalised many of her tariff lines as duty free for African countries. India started a programme named Duty Free Tariff Preference (DFTP- LDC) in 2008 which was also revised in 2014. It was a big booster for creating low tariff lines. In a report prepared by Afreximbank and Exim India (2018), it was reflected that few African countries were unaware of the DFTP scheme which resulted in restrictions in exports into India.
India’s Exports of Agro-Products to Africa (USD, Million)
India’s Imports of Agro-Products from Africa (USD Million)
Table 3 provides the list of selected trade agreements between India and African countries and their impact on the agro-trade. Many trade agreements were framed to strengthen the trade relations between these two trading partners. The first trade agreement between India and any African country was with Cameroon which was signed on 22 February 1968. Further, agreements were also signed with Ghana, Mauritius, Senegal, South Africa, Zimbabwe, etc. These agreements mainly focused on the trade promotion where emphasis was given on increasing the agro-trade of products such as cereals, tea, coffee, cotton, spices, vegetable oils, etc. It also aimed to create mutual trade benefits and the removal of trade barriers. It was also found that regular Memorandum of Understanding (MoUs) is being signed for encouraging bilateral trade. One such MoU was made between India and Mozambique for the trade of pulses. It can be inferred that government of both the countries view trade as an extremely important factor for prosperity but NTMs have severely affected the economic growth and reduced the trade volumes.
Impact of Trade Agreements on Agro-Trade Between India and Selected African Countries
NTMs in India–Africa’s Agro-Trade
NTMs have a more trade-inhibiting impact than the tariffs in the India–Africa trade (Kareem 2016). A report by Afreximbank and Exim India (2018) analysed that infrastructure deficit in African countries has increased the NTMs and transaction costs for Indian exporters. UNCTAD (2018) illustrated that quantitative restrictions in agriculture are prevalent in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) which is mostly applied by Nigeria.
Table 4 shows the trend of NTMs in India and selected 33 African countries in general over the period from December 2000 to 30 June 2018. India is one of the frequent users of NTMs and is the champion country in using anti-dumping (AD) measures in the world to restrict trade. India used more AD measures compared to 33 African countries together (336 AD** measures compared to Africa’s 62). India has also used more quantitative restrictions (59 measures) compared to Africa (50 measures). Africa on the other hand has used maximum technical measures, for example, 515 SPS and 2703 TBT measures compared to India (220 SPS and 125 TBT measures). Africa also widely uses the tariff rate quota and export subsidies.
Trend of NTMs Imposed by India and Africa in the World from 1995 to 30 June 2018 (in No.)
2 Data of the period from December 2000 to 30 June 2018 were analysed.
Table 5 depicts the three NTM indicators for India and Africa. The frequency ratio shows the presence or absence of an NTM or the percentage of the products subject to NTM. The coverage ratio shows the percentage of imports subject to NTM and the prevalence score shows the average number of NTMs applied to a product. It is inferred from Table 5 that among African countries, Nigeria has used maximum NTMs in order to restrict the international trade in general as well as in the agriculture sector. Other countries applying most NTMs are Algeria, Liberia, Tunisia, etc. In the case of India, the frequency index and the coverage ratio in agriculture were found to be very high (96 and 100 per cent) respectively and the prevalence score was 4.2 per cent.
NTM Scores of India and African Countries 2018
Table 6 elaborates the trade restrictions imposed by African countries on India’s agro-products. Few African countries such as Guinea, Ivory Coast, Liberia of Republic, Mauritania, Morocco, The Gambia and Tunisia have actively restricted India’s agro-products through different measures. Phytosanitary certificates are the major root cause behind the rejection of consignments and trade prohibitions. Seychelles demanded certificates for the import of India’s fresh tomatoes into the country. This was also followed by Guinea, Ivory Coast and Mauritania. The presence of any pest in India’s agro-imports has been taken seriously by African countries. Thus, the standards have diminished India’s trade with African countries. It was noticed that with the imposing of a measure, trade of the particular product was not conducted. In the case of rice, the scenario was quite different. Guinea had imposed a pre-shipment inspection on rice imports of India into the country in 2011. The concern was taken seriously by India and the required necessary step was taken. This did not reduce the trade in the next subsequent years to Guinea. But, the measure had curbed the trade of other products such as wheat, sugar, etc., to Guinea.
Trade Restrictions Imposed by African Countries Against India’s Agro-Products
It was evident from Table 7 that trade restrictions were also imposed by India on African countries’ agro-products. India has applied SPS measures and required Africa’s agro-products to be treated with methyl bromide fumigation (MBF) prior to imports. India had also significantly affected Chile’s agro-imports. It restricted alcoholic beverages, fruits, vegetables, etc., and notified labelling requirements for Chile’s products. A dramatic decline can be noticed in Chile’s exports due to imposing of NTMs. For example, the value of Chile’s exports of apples (HS0808) to India was USD 12442 in 2008 which increased to USD 36246 in 2014 but when India imposed a TBT measure in 2015, during the same year, Chile’s exports decreased to USD 15232. This figure later increased to USD 17330 in 2017. Thus, a significant consequence of NTMs can be seen here. India also restricted the agro-products of countries such as Algeria, Egypt, Mauritius, Morocco, Nigeria, South Africa, etc. SPS have curtailed the exports of many agro-products for African countries to India.
Trade Restrictions Imposed by India on African Countries’ Agro-Products
Table 8 highlights the RTB value of 28 agro-products (HS-4 digit level) between India and all the African countries. For many agro-products, the values obtained were both zero and one. The value less than one indicates the presence of trade barriers in the importing country. The products such as live horses (HS0101), meat of bovine animals (HS0202), live fish (HS0301), potato seed (HS0701), tomatoes (HS0702), cabbages (HS0704) and wheat (HS1001) obtained value zero. This shows that India is exporting these commodities relatively more to the rest of the world than to African countries possibly due to the presence of trade barriers in Africa. But, the RTB results for cocoa (HS1803) has increased from 1.13 in 2010 to 10.44 in 2017. This shows that the product has high export potential in Africa and is free from any trade barrier. It is important to note that cocoa is also one of the top products exported by India to East Africa and Central Africa. Other products where the RTB value was high are cloves, whole fruit and stems (HS0907). The calculated value was 2.74 in 2010 which increased to 12.70 in 2016. Coconut (HS0801) also had the value more than one during 2010–2017. It was 10.29 in 2010 which increased to 11.31 in 2014 and 11.97 in 2017. This gives the sign of high demand and almost no trade restriction in Africa. The RTB value obtained for India’s horticultural products such as citrus fruits fresh or dried (HS0805) was 4.93 in 2010 which reached to 12.70 in 2016. This may probably be due to the impact of rainbow revolution (for fruits). The value for cotton and cocoa was also more than one which may be due to silver fibre revolution and brown revolution in India. But, still trade barriers from Africa can be found in many agro-products such as maize (HS1005), cane or beet, sugar (HS1701) wine of fresh grapes (HS2204), etc.
RTB Index Between India and Africa (in %)
Analysis and Discussion
India and Africa are two major consumer markets. Economic liberalism in both the countries needs to be designed in such a way that they fully avail the comparative advantages and factor endowments. India and Africa have high levels of trade protection which severely leads to economic distortions. Eliminating NTMs as well as NTBs should be the top priority. For this, government has to proactively participate and create enabling environment which can bring structural transformation. Today, there are two important agendas which both the trading partners must consider seriously. First, the reduction of NTMs and second the transparency in NTMs. International agreements play a crucial role in NTMs reduction because if both the trading partners come to any agreement, they also agree to comply with the different obligations of the institutional bodies such as the WTO. But, in the real world, practices found are quite different. Despite the strict norms adopted by India to promote food safety and health standards, defects persist in India’s packaging norms, which results in trade rejections by the outside foreign market due to inefficiency in complying with the international standards. This definitely decreases the export potential of exporters. To avoid such contaminations, many rules and regulations are continuously being made and awareness is created. In this regard, Indian government bodies such as APEDA have also made positive interventions for creating regular awareness among the exporting communities for the promotion of India’s agro-trade. It is essential for Africa as a participant for the globalisation process that whether it wants to continue engaging in global trade or become an investment destination for others or be a self-sufficient player in the international trade. SPS measures are the most crucial factor for the export loss of many agro-products in Africa. Thus, it can be interpreted that when NTMs would be eliminated and necessary negotiations would be made, the trade between India and African countries would flourish.
India has become an important export destination for South Africa in many products. The exports from South Africa to India increased from 5168 Rm in 2006 to 17996 Rm in 2008 (International Trade and Economic Development Division 2010). South Africa is regarded as a ‘predominantly modern market’. Edwards and Alves (2006) consider South Africa as a ‘competitive, outward oriented economy’. Kirsten et al. (2007) argued that trade restrictions were present in South Africa’s agro-trade since 1994 where wide tariff rates were fixed but later quantitative restrictions and price control measures have replaced tariffs. High Commission of India Pretoria, South Africa (2019) also described that India had imposed embargo with South Africa in 1946. Later, it started trade with the country from 1993. Further, regular visits were made by both the government authorities to promote and foster trade and cooperation in different agendas. Further, IBSA was formed on 6 June 2003 and BRICS in 2011. Many agreements were made and priority sectors were identified for the growth between both the trading partners. Agriculture was also a key area in this. This can be seen through a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) on Cooperation in the Field of Agriculture and Allied Sectors which was signed on June 2010. Then, Harshe (2012) also highlighted that the high tariff barriers between India and South Africa have reduced trade and stressed to increase the strategic partnership through taking the lessons from each other’s strengths. Harshe (2010) argued that India’s consistent trade relations with South Africa will help India to access other Southern and West African countries. Oliver (2013) explained how South Africa was included in BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) and emphasised that India has rapidly increased her presence in Africa. Ofodile (2011) endorsed on the role of India and South Africa as major players in the global trade and investment in the international arena. Ekor et al. (2015) calculated the average trade intensity index (TII) between India and South Africa and concluded that India had the highest trade intensity in BRICS.
In order to encourage the South–South trade, a trilateral partnership named India, Brazil and South Africa (IBSA) was also created on June 2003. On 12 September 2018, a MoU was signed between India and Egypt over the mutual co-operation in different segments of agriculture and allied sectors which included food safety and food security. Upfront investments in agriculture in both the countries can create good will in long term. Revitalizing agriculture to bring transformational change is an important phenomenon. Building agricultural infrastructure can definitely catalyse the productivity. India may leverage its growth strategy and experiences and help in Africa’s development. India’s valuable input can escalate Africa’s strategic interests. On the other hand, Africa too provides a growing platform for India’s investments. Such forward-looking agendas and emerging outreach can definitely synchronise both trading partner’s trade and investment. Different trade initiatives were also started from time to time for making sound strategy in lieu of trade and investment. Puri (2007) suggested for a trilateral approach comprising convergence, co-operation and collaboration to combat the barriers related to standards between India, Brazil and South Africa. He also favoured that economic integration is the right direction to dismantle SPS and TBT issues to bring a positive change in the trade.
Agriculture is an emerging sector of co-operation between both the countries. India’s imports from African countries have been confined to selected countries. There is a need to overhaul the production capacity of African countries in order to increase the exporting capability and benefit from India as a favourable export destination (Mohanty and Chaturvedi 2008). Forward-looking comprehensive reforms should be brought in Africa by India by engaging in different trade agreements and providing other trade preferences. Reduction of NTBs followed by the tariff liberalisation will create a win-win situation for both the trading partners (Dash 2014). It is difficult to fully eliminate NTMs because they are important from the point of sustainable development and food safety. But, the trade costs emerging out of these NTMs can be reduced through adopting regulatory mechanisms and mutual recognition by both the trading partners. African countries should try to converge towards the adoption of international standards in the agro-products which will bring competitiveness in their firms and help in market access. At the same time, they should develop a mechanism to find out the most appropriate level of protection which they may impose so that the trade does not become distortive (UNCTAD 2018). Panagariya (2003) had also given a very interesting conclusion in the paper entitled ‘International Trade’ that a ban or restriction is not a solution to combat the environmental effects emerging due to the international trade. Instead, new environmental policies should be embedded in the trade policies which must fulfil the economic objectives and must not harm the environment. Chakrabarty (2017) had also suggested that India must implement proactive initiatives based on the priority areas in lifting Africa’s food insecurity. For example, Indian seed companies can provide seeds to African producers and help in increasing the agricultural production level in the continent.
Further, in a report by the World Bank (2000), it was suggested that African countries should participate in multilateral negotiations in agriculture and dismantle restrictive trade measures. Draper et al. (2006) argued that India can pose threat in the tea trade for South Africa when negotiating for a free trade agreement. India also has a stiff competition in the cotton trade. Mpinganjira (2012) also emphasised that African countries should negotiate preferential trading agreements and take advantage of India’s increasing exports though diversification.
Conclusion
NTMs have become complex and pervasive tools to address legitimate concerns, which sometimes become illegitimate. This study has used the theoretical literature as well as economic analysis from the RTB index to interpret the expanding role of NTMs in the agro-trade between India and Africa. This research solves the first question and shows that NTMs play a crucial role in the bilateral trade of India–Africa. India’s rich agro-trade potential shows a positive trade with Africa in products such as spices, horticultural products, cocoa, cotton, etc. The volume of agro-trade from India to African countries had increased but agro-trade from Africa to India had declined (Tables 1 and 2). Trade relations between both the trading partners in recent times have been strengthened where creating trade agreements has an appealing impact on the externality of the agro-trade (Table 3). It is significant to analyse whether NTMs are being reduced or increased. India has been a champion user of anti-dumping measures in the world till date, whereas African countries prefer to apply mostly technical measures (Table 4). There are also opportunities present for both the trading partners in many agro-products to benefit from the trade agreements followed by the mutual reduction of NTMs. The agriculture sector is highly protected through NTMs by many African countries such as Nigeria, Benin, Burkina Faso, Liberia, etc. India has also high agriculture protection through different NTMs (Table 5). Africa has restricted India’s many agro-products imports into the country (Table 6). On the other hand, India has also restricted the agro-products of Africa (Table 7). The results from the RTB index clearly show the complex nature of trade practices in the recent times (Table 8). The continuous use of NTMs by few African countries such as Ivory Coast, Guinea, Mauritania and Chile shows that NTMs has become a major tool to restrict the trade.
Africa used NTMs to ensure the safe agro-imports into the country and protect the domestic trade within the continent. Similar conditions prevail in India too but rapid trade liberalisation has improved trade linkages with African countries. Based on the number of trade restrictions imposed by both the trading partners on each other’s agro-products, it is difficult to say for the second research question whether the NTMs imposed on the agro-products were legitimate or justifiable since both the trading partners are on the way to achieve excellence in economic growth by protecting their domestic production. This problem can be solved by reducing the frequent application of NTMs and applying the strategic policy to a large extent. Also, transparency in NTMs must be a major concern. Both the trading partners may benefit by engaging in extensive trade through creating a favourable trading environment and value-added production. NTMs are not of recent origin between both the trading partners. It is the high time to develop and strengthen economic relations by mutual reduction of NTMs. This will have profound effects on providing opportunities for expanding foreign markets and bringing economic integration between both the trading partners. Thus, if both the trading partners try to take preventive lessons from now onwards, it would flourish trade and investment in a balanced way.
Market access, productivity enhancement, conformity assessment and favourable trade environment must be given top priority to strengthen the India–Africa trade ties. Since Africa has become more structured and institutionalised than before, it can take lessons from India to achieve food security and become an emerging partner in the global agriculture sector in the twenty-first century. Recent improvement in the India and South Africa trade also offers an interesting insight in trade openness. Lastly, the paper suggests for evolving strategic trade policies and offering distinctive opportunities to exploit agro-trade potential in India–Africa. The increase in India’s investment may also boost the multilateral trade with African countries. Given the complexity of global trade, the scope of future research resides in evaluating trade restrictions between India and a particular African country with the major focus on the study of NTMs in the non-farm sectors.
Footnotes
Acknowledgements
The authors are highly thankful to the anonymous reviewers for providing useful comments and suggestions for improving the paper. They also acknowledge the previous comments provided by Dr Fabio Gaetano Santeramo, Assistant Professor of Agricultural Economics (University of Foggia, Italy), on the paper.
Declaration of Conflicting Interests
Results and conclusions reached are those of the authors’ and do not represent of any other.
Funding
This work was supported by the University Grants Commission (UGC) Doctoral Fellowship, India.
