The Crime Reduction Programme began in April 1999 and was largely finished by March
2002. It went through a number of major changes. It also incorporated an ambitious
initial evaluation component and a range of forms of evaluation activity. This
article traces the changing theories in and of the programme as a whole and the
changing forms of evaluation that were conducted under its auspices. It attempts to
explain how and why the programme metamorphosed and how and why provisions for
evaluation activity evolved as they did. It tries to distil realistic lessons for
the conduct of informative evaluation in the context of large-scale government
programmes. It also attempts to locate the potential for realist evaluation within
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