Abstract
Multiple randomized controlled trials and observational studies have demonstrated that estrogens reduce the risk of osteoporotic-related fractures, including hip and vertebral and nonvertebral fractures, in postmenopausal women. However, many clinicians have concerns about adverse effects of estrogen, particularly those related to breast cancer and cardiovascular disease (CVD). The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) was concerned about the negative impact that their “black box warning” was having on the use of estrogen products. In November 2025, the FDA removed the “black box warning” on estrogen products, arguing that in 30 trials with 26,708 women participants, menopausal hormone therapy (HT) was not associated with increased cancer mortality. In fact, women who start HT before age 60 appear to have a decreased mortality risk. The present manuscript discusses the biologic effects of estrogens on bone, and its efficacy and safety. Although it is generally accepted that knowing the circulating estradiol (E2) concentration in a patient is not essential to initiate treatment for osteoporosis prevention, E2 testing can still play an important role in the treatment process. A number of studies have reported threshold E2 concentrations for preventing postmenopausal bone loss and osteoporosis. However, most studies that have reported these threshold concentrations utilized inaccurate E2 assay methodology and, therefore, the conclusions are not valid. An accurate representation of the risk and benefits of estrogen therapy to women in menopausal transition and postmenopausal women is fundamental to improving their care, quality of life, and health.
Introduction
Osteoporosis is a common bone disease that is characterized by loss of bone mass and structural deterioration of bone tissue. Osteoporosis has significant physical, emotional, medical, and financial consequences. Fractures related to osteoporosis can lead to diminished quality of life, disability, and even death. Also, the loss of height, deformity of the spine, or prolonged immobilization due to osteoporotic fractures often have adverse consequences, leading to feelings of anxiety or depression. 1 In addition, direct and indirect costs of osteoporosis and the associated fractures are huge. In a study by Lewiecki and coworkers in 2019, annual fractures among U.S. women were projected to increase from 1.9 to 3.2 million (68%) from 2018 to 2040, with related costs rising from $57 billion to over $95 billion. 2
Prevention of osteoporosis and its increased fracture risk prior to the need for treatment is a clinical priority. A recent publication reported that among women ≥65 years osteoporosis drug treatment (ODT) fill rates increased significantly between 2011 and 2022 from 36.3% to 50.1% in women without fragility fractures and from 30.8% to 43.7% in those with fragility fractures. 3 Similar trends were observed in women aged 50-64 years. Bone resorption inhibitors such as bisphosphonates are used for the prevention and treatment of osteoporosis and denosumab for treatment of osteoporosis. A rare complication of bisphosphonates and denosumab is an atypical femoral fracture. 4 In addition, each of these 2 medications has been reported to cause osteonecrosis of the jaw. 5 The risk of developing either of these two rare adverse effects increases with increasing time of bisphosphonate administration. Although the serious adverse effects of denosumab are considered to be rare, our experience is that many patients are apprehensive about using it because it is administered long-term by injection. Prevention of osteoporosis and fracture risk with estrogen use is an alternative to prevention with bisphosphonates, the goal being avoiding potential osteoporosis treatment.
Over 75 years ago, it was reported that osteoporosis in postmenopausal women is largely the result of the significant decrease in estrogen production following menopause, and that treatment of postmenopausal women with estrogen was efficient to maintain bone mass and thus reduce fracture risk.6,7 Since that time many studies have shown that lack of estrogen in postmenopausal women is associated with bone loss and consequent osteoporosis, and researchers have proposed mechanisms by which estrogen prevents bone loss.
Multiple randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and observational studies have demonstrated that estrogen alone or combined with a progestogen, to prevent endometrial cancer, reduces the risk of osteoporotic-related fractures, including hip, vertebral, and nonvertebral fractures. 8 A meta-analysis of 13 RCTs, carried out during the years 1990-2001, in which postmenopausal women were randomized to at least 12 months of hormone therapy (HT) or no HT, showed that there was an overall 33% reduction in vertebral fractures with HT use. 9 Also, a meta-analysis of 22 RCTs, carried out during the years 1993-2001, in which postmenopausal women were randomized to at least 12 months of HT showed an overall 27% reduction in nonvertebral fractures. 10 A subsequent meta-analysis of 28 RCTs, 9 of which were carried out after 2001, involved studies on the effect of HT on bone fractures. 11 The duration of the studies was 0.5-15 years. The results consistently show that HT is associated with a reduced risk of total, hip, and vertebral fractures. The authors of the study pointed out that in sensitivity analysis, the first arm of the large-scale, randomized, prospective, placebo-controlled Women’s Health Initiative (WHI) trial accounted for a significant weight in the meta-analysis. 12 In that arm, in which women were treated with an estrogen plus a progestin and compared to a placebo group, it was shown that bone mineral density (BMD) increased, and the risk of fractures was reduced. 13 In a subsequent second arm of the WHI trial, in which the women received estrogen alone, the fracture risk was also reduced significantly. 14 In a longitudinal observational study of 80,955 postmenopausal women using HT for 2.5 years of follow-up, women who discontinued HT had significantly increased risk of hip fracture and lower BMD compared to women who continued taking HT. 15 The protective effect of HT with hip fracture disappeared within 2 years of cessation of HT.
Estrogen therapy, either oral or transdermal, alone or in combination with a progestogen or bazedoxifene, is approved by the FDA for the prevention of postmenopausal osteoporosis. According to the latest HT statement of the Menopause Society, 16 initiating systemic HT is an appropriate therapy to protect against bone loss in women younger than 60 years or within 10 years of menopause onset, in the absence of contraindications. This recommendation differs from that stated in the guidelines of the Endocrine Society and Bone Health and Osteoporosis Foundation in which estrogen therapy and selective estrogen receptor (ER) modulators (SERMs) are recommended only in selected populations or circumstances, owing to adverse effects of the treatment. 17
The fear about adverse effects of HT stems mostly from large RCTs that reported excess cardiovascular and/or breast cancer risks from HT use. The findings of the WHI trial have been given prominent consideration of the overall risks and benefits of HT because it is the largest RCT of HT in postmenopausal women aged 50-79 years. The conjugated equine estrogen (CEE)/medroxyprogesterone acetate (MPA) arm of the WHI trial was terminated in 2002 after a median of 5.6 years after the data and safety monitoring board concluded that the evidence for breast cancer harm, along with evidence for some increase in coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, and pulmonary embolism (PE) outweighed the evidence of benefit for fractures. 12 Also, the CEE arm of the trial was terminated in 2004 after a median of 7.2 years, primarily owing to an increase in stroke risk. 14 After release of the WHI findings, many postmenopausal women stopped taking HT and many clinicians stopped prescribing it because of the perceived increased risks reported by the WHI investigators. By 2003, use of HT in postmenopausal women in the U.S. was reported to have dropped by an estimated 25% to 70% compared to levels in 2000-2001 before the WHI trial. 18 However, subsequent findings from reanalysis of data and postintervention follow-up involving studies of HT and cardiovascular disease (CVD) as well as breast cancer have provided a better understanding of the risks and benefits of HT. As such, major medical societies now recommend HT in appropriate patients for management of menopausal symptoms and prevention of bone loss. 19
Although experts on bone health in women believe that measurement of estradiol (E2) levels is not important in managing menopausal HT for preventing osteoporosis because FDA-approved estrogen treatment doses that work for bone protection are known, there is still interest in determining a cut-off value for circulating E2. 20 Since there has been a trend to use lower E2 doses for HT, the clinical need for knowing the E2 concentration for a bone density response is highly desirable. It is accepted that there is a dose response effect of HT for prevention of bone loss, for both oral and transdermal delivery, with lower doses having an impact. 21 However, individuals may vary in their absorption and metabolism of estrogen, necessitating the determination of E2 concentrations for clinical management. Studies over the past 30 years or so have not established a valid threshold E2 concentration to protect against osteoporosis. Notable limitations in those studies include insufficient numbers of study participants and use of inaccurate E2 assays.
The focus of this paper will be to review the importance of estrogen in preventing bone loss and consequent osteoporosis in postmenopausal women. The following topics will be addressed: 1) biology of bone; 2) estrogen signaling in bone; 3) effect of exogenous estrogens and progestogens on bone; 4) safety of HT use regarding breast cancer and CVD risks; 5) minimum effective E2 dose for preventing osteoporosis, and the challenges of determining a reliable E2 threshold.
Biology of bone
Bone is composed of approximately 60% minerals, 30% organic matter, and 10% cells. 22 Ossification occurs through the action of 3 types of cells, namely osteoblasts, osteoclasts, and osteocytes.22,23 Osteoblasts are bone-forming cells that account for 4-6% of bone cells, whereas osteoclasts are responsible for bone resorption and represent <1% of bone cells. Osteocytes are the last stage of osteoblastic differentiation and account for about 95% of bone cells. These 3 cell types are involved not only in ossification, but also in the growth, modeling, and remodeling of bones.
Bone growth occurs at the epiphyseal plate where the cartilage continues to grow by mitosis until osteoblasts move in and ossify the matrix to form bone. 24 This process continues throughout childhood and the adolescent years until the cartilage growth slows down and finally stops, usually in the early twenties. 24 At that time the epiphyseal plate completely ossifies and bone can no longer grow in length. The growth process of bone is under the influence of the GH/IGF axis and sex steroid hormones. Estrogens have a biphasic effect on long bone development. 25 They induce long bone development at low doses but promote epiphyseal closure and stop further growth with higher doses. 26 The absence of estrogen is associated with unfused growth plates and intermediate growth.27,28
Mature bone consists of 2 types of tissue: cortical bone and trabecular bone, which represent 80% and 20% of the skeleton, respectively. 25 Cortical bone comprises the compact external wall of bone and the diaphysis of long bones. In contrast, trabecular bone constitutes the end of long and flat bones and is made up of interconnected trabeculae surrounded by bone marrow.
Bone modeling determines the development and maintenance of bone shape during skeletal growth. 25 It begins from the start of fetal bone formation and continues into old age, albeit comprising only a small percentage of total bone formation. 29 Peak bone mass is achieved by the end of skeletal development. It was shown that peak BMD occurs between 20.5-23.6 years in females. 30
In contrast to bone modeling, bone remodeling is a life-long process in which old or damaged bone is replaced with new bone by a sequence of cellular events that occur on the surface of bone, without any change in bone shape. 23 For many years, a 2-stage process was considered to be responsible for bone remodeling. This process involved bone resorption by osteoclasts followed by bone formation with osteoblasts to achieve a net mass bone equilibrium upon physiological maturity of bone. 31 However, recent findings have shown that bone remodeling is a physiological process that involves a continuous flow of cellular signaling and connected events, and not a process comprising discrete stages as has been represented historically. 23 The recent discoveries indicate that bone cells participate in the basic multicellular unit responsible for bone remodeling by interacting simultaneously and at different stages of differentiation with their progenitors, other cells, and matrix constituents.
Osteocytes play a master role in bone remodeling. 23 It has been estimated that the human skeleton contains about 42 billion osteocytes. 32 Osteocytes have a stellate body connected by multiple slender, long, neuron-like dendrite processes that project through the lacunar canalicular system in bone. 22 These cells translate external signals, such as hormonal changes and mechanical stresses, into alterations in bone remodeling by secreting paracrine-acting factors that regular osteoblast and osteoclast activity. 33 In addition, the osteocyte network of dendrites allows for extensive communication among osteocytes and adjacent cells on bone surfaces. 34
It has been estimated that the human skeleton contains 23 trillion osteocyte connections with each other and bone surface cells. 35 During aging, this network deteriorates. A large and linear reduction in dendrite number and bone mass has been observed throughout aging. 36 It has been suggested that dendrite loss may contribute to diminished osteocyte viability.
Estrogen signaling in bone
In postmenopausal women with osteoporosis, rapid bone loss results from an increase in bone turnover with an imbalance between bone resorption and bone formation. Estrogen is critical for regulating bone remodeling and skeletal homeostasis. Although the cellular mechanisms by which estrogen acts on bone are still controversial, recent evidence shows that estrogen regulates bone turnover primarily by modulating the expression of the receptor activator of NF-κB ligand (RANKL) via estrogen receptor (ER)α-mediated signaling. RANKL is an essential cytokine for the differentiation, activation, and survival of osteoclasts. 37 RANKL acts through the receptor RANK, which is expressed in the cell membrane of osteoclast and osteoclast precursor cells. 38 It has been shown that the increase in bone resorption found in states of estrogen deficiency in mice is caused mainly by lack of ERα-regulated suppression of RANKL expression in bone lining cells. 37
In addition to upregulation of RANKL expression by estrogen to inhibit osteoclast formation and bone resorption activity, various other mechanisms involving estrogen that may contribute to the imbalance of bone remodeling have been proposed. Estrogen can also activate Wnt/β-catenin signaling to increase osteogenesis, and to upregulate bone morphogenic protein (BMP) signaling which promotes mesenchymal stem cell differentiation from pre-osteoblasts to osteoblasts. 39 In addition, estrogen deficiency leads to an increase in interleukin (IL)-7 which promotes the activation of T cells. 39 These cells then induce pro-inflammatory molecules such as IL-1, IL-6, and tumor necrosis factor (TNFα), resulting in osteoclast formation. Interference in these signaling pathways inhibits the maturation of osteoblasts and increases osteoclastogenesis, resulting in excess bone resorption relative to bone formation, and eventually osteoporosis.
Effect of exogenous estrogens and progestogens on bone
Numerous RCTs, including the Women’s Health Initiative (WHI) and the Postmenopausal Estrogen/Progestin Interventions (PEPI) trial have established that estrogen attenuates or prevents the decrease in bone density in postmenopausal women, resulting in a lower risk of fracture.12,14,40–44 The WHI trials provide the best randomized prospective evidence that estrogen reduces fracture risk in the general population. In the two WHI trials, it was shown that fracture risk is reduced by both combined CEE (0.625 mg) + MPA (5 mg) 12 and unopposed estrogen (0.625 mg CEE). 14 The estrogen + progestin cohort experienced low hip fracture rates (10 per 10,000 person-years vs. 15 per 10,000 person-years in the placebo group). The observed hip and clinical vertebral fractures in the treatment group were reduced significantly by one-third compared to placebo. Also, the reduction in other osteoporotic fractures (23%) and total fractures (24%) were statistically significant. Treatment with CEE alone reduced the fracture risk significantly by 30-39%. The rates were 11 vs. 17 for hip and clinical vertebral fractures, and 129 vs. 195 for total osteoporotic fractures per 10,000 person-years.
It is important to realize that postmenopausal women with a uterus require addition of a progestogen when using estrogen treatment in order to prevent endometrial hyperplasia and endometrial cancer. However, there are limited data on effects of progestogens used for HT on bone; this includes the progestogens combined with an estrogen, namely, MPA and progesterone. In one study, 45 it was shown that, compared to placebo, MPA reduced the rate of loss in cortical areas of the skeleton, but not in the spine, in postmenopausal women. In the same study, CEE reduced the rate of bone loss in both cortical and trabecular areas of the skeleton. In contrast, clinical investigations of the effect of progesterone on bone have been inconclusive. 46
Safety of HT regarding breast cancer and cardiovascular disease risks
As women reach menopause, the dramatic decrease in circulating estrogen concentrations affects almost all organ systems, including urogenital, reproductive, cardiovascular, neurologic, skeletal, dermatologic, immune, and digestive systems. 47 It is clear from the basic science literature that ERs are found in those organ systems and that they are associated with uncountable beneficial actions in both women and men, even as they age. Lack of estrogen can have a profound effect on organ systems, resulting in an overall negative impact on the quality and quantity of life of women. Because estrogen and ERs are critical to the functioning of many systems of the body, there is great utility in replacing the decreased supply of estrogen in postmenopausal women.
During the past 60 years or so, controversies have arisen regarding the safety of estrogens for treatment of postmenopausal women. 48 However, data from RCTs and observational studies during the past 25 years have provided us with valuable information regarding their safety, including their effects on breast cancer and CVD risks, which are discussed below.
Breast cancer
Breast cancer has elicited the greatest concern among women anticipating HT. The WHI trials and their initial conclusions and subsequent analyses are a reference point for discussion and subsequent research. In the WHI estrogen-alone trial, 10,739 postmenopausal women with prior hysterectomy were randomized to CEE (0.625 mg) alone or placebo and followed for clinical outcomes. Invasive breast cancer, the primary safety outcome for this trial, was identified at a nonsignificant 23% lower rate in the CEE group than in the placebo group (hazard ratio (HR)=0.77; 95% CI, 0.57-1.06). 14 This finding was unanticipated because the preponderance of observational studies carried out prior to the WHI trials reported a modest increase in breast cancer risk with estrogen alone. However, extended follow-up of the trial with CEE alone showed that after a median follow-up of 11.8 years, the use of CEE alone was associated with a significant lower invasive breast cancer risk (HR=0.77; 95% CI, 0.62-0.95). 49 Furthermore, in the most recent WHI report after more than 20 years of cumulative follow-up, a significant decrease (28%) in invasive breast cancer incidence continued for postmenopausal women with prior hysterectomy in the CEE-alone group (HR=0.78; 95% CI, 0.65-0.93; P=0.005). In addition, the decrease was associated with significantly reduced breast cancer mortality (HR=0.60; 95% CI, 0.37-0.97; P=0.04). 50
In a narrative review, five smaller clinical RCTs were evaluated on the effect of CEE alone on breast cancer incidence. 51 The combined results had a RR of 0.61 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.34-1.09; P=0.15), and when these results were combined with the WHI CEE-alone data, the relative risk (RR) was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.64-0.93; P=0.01). The authors of the review concluded that serial reports of consistent favorable breast cancer findings through 20 years of follow-up suggest that use of CEE alone initiates changes that persist. 51 They also concluded that after full consideration of risks and benefits, evidence from RCTs provides reassurance for postmenopausal women with prior hysterectomy who are considering estrogen alone therapy for management of climacteric symptoms.
Estrogen treatment of postmenopausal women with an intact uterus requires addition of a progestogen to prevent endometrial hyperplasia. The breast cancer risk from using a combined hormonal regimen of estrogen and progestogen continues to be studied for clarification of the progestogen impact. Prior to the results of the first arm of the WHI RCT in 2002 in which women used CEE plus MPA, 12 case-control studies and cohort analysis showed that estrogen plus progestin use increased breast cancer risk. 52 In the WHI trial, there was a 26% increase in invasive breast cancer risk in the CEE/MPA group compared to the placebo group, which did not reach statistical significance (HR=1.26; 95% CI, 1.00-1.59). The HR for invasive breast cancer of 1.88 (95% CI, 1.11-1.48) reached statistical significance during post-intervention and cumulative follow-up of 13 years. 53 Also, breast cancer mortality significantly increased through 11 years of follow-up. Subsequently, a long-term follow-up of 20 years of the trial showed that randomized use of CEE plus MPA continued to be significantly associated with breast cancer risk compared to placebo (HR=1.28; 95% CI, 1.13-1.45). 50 However, there was no significant difference in breast cancer mortality between the two groups, even though there were more deaths in the CEE/MPA group. 52
It has also been shown that in both WHI trials, women younger than 60 years had a more favorable benefit-risk ratio than women aged 60-79 years. 54 This was attributed primarily to lower absolute risks of adverse events and lower HRs for several clinical event outcomes, including invasive breast cancer, in younger women compared to older women. A recent pooled cohort analysis included 459,476 women aged 16-54 years (mean, 42 years) of whom 8,455 developed young-onset breast cancer before age 55 years, with a median follow-up of 7.8 years. 55 Overall, 15% of the women reported using either unopposed estrogen or estrogen-progestin HT. The results showed that use of estrogen alone was associated with a decreased young-onset risk of breast cancer and estrogen-progestin was associated with higher young-onset breast cancer incidence among women with an intact uterus and ovaries. These findings largely parallel results from studies discussed above in older women using HT.
On November 25, 2025, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in the United States (US) announced the removal of black box warnings from estrogen products used for HT, following a comprehensive review of scientific literature and recommendations from experts. 56 The black box warning is the strictest prescription drug safety warning issued by the FDA. It was first implanted for estrogen in 2003 following the results of the WHI study, which at that time suggested a potential increase in risks for breast cancer and CVD. The decision comes after more than two decades of misinformation and concerns regarding the safety of estrogen therapy for postmenopausal women. The FDA also stated that the benefits associated with HT may include a reduction in risk of bone fractures by 50-60%, CVD by 50%, and Alzheimer’s disease by 35%.
Findings from the WHI trials regarding increased breast cancer risk in CEE/MPA users are largely in agreement with two large observational studies, namely the Collaborative Group on Hormonal Factors in Breast Cancer 57 and The Million Women’s Study. 58 However, it is important to realize that younger women in the CEE/MPA group of the WHI trial had a nonsignificant HR for risk of invasive breast cancer and even in the older women the absolute risk was relatively small. The most recent position statement of the Menopause Society 16 concluded that the attributable risk of breast cancer in the women randomized to the CEE/MPA arm of the WHI trial was similar to the risk reported with obesity and low physical activity.
In addition to age impacting breast cancer risk, the use of MPA in one of the WHI trials and the differential effects of progestogens has become an area of focus. MPA is a synthetic progestogen (progestin) in contrast to progesterone, which is made in the body and is therefore a natural progestogen. A systematic review and meta-analysis that included two cohort studies and one population-based case-control study, consisting of 86,881 postmenopausal women with a mean age of 59 years and follow-up range of 3-20 years, showed a decreased risk of breast cancer associated with the use of progesterone compared to a progestin when each was combined with an estrogen.59,60 The type of progestogen used modulates the estrogen effect and breast cancer risk is thus impacted by the formulation used. 61
Cardiovascular risk
Based on data showing a beneficial effect of HT on osteoporosis, CHD and mortality from several observational studies and meta-analyses in the 1980s, HT was recommended by the American College of Physicians to be used as a prevention strategy in menopausal women.62–66 Although HT showed a beneficial effect on CHD in healthy postmenopausal women (primary prevention), HT did not reduce CHD events in postmenopausal women with established coronary disease, therefore HT was then not recommended for the purpose of secondary prevention of CHD in postmenopausal women. 65
Discrepant results of previous observational studies on the protective effect of HT on CHD in younger menopausal women vs. the increased risk of HT on CHD among older menopausal women in the WHI trials suggested that the discrepancy may be due to different ages of the menopausal women at the time of HT initiation. Using the cut-point of 60 years of age or 10 years since menopause, several meta-analyses reported an association between HT and CVD risk by time since menopause. These are the ages at which women are more likely to seek HT for menopausal symptoms. A 2006 meta-analysis of 23 RCTs, including the WHI trials, showed that HT significantly reduced CHD events in younger women (OR=0.68; 95% CI, 0.48-0.96), but not in older women (OR=1.03; 95% CI, 0.91-1.16). 67 Another meta-analysis in 2015 demonstrated that HT significantly reduced the risk of CHD in early postmenopausal women (<10 years since menopause or <60 years old (OR=0.70; 95% CI, 0.52-0.95), while it had no significant effect on CHD in late postmenopausal women (≥10 years since menopause or ≥60 years old (OR=1.06; 95% CI, 0.95-1.18). 68 In addition, HT significantly reduced all-cause mortality if initiated in early postmenopausal women.67,68 These data are consistent with the Danish Osteoporosis Prevention Study (DOPS), a prospective randomized open label study among women with an average age of 50 years. DOPS showed that HT significantly reduced all-cause mortality, and hospitalization for myocardial infarction or heart failure (HR=0.61; 95% CI, 0.39-0.94) compared to women with no HT treatment. 69
Evidence of the different HT effects on CHD and mortality led to the HT timing hypothesis, which postulates that women respond to HT based on the timing of HT initiation, relative to age and/or time-since-menopause.70,71 The Early Versus Late Intervention Trial with Estradiol (ELITE), a randomized, double-blinded placebo-controlled trial, specifically designed to test the HT timing hypothesis in relation to atherosclerosis progression, measured with carotid intima media thickness, in postmenopausal women, showed that HT had a differential effect on atherosclerosis progression by time since menopause (interaction p=0.007). 72 While HT significantly decreased atherosclerosis progression in early postmenopausal women (<6 years since menopause), it had no significant effect on atherosclerosis progression in late postmenopausal women (≥10 years since menopause). 73
A subgroup analysis of the WHI study showed that risk of stroke related to HT in younger menopausal women was rare (<10/10,000 person-years). 54 The association between either CEE plus MPA or CEE alone with stroke was not statistically significant in women aged 50-59 years. A recent 2020 meta-analysis of RCTs and observational studies reported an overall increased risk of stroke and venous thromboembolism (VTE). 74 However, in a stratified analysis, null effects were shown for HT initiated fewer than 10 years after menopause or at an age younger than 60 years on stroke (HR=1.33; 95% CI, 0.91-1.93) and on VTE (HR=0.69; 95% CI, 0.25-1.93).
It is important to realize that in all the studies just discussed regarding the effect of HT on CHD and stroke outcomes, the route of administration of HT was oral. The route of estrogen delivery plays an important role, as a substantial number of studies report that transdermal estrogen does not lead to thrombotic risk in contrast to oral estrogens. 75 Administration of estrogen orally increases the estrogen-sensitive hepatic proteins considerably during the first hepatic pass. The hepatic proteins include clotting factors which could increase the risk of thrombosis.
Application of findings from HT/breast cancer and cardiovascular risk studies to clinical practice
The findings just described from the studies on the effect of breast cancer and CVD risk are consistent with the Menopause Society position statement regarding use of HT in postmenopausal women. 16 They state that the benefit-risk ratio is favorable to initiate treatment for vasomotor symptoms (VMS) and to prevent bone loss with HT for women who are younger than 60 years or are within 10 years of menopause onset and have no contraindications. The benefit-risk ratio appears to be less favorable in women over 60 years of age or more than 10 years from menopause onset, because of the greater absolute risks of CHD, stroke, VTE, and dementia. Nevertheless, some investigators believe that initiating HT only for women who are within 10 years of menopause or under age 60 years is too restrictive, and denies many women the benefits of HT, especially regarding bone health. 76
Commonly used estrogen formulations and doses used for postmenopausal hormone therapy.
Guideline discrepancies
There is diversity among the current guidelines from the Endocrine Society, the Bone Health and Osteoporosis Foundation, the UK National Health Service, and other groups’ recommendations for bone density testing in women. The guidelines for all groups have similarly changed over the years as there is less emphasis on bone density testing primarily in women over 65 years of age. The recommendations of the various groups are now centered on identifying osteoporosis risk factors in younger menopausal transitional women.
The Endocrine Society recommends screening all postmenopausal women aged >50 years of age for osteoporosis risk using patient history and physical examination, followed by a risk assessment tool like FRAX. If there is an elevated risk, a DXA scan is appropriate. 77 The UK National Health Service recommends women with increased risk be considered for bone density assessment. Their risk factors include having had a broken bone with minor trauma; a health condition such as arthritis; taking glucocorticoids for 3 months; having had early menopause or ovaries removed before age 45; a history of smoking or drinking heavily; a family history of osteoporosis; having widely spaced periods for more than 1 year; or having a BMI <21. 78 The Bone Health and Osteoporosis Foundation recommends DXA screening in postmenopausal women aged 50–69 years based on risk profile, and in postmenopausal women aged ≥50 years with a history of adult-age fracture. 79
Given that estimates indicate that 50% of women aged over 50 years of age will experience an osteoporosis-related fracture and that there will be a doubling of the number of people with osteoporosis in the next 20 years, 80 guidelines for more inclusive criteria for measurement of bone density in menopausal transitional women are needed.
Minimal effective estradiol dose for preventing osteoporosis
It is generally accepted that estrogen treatment for preventing bone loss and osteoporosis should be based on clinical status, age, medical and surgical history, and bone density findings in postmenopausal women. Experts on bone health in women believe that measurement of E2 levels is not important in managing menopausal HT for the prevention of osteoporosis because the estrogen doses that work for bone protection are known for FDA-approved formulations. Neither the Menopause Society nor the Endocrine Society in the United States recommend checking circulating E2 concentrations related to bone health.16,81
Although knowing the serum E2 concentration in a patient is not essential to initiate treatment, E2 testing can play an important role in the treatment process. This is especially important to identify and guide dose customization in women who absorb E2 poorly. E2 tests can also be useful when the clinical response to estrogen treatment is suboptimal to determine whether a change in formulation is likely to be beneficial. In addition, a cornerstone of menopausal HT, endorsed by authoritative bodies such as the Menopause Society and the American College of Obstetrics and Gynecology (ACOG), is the principle of using the minimal effective dose of a drug for the shortest duration of time to achieve treatment goals.16,82 This principle emphasizes a careful titration process of the drug, in which a health care provider assesses an individual’s symptoms, health history, and response to treatment. A standard dose can be a starting point for titration.
Over the past 33 years or so, a number of studies have reported threshold circulating E2 concentrations for preventing postmenopausal bone loss and osteoporosis. An often-cited study on this topic was carried out by Reginster and coworkers in 1992. 83 In their study, 158 postmenopausal women received estrogen therapy for at least 6 months; the estrogens used were 0.625 mg/day oral CEE (N=35); 1 mg/day oral E2 valerate (N=14); 2 mg/day oral E2 valerate (N=18); 2 mg/day oral estriol hemisuccinate (N=45); and 1.5 mg/day percutaneous E2 gel (N=46). A single blood sample was obtained for measurement of serum E2 concentrations using a commercial direct radioimmunoassay (RIA) (without a preceding purification step). In addition, a spot urine sample was obtained for measurement of biochemical parameters reflecting bone resorption, specifically the calcium/creatinine ratio and hydroxyproline/creatinine ratio. Women with serum E2 concentrations between 60-90 pg/mL had a significant reduction in both ratios when compared to lower E2 concentrations. The authors concluded that a significant reduction in bone resorption is achieved when E2 concentrations reach a value of 60 pg/mL, and they considered this value to be the minimum serum E2 concentration to prevent postmenopausal bone loss. The study by Reginster and coworkers 83 has major deficiencies that notably include an insufficient number of serum samples obtained in each group, use of an inaccurate assay to measure E2, and use of biochemical markers of bone.
Minimum E2 concentrations to prevent osteoporosis in postmenopausal women have been proposed in other studies over the last 33 years or so. They include E2 concentrations of 40-50 pg/mL, based on data obtained from two different studies on the pharmacokinetics of E2 following transdermal application of two different E2 patches.84,85 However, there is insufficient evidence in the two studies to support the proposed threshold concentrations. Similarly, a recently proposed serum E2 threshold value of >54 pg/mL for bone protection was not supported by sufficient evidence. 20 To date, there is no study supporting a valid concentration of circulating E2 to protect against ongoing bone loss and osteoporosis. This is especially important in the young premature ovarian insufficiency patients who are treated with high doses of estrogen. They sometimes do not tolerate the recommended estrogen doses and would benefit from more intense evaluation of the dose needed based on their circulating estrogen levels.
Despite the limitations in studies attempting to determine a cut-off value for circulating E2 to prevent osteoporosis, the trend to use lower E2 doses for HT means that the clinical need for establishing a bone density response is highly desirable. A reliable E2 assay is crucial because it would be incorporated into management discussions regarding the efficacy of estrogen formulations being used.
It is well recognized that direct E2 immunoassays overestimate E2 measurements in serum because they do not utilize a preceding purification step (e.g., organic solvent extraction, chromatography) to remove potential E2 metabolites that may cross-react with the E2 antibody in the assay. 86 E2 can theoretically be converted to over 100 metabolites (including unconjugated, sulfated, and glucuronidated estrogens), many of which have been identified. This is evident in postmenopausal women using exogenous estrogens; serum E2 levels can be overestimated by as much as 10-fold. 87 It is also well known that direct E2 immunoassays lack the sensitivity to measure E2 reliably in baseline postmenopausal serum samples (<10 pg/mL) obtained from postmenopausal women and women using low-dose transdermal E2 formulations (≤0.0375 mg/day). The limit of quantitation in most direct E2 immunoassays is 10-20 pg/mL. It is important for clinicians to know that a direct E2 immunoassay may give misleading results because it lacks specificity and sensitivity. It is now well accepted that mass spectrometry assay methodology is the gold standard for accurate measurement of E2. If an E2 immunoassay must be used, it should be standardized using an E2 mass spectrometry assay. This can be done by submitting serum samples to the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) Hormone Standardization Program. 88 The CDC evaluates the accuracy and precision of the results and technical assistance is offered to resolve potential problems.
In addition to use of inaccurate assays in studies attempting to obtain threshold E2 levels, a major limitation is use of biochemical markers of bone resorption. Showing a reduction in these markers is not evidence that an estrogen dose prevents bone loss, especially when these markers are non-specific and imprecise. What is needed is a comparison of serum E2 levels with their effect on BMD. It has been shown that increasing serum E2 levels in postmenopausal women are positively correlated with BMD. 89
Limitations of review
While this review provides a comprehensive analysis of estrogen’s role in postmenopausal bone health, several limitations must be acknowledged. A primary challenge lies in the significant variability across studies, particularly regarding HT formulations, delivery methods, and the timing of intervention. This heterogeneity complicates establishing a universal minimum effective dose for E2, as individual metabolic responses and baseline BMD vary widely across postmenopausal populations. In addition, bone metabolism is a complex process influenced by a myriad of other factors, such as vitamin D status, parathyroid hormone (PTH) signaling, and lifestyle variables that were outside the primary scope of this review.
Conclusions
It is now well recognized that estrogen reduces the risk of osteoporotic-related fractures, including hip and vertebral and nonvertebral fractures. This is achieved via the ERs in conjunction with signaling pathways, resulting in wide effects of estrogen on bone. Although numerous RCTs and observational studies have shown beneficial effects of estrogen on bone, many clinicians have concerns about potential serious adverse effects of estrogen, particularly those related to breast cancer and CVD. The concerns stem largely from the initial negative findings of the WHI trials regarding breast cancer and CVD. However, the recent decision by the FDA to remove the “black box warning” on estrogen products has dramatically reversed these concerns. There is now an emphasis on the long list of benefits of HT, including effectively reducing short- and long-term menopausal symptoms and protecting bone. The FDA argued that in an analysis of 30 trials with 26,708 women, HT was not associated with increased cancer mortality. In fact, women who start HT before age 60 appear to have a decreased mortality risk. Lastly, the FDA stated that benefits associated with HT include a reduction in risk of bone fractures, CVD, and Alzheimer’s disease. There is even some concern that limiting the recommendation to initiating menopausal HT only to women who are within 10 years of menopause or under age 60 years denies many women the benefits of HT, especially regarding bone health. Further research examining the value of HT protection on the older bones, arteries and brain tissue in women starting HT outside of those age parameters is needed.
Although it is generally accepted that knowing serum E2 concentrations in a patient is not essential to initiate treatment for preventing bone loss and osteoporosis, E2 testing can be useful when the clinical response to estrogen treatment is suboptimal and a change in estrogen formulation and/or dose is likely to be beneficial. E2 measurements have also been performed in serum to determine threshold E2 concentrations for preventing bone loss and osteoporosis. However, inaccurate E2 assays have generally been used to obtain threshold values, and there is presently no valid cutoff E2 concentration to protect against osteoporosis.
Although findings from most studies on efficacy and safety of estrogen are based on oral administration of standard doses of CEE or E2, a variety of low-dose estrogens are also available for menopausal HT. In addition, transdermal E2 formulations are available. They avoid the first hepatic pass, thereby minimizing effects on hemostatic factors and potentially providing even safer estrogen treatment. It is important to realize that more than 50 years of study has failed to prove conclusively a cause-and-effect between HT and breast cancer. The significant reduction in bone fractures, dementia, CVD, all-cause mortality, and relief of short- and long-term menopausal symptoms with HT is well supported by the evidence.
Footnotes
Author contributions
Conceptualization: FS, SW, IS, AW, DS, RP; investigation: FS, SW, IS, DS; supervision: FS; validation: FS, SW, IS, AW, DS, RP; visualization: FS, SW, IS, AW, DS, RP; writing - original draft preparation: FS; writing -review and editing: FS, SW, IS, AW, DS, RP.
Funding
The authors received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Declaration of conflicting interests
The authors declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
