Abstract
Abstract
The significance of firms’ growth opportunities as one of the determinants of leverage is documented in many prior studies. But, there are not enough studies which examine the impact of growth on leverage adjustment speed. In this backdrop, the present study investigates the relationship between growth and leverage adjustment speed. Second, the study also examines the moderating role of two dimensions of target deviation, that is, nature and level of deviation in the relationship between growth and leverage adjustment speed. Using partial adjustment model on a dataset of 28,532 firm-year observations comprising 2,718 listed Indian firms with 4–12 years data for each firm, the study observes faster leverage adjustment speed for high-growth firms (36%) than low-growth firms (24%). The results also confirm the moderating effect of target deviation in the relationship between growth and adjustment speed. Overall, the study concludes that firms’ growth opportunities cause asymmetries in target adjustment speed by altering the costs and benefits of adjustment, and nature and level of target deviation moderates the relationship between growth and adjustment speed. These findings are expected to have substantial practical implications for financial managers in their capital structure decisions.
Introduction
Investigating firms’ adjustment speed towards target leverage and the determinants of such adjustment speed is one of the most important topics in capital structure research in recent past. 1
Target Leverage is that level of leverage where firms establish trade-off between costs and benefits of debt. It is the point where the marginal costs equal the marginal benefits of raising further debt (Jensen & Meckling, 1976; Jensen, 1986; Karus & Litzenberger, 1973; Myers, 1977). Target deviation is the difference between firms’ target leverage and actual leverage (Marsh, 1982). The term adjustment in the context of capital structure dynamics refers to the tendency of firm to rebalance towards its target leverage (Taggart, 1977; Jalilvand & Harris, 1984). Finally, the term adjustment speed refers to the annual rate at which a firm adjusts the gap between its target leverage and actual leverage (Taggart, 1977; Jalilvand & Harris, 1984).
The theory also argues that whenever firms deviate from their target leverage due to market frictions, such as information asymmetry, capital market condition, etc., they revert back to target with their subsequent financing choices. This argument has given birth to two important research questions. First, at what speed firms make adjustment towards the target leverage? Second, what are the determinants of such adjustment speed? Prior studies suggest that firms compare the costs against the benefits of making adjustment and adjustment takes place only when the latter exceed the former.
There are a number of studies that investigate firms’ adjustment speed towards target leverage (Basu, 2015; Lemmon, Roberts, & Zender, 2008; Loof, 2004; Miguel & Pindado, 2001; Ozkan, 2001; Shyam-Sunder & Myers, 1999). Similarly, there are some recent studies which examine the determinants of such adjustment speed either by investigating the relationship between different determinants and adjustment speed (Drobetz & Wanzenried, 2006; Mukherjee & Mahakud, 2010; Qian, Tian, & Wirjanto, 2009) or by studying the asymmetries in adjustment speed caused by a particular factor (Byoun, 2008; Dang & Garrett, 2015; Dang et al., 2012; Dang, Kim, & Shin, 2014; Devos, Rahman, & Tsang, 2017; Drobetz, Schilling, & Schroder, 2015; Fama & French, 2002; Ghose, 2017; Ghose & Kabra, 2018; Mai, Meng, & Ye, 2017; Sardo & Serrasqueiro, 2017; Zeitun, Temimi, & Mimouni, 2017).
Furthermore, some studies also investigated the moderating role of nature of target deviation (over-levered or under-levered) on the relationship between different determinants and adjustment speed. Though, many important factors are already covered, a close look into the existing literature suggests that impact of firms’ growth opportunities, an important determinant of adjustment speed (Dang, Kim, & Shin, 2012, 2014), on adjustment speed is not adequately examined. Accordingly, in an attempt to fill this gap, the present study investigates the impact of growth opportunities on firms’ leverage adjustment speed. Furthermore, it also examines the moderating role two dimensions of leverage gap, that is, nature of deviation and level of deviation (i.e., highly deviated or less deviated) on the relationship between growth opportunities and adjustment speed.
The reminder of the article is organized as follows. The second and third sections discuss conceptual framework and empirical models, respectively. The fourth section presents data description and descriptive statistics followed by the fifth section which contains the empirical results. Finally, the sixth section provides conclusion, and the seventh section outlines implications and limitations of the study.
Conceptual Framework
Growth and Adjustment Speed
Firms with higher growth opportunities are generally in need of funds to finance their growing investment opportunities and more often than not their internally generated funds are not enough to meet the requirement (Dang et al., 2012, 2014). This, as per the arguments of pecking order theory, suggests that they are more in need of external financing and as a result, need to visit financial market more frequently than the low-growth firms. This allows the high-growth firms the opportunity to suitably decide the mix of debt and equity in new issues to adjust towards the target capital structure (Dang et al., 2012, 2014; Drobetz & Wanzenried, 2006). This also reduces the costs of adjustment as the same is shared by the costs of financing necessary growing requirements (Dang et al., 2014; Faulkender, Flannery, Hankins, & Smith, 2012). Furthermore, when a part of costs of raising capital are fixed, firms with higher growth opportunities enjoy lower costs of capital due to economies of scale than low-growth firms (Aybar-Arias, Casino-Martinez, & Lopez-Gracia, 2012; Banerjee, Heshmati, & Wihlborg, 2000). Besides, higher growth opportunities also add value to firms which may increase their financial accessibility in the market (Titman & Wessels, 1988). All these arguments indicate that the speed of adjustment should be higher for high-growth firms than the low-growth firms. On the contrary, low-growth firms are generally firms with higher level of free cash flows (Dang, Garrett, & Nguyen, 2011). In order to mitigate the agency costs of free cash flow (Jensen, 1986), these firms may maintain higher level of leverage. 2
As per free cash flow agency conflict argument, mangers of firms with free cash flows engage in reckless spending which do not add value to shareholders wealth. Debt in capital structure mitigates this agency problem by making managers discipline since interest payment on debt is mandatory (Jensen. 1986).
Nature of Deviation, Growth, and Adjustment Speed
High-growth firms are generally in need of more finance and therefore, frequently visit financial market to meet their financing requirements. On the contrary, low-growth firms are generally firms with higher level of retained earnings and free cash flows (Dang et al., 2012, 2014). Based on these arguments one can expect faster adjustment speed for high-growth firms in case of under-leverage than over-leverage. This is because in case of under-leverage, they can meet their financing needs by issuing debt and at the same time can approach towards their target leverage. But, in case of over-leverage, they need to raise funds through equity to approach towards target which is costly due to adverse selection problem (Myers, 1984; Myers & Majluf, 1984). 3
Adverse selection problem arises from information asymmetry between insiders and outsiders. As per the arguments of pecking order theory (Myers, 1984; Myers & Majluf, 1984), to avoid adverse selection problem, firms follow a hierarchy in their financing choices i.e. they prefer internal financing over external financing and in case of external financing they prefer debt over equity.
Agency theory argues that presence of debt in capital structure makes managers disciplined and as a result acts as an instrument to reduce owner-manager agency conflicts (Jensen & Meckling, 1976). However, on the downside, increasing proportion of debt leads other problems such as debt overhang i.e. a situation where firms are unable to take further debt for investment purpose due to excessive existing debt and underinvestment i.e. a situation where firms forgo future investment opportunities with positive NPVs as the benefits would mostly go to existing debt holders (Myers, 1977; DeAngelo & DeAngelo, 2007).
Level of Deviation, Growth, and Adjustment Speed
Apart from nature of deviation, level of deviation also expected to have moderating effect in the relationship between growth and adjustment speed. As discussed earlier, high-growth firms are frequent visitor in the external market to meet their growing financial requirements (Dang et al., 2012, 2014). Furthermore, high-growth firms are expected to bear higher market risk and therefore, are in need of keeping their financial risk limited. These arguments suggest that high-growth firms should make adjustment as and when they deviate from target leverage. On the contrary, low-growth firms are not frequent visitor in the financial market due to their lesser financing needs. Moreover, since low-growth firms are expected to operate in more certain market, they may be in a position to bear higher financial risk and therefore, avoid making adjustment when the deviation is low. On the basis of these arguments, one can expect opposite pattern in adjustment speed for low-growth firms, that is, faster adjustment speed when high-deviated than less-deviated. However, since low-growth firms are usually cash rich firms, they, in the process of disposing free cash flows, may find it convenient to adjust towards the target leverage when the level of deviation is low. Furthermore, considering the argument that high-growth firms are under compulsion to visit financial market frequently to meet their financing requirements and at the same time keep their financial risk limited, it can be expected that they adjust faster than low-growth firms irrespective of level of deviation. Based on the arguments, the study forms the third hypothesis as interface of level of deviation with growth opportunities causes asymmetry in adjustment speed.
Nature and Level of Deviation, Growth, and Adjustment Speed
Finally, allowing nature and level of target deviation together to moderate the relationship between growth and adjustment speed are expected to cause further asymmetries in adjustment speed. Conditional on over-leverage, low-growth firms, compared to high-growth firms, are expected to adjust faster irrespective of level of deviation. This is because high-growth firms need to issue equity and low-growth firms need to retire debt to deal with their respective financing deficit/surplus and to make simultaneous adjustment towards the target leverage, and as mentioned earlier, dealing in equity is costlier than debt due to adverse selection costs (Myers, 1984; Myers & Majluf, 1984). However, opposite results can be expected due to high-growth firms’ higher pressure to check financial risk, greater concern for agency costs of excessive leverage, such as debt overhang and underinvestment problem (DeAngelo & DeAngelo, 2007; Myers, 1977), and higher pressure to meet financing needs as compared to low-growth firms. On the contrary, conditional on under-leverage, high-growth firms are expected to adjust faster than low-growth firms irrespective of level of deviation. This is because; high-growth firms can simultaneously meet their financing requirements and make adjustment towards the target leverage by increasing debt. However, since low-growth firms are generally cash rich, in order dispose excess cash and to make concurrent adjustment towards target leverage they need to retire equity which is costly due to adverse selection costs (Myers, 1984; Myers & Majluf, 1984).
Again, conditional on over-leverage, high-growth firms are expected to adjust faster in case of less-deviation than high-deviation due to their frequent visit to financial market and their need to keep financial risk contained. However, low-growth firms may prefer to adjust faster when the deviation is high than low to enjoy benefits of debt. This is because they may be less concerned about financial risk due to their operation in relatively stable environment. However, alternative argument suggests that availability of free cash flow will allow them to make faster adjustment when the deviation is low. On the contrary, conditional on under-leverage, high-growth firms are expected to adjust faster when the deviation is low than high due to their frequent financial market transactions, whereas low-growth firms, with higher internally generated funds, are expected to follow opposite pattern to avoid dealing in equity and/or to take advantage of far-off adjustments.
Finally, both high- and low-growth firms are expected to adjust faster when they are over-levered than under-levered irrespective of level of deviation. This is because: first, maintaining excess leverage involves financial distress and bankruptcy risks. Second, high-growth firms are concerned about excess leverage as that might lead to agency issues, such as debt overhang and underinvestment problem. Finally, with the availability of free cash flows, low-growth firms are expected to find it easier to make adjustment when over-levered than under-levered. However, since high-growth firms are generally in need of funds and costs of raising equity are higher than costs of debt due to asymmetric information, one can argue higher adjustment speed for such firms when under-levered than over-levered. Based on all the arguments, the study forms the fourth and final hypothesis as interface of nature and level of deviation with growth opportunities causes asymmetry in adjustment speed.
Empirical Models and Estimation Techniques
Partial Adjustment Model
In order to fulfill this objective, the study uses partial adjustment model provided by Marc Nerlove (Gujarati, Porter, & Gunasekar, 2012).
The basic partial adjustment model takes the following form:
where Yit is the observed value of variable for unit i at time t, Yit−1 is the observed value of variable for unit i at time t−1 and Y*it is the targeted value of variable for unit i at time t. It means that Yit − Yit−1 is the actual change in variable from previous year to current year and Y*it − Yit−1 is the desired change in variable from previous year to current year. α is the adjustment coefficient which shows the speed of adjustment towards the targeted level of variable.
The partial adjustment model has been extensively used in prior capital structure studies in order to examine the capital structure adjustment speed (Banerjee et al., 2000; Byoun, 2008; Chang, Chou, & Huang, 2014; Dang & Garrett, 2015; Dang et al., 2012, 2014; Drobetz & Wanzenried, 2006; Faulkender et al., 2012; Flannery & Rangan, 2006; Flannery Abdeljawad & Nor, 2017; Getzmann, Lang, & Spremann, 2014; Ghose, 2017; Mahakud & Mishra, 2010). Following prior studies, the present study uses the following standard partial adjustment model to investigate firms’ adjustment speed towards their target capital structure 5
Byoun (2008) and Dang and Garrett (2015) also used constant in Model-1 to account for changes in observed leverage for reasons other than target adjustment. Following them, present study has also cross-checked results by incorporating constant in Model-1(ii) and observed more or less similar results. Nevertheless, results are not reported here for brevity.
or
As evident, in model (3) ΔLit is the observed change in leverage ratio from last year to current year (Lit − Lit−1) and DEVit is the target deviation, that is, the required change from last year’s observed leverage to current year’s target leverage (L*it − Lit−1). 6
In Model-2 L it and L it-1 are observed leverages for current and last year respectively, and L * it is the estimated target leverage for current year.
In order to examine the impact of growth opportunities on adjustment speed, the study extends model (3) as follows:
In order to examine the moderating effect of nature and extent of target deviation on the relationship between growth opportunities and adjustment speed, the study extends model (3) as follows:
where DHGit and DLGit are the dummy variables which, respectively, represent high-growth and low-growth firms. 7
Growth opportunities (GROW) is measured as ratio of market value to book value of assets. The study uses quintile of GROW for categorizing high-growth and low-growth firms. Firms in fourth (Q4) and fifth (Q5) quintiles are grouped as high-growth firms and firms in first (Q1) and second (Q2) quintiles are grouped as low-growth firms.
Firms are labeled as over-levered when the sign of their target deviation (TDEV) is negative and under-levered when the sign of their target deviation is positive (Byoun, 2008; Chang, et al., 2014; Dang & Garrett, 2015; Abdeljawad & Nor, 2017).
The study uses quintile of absolute DEV for categorizing high-deviated and less-deviated firms. Firms in fourth (Q4) and fifth (Q5) quintiles are grouped as high-deviated firms and firms in first (Q1) and second (Q2) quintiles are grouped as less-deviated firms.
Dynamic Panel Data Model
All the models to estimate capital structure adjustment speed specified earlier rely on firms’ unobserved target leverage which is most difficult to estimate. Some prior studies use exogenous proxies of target, such as the mean leverage ratio overtime (Jalilvand & Harris, 1984; Shyam-Sunder & Myers, 1999), the moving average leverage ratio (Jalilvand & Harris, 1984; Shyam-Sunder & Myers, 1999), the industry median leverage ratio (Hovakimian et al., 2001), etc., This study uses endogenous approach where it estimates target capital structure as a function of firm and industry specific characteristics. This approach, considered to be more appropriate and is used in majority of the existing studies, also allows the target capital structure to vary across firm and overtime (Dang & Garrett, 2015; Dang et al., 2014; Faulkender et al., 2012; Flannery & Rangan, 2006; Jiang, Jiang, Huang, Kim & Nofsingar, 2017). Specifically, the study estimates the target leverage as follows:
where L*it is the target leverage ratio for firm i at time t, Xit is a vector of some important determinants of target capital structure for firm i at time t, namely, PROF, TANG, SIZE, GROW, NDTS, MLEV, VOL, UNIQ and DIV (Drobetz & Wanzenried, 2006; Fama & French, 2002; Frank & Goyal, 2009; Ghose & Kabra, 2017; Rajan & Zingales, 1995). 10
The definitions of variables are provided in Table 1.
or,
or,
On replacement of Xit by the determinants of target leverage, model (9) finally takes the following form:
Many recent studies have estimated the target and the adjustment speed concurrently from model (10) (Basu, 2015; Flannery & Rangan, 2006; Ghose, 2017; Huang & Ritter, 2009; Mukherjee & Mahakud, 2010, 2012). However, as the objectives demand, the present study follows a two-step procedure where the target (L*it) is estimated first from model (10) and then asymmetries in adjustment speed are estimated from models (4) to (7) (Byoun, 2008; Dang & Garrett, 2015; Dang et al., 2011; Faulkender et al., 2012; Jiang et al., 2017).
Definition of Variables
Population and Sample of the Study
The population for the study comprises all listed Indian firms for which data are available on corporate database called Capitaline Plus over a period of 2004–2005 to 2015–2016. Then, following the existing literature, the study applies some standard restrictions on the stated firms to arrive at the final sample (Aybar-Arias et al., 2012; Byoun, 2008; Dang et al., 2014; Haron, Ibrahim, Nor, & Ibrahim, 2013; Ozkan, 2001; Rajan & Zingles, 1995; Wojewodzki et al., 2018). First, the study excludes financial and utility firms as their capital structures are different than the non-financial firms and non-utility firms. It also excludes firms for which industry information is not available in the database. Second, as per the requirement, the study considers only those firms for which data are available for at least four consecutive years. 11
The study uses Earning Volatility as one of the explanatory variables in estimating the target leverage. Since, Earning Volatility is measured as three years moving standard deviation of firms’ EBIT to Total Assets Ratio, it needs at least three years consecutive data. Further, the study uses Generalised Method of Moments (GMM) estimation technique to estimate the target leverage which takes first difference of the model to eliminate the panel specific effects. This requires data for another one year. Therefore, the study requires data for at least four consecutive years.
Results and Discussion
Target Leverage
Target Estimation Results
Growth and Adjustment Speed
Growth and Adjustment Speed
Nature of Deviation, Growth, and Adjustment Speed
Nature of Deviation, Growth and Adjustment Speed
Level of Deviation, Growth, and Adjustment Speed
Level of Deviation, Growth, and Adjustment Speed
Nature and Level of Deviation, Growth, and Adjustment Speed
Nature and Extent of Deviation, Growth, and Adjustment Speed:
The results further reveal that conditional on over-leverage, high-growth firms adjust faster in case of low-deviation than high-deviation, that is, 90 percent vs. 40 percent which is consistent with the argument that high-growth firms frequently visit financial market to meet their financing requirements, and in the process, they make adjustment towards target immediately after deviation. Moreover, this result also gives an indication that high-growth firms are highly concerned about financial risk. On the contrary, conditional on under-leverage, low-growth firms make adjustment only when they are highly deviated and avoid making adjustment in case of less-deviation (i.e., 16% vs. 0%). Since, low-growth firms, with excess free cash flow, need to retire equity to dispose of excess cash and to simultaneously adjust towards the target, they possibly wait until they are substantially deviated to avoid adverse selection costs. Moreover, far-off adjustment also allows them to avail costs benefits.
Finally, conditional on high deviation, both high- and low-growth firms adjust their capital structure faster in case of over-leverage than under-leverage (i.e., 40% vs. 33% and 71% vs. 16% for high- and low-growth firms, respectively). Similarly, conditional on low-deviation, the adjustment speed is observed to be faster in case of over-leverage than under-leverage for both the groups of firms (i.e., 90% vs. 23% in case of high-growth firms and 89% vs. 0% in case of low-growth firms). Although, these results in general indicate the concern for financial distress and bankruptcy risks, other possibilities cannot be over-looked. These results can also be taken as an indication of high-growth firms’ concern for agency costs associated with excessive debt, that is, debt overhang and underinvestment problem, and low-growth firms’ ease of making adjustment with available free cash flows. Finally, Wald test (14) confirms the hypothesis that interface of nature and level of deviation with growth opportunities causes asymmetry in adjustment speed, which means both nature and level jointly moderates the relationship between growth opportunities and adjustment speed.
Conclusions and Implications of the Study
This study investigates the relationship between firms’ growth opportunities and their adjustment speed towards target capital structure. Besides, it also examines the moderating role of nature and level of target deviation while examining relationship between growth and adjustment speed. It uses data of 2,718 listed Indian firms (excluding financial and utility firms) over the period of 2004–2005 to 2015–2016 with a minimum of 4 years data for each firm. Using standard partial adjustment model, the study observes that, in general, firms with high-growth opportunities (36%) adjust their capital structure faster towards target than firms with low-growth opportunities (24%) which possibly indicate the ability of former to close target deviation by making appropriate changes in debt–equity mix in new issues. This result can also be taken as an indication of lesser adjustment costs, sharing of adjustment costs by otherwise necessary costs of financing and better accessibility in the financial market.
Furthermore, the results confirm the moderating effect of nature and level of target deviation in the relationship between growth and adjustment speed. Both high- and low-growth firms adjust faster when over-levered than under-levered, irrespective of extent of deviation. Concern for agency costs associated with excessive debt, such as debt overhang and underinvestment problems, are the possible reasons behind the results for high-growth firms. However, in case of low-growth firms, adverse selection cost possibly plays the role, as such firms generally have higher level of internally generated funds and free cash flows. Furthermore, low-growth firms adjust more than high-growth firms in case of over-leverage and high-growth firms adjust more than low-growth firms in case of under-leverage, which again indicate the importance of information asymmetry in capital structure adjustment. Overall, the study concludes that firms’ growth opportunities cause asymmetries in target adjustment speed by altering the costs and benefits of adjustment, and nature and level of target deviation moderates the relationship between growth and adjustment speed. As per authors’ knowledge, this is the sole study which investigates the impact of growth opportunities on adjustment speed in the context of an emerging economy in general and India in particular, and therefore, is an important contribution to the existing literature. Furthermore, the study examines and confirms the moderating effects of nature and level of deviation on the relationship between growth and adjustment speed which are expected to have substantial practical implications for financial managers in their capital structure decisions.
Footnotes
Declaration of Conflicting Interests
The authors declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Funding
The authors received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
