On the Resilience of Ad Hoc Distributed Simulation of Surface Transportation Systems with Unreliable Communications

The Dynamic Data Driven Application Systems (DDDAS) concept is examined in the context of monitoring and managing surface transportation systems in day-to-day and emergency scenarios. An approach to predicting future system states termed ad hoc distributed simulations is described. This approach uses on-line distributed simulation models that can incorporate real-time data and utilizes rollback operations to update state predictions as new information becomes available. This paper focuses on examining the reliability of ad hoc distributed simulations in mobile computing environments, and specifically, assessing the accuracy of future state predictions in the face of unreliable communications.