In this paper, we prove the moderate deviations principle (MDP) for a general system of slow-fast dynamics. We provide a unified approach, based on weak convergence ideas and stochastic control arguments, that cover both the averaging and the homogenization regimes. We allow the coefficients to be in the whole space and not just the torus and allow the noises driving the slow and fast processes to be correlated arbitrarily. Similar to the large deviation case, the methodology that we follow allows construction of provably efficient Monte Carlo methods for rare events that fall into the moderate deviations regime.
The goal of this paper is to study moderate deviations for a large class of multiscale diffusion processes with small noise. In particular, we consider the system of slow-fast dynamics
for such that . For convenience, we refer to the state space of as . The parameter represents the strength of the noise while is the time-scale separation parameter. and are independent m-dimensional Brownian motions.
In (1), is the slow motion and is the fast motion. Depending on the order in which go to zero, we get different behavior, and in particular we are interested in the following regimes:
The goal of moderate deviations is to study the behavior of the process ( in our case) in the regime between the central limit theorem behavior and the large deviation behavior. To be more precise, let such that as , denote by (in the appropriate sense) the law of large numbers limit, and define the moderate deviation process
The goal is to derive the large deviation principle for , which is the moderate deviations principle for . Notice that if then the limiting behavior of is that of the central limit theorem (CLT) whereas if then we would get the large deviation result.
Both large and moderate deviations theory have a long history. For general results on large deviations, we refer the interested reader to classical manuscripts such as [5,11]. In regards to moderate deviations for diffusion processes, one of the first results was derived in [1,9] even though the analysis there was restricted to the setup with and under abstract conditions. In [12] the author studies the moderate deviations for (1) in the case of with (averaging regime) and with the fast process being independent of the driving noise of the slow process , using different methods. In [13] the authors study the MDP for integrated functionals of systems like (1), in the averaging regime (i.e. when ) and with the fast process being independent of the driving noise of the slow process. In addition we also mention here the recent work of [6] where the moderate deviations principle (MDP) is derived for recursive stochastic algorithms (without multiple scales) using the weak convergence approach of [5].
We conclude this literature review by mentioning that the CLT for , i.e. when , has been derived in [17]. The LDP for is studied in a series of papers [7,16,18] for the cases of fast motion in periodic or in random stationary environments. Large deviations results for averaging problems have also been obtained in [4,10,20].
The novelty of this paper is fourfold. First, we obtain an explicit form for the action functional of the MDP which is given in terms of solutions to auxiliary, but specific, Poisson equations that can be solved either analytically or numerically. This makes the computation of the action functional possible for a wide range of models, in contrast to existing literature where that was possible only for a more restrictive class of models (for instance we provide the MDP also in the homogenization regime, i.e., in Regime 1 with ). We also illustrate this with a number of examples. Second, the method of our proof relies on the weak convergence approach of [5] which allows us to connect the moderate deviations problem with a stochastic control problem. As in the case of large deviations (see [8,16]), the solution to the stochastic control problem gives vital information for the design of efficient Monte Carlo methods for estimation of moderate deviations probabilities of interest. We plan to address the design of Monte Carlo methods based on the moderate deviations principle in a subsequent work. Third, we treat both the averaging regime, Regime 2 or Regime 1 with , and the homogenization regime, Regime 1 with , in a unified way. Fourth, the fast process is allowed to be both fully correlated with the slow process and is also allowed to take values in the whole Euclidean space and not just on the torus. The latter fact complicates the mathematical analysis significantly and in particular, the proof of tightness. We gather all of the necessary technical results in Appendixes B and C.
The rest of the paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, we introduce notation and model conditions and state the main result as Theorem 2.1. In Section 3, we present examples of the MDP. In Sections 4, 5, and 6 we prove Theorem 2.1. In Section 4, we introduce the stochastic control representation, show the connection with the MDP, and define the concept of viable pairs, which is essential to the proof. In Section 5, we prove the MDP for Regime 1. In Section 6, we discuss the changes in the proof necessary for Regime 2. In the Appendix, we prove several auxiliary lemmas which are used in the main proof and constitute the main technical challenges.
Notation, conditions, and main results
Notation, conditions, and preliminaries
We work with the canonical filtered probability space equipped with a filtration that is right continuous and contains all -negligible sets.
For given sets , for and we denote by , the space of functions with i bounded derivatives in x and j derivatives in y, with all partial derivatives being α-Hölder continuous with respect to y, uniformly in x.
We impose the following conditions on the SDE (1).
Let be either of the functions b or c. for all , , uniformly in for some , and there exist K and such that
For every there exists a constant such that for all and , the diffusion matrix σ satisfies
Moreover, there exists and such that
The functions , , , and are with . In addition, g is uniformly bounded.
The diffusion matrix is uniformly continuous and bounded, nondegenerate and there exist constants such that
There exists and such that in Regime 1,
and in Regime 2,
For each Regime , define an operator (treating x as a parameter) by
where the notation for two matrices means the trace of their product,
For a matrix A and a n-dimensional vector-valued function of a k-dimensional vector define as a n-dimensional vector where component i is equal to . Also, for notational convenience we sometimes collect the variables at the end of the expression and we write
Operators and are the infinitesimal generators for the processes that play the role of the fast motion (and with respect to which averaging is being performed) in Regimes 1 and 2 respectively. Condition 2.2 guarantees that the fast process in each Regime has a unique invariant measure, denoted by , for each .
Because the fast motion takes values in an unbounded space, , the constants that determine the growth of the coefficients from Condition 2.1 and the constant r from Condition 2.2 that determines the recurrent properties of the fast component, will need to be related in order for the subsequent tightness argument to go through. In particular, we have Condition 2.3.
Consider the constants from Condition 2.1 and the constant r from Condition 2.2. Define and , where for any we have set . Then in Regime 1, we assume that
In Regime 2, we assume
Of course, it is clear that if the fast process is the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process for example, where , Condition 2.3 can be dramatically simplified, see Example 1 in Section 3. In addition, it is also clear that Condition 2.3 places some restrictions on r as well. For example, if all the coefficients are bounded, in which case , then we need to have that for Regime 1 and for Regime 2.
In addition, in Regime 1, we impose the following centering condition.
The drift term b satisfies
Then by the results in [14,15], which we collected in Theorem A.1 in the Appendix, for each , there is a unique, twice differentiable function in the class of functions that grows at most polynomially in that satisfies the equation
where is the ℓth component of the vector . Let us set . Define the function under Regime i by
Under Regime i, for any function , define the averaged function by
It follows that inherits the continuity and differentiability properties of G. In particular, for each regime,
Then by an argument similar to that of Theorem 3.2 in [16], as , in Regime i we have the averaging result in probability, where is defined by
Lastly, for Regime , introduce the function , given by the PDE
Under our assumptions, each one of , for , satisfy the assumptions of Theorem A.1, part (iii), and thus by Theorem A.1, (5) has a unique classical solution in the class of functions which grow at most polynomially in for every x.
Last but not least we assume uniqueness of a strong solution.
We assume that the SDE (1) has a unique strong solution.
Condition 2.5 holds for example if the coefficients are Lipschitz continuous with at most linear growth. However, these conditions can be significantly weakened, see for example [19]. Conditions 2.1, 2.3 and 2.5 should be considered together and it is clear that depending on the value of r in the recurrence Condition 2.2, Conditions 2.1, 2.3 will directly imply Condition 2.5. For example if then the coefficients cannot grow faster than linearly in y and are always assumed to be bounded in x, so in that case for instance Condition 2.5 instantly holds.
Main results
By [5], the LDP for is equivalent to the Laplace principle, which states that for any bounded continuous function ,
where is called the action functional. In this paper we essentially prove (6) and Theorem 2.1 identifies the action functional . In order to state Theorem 2.1, we need to know the relative rates at which δ, ε, and vanish. In particular, in Regime i, , define , by
, specifies the relative rate at which goes to its limit and goes to infinity. In order for a moderate deviations principle to hold, we require that , be finite.
The main result of this paper is the following theorem.
Let Conditions
2.1
,
2.2
,
2.3
and
2.5
be satisfied. Additionally, under Regime 1, let Condition
2.4
be satisfied. Then under Regime i,, the processfrom (
1
) satisfies the MDP, with the action functionalgiven byifis absolutely continuous, and ∞ otherwise. Under Regime 1, we have
Under Regime 2, we havewhere the finite constants,are defined in (
7
).
Note that in either Regime, the function is affine in η and the function is constant in η. This is expected by the nature of moderate deviations. In the large deviations case, see [7,16], the corresponding and are nonlinear functions of x. The affine structure of is what makes the moderate deviations very appealing for the design of Monte Carlo simulation methods, as it makes the solution to the associated Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation much easier to obtain. We plan to explore this in detail in a follow up work.
Examples
In this section we present some concrete examples to illustrate Theorem 2.1.
Example 1
Consider the system of one-dimensional processes
where B and W are independent Brownian motions. The invariant measure of the fast process Y is the Gaussian measure given by . This system can be rewritten in terms of (1) with . In this case, the recurrence constant r from Condition 2.2 is and the restrictions on , from Condition 2.3 take the much simpler form and . Notice that the limit is given by
In this case , i.e. the solution to the PDE (5), takes the explicit form
which then implies that the action functional of Theorem 2.1 is defined with
[12] presents a similar example under the additional assumption that . By Theorem 2.1, this assumption is not necessary, and the results here extend the results of [12] to a much more general class of processes in a unified way.
Example 2
In the second example, we consider the first order Langevin equation under Regime 1,
This equation has a number of applications and has been studied extensively, beginning with [21], see also [8]. In our notation, let , , and . The invariant density is the Gibbs measure
In order to have closed form formulas, let us also assume that and that is the d-dimensional unit torus. Since the fast motion is restricted to be on a torus, the recurrence condition (part (ii)) of Condition 2.2 and Condition 2.3 are not needed.
Then is given by
where
and for
is given by
where
Then the action functional of Theorem 2.1 is defined with
We remark that this example is not covered by previous results in the literature on moderate deviations. Here we are able to get a very explicit form for the action functional.
Example 3
To illustrate the case where is a CIR (square-root) process, consider the following model:
where a, b, and τ are positive constants satisfying . Note that this model does not satisfy Condition 2.2 because the fast process noise is degenerate at . However, if and then for all w.p.1., has the gamma distribution as its unique invariant measure and so the results are expected to hold. For this model, the invariant measure and the limiting process do not depend on the regime. However, as we shall see the MDP for Regimes 1 and 2 do differ. The fast process has the gamma invariant density
Then satisfies the ordinary differential equation
where
Under Regime 1, the action functional of Theorem 2.1 is expected to be defined with
In contrast, under Regime 2, we let be the unique solution to (5) with and . Then we have that
Hence, the two MDP’s differ on the formula for . Again, we remark that this example can be covered with the results of this paper, but it is not clear whether existing previous results in the literature can address it or indicate how the action functional should look like.
The controlled processes
The proof of the Laplace principle (6) is based on a stochastic control representation given by Theorem 3.1 in [2]. This theorem is restated here for the convenience of the reader.
Let Z be a-dimensional Brownian motion with respect to the filtrationfor. Letbe the space of-progressively measurable-dimensional processesforsatisfyingLet F be a bounded, measurable, real-valued function defined on the space of-valued continuous functions on. Then
In our case we set and each one of are m-dimensional vectors. Under Condition 2.5, for each , (1) has a unique strong solution. Therefore is a measurable function of Z. Set . Set , , and then divide by to obtain
where the controlled deviations process is defined by
and the controlled processes and are defined by
Note that we can rewrite in the form
Define . This is the space in which the control processes and take values. Define by
Conditions 2.1, 2.3 and Theorem A.1 guarantee that the functions and are bounded in x, affine in and and bounded polynomially in with order (r comes from Condition 2.2).
Next we introduce the occupation measure . Let as , whose role is to exploit a time-scale separation. Let , , B, and Γ be Borel sets of , , , and respectively. Let solve (13). Associate with and a family of occupation measures defined by
and assume if .
Let be a function that has at most polynomial growth in with order . For each , let be a second order elliptic partial differential operator and denote by its domain of definition. A pair is called a viable pair with respect to if
The function ψ is absolutely continuous.
The measure P is integrable in the sense that
For all ,
For all and for every ,
For all ,
We write .
Note that the last item is equivalent to stating that the last marginal of P is Lebesgue measure, or that P can be decomposed as . In comparison to the definition of viable pairs in the large deviations case (for example, [7]), ψ does not appear in (17), and so ψ and P are decoupled. Another difference with the definition of viable pair in [7] is that here we need to impose the condition which is due to the polynomial growth in of the involved functions. As we will see in the convergence proof, due to the a priori bound of Lemma B.2, this is a restriction that is satisfied.
The controlled process (12) and definition of viable pairs will be used to prove the following theorem:
Let Conditions
2.1
,
2.2
,
2.3
and
2.5
be satisfied. Additionally, under Regime 1, let Condition
2.4
be satisfied. Then under Regime i,, the family of processesfrom (
1
) satisfies the MDP, with the action functionalgiven bywith the convention that the infimum over the empty set is ∞.
Notice that Theorem 4.2 offers a compact way to write the MDP for both regimes in terms of the appropriate viable pairs each time. As will be shown during the proof, Theorem 2.1 follows directly from Theorem 4.2.
Proof in Regime 1
The proof is nearly identical for Regime 1 and for Regime 2, aside from some technical differences. In this section, we present the proof for Regime 1. In Section 6, we discuss the changes necessary for Regime 2. In Sections 5.1 and 5.2 we prove tightness and convergence of the pair respectively. In Section 5.3, we prove the Laplace principle lower bound. In Section 5.4, we prove compactness of level sets of . Finally, in Section 5.5, we prove the Laplace principle upper bound and the representation formula of Theorem 2.1.
Proof of tightness
The main result of this section is the following proposition on tightness.
Let Conditions
2.1
,
2.2
,
2.3
,
2.4
and
2.5
be satisfied. Consider any familyof controls insatisfying for someThen the following hold.
The familyis tight.
Define the set
The familyis uniformly integrable in the sense that
The proof of Proposition 5.1 is the subject of Sections 5.1.1 and 5.1.2.
Tightness of on
The argument for tightness is similar to the argument for tightness in the proof of Theorem 3.2 in [16] (see also [7]), but with some differences due to the unboundedness of the space on which the fast motion takes values. We repeat here for completeness the argument emphasizing the differences.
By Lemmas B.1 and B.2 in the Appendix, we can restrict to a family of controls in satisfying
Recall that a tightness function is a function mapping a space to which has a lower bound and for which for each , the level set is relatively compact in .
Consider (not to be confused with the growth parameters of Condition 2.1). The function
is a tightness function on by the facts that it is nonnegative and that the level sets of are relatively compact. Then by Theorem A.3.17 in [5], for each , the set
is tight. Tightness of follows from the bound
Lastly the uniform integrability statement of Proposition 5.1 follows from the last display and the following observation
for some unimportant constant .
Tightness of on
Next, we prove tightness of the family . It is sufficient to prove that for every
This proof is the main source of additional complexity as compared to the large deviations case. The proof depends on several technical lemmas which are stated and proved in the Appendix.
By Lemma B.4, B.5, B.6, B.3 we have for , 2, 3, 4 respectively that
It remains to study the term . By the conditions on σ and Lemma B.2,
is a local square integrable martingale with continuous paths. Then, using again Lemma B.2, we have for a constant that may change from line to line and for small enough such that , we have
from which the result follows by Lemma B.3. With this, the proof of (20) is completed.
Proof of existence of viable pair
In the previous section, we have shown that the family of processes is tight. It follows that for any subsequence of ε converging to 0, there exists a subsubsequence of which is convergent in distribution to some limit . The goal of this section is to show that is a viable pair with respect to according to Definition 4.1. For this purpose we use the martingale problem formulation.
By the Skorokhod Representation Theorem, we may assume that there exists a probability space in which the desired convergence occurs w.p.1. By the proof of tightness for and Fatou’s lemma,
which then implies that w.p.1. Here r is the order of polynomial bound in of the function.
Therefore, to show that the limit point is a viable pair, we must show that it satisfies equations (16), (17), and (18).
We begin with (16). Let and be positive integers. Let F be a real valued, smooth function with compact support on . Let , , be real valued, smooth functions with compact support on . Let S, T, and , , be nonnegative real numbers such that . Let ζ be a real valued, bounded and continuous function with compact support on . For a measure and , define
Define the operator by
where
Then to prove (16), it is sufficient to prove that as ,
and
For every real valued, continuous function ϕ with compact support and ,
Letandbe positive numbers such that. Consider a continuous functionthat is bounded in the first argument, affine in the second argument, not growing faster thanin the third argument and affine in the last two arguments. Assume thatin distribution for some subsequence of, and that Conditions
2.1
and
2.2
(and in Regime 1, Condition
2.4
) hold. Then the following limits are valid in distribution along this subsequence:and
Lemma 5.1 is similar to Lemma 3.2 from [7] with the difference however that the function ξ is not bounded in y. The proof of Lemma 5.1 follows the same lines as that of Lemma 3.2 from [7], where here we need to make use of the uniform integrability of with respect to both and y from the second part of Proposition 5.1, in the same way that the uniform integrability with respect to just the control z was used in [7]. The details are omitted.
We apply this lemma with . The first statement of Lemma 5.1 is equivalent to (23), and the second is equivalent (after applying the Itô formula to ) to (22), which proves (16).
To prove (17), introduce the operator for functions defined by
Consider to be a smooth and dense family of bounded functions with bounded derivatives in . Then it is easy to see that
is an martingale. Let and notice that converges to as . Next, we define the operator
and write
Now consider each of these terms as . The left hand side of (24) goes to zero since:
is square integrable, so in probability as ,
is bounded, converges to zero uniformly as , and
as ,
converges to zero in probability.
We next study the right hand side of (24). Tightness of implies that the first term, third term, and fifth term on the right side converge to zero in probability as . (Tightness of follows immediately from tightness of by (12).)
Uniform integrability of and the fact that imply that the second and fourth terms on the right side converge to zero in probability as .
Therefore,
This implies (17) by continuity in t and density of .
Proof of (18) is identical to [7] or [16]. More explicitly, by the fact that , along with and the continuity of the mapping , the property holds.
Proof of Laplace principle lower bound
We now prove the Laplace principle lower bound. We want to show that for all bounded, continuous functions a mapping into ,
It is sufficient to prove the lower limit along any subsequence such that
converges. Such a subsequence exists because . By Lemma B.1, we may assume that
for some constant N.
We construct the family of occupation measures , and the family is tight. Hence, for any subsequence of there is a further subsequence for which
with . By Fatou’s lemma, we then obtain
This concludes the proof of the Laplace principle lower bound.
Proof of compactness of level sets of
We want to prove that for each , the set
is a compact subset of . The proof is analogous to the proof of the lower bound. We need to show precompactness of and that it is a closed set.
Precompactness of the pair follows by standard arguments, see for example [7]. Next we must show that the limit of a sequence of viable pairs is a viable pair. Fix and consider any convergent sequence such that for every , and
where r is the order of the polynomial bound in of .
Since is a viable pair, we get that
and
for every and every . Then by the convergence of to , we get that .
Finally, we must prove lower semicontinuity, that is
Without loss of generality, we may assume that there is some such that . Also, by the definition of , we obtain that one can find measures such that ,
and
Then by Fatou’s lemma we have
Proof of Laplace principle upper bound and representation formula
The first step is to establish the equivalence of the control formulation to the relaxed control formulation, as in [7]. Let us briefly recall how this is done.
The action functional can be written in terms of a local action functional, i.e.,
This follows from the definition of a viable pair by setting
where
The constant r in the above expression is the order of the polynomial bound of in .
Note that any measure can be decomposed in the form
where μ is a probability measure on and ν is a stochastic kernel on given . Following the terminology of [7], we refer to this as a “relaxed” formulation.
Inserting (25) into (17) and noticing that does not depend on the control variables, we obtain that for every ,
The nondegeneracy of and the previous equation show that is the unique invariant measure corresponding to the operator (i.e. ).
Because the cost is convex in z and is affine in z, the relaxed control formulation is equivalent to the ordinary control formulation of the local rate function:
where
The equivalence of and follows from Jensen’s inequality and the fact that and are affine in and .
The following result is a key statement for the equivalence of Theorems 2.1 and 4.2.
Under Conditions
2.1
,
2.2
, and Condition
2.4
, the infimization problem (
26
) has the explicit solutionwhereandare given by (
8
) and (
9
). Furthermore, with,given by (
10
), the controldefined byattains the infimum in the variational problem (
26
).
Observe that for any ,
This follows because any satisfies
Then treating x and η as parameters and applying Lemma 5.1 from [7] to the relation above, we get the claim. Next, observe that by choosing (with x and η treated as parameters)
we have
This completes the proof of the theorem. □
Now we can prove the Laplace principle upper bound. We must show that for all bounded, continuous functions a mapping into
Let be given and consider with such that
Since a is bounded, this implies that , and thus ψ is absolutely continuous. Theorem 5.1 shows that is continuous and finite at each . By a mollification argument we can assume that is piecewise continuous, see Section 6.5 in [5]. Given this ψ define
with and defined as in Theorem 5.1. Define a control in feedback form by
Since is arbitrary, the upper bound is proved. Furthermore, we have an explicit representation formula for the action functional, given by
if is absolutely continuous, and ∞ otherwise.
Comments on the proofs for Regime 2
The structure of the proof for Regime 2 is identical to that of Regime 1, after replacing , and by , and respectively. Hence we do not repeat it here. For example in Regime 2, applying the Itô formula to and some term rearranging shows that
where contains the additional terms which go to zero as . However, the necessary statements that were needed for Regime 1 and which are proved in Appendix B do need some special care. We address these in Appendix C.
Footnotes
Acknowledgement
The present research was partially supported by the National Science Foundation (DMS 1550918).
Regularity results
The following theorem collects results from [14] and [15] that are used in this paper.
Let Conditions
2.1
and
2.2
be satisfied. In Regimewe have that,
There exists a unique invariant measureassociated with the operator. For alland,Moreover,has a density which is twice differentiable in x.
Assume that. Thenis twice differentiable in x.
Assume that,and that for some positive constants K and,Then there is a unique solution from the class of functions which grow at most polynomially intoMoreover, the solution satisfiesfor every,, and there exist positive constantsthat change from line to line such thatwhere r is as defined in Condition
2.2
.
(i) Conditions 2.1 and 2.2 imply that satisfies the conditions for Proposition 1 in [14] and Theorem 1 in [15]. The first statement is due to Proposition 1 in [14] and the second statement is due to Theorem 1 in [15].
(ii) Conditions 2.1 and 2.2 and the condition on G imply that Theorem 2 in [15] holds, so (ii) holds.
(iii) Conditions 2.1 and 2.2 and the conditions on F imply that Theorem 3 in [15] holds, which implies the existence and smoothness of u. The corresponding growth conditions follow from Theorem 2 of [14], appropriately translated to our case. Notice that Theorem 2 of [14] has a statement for the growth only for the solution and its y-derivative. The statements for the x-derivatives follow, for example, by differentiating the equation and re-applying Theorem 2 of [14] to the new equation. □
Lemmas for Regime 1
Lemmas for Regime 2
Notice that Lemmas B.1, B.2 and B.3 are also valid for Regime 2. Statements and proofs for the lemmas corresponding to Lemmas B.4, B.5 and B.6 are similar to those in Regime 1, by considering in place of . The only difference is in the proof of the statement that corresponds to Lemma B.5(i), which we now state and prove.
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