Abstract
BACKGROUND:
Hospital care of older adults, especially of those with dementia, is associated with a high risk of complications and increased mortality. Adverse events are often triggered by hospital-related factors, hence the time spent in hospitals should be limited. There is little knowledge of the specific factors influencing hospitalizations of older persons.
OBJECTIVES:
To assess the duration of length of stay (LOS) and risk factors of increased LOS, and, specifically, the role of delirium and neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPS) among a large sample of older adults with and without dementia in Germany.
METHODS:
A claims data based dynamic retrospective cohort study from 2004 to 2015 was conducted. People with dementia (PWD) were identified using ICD-10 codes and the application of diagnostic measures. A control group without diagnosis of dementia (CG) were matched in a 3: 1 ratio. Multivariate methods were used to investigate the factors associated with LOS.
RESULTS:
7,139 PWD and 21,417 controls were included. PWD had longer hospitalizations (first LOS: +4.3 days; second LOS: +0.2 days) than the CG. Diagnosis of delirium was associated with LOS, both for PWD (first LOS: +9.6 days; second LOS: +5.3 days) and CG (first LOS: +13.7 days; second LOS: +7.2 days).
CONCLUSION:
Major determinants of LOS were similar in PWD and the CG. The strongest association was found for the presence of delirium and NPS. Future research should focus on prevention and intervention strategies that may reduce the impact of delirium as well as NPS on the length of stay especially for PWD.
INTRODUCTION
People with dementia (PWD) have a higher risk of hospitalization than people without dementia [1], and during hospitalization PWD suffer from higher complication and mortality rates than people without dementia [2, 3]. Hospital-related conditions, such as immobilization [4, 5] and malnutrition [6, 7], often contribute to adverse outcomes, hence it may be advisable to limit their length of stay (LOS). However, a recent systematic review showed longer hospital stays of up to 22 days for PWD compared to people without dementia in 52 out of 60 studies [8].
Nevertheless, there have been only few studies that analyzed the factors associated with longer periods of hospitalization in PWD and, in particular, there has been little research that focused on the role of delirium and neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPS) during hospitalization. The elucidation of the specific role of delirium and NPS for LOS may be of special relevance as NPS are present in around 75% of PWD during their hospitalization [9-11] and increase the risk of mortality [12]. Up to now only two studies have analyzed the influence of delirium on LOS and both studies have shown longer hospital stays for PWD with delirium [13, 14]. The effect of NPS on LOS remains largely unexplored to date.
The identification of factors associated with an increased LOS among PWD is of utmost importance, both to decrease the deleterious effects of the hospitalization for older patients and to avoid unnecessary costs for the health care system. However, to date there is a lack of large studies analyzing determinants of LOS among PWD as compared to people without dementia. Against this background, the aims of this study were 1) to identify the duration of hospital stays of PWD compared PwoD as well as 2) to assess determinants of LOS, and, specifically, the role of delirium and NPS among a large sample of older adults in Germany.
METHODS
Design
A retrospective dynamic cohort study using claims data from 2004 to 2015 was constructed. The database consists of a statutory health insurance (SHI) sample beginning in 1998 (18.75% random sample of all subjects insured by “AOK Hessen”), an ongoing joint project between the SHI fund “AOK Hessen”, the Hessian Association of Statutory Insurance Physicians, the Hessian Ministry of Social Affairs, and the PMV research group at the University of Cologne, Germany [15]. “AOK Hessen” is the largest SHI in the federal state of Hesse with 1.5 Mill insurees (2015), covering 25% of the total population. All partners approved the utilization of the database for research purposes. Patient informed consent was not required by law as the study was based on pseudonymous data. Cohort entry (earliest in 2006) and exit was possible in every year of the study period. Reasons for cohort exit were limited to death, end of insurance period, or end of study period. End of insurance period relates to participants switching to another SHI.
Study population
Eligible for cohort entry were all members of the SHI aged ≥55 years during the study period with information on age and sex, and a continuous insurance period of at least two years prior to cohort entry. A study participant was classified as a PWD, if the participant had two confirmed outpatient diagnoses of any dementia according to the 10th Revision of the ICD, German modification (ICD-10-GM) in the same or consecutive 3-month periods or had an inpatient diagnosis of dementia. Dementia diagnoses were ascertained from ICD-10 Chapter V (F-codes) as well as Chapter VI (G30, G31.0, and G31.82). Furthermore, the application of one of the following diagnostic measures based on the physicians’ fee scale for outpatient procedures or the German Procedure Classification for inpatient procedures was required: Testing of cerebrospinal fluid, computed tomography scan (CT), magnetic resonance imaging of the head (MRI), positron-emission tomography of the brain (PET). Sensitivity analyses were conducted comparing the PWD according to our definition (before matching was applied) with participants having dementia diagnoses without the application of diagnostic measures and hence were excluded from the PWD group (Supplementary Tables 1 and 2).
The dementia free control group (CG) was drawn from the study population with 3: 1 matching on age at cohort entry (±3 years), sex, and year of cohort entry. A meta-analysis showed that the rate of missed dementia was around 53.7% in Europe [16]. Hence, a relevant number of people in the CG might have had dementia without a proper diagnosis. In order to reduce this number, participants with a diagnosis of dementia (not fulfilling the case definition), cognitive impairment, vascular encephalopathy, or severe depressive disorder two years preceding cohort entry or during their follow-up, were excluded from the CG.
Covariates
Comorbidities were assessed using hospital discharge diagnoses and confirmed outpatient diagnoses based on ICD-10-GM starting two years prior to cohort entry. The following coded diagnoses of delirium and NPS (ICD-10 code) were assessed during hospitalization: delirium (F05), eating disorder (R63.0, F50), sleeping disorder (G47, F51), aberrant motor behavior (R25), agitation (R45.1, R46.3), hallucination (R44), acute psychotic state (F23), delusional disorder (F22), apathy (R45.3), anger (R45.4), violence (R45.6, F91), hostility (R45.5), anxiety (F41), somnolence (R40.0). Since aberrant motor behavior has no specific ICD-10 code we used the mentioned ICD-10 code as proxy coding. Outpatient dispensation of selected medication was assessed using the Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical Classification and were classified in the same manner as the comorbidities. Information regarding over-the-counter and inpatient medication was not available. The level of care needed, which is part of the statutory nursing care and qualifies for specific nursing care reimbursements in Germany, is defined in three stages, with people in stage three being in need of the most care. The last billing for level of care prior to each hospitalization was used to determine the level of care needed.
Outcomes
The main outcome was the LOS of the first two hospitalizations with at least one overnight hospital stay and their determinants of the study participants after cohort entry. If a participant had overlapping periods of hospitalizations, the LOS was summed up. The approach using only the first and second hospitalization after cohort entry was chosen to analyze independently and in detail the differences in LOS between groups and their determinants.
Statistical methods
Differences of study characteristics between PWD and the CG were investigated with chi-square tests for categorical variables, t-tests, or, in case of violations of the normal distribution assumption, Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney tests for continuous variables, and Kruskal-Wallis-tests for median values with a level of statistical significance of p <0.05.
The LOS and its determinants were analyzed by using multivariate linear regression models for comparability to other studies analyzing LOS. In addition, Poisson regression was used to display rate ratios of the mean inpatient days. For the determinants of LOS a stepwise procedure was used. Variables with a p <0.05 were allowed to stay in the model. To compare the adjusted differences between groups, four models with an increasing number of covariates were utilized. Comorbidities and medication were diagnosed or dispensed from two years prior cohort entry until cohort entry. All statistical analyses were done using SAS 9.4 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA).
RESULTS
Sample characteristics
Main characteristics of eligible study participants are shown in Table 1. Based on the aforementioned case definition and matching criteria 7,139 PWD and 21,417 controls were identified. Mean age of PWD and the CG was 78.2 and 77.2 years, respectively, and 57% of the study population was female. Among PWD, 7% did not have any hospitalization compared to 34% of the CG. The rate of hospitalizations per 100 person years was 116.4 among PWD compared to 51.4 among the CG. PWD had a higher burden of cardiovascular, neurologic, pulmonary, and bone/joint diseases as well as of depression (excluding severe depressive disorder), diabetes, and other comorbidities including chronic kidney disease, alcohol abuse, and dehydration.
Sample characteristics for PWD and the control group (CG)
Comorbidities, and medication were diagnosed or prescribed prior to the first hospitalization. A) PWD: 6,650; CG: 14,056. B) PWD: 5,122; CG: 9,050. C) Chronic kidney disease, alcohol abuse, dehydration. D) P-values derived from t-tests or (in case of violations of the normal distribution assumption) Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney tests for continuous variables, chi-square tests for categorical variables, and Kruskal-Wallis tests for median variables.
Main discharge diagnosis
The main discharge diagnosis relating to the first and second hospitalization are reported in Table 2. Diseases of the cardiovascular system were the most common main discharge diagnosis in the first (PWD: 22.8%, CG: 27.1%) and second hospitalization (PWD: 20.4%, CG: 26.7%) in both groups. Other conditions (PWD: 13.6%, CG: 10.4%), which include infectious diseases, diseases of the blood/blood forming organs, skin diseases, symptoms, signs and abnormal clinical/laboratory findings, and external causes of morbidity/mortality, as well as injuries (PWD: 19.1%; CG: 13.9%) were the second most common main discharge diagnosis for the first and second hospitalization, respectively.
Main discharge diagnosis for hospitalizations among PWD and the CG
A) Injuries, poisoning, other consequences of external causes. B) Endocrine, nutritional and metabolic diseases. C) Includes: Infectious and parasitic diseases, Diseases of the blood/blood-forming organs, skin/subcutaneous tissue diseases; Symptoms, signs and abnormal clinical/laboratory findings; External causes of morbidity/mortality; Factors influencing health status/contact with health services; Codes for special purposes; Congenital malformations, deformations and chromosomal abnormalities.
Outcomes
The adjusted differences of LOS are presented in Table 3. The first hospitalization was 5.3 days longer for PWD when adjusted for age and sex. In the fully adjusted model, the LOS was 4.3 days higher for PWD compared to the CG. As for the second hospitalization, PWD were 1.3 days longer hospitalized when adjusting for age and sex. Additional adjustment for year of hospitalization, main discharge diagnosis, comorbidities, medication, and level of care resulted in a 0.2 day longer hospitalization for PWD compared to the CG.
Adjusted estimates in outcome variables for PWD (reference group: CG)
LOS, length of stay. A) Adjusted for age, sex. B) Adjusted additionally for year of hospitalization, main discharge diagnosis. C) Adjusted additionally for comorbidities, medication present/prescribed before the hospitalization. D) Adjusted additionally for level of care needed before the hospitalization. Multivariate linear regression and Poisson regression used for LOS.
Risk factors for LOS among PWD and the CG
The association of NPS with LOS are shown in Figure 1. For the complete list of risk factors associated with the LOS please see Tables 4 and 5. Among PWD there was a pronounced trend showing that the older the patient, the shorter the LOS. In particular, PWD aged 75 to 84 years (first LOS: -2.4 days; second LOS: -1.4 days), 85 to 94 years (first LOS: -5.3 days; second LOS: -2.8 days) or older than 95 years (first LOS: -8.1 days; second LOS: -4.0 days) had a shorter stay than PWD aged 55 to 64. The CG did not show a similar trend.

Association of neuropsychiatric symptoms with LOS for hospitalizations as mean difference in days (reference group: No diagnosis of neuropsychiatric symptom). CG, Control group; PWD, people with dementia; LOS, length of hospital stay. In both groups adjusted for age, sex, year of hospitalization, main discharge diagnosis, level of care needed.
Factors associated with LOS for the first hospitalization. Associations are expressed as mean difference (MD) in days and rate ratios (RR) among PWD and the CG
A) Diseases: Infectious/parasitic, blood/blood-forming organs, skin/subcutaneous tissue, symptoms, abnormal clinical/laboratory findings, external causes of morbidity/mortality; Factors influencing health status/contact with health services; Codes for special purposes; Congenital malformations, deformations and chromosomal abnormalities. B) Chronic kidney disease, alcohol abuse, dehydration. C) +Physical violence, sleep disturbances, aberrant motor behavior.
Factors associated with LOS for the second hospitalization. Associations are expressed as mean difference (MD) in days and rate ratios (RR) among PWD and the CG
A) Diseases: Infectious/parasitic, blood/blood-forming organs, skin/subcutaneous tissue, symptoms, abnormal clinical/laboratory findings, external causes of morbidity/mortality; Factors influencing health status/contact with health services; Codes for special purposes; Congenital malformations, deformations and chromosomal abnormalities. B) Chronic kidney disease, alcohol abuse, dehydration. C) +Physical violence, sleep disturbances, aberrant motor behavior.
Hospitalization in more recent years were associated with shorter hospital stays among PWD and the CG. The first hospitalization was shorter in 2010/2011 (PWD: -2.1 days; CG: -2.1 days), 2012/2013 (PWD: -3.5 days; CG: -3.2 days), and 2014/2015 (PWD: -4.0 days; CG: -4.0 days) compared to 2006/2007 in both groups. The second hospitalization showed a similar pattern.
Compared to a main discharge diagnosis of diseases of the cardiovascular system, depression was significantly associated with longer hospital stays in the first and second hospitalization among PWD (first LOS: +18.7 days; second LOS: +21.1 days). Other mental/behavioral disorders than depression or dementia were associated with longer hospitalizations in PWD (first LOS: +2.8 days; second LOS: +6.5 days) and the CG (second LOS: +6.2 days).
Delirium was strongly associated with LOS both among PWD (first LOS: +9.6 days; second LOS: +5.3 days) and the CG (first LOS: +13.7 days; second LOS: +7.2 days). Hallucinations, an acute psychotic state or delusional disorders during hospitalization prolonged the hospitalizations in PWD (First LOS: +13.9 days; second LOS: +9.3 days) and the CG (First LOS: +24.1 days).
Sensitivity analyses
Sensitivity analyses comparing PWD with excluded participants that had a coded dementia diagnosis without fulfilling the aforementioned diagnostic criteria are shown in Supplementary Tables 1 and 2. The first hospitalization was 2.9 days longer for PWD compared to excluded participants. There was no significant difference for the second hospitalization in the fully adjusted model.
DISCUSSION
This comprehensive study with a large sample size analyzed risk factors for length of hospital stay among older patients with and without dementia. An important novelty of the study is the strong focus on the diagnosis of delirium and NPS during hospitalization across hospitalizations. It was shown that LOS is strongly associated with delirium and NPS both among PWD and the CG. Hospitalization year, main discharge diagnosis, and the presence of delirium or NPS were risk factors of similar relevance for longer hospital stays in PWD and in the CG as well.
The findings of the present study with longer and more frequent hospitalizations among PWD compared to the CG are in line with the available scientific literature [1, 8]. However, the current study describes for the first time a reduced difference in LOS between the first and second hospitalization among PWD as compared to the CG. This observation may be interpreted as a consequence of an increasing assimilation between PWD and people without dementia over time. Increasing age was associated with a shorter hospital stay among PWD. This was also reported by a previous study[17] and might contribute in explaining the increasing assimilation of PWD and people without dementia.
Hospitalizations were shorter in more recent years in both PWD and the CG, which is in agreement with a general reduction in LOS over time in Germany which is likely the consequence of a variety of health policy changes [18].
Several studies have reported longer hospitalizations for PWD compared to people without dementia across different indications for hospital admission, including falls,[19] fractures,[20] infectious,[21] and cardiovascular diseases [22]. Depression or other mental/behavioral problems as reasons for hospitalization, which are generally associated with longer hospitalizations,[18] had a great impact on LOS among PWD and the CG. As we excluded participants with severe depressive disorders from the CG we cannot assess with certainty whether depression as a reason for hospitalization would explain significant differences in LOS between PWD and the CG. A cohort study among AD patients found that depression as a comorbidity did not significantly prolong hospitalization,[23] indicating that only cases of depression severe enough to lead to hospitalization might have an impact on LOS. However, future studies should further explore this issue.
The presence of delirium and NPS during hospitalization was strongly associated with longer hospital stays in both groups. Since NPS have been reported in up to 75% of PWD these findings may have contributed to a large degree to the difference in LOS between PWD and the CG [10, 11]. They also highlight the need for early diagnosis and treatment of delirium and NPS in hospitals, where they may often stay undiagnosed [24]. Furthermore, their presence might impede the treatment of the leading pathology and the treatment of delirium or NPS itself may also prolong hospitalization. The presence of delirium or NPS might also result in a transfer to a psychiatric ward which in turn prolongs the hospital stay as well and the latter may explain the strong association of delirium and NPS with LOS among the CG. Therefore, our findings also illustrate the urgent need to prevent and successfully treat delirium and NPS which may decrease their impact on LOS. Additionally, it is known that the prevalence of delirium is underestimated using the ICD-10 system [25]. It is very likely that the same applies for the NPS. This assumption is supported by the low prevalence of NPS during hospitalization in our cohort (Supplementary Table 3). An underreporting of delirium and NPS might have resulted in a reduction of the association of delirium and NPS with LOS.
Strengths and weaknesses
Our study has several limitations. First of all, we analyzed SHI data from a single German region. However, it should be noted that German studies from other geographical areas also reported a longer stay for PWD compared to people without dementia [26, 27]. The current analysis relied on ICD-10-GM codes used for billing purposes in the SHI-System. These data may ensure a high degree of validity, but they have not been externally validated. As a further limitation of our study, information on possible confounders, including nutritional status, stage of dementia, education, and clinical parameters were not available in the administrative data. In particular, the nutritional status might have explained at least partly the differences in LOS between PWD and people without dementia, since malnutrition is associated with an increased LOS [28, 29] and dementia itself is an independent predictor of malnutrition [28, 30]. Among PWD, the type of dementia might be an important predictor as well as one study showed longer LOS for PWD with Lewy body disease compared to people with Alzheimer’s disease [31]. We tried to ensure a valid diagnosis of dementia by including diagnostic criteria in our case definition. Based on the latter it is likely that we included primarily moderate to severe cases of dementia. This assumption is supported by our sensitivity analyses, which showed a longer first stay for PWD compared to excluded participants with coded dementia diagnoses but without the application of our diagnostic criteria. Finally, screening for NPS is often not a routine in general hospitals [24] and this might have led to an underestimation of the impact of NPS on LOS in our analyses.
The strengths of our study were the large sample size, the differentiation between multiple hospitalizations, and the inclusion of patients independently of their living situation, health status, or nationality. Furthermore, by using SHI data recall or interviewer bias were avoided.
In conclusion, the identification of the causal factors that lead to a longer hospitalization in PWD is of high relevance if unnecessarily long hospitalizations are to be avoided in the future. In the current study, PWD showed longer hospitalizations than the CG. The determinants of the LOS were partly identical in both groups as longer hospitalization were strongly associated with the presence of delirium and NPS. Our results underline the necessity to 1) conduct studies to fully understand the impact of delirium and NPS on LOS which are based on primary data collection with reliable assessments for delirium and NPS, and 2) develop interventional studies focusing on approaches for prevention and treatment of delirium and NPS in older hospital patients, especially in those with PWD.
Footnotes
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
This research did not receive any specific grant from funding agencies in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors. TM is a PhD candidate funded by the Robert Bosch Foundation Stuttgart within the Graduate Program People with Dementia in Acute Care Hospitals. The Robert Bosch Foundation had no role in any part of the study. The authors would like to thank AOK Hesse and the KV Hesse for providing the data for the AOK Hesse/KV Hesse sample.
