Abstract
Population-based registries represent a unique sample to estimate survival. The aim of the present study was to assess survival rates and predictors of outcome in incidental frontotemporal lobar degeneration (FTLD). Incident cases with FTLD, included between January 1, 2017 to December 31, 2017, have been followed for five years. Median survival was 8.16 years from disease onset and 5.38 years from diagnosis. Survival rates did not differ between phenotypes. Shorter disease duration from onset to diagnosis was associated with poorer outcome (p = 0.01). FTLD is a relatively homogeneous disease in terms of survival. Future multinational population-based studies are needed to confirm these findings.
Keywords
INTRODUCTION
Frontotemporal lobar degeneration (FTLD) is a complex neurodegenerative condition characterized by progressive atrophy of the frontal and temporal lobes, associated with a wide range of clinical, genetic, and neuropathological features [1, 2]. The initial presenting clinical symptoms dictate the distinction in different phenotypes, with the behavioral variant of frontotemporal dementia (bvFTD) associated with early behavioral and personality changes [2], and the primary progressive aphasias (PPAs), with progressive deficits in language [1]. Progressive supranuclear palsy (PSP) [3], corticobasal syndrome (CBS) [4], and FTD with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (FTD-ALS) are also usually considered as a part of FTLD spectrum, sharing genetic and pathological hallmarks [5]. Over the years, FTLD diagnosis has been more easily recognized thanks to the definition of revised diagnostic criteria, and the widespread use of imaging and biological markers to exclude Alzheimer’s disease dementia [1, 2].
The rapid and ongoing development of pharmacological and non-pharmacological strategies to halter or cure the disease [6], along with the need of appropriate planning of public health service policies, require to notion of the natural disease course in terms of mortality.
Literature data on survival of FTLD patients are very few and are generally retrospectively drawn from tertiary clinical series or autopsy series, or limited to either genetic cases or selected clinical phenotypes [7–9].
Estimating survival in clinical series, with recruitment relying on selected group of patients, may favor the inclusion of subjects with better prognosis [10]. Indeed, many cohort clinical-based studies often recruit subjects only after the onset of the disease, thus patients with faster progression and early death do not enter the study and are missed (e.g., the left truncation bias) [11]. On the contrary, mortality rates when we consider autopsy-confirmed series may result in shorter disease, as patients with less aggressive FTLD, who live past the end of the study, are not included (e.g., the right truncationbias) [11].
The heterogeneity of inclusion criteria, the different study designs, and the different methodological approaches prevent definitive conclusions on disease trajectories in FTLD. Conversely, population-based registries, considering only incident cases followed over time, overcome these limitations, and may be fully representative of the overall FTLD population of FTLD cases [10].
In this view, the Salento-Brescia registry has been established since 2017 to assess the incidence of FTLD in Italy and to define the frequencies of different phenotypes in the general population [12]. Taking advantage from five years’ time of observation of this unique sample of incident cases, we set up the present study, with the aim to assess survival rates and predictors of outcome in FTLD.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
Study population
The Salento-Brescia Registry study was used as a benchmark for this longitudinal study [12]. This study took place in two Italian provinces: Lecce (part of Puglia’s Salento region) and Brescia (Lombardy region) (see [12] for further details).
Incident FTLD cases included in the registry from January 1, 2017, to December 31, 2017 were considered. On December 2022, each patient was revaluated by in person visit or telephone call by the referral team; in cases deceased before re-evaluation took place, the exact date was recorded.
At time of diagnosis, included patients met current clinical criteria for the diagnosis of FTLD, namely the bvFTD [2], non-fluent variant of primary progressive aphasia (nfvPPA), semantic variant of PPA (svPPA), and unspecified PPA [1]. FTLD diagnosis was further confirmed at follow-up.
The logopenic variant of PPA was not taken into account since the majority of these cases have underlying Alzheimer’s disease pathology. On the basis of current criteria, we also included patients with FTD-ALS, PSP, and CBS [3–5].
Demographic characteristics, clinical phenotype, and symptoms at time of diagnosis were carefully recorded. The age at onset was defined as the age at which the first symptoms consistent with FTLD were observed by the partner or caregiver.
The study was approved by local ethics committee and written informed consent was obtained from each participant or their caregivers. The study was compliant with Standards of Reporting of Neurological Disorders (STROND) guideline requirements in observational studies.
Survival analysis
Survival was calculated as time from symptom onset or time from diagnosis to time of death from any cause (outcome = 1) or censoring date (December 31, 2022, outcome = 0). Kaplan–Meier method was used for survival analysis and the Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the effect of demographic and clinical performances on survival. Results are presented as hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs).
RESULTS
Population
Sixty-two patients with FTLD were included in the study. As compared to the previous study [12], one patient out of 63 was excluded for inconsistency of previous diagnosis. Demographic and clinical characteristics of considered subjects are reported in Table 1.
Demographic and clinical characteristics of incident FTLD cases
FTLD, frontotemporal lobar degeneration; bvFTD, behavioral variant frontotemporal dementia; nfvPPA, non-fluent variant of primary progressive aphasia; unPPA, unspecified primary progressive aphasia; FTD-ALS, frontotemporal dementia with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis; CBS, corticobasal syndrome; PSP, progressive supranuclear palsy; MMSE, Mini-Mental State Examination; NPI, Neuropsychiatric Inventory. belowfrontmatterskip0pt*positive family history for dementia, motor neuron disease or parkinsonism in at last one first-degree relative. Results are expressed as mean (standard deviation), unless otherwise specified.
Thirty-one patients (50%) had died at 5 years follow-up. None died for COVID-19 infection.
Survival in FTLD
Median survival in FTLD was 8.16 years from onset of first symptom (Fig. 1A) and 5.38 years from FTLD diagnosis (Fig. 1B). Median survival was comparable between bvFTD, PPAs (nfvPPA and unPPA) and CBS/PSP, both considering years from disease onset (p = 0.70, Fig. 1C), and years from diagnosis (p = 0.86, Fig. 1D). Only two patients presented as FTLD-ALS, but as expected these two patients presented shorter survival rate from disease onset (1.9 years) and from diagnosis (0.95 years).

Survival probability in incident frontotemporal lobar degeneration (FTLD) cases from disease onset (A) and from time to disease diagnosis (B); survival probability according to disease phenotype from disease onset (C) and from time to disease diagnosis (D).
bvFTD = behavioral variant frontotemporal dementia
PPAs = primary progressive aphasias
CBS = corticobasal syndrome; PSP = progressive supranuclear palsy.
Hazard analysis
There was no significant effect of demographic characteristics on survival either from onset of symptoms or diagnosis in FTLD, but shorter disease duration from onset to diagnosis was associated with poorer prognosis (HR = 0.55 [95% CIs = 0.35-0.87], p = 0.01, see Table 2). There were no differences in median survival rates according to clinical phenotype, family history, the presence of extrapyramidal symptoms at diagnosis or history of falls (see Table 2). Cognitive impairment at the time of diagnosis, as measured by Mini-Mental State Examination or severity of behavioral disturbances at the time of diagnosis, as measured by Neuropsychiatric Inventory did not show a significant effect on survival (see Table 2).
Cox proportional hazard models of overall survival using demographic and clinical features as explanatory variables
HR, hazard ratio; CIs, confidence intervals; bvFTD, behavioral variant frontotemporal dementia; PPAs, primary progressive aphasias; CBS, corticobasal syndrome; PSP, progressive supranuclear palsy; MMSE, Mini-Mental State Examination; NPI, Neuropsychiatric Inventory. *positive family history for dementia, motor neuron disease or parkinsonism in at last one first-degree relative. ∧any extrapyramidal signs/symptoms including bradykinesia, rigidity, dystonia or myoclonus. Significant results in boldface.
DISCUSSION
In this retrospective population-based study, we presented results on survival along with predictors of outcome in FTLD patients, originally captured in the incident Salento-Brescia registry, with the following observation in a time lapse of five years. Taking advantage from this naturalistic approach, we found a median survival time of 8.16 years from disease onset, and 5.38 years from diagnosis. Interestingly, bvFTD, PPAs, and CBS/PSP showed comparable survival rates. This suggests that FTLD spectrum is homogeneous in terms of mortality rates, and this might argue that a transdiagnostic approach that captures the clinical overlap across phenotypes might be considered in future studies when assessing survival predictors.
No other demographic or clinical variables significantly affected survival rates, with the exception of disease duration from onset to diagnosis. Indeed, this is in line with findings in other neurodegenerative disorders, arguing that patients with an aggressive disease form sought medical help earlier and diagnostic process is generally easier and therefore faster [13].
The different design of the present study based on a population-based recruitment, the first in the literature assessing survival in incident FTLD cases and with relatively long follow-up, does not allow comparisons with previous longitudinal or autopsy studies [7–9, 15]. This might partially explain the wider disease survival we found in all FTLD phenotypes, then initial pioneers observations [14]. As additional interpretation, improvement in FTLD diagnostic work-up over the years, or different transcultural approaches to end of life choices should be considered.
We acknowledge that this study entails some limits, such as the relative low number of patients the inclusion of only basic covariates in our survival analysis, and the lack of data on monogenic FTD. Considering more detailed clinical variables, medical and psychiatric comorbidities, marital status, or financial status may further explain some of the variance on prognosis.
Larger multinational survival population-based studies are needed [15], in order to plan appropriate health policies and design accurate outcomes in experimental trials.
Footnotes
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
The authors have no acknowledgments to report.
FUNDING
This work was funded by the Regione Puglia and CNR for Tecnopolo per la Medicina di Precisione D.G.R. n. 2117 of 21.11.2018 (CUPB84I18000540002) – C.I.R.E.M.I.C. (Research Center of Excellence for Neurodegenerative Diseases and Brain Aging) – University of Bari Aldo Moro, and the Italian Ministry of Health, Italy, Ricerca Corrente.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
Barbara Borroni is an Editorial Board Member of this journal but was not involved in the peer-review process nor had access to any information regarding its peer-review. The other authors have no conflicts of interest to report.
DATA AVAILABILITY
Data are available to be shared on reasonable request to corresponding author.
