Abstract
Aiming at the problem of logistics competitiveness of coastal cities, a logistics competitiveness evaluation method based on weighted and partially ordered set combinations is proposed. Carbon emissions and inhalable pollutant concentrations are included in the evaluation scope, and an evaluation index system for the logistics competitiveness of 17 coastal port cities is constructed. The results show that: (1) the competitiveness of the logistics industry in 17 coastal port cities in China has been continuously improved, and the catch-up effect of logistics industry development in coastal port cities such as Shenzhen, Ningbo and Qingdao is obvious. The competitiveness level of the logistics industry shows an obvious spatial imbalance. (2) The competitiveness of the logistics industry in Yingkou, Beibu Gulf and other coastal port cities is low, and the difference in competitiveness of the logistics industry in coastal port cities is the main reason for the overall imbalance. (3) The technological innovation, openness and economic development level of the city and the hinterland have a positive impact on the competitiveness of the logistics industry, and the level of economic development has the greatest contribution to the variance of the competitiveness of the logistics industry. The logistics competitiveness of 17 cities is ranked and classified. The leading cities have core diffusion effects and promote the development of the competitiveness of each city. Suggestions on improving the competitiveness of cities are conducive to the high-quality development of China’s logistics industry.
Introduction
According to the statistics of “Global Climate 2020”, the average temperature in 2020 is one of the three highest years in the history of human meteorology, and global warming is a common ecological problem facing the world. With the progress of human society, industrial production and people’s daily lives are inseparable from many fossil fuels. Due to the continuous consumption of fossil fuels, a large amount of carbon dioxide is emitted, and the global temperature continues to rise. In the face of global climate problems, China has taken control of carbon dioxide emissions as its responsibility and proposed at the United Nations General Assembly in September 2020 that it will complete the goals of “carbon peak” and “carbon neutrality” in the future to jointly cope with global climate change. China is at an essential stage of economic development. Industries such as construction and logistics consume a lot of energy, and carbon emissions continue to rise. According to the China Carbon Accounting Database (CEADS) and the World Resources Institute, China’s total carbon dioxide emissions rose from 1999 to 2018. It accounts for 27% of global carbon dioxide emissions [1].
China proposed implementing carbon emissions trading as early as 2011 to further reduce carbon emissions, trying to strictly control urban carbon emissions. As one of the main industries of China’s energy consumption, the logistics industry consumes about 94.57% of kerosene, 76.47% of fuel oil, 66.48% of diesel oil and 46.42% of gasoline every year, which is related to a large proportion of road transportation in China’s sub-mode transportation [2]. In 2019, China’s logistics industry’s carbon dioxide emissions reached 732.4793 million tons, ranking fourth in all industries in the country, indicating that the reduction of carbon emissions in the logistics industry is of great significance to China’s early realization of low-carbon emission reduction targets [3]. According to the existing data, China’s carbon dioxide emissions will continue to rise for some time. Therefore, it effectively integrated the existing logistics infrastructure and road network resources and actively built a national logistics hub-carrying city [4].
Combined with the “double carbon” background, China will continue to expand the scope of low-carbon pilot cities and promote the construction of national low-carbon pilot cities. Hence, the pressure on logistics hub cities is not small. Balancing the logistics industry’s development in hub cities and strictly controlling carbon emissions is a new topic. Therefore, it is necessary to explore the development direction and path of hub cities under the background of “double carbon”. The carbon emission and logistics development of hub cities under the constraints of low-carbon pilot policies have certain theoretical and practical research value.
With the city’s continuous development, more and more cities have spontaneously assumed some functions. For example, the city has good location conditions, so it has the endowment to develop the logistics industry. The academic community has also done a lot of research on evaluating logistics competitiveness. Jia et al. [5] established an index system for the comprehensive competitiveness of logistics in China’s inland urban agglomerations, evaluated Xi’an and Zhengzhou, respectively, and finally compared them. Blumenstock et al. [6] used the entropy weight-TOPSIS method to dynamically analyze and evaluate the provincial logistics competitiveness of the “New Silk Road Economic Belt” from 2005 to 2015. They analyzed the spatial spillover effects of logistics competitiveness in different types of agglomeration areas. Jean et al. [7] established the evaluation index system of logistics competitiveness in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from three aspects: logistics competitive strength, competitive potential and competitive environment. Hartmann et al. [8] selected indexes from two aspects of logistics competitive strength and logistics competitive potential, evaluated the logistics competition of coastal port cities and conducted cluster analysis. Xiong and Tang [9] constructed the evaluation index system of logistics competitiveness in the Yangtze River Economic Belt based on the diamond model and used the entropy weight TOPSIS method, exploratory spatial data analysis and spatial econometric model to explore the logistics competitiveness level, spatial evolution characteristics, influencing factors and spatial spillover effects of 11 provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt.
The climate problem of global warming affects the hearts of all mankind. The implementation of China’s low-carbon pilot policy decomposes the task of low-carbon emission reduction in various cities, so the academic community has conducted a lot of research on evaluating low-carbon pilot policies. The impact of pilot low-carbon policies on cities is diverse. Some scholars have studied the impact of pilot low-carbon policies on urban carbon emissions and carbon intensity [10, 11] and the impact of low-carbon pilot policy on green technology, green lifestyle and green economy [12]. Scholars have also discussed the impact of urban industrial structures on carbon emissions from the perspective of the impact mechanism of low-carbon pilot policies [13].
In summary, in the existing research on logistics competitiveness, the academic community pays less attention to the logistics competitiveness of coastal port cities and more to the competitiveness and development model. The research on low-carbon pilot policies focuses more on the impact on the urban environment, innovation and economy. It does not consider the possible impact of low-carbon pilot policies on urban logistics development. As a logistics carrier city, the low-carbon pilot policy has put forward new requirements for urban low-carbon emission reduction to a certain extent. The state decomposes the big goals of “carbon peak” and “carbon neutrality” into provinces, autonomous regions and even prefecture-level cities. Therefore, it is necessary to explore the logistics competitiveness of coastal port cities and the impact of low-carbon pilot policies.
Materials and methods
This study uses entropy-CRITIC combination weighting and catastrophe progression methods to evaluate the performance of logistics competitiveness. Before using the catastrophe progression method to evaluate, entropy-CRITIC combination weighting is used to calculate the weight of each index.
Combination weighting model
Currently, most scholars use the Delphi or questionnaire survey method to rank control variables. Still, the ranking results are often subjective. They cannot be changed according to the relative change degree of each control variable, resulting in the evaluation results’ lack of objectivity and rationality. In this study, the entropy-CRITIC combined weight method is used to rank the importance of evaluation indexes, which ensures the objectivity and rationality of the performance evaluation index system of logistics competitiveness.
(1) Entropy method
The entropy method is an objective weighting method to judge the statistical dispersion of indexes. When the information is less, the greater the uncertainty, the greater the entropy. When there is more information, the uncertainty decreases, and the entropy decreases. The weight of the evaluation index is determined according to its entropy. The greater the relative change of the index, the greater the weight. The general procedure of the entropy method can be divided into the following steps.
1) It calculates the specific gravity
2) It calculates the entropy value
3) It calculates the difference coefficient
4) It calculates the weight
5) According to the above steps, the outermost index weight
6) According to the size of the weight vector
(2) Objective weight calculation based on CRITIC method
The indexes for evaluating the performance of logistics competitiveness often have a certain correlation. This study uses the CRITIC method to calculate the objective weight. Supposing that there are
The following steps calculate the objective weight using the CRITIC method.
1) The same direction processing of indexes
When determining risk assessment indexes, there may be some negative indexes, such as the quality of prefabricated parts. The greater the index value, the lower the risk, while the greater the positive index value, the higher the risk. When these two indexes exist simultaneously, it will increase the difficulty of calculation. Therefore, to facilitate the calculation, it is necessary to co-direct the indexes. The conversion is shown in Eq. (6).
In the Eq. (6), the index value is represented by
2) Standardized treatment of indexes
Because the meaning and unit of each index in the evaluation matrix
In the Eq. (9),
3) Index objective weight calculation
Through the standard matrix
In the Eqs (8) and (9), the mean value of the
Among them, the larger the
(3) Determination of comprehensive weight
The subjective weight vector
By solving this optimization model, the comprehensive weight is obtained, as shown in Eq. (13):
A comprehensive weight vector, as shown in Eq. (14).
Partial ordered set evaluation is a very attractive evaluation method, which reveals the hierarchical relationship between the elements in the set. Under this method, there is no need to assume that there is no linear correlation between the data, and there is no need to assume that the data distribution characteristics. It can be applied only by understanding the ordinal nature of the index weight, which avoids the influence of subjectivity to a certain extent, and then ensures the objectivity and robustness of the high standard. The poset is defined as follows.
Let
Reflexivity: For any Anti-symmetry: For any Transitivity: For any
In the process of application, “
If the data of the
In the Eq. (18),
After completing the above process, the Hasse diagram is drawn from the Hasse matrix. Hasse diagram is an extremely important tool to study the theory of posets. The information shown in the graph can fully reflect the correlation, transitivity and structure between samples, and help decision makers understand the hierarchical information and classification between schemes more accurately and intuitively. After obtaining the Hasse matrix, the Hasse diagram is obtained according to the Hasse matrix. Haas diagram can visually display the evaluation results and classify the schemes.
Based on the above analysis, this study combines the weighted set of China’s coastal port city logistics competitiveness evaluation steps:
The index set is constructed to determine the water quality classification standard. Data preprocessing. The entropy weight method is used to calculate the weight, and the evaluation indexes are sorted from large to small according to the obtained weight. The Hasse matrix is obtained by data accumulation transformation. The Hasse diagram is obtained to classify and compare the samples. Finally, it’s results analysis. If the partial order satisfies the accuracy, the calculation is stopped. Otherwise, the approximate value of the rank mean is calculated by Eq. (19).
In the Eq. (19),
According to the above combing of the evaluation index of the logistics competitiveness, combined with the needs of practical work application, and personality characteristics of logistics competitiveness of coastal port cities, the primary index of logistics competitiveness performance evaluation is specially formulated.
Evaluation index system of logistics competitiveness
Evaluation index system of logistics competitiveness
According to the “opinions on promoting the high-quality development of logistics and promoting the formation of a strong domestic market”, combined with the research of relevant scholars, considering the particularity of port cities, five primary indexes such as economic scale, infrastructure, logistics scale, radiation capacity and environmental protection degree, and 17 secondary indexes are selected to comprehensively evaluate the logistics competitiveness of 20 coastal port cities (Table 1). Carbon emissions are determined by the total energy consumption. The total energy consumption includes coal, oil, natural gas, primary electricity, net power and other energy, which is equivalent to 10,000 tons of standard coal per unit. Inhalable particulate matter, usually refers to the particle size below 10 microns, also known as PM10. The index statistics is used to evaluate the average concentration of PM2.5, and also shows whether the air quality is good or bad.
This study takes the logistics competitiveness of 17 coastal port cities as the research object, evaluates the logistics competitiveness by partial ordered set, and scores each equipment under different evaluation indexes based on cascade combination scoring method.
Weight of indexes at all levels
For the evaluation of logistics competitiveness of coastal port cities, it is necessary to comprehensively evaluate and determine the logistics competitiveness of coastal port cities from five aspects: economic scale, infrastructure, logistics scale, radiation capacity and environmental protection. According to the combined weighted-partial ordered set evaluation model established above, this study firstly uses the entropy-CRITIC group method to determine the weight of each index, and obtains the weight value of each third-level index by calculation (Table 2).
Calculation results of entropy-CRITIC combination method
Calculation results of entropy-CRITIC combination method
The index data of 17 cities in China’s coastal ports are directly or indirectly derived from China Statistical Yearbook and Provincial Statistical Yearbook, and 17 key coastal port cities such as Shanghai, Tianjin, Qingdao and Shenzhen are selected as sample cities. The data are standardized (Table 3). Among them, A11
Raw data normalization
The importance of the index can be known from the combined weight. The environmental protection index is regarded as a negative index. The larger the value, the lower the evaluation score.
A14
Accumulative matrix containing weight information
The comparison relation matrix
Hasse matrix
Hasse diagram.
According to the Hasse matrix, the Hasse diagram is obtained, as shown in Fig. 1. The Hasse diagram can intuitively obtain the hierarchical relationship of logistics competitiveness of 17 port coastal cities. From Fig. 1, it can see the stratification and clustering information of logistics competitiveness of 17 coastal port cities, which are divided into 5 layers.
The first layer: the corresponding cities of b1, b3 and b5 are Shanghai, Shenzhen and Guangzhou.
The second layer: the corresponding cities of b2, b4, b6, b14 and b16 are Ningbo, Qingdao, Tianjin, Dongguan and Tangshan.
The third layer: the corresponding cities of b7, b12, b13 and b15 are Xiamen, Dalian, Yantai and Fuzhou.
The fourth layer: the corresponding cities of b9, b10 and b17 are Rizhao City, Lianyungang City and Jiaxing City.
The fifth layer: the corresponding cities of b8 and b11 are Beibu Gulf City and Yingkou City.
The evaluation method of the partial ordered set has the characteristics that the upper level is better than the lower level; that is, the more the upper level is, the stronger the logistics competitiveness is, and the more the lower level is, the worse the logistics competitiveness is. It can be expressed as (b1, b3 and b5)
Conclusions
(1) The combination weighting and partial ordered set evaluation model is constructed. This method can effectively overcome the limitation that other methods must give accurate weights, and provide a more objective and intuitive ranking for logistics competitiveness stratification.
(2) Based on the meaning of logistics competitiveness and the evaluation index system of logistics competitiveness of coastal port cities, this study gives a combination weighting method to determine the weight and puts forward the way to evaluate the logistics competitiveness, that is, the partially ordered set. Through the sample data of 17 cities, the hierarchical results are obtained.
(3) Through the evaluation and analysis of 17 coastal cities, the feasibility of the method is verified. Still, the use of “carbon emissions, inhalable pollutant concentration” instead of “total output value of the first and second industries” indexes, the scientific nature and rationality of the evaluation system need to be further verified.
Footnotes
Acknowledgments
This work has been supported by the Zhejiang Provincial Social Science Planning Project (No. 23NDJC408YBM).
Declarations of interest
None.
