Abstract
To overcome the information ambiguity inherent in multi-attribute large group decision-making problems, an interval 2-tuple linguistic large group decision-making method based on multi-granularity attributes is proposed. Considering the preferences of individual decision makers, the group is clustered and classified to form an aggregate structure. The two-layer weight model is developed from the decision makers’ different contribution to the existing clusters’ and different contribution of different clusters. The possible degree formula for expansion is used to calculate the weighted value of the decision makers in all clusters. Fuzzy entropy is used to confirm the weighted value of each cluster, and the fuzzy relative entropy is then used to sort the schemes. Finally, an illustrative example indicates that the proposed model is feasible and effective for large group decision-making.
Introduction
Because of the increasing complexity of major societal and economic decision-making problems, many of them can only be solved with the input of many people. It has become difficult for small group decision-making to meet the needs of social development as problems have grown to involve many interconnected fields [1–4]. Compared with the traditional group decision-making process, the large group decision-making process has been applied in new areas, but by definition it requires more participants. Large group decision-making often includes input from more than 20 experts. In addition, the decision attributes tend to be complex because of the large group size and the connections among the participants. Large group decision-making is increasingly applied to solve problems such as the selection of infrastructure projects and disaster relief, which need to be discussed by a variety of experts. However, existing research on large group decision-making is relatively sparse [5–7], therefore modeling large group decision-making is a valuable research topic.
The complexity of the problem and the background, knowledge, and experience of the participants influence the decision-making process. Experts have found that the use of language information is a simple way of expressing preferences; therefore, the study of language-based decision-making is extensive [8–11]. In order to reflect the importance of uncertain linguistic variables and their ordered positions, aggregation operators with pure linguistic information for multiple attribute group decision-making with uncertain pure linguistic environments were developed [12, 13]. The most widely used aggregation operator is the 2-tuple semantic model of Herrera, which is represented by a language set and a real number and can effectively avoid information loss in language information processing [14–16]. Since this model was proposed, it has been widely used in decision-making. Wei [17] used the 2-tuple semantic transfer function to model multiple attribute group decision-making problems in the language environment, and used the projection analysis method to sort the decision alternatives. Zhang and Guo [18] developed a method based on the 2-tuple semantic aggregation operator and the VIKOR method to solve multiple attribute group decision-making problems with language information, and the optimal solution was chosen by maximization of utility and minimization of individual regret. Xu and Wang [19] studied the 2-tuple semantic aggregation algorithm when the weight was known or unknown. Wei and Zhao [20] proposed the two order weighted average operator and the ordered weighted geometric average operator for the 2-tuple semantic integration operator. The relative weight was determined by the parameters of the 2-tuple semantic integration, and the method was applied to multiple attribute group decision-making problems. To generalize a wide range of 2-tuple linguistic aggregation operators, Merigó and Gil [21] presented the induced 2-tuple linguistic generalized OWA operator. Wan [22] presented a mixed arithmetic aggregation operator based on 2-tuple semantics, and studied multiple attribute group decision-making problems in which the attribute value and weight and decision maker (DM)’s weight were all in 2-tuple semantic form. Liu et al. [23] proposed a two-layer weight determination model in a linguistic environment, and the linguistic information involved both linguistic terms and linguistic intervals. You et al. [24] studied multi-attribute group decision-making problems with a multi-granularity interval 2-tuple semantic model, and used the extended VIKOR method to solve a supplier selection problem in an environment with uncertain and incomplete information.
It should be pointed out that the 2-tuple semantics are primarily based on the DMs’ language set preference [25–27], but in the actual decision-making process, the evaluation of different attributes of the same problem will be different. Using the same language set to express two different attributes is inappropriate. Because of the fuzziness of the information and the complexity of the decision-making process, the DM often gives an evaluation between two potential evaluation values or cannot give a specific evaluation, and it can be difficult to effectively deal with incomplete decision-making information [28]. A multi-granularity interval 2-tuple semantic model based on different attributes of language sets is developed in this paper to solve such cases.
The weights of the DMs have a significant influence on the accuracy and effectiveness of LGDM. In this paper, the weight of the DM is divided into two parts: the weights of the members in the clusters and the weight of the cluster itself. In reality, the weight of the DM is a function of their cognition, social and cultural background, and work experience. Therefore, in the same cluster, the weight of each DM is similar but not identical. In this work, the DM’s weight is related to the DM’s contribution. In addition, the weights of different clusters should be different because the numbers of clustered internal DMs are different and the effective information provided by each cluster is different. Based on the above assumptions, a method of two-layer weight decision-making based on multi-granularity of attributes is presented in this paper. First, an extended probability formula to measure the consistency among the DMs in clusters is proposed. The DM’s weight is determined by the difference between the DMs and the clusters. The fuzzy entropy is then used to measure the weights of the clusters.
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 provides an introduction to 2-tuple semantics and interval 2-tuple linguistic variables, an extension of the possible degree formula, fuzzy entropy, and fuzzy relative entropy. Section 3 shows how to determine the weights of the clusters and their DMs in order reach consensus in large group decision-making. In Section 4, an example is used to illustrate the utility and applicability of the proposed model. Finally, the main conclusions are presented in Section 5.
Materials and methods
This section describes 2-tuple semantics, interval 2-tuple linguistic variables, an extension of the possible degree formula, fuzzy entropy, and fuzzy relative entropy. These are the key processes to determine the weights of the DMs in LGDM problems.
2-tuple semantics and interval 2-tuple linguistic variables
Taking into account the ambiguity of decision-making information and human thinking, DMs are inclined to use language to express their preferences. At present, the most commonly used models for the information processing of language-based decision-making are the 2-tuple semantic and interval 2-tuple semantic models. The 2-tuple semantic model is represented by a 2-tuple (s, α), where s represents a language phrase in a predetermined set of languages, and α represents a symbolic transfer value. In order to overcome the limitations of the 2-tuple semantic model proposed by Herrera, Tai and Chen proposed a multi-granularity generalized 2-tuple semantic model [29], presented below.
Where round assigns to β the integer number i that is closest to β.
The objective function Δ-1 is defined as.
In particular, if s k = s l and α k = α l , then the interval 2-tuple variables are equivalent to the 2-tuple semantic variables.
The consistency of the DM’s preference is important in large group decision-making. The decision preference is clustered to simplify the decision-making process, and the clusters’ consensus has an important influence on the choice of the scheme. In this paper, an extension of the possible degree formula is used to measure the consistency of the interval preference matrix.
Based on the diversity degree of any two intervals, the similarity degree of any two vectors is presented and the consensus measure for interval preference relations in group decision-making is discussed.
Let θ(i) stand for the ith row vector of the interval preference matrix A = (a
ij
) m×n i.e., θ(i) = (ai1, ai2, …, a
in
), which can be denoted as
According to the properties of the possible degree, it can be shown that: 0 ≤ P(θ(i)≥θ(j)) ≤ 1 . when P(θ(i)≥θ(j)) = 1 - P(θ(j)≥θ(i))
The smaller the value of ρ (θ(i), θ(j)), the smaller the similarity degree of the interval preference vectors θ(i) and θ(j) of the interval preference matrix A = (a ij ) m×n.
Similarly, let A = (a
ij
) m×n and B = (b
ij
) m×n be two interval preference matrices, and θ(i) = (ai1, ai2, …, a
in
) and ϑ(i) = (bi1, bi2, …, b
in
) be the ith vector of the interval preference matrices A and B, respectively. The similarity degree between A and B is then defined as:
Where 0 ≤ ρ (A, B) ≤ 1, and ρ (A, B) = ρ (B, A).
The weight of the DM is determined by the reliability and certainty of the information. The more vague and uncertain the information is, the lower the degree of understanding of the problem and the smaller the weight of the DM. In order to measure the fuzzy degree of the decision-making information, the fuzzy entropy and fuzzy relative entropy are introduced.
Where u A (x) and v A (x) are the membership and non-membership functions of the fuzzy set A respectively. u A (x) , v A (x) ∈ [0, 1]. π A (x) = 1 - u A (x) - v A (x) represents the hesitation or uncertainty of the fuzzy set A.
E (A) = 0, when and only when A is a non-fuzzy set. E (A) = 1, when and only when u
A
(x) = v
A
(x). E (A) ≤ E (B) indicates B is fuzzier than A.
Where
The large group decision-making problem is described, and the principles and procedures of the decision-making method are given.
Description of the problem
Let E ={ e1, e2, …, e
M
} be a group of DMs, X ={ x1, x2, …, x
P
} be a discrete set of P feasible alternatives, U ={ u1, u2, …, u
N
} be a finite set of attributes, and W = (w1, w2, …, w
N
)
T
be the weight vector of the attributes, where
In order to simplify the process of large group decision-making, the preference matrices of the DMs are clustered [34]. M DMs can be divided into K clusters, where C = { C1, C2, …, C
K
} (K ≥ 1) is the cluster set, and the cluster C
k
(k = 1, 2 … , K) consists of n
k
DMs, where
The solution of the two-layer weight
Although the DMs in the same cluster are similar, they are not identical; therefore the contribution of each DM is different. In order to reach a consensus, the DM’s weight is based on the degree of clusters. In addition, the weight of different preferences is based on the number of internal DMs, and also incorporates the effectiveness of the information provided by the various clusters. The solution of the two-layer weight and related definitions are presented below.
Since the contribution of each DM in the same cluster is different, the weight of each decision maker λ
kn
k
is obtained from the degree of consistency among different DMs:
From each DM’s weight λ
kn
k
= (λk1, λk2, …, λ
kn
k
)
T
in the cluster, the preference matrix G
k
of the cluster C
k
is calculated as follows:
The quantity and quality of information obtained in the decision-making process determine the accuracy and reliability of the decision. In order to express the quality of the clusters’ information, the interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets are first transformed to the intuitionistic fuzzy sets, and the weights are then determined by fuzzy entropy.
In order to protect the DMs’ privacy and avoid psychic contagion, Yu and colleagues [35–38] explored aggregation methods for hesitant fuzzy elements and interval-valued multiplicative intuitionistic fuzzy methods for personnel evaluation, and used them to evaluate network information system security. According to [39], the intuitionistic fuzzy number and interval number can be transformed into each other, which avoids the loss of useful information and makes the decision more obvious. When the interval value
In summary, the decision-making method based on multi-granularity attributes of the two-layer weight is as follows:
The preference information given by the DM is the language value s1, which can be transformed into [(s1, 0) , (s1, 0)]. The preference information given by the DM is the interval language value [s1, s3], which can be transformed into [(s1, 0) , (s3, 0)]. When a DM is unable to give an evaluation of the scheme, the evaluation of the property is converted to the whole range of the interval 2-tuple semantic preference [(s0, 0) , (s4, 0)].
➀ Positive and negative ideal solutions for each cluster are determined:
➁ The fuzzy relative entropy distance of the positive and negative ideal solutions are calculated, and the distance of the weighted fuzzy relative entropy is calculated:
➂ Information about the decision-making is gathered:
➃ The closeness degree of each alternative is calculated, and the alternatives are sorted.
If
Numerical example
The proposed method is used to choose a rescue scheme for a large-scale flooding accident. In 2015, a coalmine flooding accident occurred in which there were more than 20 people trapped underground. In order to rescue the personnel, the relevant departments organized a decision group consisting of 20 experts E ={ e1, e2, …, e20 } from the rescue group, hydrological analysis group, and the security measures expert group to assess the scene of the accident. Three emergency plans were initially developed based on the existing contingency plans: x1 enables local blasting and mining machine rescue; x2 uses a motor pump for drainage and rescue; x3 enables local blasting and sending fire officers and soldiers to rescue the personnel. Three attributes are considered: the rescue cost, the rescue time, and the safety of the personnel. The attribute weight vector is W = (0.2, 0.3, 0.5) T . Different language sets are given to the three attributes:
It is assumed that there is no conflict of interest among the experts involved in the decision-making, and they are not personally involved in the problem itself. According to the different linguistic sets of the three attributes, the DMs give solution preference values according to their judgment of the problem, and the initial preference matrices of the DMs is shown in Table 1.
DMs’ decision preference matrices
DMs’ decision preference matrices
DMs’ interval preference matrices
Clusters of decision makers
The weight of each gathering decision member
Clusters’ interval preference matrices
Intuitionistic fuzzy preference matrices
Intuitionistic fuzzy positive and negative ideal solutions for each cluster
Intuitionistic fuzzy relative entropy distance of the positive and negative ideal solutions
Finally, the closeness degree of each alternative is calculated and the results are sorted, as shown in Table 9. The results indicate that the preferred order of the problem solution is x2 ≻ x1 ≻ x3, and the motor pump should be used for drainage and rescue.
Sorting the intuitionistic fuzzy closeness degree and solution
In order to validate this method, the results are compared with the results of Xu and Li [34], which assumed the weight of each DM in the cluster is the same. At the same time, according to the majority principle, the clusters’ weights are proportional to the number of the internal DMs, so the weights of the DMs are as follows:
λ ki represents the Kth cluster’s weight of each DM. Therefore, the weight of each gathering decision member is shown in Table 10.
The weight of each gathering decision member
The weight of each gathering decision member
According to the weights of the DMs, the preference matrix of the decision-making group can be obtained:
The intuitionistic fuzzy preference matrix of the decision-making group is found to be:
The closeness degree of each solution alternative and the sorted results are shown in Table 11.
Sorting of intuitionistic fuzzy closeness degree and solution
The order of the scheme from both methods is identical, which indicates that the proposed method is effective. Although the results are generally consistent between the two methods, the closeness degree results are slightly different because the weights of the DMs were calculated slightly differently in the two methods. It is not realistic to assume the weight of all DMs in the same cluster are identical, because their decision preference may be similar but not identical. Similarly, the clusters’ weight should be based on the majority principle as well as the decision information.
Based on the characteristics of large group decision-making in the linguistic environment, a two-layer weight decision-making model based on multi-granularity of attributes is presented. The emphasis of the method was reaching consensus with a larger number of DMs.
The study of 2-tuple semantics is based on the DM’s own preference of language sets. A multi-granularity interval 2-tuple semantic model based on different language sets was proposed to incorporate differences between attributes. Even in the same cluster, the weight of each DM is similar but not identical. As such, the DM’s weight should be related to the DM’s contribution. In addition, the weights of different preferences should be different, because the numbers of clustered internal DMs are different and the effective information provided by each cluster is different.
One shortcoming of this paper is the assumption that the attribute weights are given in advance. How to reasonably deduce the attribute weights and incorporate them into the decision-making process is an open question that remains to be solved.
Footnotes
Acknowledgments
This research is supported by grants from the National Natural Science Foundation in China (Nos. 71671189, 71171202, 71431006, and 71210003), the Key program for Financial Research Institute Foundation of Wenzhou University, Innovation-driven Program of Central South University (2015CX010), Mobile E-business Collaborative Innovation Center of Hunan Province and Key Laboratory of Hunan Province for mobile business intelligence.
