Abstract
In many cases, the uncertain factor influencing dynamic systems is not single. Multifactor uncertain differential equation is a type of differential equation driven by the multiple Liu processes. Some concepts of stability in measure and stability in mean for multifactor uncertain differential equations have been proposed. This paper focuses on presenting a concept of the almost sure stability of multifactor uncertain differential equation. A sufficient condition for a multifactor uncertain differential equation being almost surely stable are provided. In addition, this paper discusses some examples to illustrate the theoretical considerations.
Introduction
We know that a premise of applying probability theory is that the obtained distribution is close enough to the real frequency. However, sometimes we can not obtain data to estimate a probability distribution. In this case, we have to invite some experts to evaluate their belief degree about the possible events. According to Kahneman and Tversky [1] that human beings usually overweight unlikely events. This fact makes the belief degree have much larger variance than the frequency. As a result, probability theory is not applicable to model the expert’s belief degree.
In order to deal with the belief degrees, Liu [2] introduced an uncertainty theory in 2007 and perfected in 2009 [3]. For describe the evolution of an uncertain phenomenon, Liu [4] proposed an uncertain process as a sequence of uncertain variables indexed by time or space in 2008. One year later, Liu [3] presented a Liu process which is also a type of stationary independent increment process. Meanwhile, Liu [3] founded uncertain calculus to deal with the integral and differential of an uncertain process with respect to Liu process, Chen and Ralescu [5] proposed an uncertain integral with respect to general Liu process. Then Liu and Yao [6] extended uncertain integral from single Liu process to multiple ones.
In 2008, Liu [4] first presented a type of uncertain differential equation driven by Liu process. The existence and uniqueness theorem of solution of uncertain differential equation was first proved by Chen and Liu [7] under linear growth condition and Lipschitz continuous condition. Furthermore, this theorem was verified by Gao [8] under local linear growth condition and local Lipschitz continuous condition. Stability of uncertain differential equation has recently received a lot of attentions. The concept of stability in measure of uncertain differential equation was presented by Liu [3], and Yao et al. [9] proved some stability theorems of uncertain differential equation. Following that, Yao et al. [10] discussed stability in mean, Sheng and Wang [11] considered stability in p-th moment, Sheng and Gao [12] considered an exponential stability of uncertain differential equations, and Liu et al. [13] investigated almost sure stability.
In many real cases, uncertain factor influencing dynamic systems are usually not alone and maybe more one. In 2012, Liu and Yao [6] discussed the uncertain integral with respect to multiple Liu processes. Li et al. [14] proposed the multifactor uncertain differential equation that driven by multiple Liu processes, and they proved the existence and uniqueness theorem for its solution. After that, Zhang et al. [15] investigated the stability in measure and in mean for the solutions of multifactor uncertain differential equation. As an extension of the previous work on stability of multifactor uncertain differential equation the objective of this paper is to develop the almost sure stability of multifactor uncertain differential equation. The rest of this paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, this paper reviews some basic concepts about uncertain theory and uncertain calculus. Section 3 presents the concept of almost sure stability for a multifactor uncertain differential equation. A sufficient condition will be given in Section 4. Finally, some conclusions are given in Section 5.
Preliminaries
In this section, we review some preliminary concepts in uncertainty theory and uncertain calculus.
Uncertainty theory
A set Λ ∈ ℒ is called an event. The uncertain measure ℳ {Λ} indicates the degree of belief that Λ will occur. The triplet (Γ, ℒ, ℳ) is called an uncertainty space.
Besides, in order to obtain a product uncertain measure, Liu [3] defined the product uncertain measure on the product σ-algebra ℒ as follows:
An uncertain variable is essentially a measurable function from an uncertainty space to the set of real numbers. In order to describe an uncertain variable, a concept of uncertainty distribution is defined as follows.
The inverse function Φ-1 is called the inverse uncertainty distribution of ξ.
An uncertain variable ξ is said to be normal if it has a normal uncertainty distribution
Uncertain calculus
In order to model the evolution of uncertain phenomena, an uncertain process was proposed by Liu [4] as a sequence of uncertain variables driven by time or space. After that, Liu [3] designed a process which is one of the most important uncertain process, it is named as Liu process thereafter.
C0 = 0 and almost all sample paths are Lipschitz continuous, C
t
has stationary and independent increments, every increment Cs+t - C
s
is a normal uncertain variable with expected value 0 and variance t2, whose uncertainty distribution is
Based on Liu process, Liu integral was defined as follows.
Then the uncertain integral of X
t
with respect to C
t
is defined by
For example, an integrable function f (t) is an integrable uncertain process, and the uncertain integral
A multifactor uncertain differential equation is essentially a type of differential equation driven by multiple Liu processes.
The uncertain differential Equation (7) and the uncertain integral Equation (8)
In this section, we investigate a definition of almost sure stability for a multifactor uncertain differential equation.
Since the two solutions with different initial values X0 and Y0 are
Hence the multifactor uncertain differential Equation (15) is almost surely stable.
Since the two solutions with different initial values X0 and Y0 are
Then
Hence the multifactor uncertain differential Equation (15) is almost surely stable.
Since the two solutions with different initial values X0 and Y0 are
In this section, we give a sufficient condition for a multifactor uncertain differential equation being almost surely stable.
Then we have
According to the strong Lipschitz condition, we can obtain the in equality as follows,
where K i (γ) are the Lipschitz constants of C it (γ), and K i are independent uncertain variables, i = 1, 2, ⋯ , n, respectively. In here, we denoted .
Then accordling to the Gronwall’s in equality, for any t ≥ 0, we can also obtain
Since
Hence, it follows from the definition of almost sure stability that the multifactor uncertain differential equation is almost surely stable under the strong Lipschitz condition. The theorem is proved.
Since the three functions f (t, x) = x exp(t) and g1 (t, x) = exp(t2 - x2) and g2 (t, x) = exp(t2 - x2) satisfy the linear growth condition
Then we have
Thus, we have
Hence, the linear multifactor uncertain differential Equation (24) is almost surely stable if
Since the in equality (27) is equivalent to the following in equality
Note that
Therefore it follows from the definition of almost sure stability, the linear multifactor uncertain differential Equation (24) is almost surely stable. The theorem is proved.
Since u1t = exp(- t), v1t = 0 and v2t = 0 satisfy the condition (25), the linear multifactor uncertain differential equation (29) is almost surely stable.
Since u1t = 1 does not satisfy the condition (25), the multifactor uncertain differential Equation (30) is not almost surely stable.
This paper proposed a concept of almost surely stable for a multifactor uncertain differential equation, and some theorems on almost surely stable were proved, in which the sufficient conditions the generally multifactor uncertain differential equation being almost surely stable were provided. Meanwhile, this paper gave also a sufficient condition for a linear multifactor uncertain differential equation being almost surely stable.
Footnotes
Acknowledgments
This work was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grants Nos. 61262023, 61462086, 61563050) and Doctoral Fund of Xinjiang University (No. BS150206).
