Abstract
Molodtsov instigated the concept of soft set theory as a generic mathematical tool for dealing with uncertainty. Yong Yang et.al propounded the idea of multi-fuzzy soft set and investigated its application in decision making problems. The main objective of this paper is to derive the notion of lattice approach on multi-fuzzy soft set and analyse its application using forecasting process.
Introduction
Garrett Birkhoff [2] started the general development of lattice theory in the mid 1930’s. Zadeh [14] proferred fuzzy set theory as an extension of classical set theory in 1965. In addition, this concept of fuzziness has been widely used to characterize the problems in many fields such as medicine, engineering, economics and so on. In 1999, Molodtsov [6, 5] originated the notion of soft set theory as one of the newly-emerging mathematical tool to handle with uncertainty and ambiguity associated with the real world data based structures. Moreover, its application has boomed in various fields such as decision making, forecasting, demand analysis, information sciences and texture classification. Maji et al. [4, 9] established fuzzy soft set theory which was considered as a generalization of soft set theory. In 2011, Cagman et al.[1] formulated application of fuzzy soft set theory in decision making method.
In 2011, Sabu sebastian and Ramakrishnan [10] propounded the new innovative idea of the multi-fuzzy set which is a extension of fuzzy set theory. Multi-fuzzy sets using ordinary fuzzy sets as building blocks, its membership function is an ordered sequence of ordinary fuzzy membership functions. With the establishment of multi-fuzzy set, its application has been applied commonly in various situations such as image processing, pattern recognition, decision making and approximation of vague data.
By combining the soft set and multi-fuzzy set model, Yong Yang [13] et al. initiated the new innovative idea of multi-fuzzy soft set and studied its basic operations. They also focused the application of this notion in decision making. Forecasting [3] is a process of estimating a future event by casting forward past data. The past data are systematically combined in a predetermined way to obtain the estimate of the future. In [11], Vimala formulated a new technique of fuzzy lattice ordered group in 2014. In 2015, Muhammad Irfan Ali et al. [7] originated the notion of lattice ordered soft set and discussed its algebraic properties. Vimala et al. [8, 12] conferred fuzzy soft cardinality in lattice ordered fuzzy soft group and its application in decision making problem and also constructed lattice ordered interval-valued hesitant fuzzy soft sets and its real life application in 2018.
The rest of this paper is organized in the following manner: In Section 2, some necessary definitions are given. In Section 3, the definition of lattice ordered multi-fuzzy soft set and some of its algebraic operations are discussed. In Section 4, an application of lattice ordered multi-fuzzy soft set has been described. Finally, we conclude this paper inSection 5.
Preliminaries
In other words, a soft set over U is a mapping from parameters to P(U), and it is not a set, but a parameterized family of subsets of U. For e ∈ A, F(e) may be considered as the set of e-approximate elements of the soft set (F, A).
The function
A multi-fuzzy soft set is a mapping from parameters to M
k
FS (U). It is a parameterized family of multi-fuzzy subsets of U. For e ∈ A,
A ⊆ B, and ∀e ∈ A,
In this case, we write
In this case, we write
We write
On lattice ordered multi-fuzzy soft set
In this section, the concept of lattice approach on multi-fuzzy soft set theory is introduced in an ordered sequence manner.
Throughout this paper,
We define a
Then
(p
i
)
n
≤ (p
j
)
n
implies that
since any two elements are comparable,
i.e.,
Then
Hence
Idempotent: Commutative:
Associative: ( Absorption:
Then for all
Let
If
If
If
From this we get, for all
Then (p
i
)
n
≤ (p
j
)
n
implies that
Hence
Then for all
Let
From this we get, for all
Then (p
i
)
n
≤ (p
j
)
n
implies that
Hence
Then for all
Let
Now, (p
i
)
n
≤ (p
j
)
n
and (p
k
)
n
≤ (p
l
)
n
⇒ ((p
i
)
n
, (p
k
)
n
) ≤ ((p
j
)
n
, (p
l
)
n
) and
Then ((p
i
)
n
, (p
k
)
n
) ≤ ((p
j
)
n
,
Hence
Then for all
Let
Now, (p
i
)
n
≤ (p
j
)
n
and (p
k
)
n
≤ (p
l
)
n
⇒ ((p
i
)
n
, (p
k
)
n
) ≤ ((p
j
)
n
, (p
l
)
n
) and
Then
Hence
The 3-day mean squared error for x1 = 0.0535 and x2 = 0.0739
The 4-day mean squared error for x1 = 0.03795 and x2 = 0.0839
Then for all
Let
If
If
If
From this we get, for all
Then (p
i
)
n
≤ (p
j
)
n
implies that
Hence
Then (p
i
)
n
≤ (p
j
)
n
implies that
Let
From this we get, for all
Then (p
i
)
n
≤ (p
j
)
n
implies that
Hence
Application of
in forecasting process
Consider the alternatives x1, x2 to represent two different products in a company and p1, p2, p3 be the set of parameters, where p1 stands for ’Day’ which consist of day1, day2, day3, day 4, day5, day6, day7, day8, p2 stands for ’Week’ which consist of week1, week2, week3, week4, week5, week6, week7, week8 and p3 stands for ’Month’ which consist of month1, month2, month3, month4, month5, month6, month7, month8 respectively.
The following
Now the company decided to find the product in which it has to investing more for this year.
For this, we should detect the better forecast for day, week and month respectively.
The 5-day mean squared error for x1 = 0.0525 and x2 = 0.1048
In calculating 3-day/week/month moving average forecast, the average of the first three day/week/month is taken to represent the forecast value for the fourth day/week/month. Leaving the first data value, we take the average of the next three data to represent the forecast value for the fifth day/week/month. In this procedure, the moving average forecast values are calculated. In a similar way, we determine the 4-day/week/month and 5-day/week/month moving average forecast.
After calculating moving average forecast, we compute forecast error. For this, we compute the difference between the observed value and the forecast value.
Mean squared error is the average of the sum of squared forecast errors and is often used as measure of the accuracy of forecasts.
To find the day forecast profit for next year
The results here indicates that the forecast accuracy is better for the products x1 (0.03795) and x2 (0.0739). i.e., 4-day forecast is better for x1 and 3-day forecast is better for x2.
To find the week forecast profit for next year
The 3-week mean squared error for x1 = 0.03254 and x2 = 0.0471
The results here indicates that the forecast accuracy is better for the products x1 (0.03254) and x2 (0.0241). i.e., 3-week forecast is better for x1 and 5-week forecast is better for x2.
To find the month forecast profit for next year
The 4-week mean squared error for x1 = 0.0448 and x2 = 0.0508
The 4-week mean squared error for x1 = 0.0448 and x2 = 0.0508
The 5-week mean squared error for x1 = 0.0355 and x2 = 0.0241
The 3-month mean squared error for x1 = 0.0441 and x2 = 0.0409
The 4-month mean squared error for x1 = 0.05795 and x2 = 0.0295
The 5-month mean squared error for x1 = 0.0551 and x2 = 0.0408
The results here indicates that the forecast accuracy is better for the products x1 (0.0441) and x2 (0.0295). i.e., 3-month forecast is better for x1 and 4-month forecast is better for x2.
By comparing 3-day, 4-day and 5-day forecast accuracy, the products x1 = 0.03795 and x2 = 0.0739 provides the better forecastaccuracy.
By comparing 3-week, 4-week and 5-week forecast accuracy, the products x1 = 0.03254 and x2 = 0.0241 provides the better forecast accuracy. By comparing 3-month, 4-month and 5-month forecast accuracy, the products x1 = 0.0441 and x2 = 0.0295 provides the better forecast accuracy. To find the better forecast for day, week and month:
x1 = min{ 0.03795, 0.03254, 0.0441}
= 0.03254(3-week)
x2 = min{ 0.0739, 0.0241, 0.0295}
= 0.0241(5-week)
From this, we conclude that the product x2 has the better forecast accuracy.
Thus the product x2 will give more profit for next year.
So the company’s best choice to invest for this year is x2.
In this present work, concept of lattice ordered multi-fuzzy soft set has been initiated and someoperations of lattice ordered multi-fuzzy soft set are also examined. Further we have constructed an application of this concept by using forecasting approach. In this approach, one can get better solution in real life situations. To extend this work, one can investigate the theory of modular and distributive lattice ordered multi-fuzzy soft sets.
Conflicts of interest
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
Footnotes
Acknowledgement
This research work is supported by AURF sanctioned vide Letter No. Ph.D./1739/AURF Fellowship/2018.
