Abstract
The prioritized induced probabilistic ordered weighted average distance (PIPOWAD) has been developed. This new operator is an extension of the ordered weighted average (OWA) operator that can be used in cases where we have two sets of data that want to be compared. Some of the main characteristics of this new operator are: 1) Not all the decision makers are equally important, so the information needs to be prioritized, 2) The information has a probability to occur and 3) The decision makers can change the importance of the information based in an induced variable. Additionally, characteristics and families of the PIPOWAD operator are presented. Finally, an application of the PIPOWAD operator in order to measure government transparency in Mexico is presented.
Keywords
Introduction
Transparency and access to information to citizens has been one of the important aspects for democratic countries, the two elements that are needed to achieve this are access and communication [4]. The objective to do this, is to know how the government is making decisions to prevent corruption, request information and be able to bring this to all the people [3, 18]. Among the methodologies that are used in Mexico to measure government transparency is the Index of the Right of Access to Information in Mexico (IDAIM is the acronym in Spanish) is an index that measures the level of transparency of states. One of the advantages of this index is that it is possible to compare the states with higher transparency and detect which are the items that the other states should work to achieve that level. Some decision-making methods [9, 47] are based on distance measures [16], with the Hamming distance [45] being one of the most common distance methods that compares two variables, helping the decision maker to understand the difference between the ideal situation and the real one.
Among the combinations that have been made with distance techniques are the Normalized Hamming Distance (NHD) that include arithmetic mean in the formulation or the Weighted Hamming distance (WHD) when weighted average is included. One combination that has been used in this paper is based on the Ordered Weighted Average (OWA) operator [42] to obtain the OWA Distance (OWAD) operator [22, 59]. Among the extension that have developed are the one using induced operators [23, 24], intuitionistic fuzzy sets [49] and Bonferroni means [10].
The aim of this paper is to present some new aggregation operators based on the Prioritized Induced Probabilistic Ordered Weighted Average Distance (PIPOWAD) operator. It is a new aggregation operator that introduces the Hamming distance into the PIPOWA operator [34]. The primary advantage of this new operator is that one formulation combines four different operators: 1) the Prioritized OWA (PrOWA) operator [39], that has developed different extension such as intuitionistic fuzzy prioritized OWA operator [37], hesitant fuzzy prioritized operators [5] and so on. Also, many applications in decision making problems and multiple attribute decision making has also been developed [32, 48], 2) the Probabilistic OWA (POWA) operator [30], that some extension using interval numbers [50] and linguistic variables [28]. In addition, some applications in finance and fuzzy environment have been developed [35, 52], 3) the Induced OWA (IOWA) operator [38], that has developed extensions using moving average, heavy weights and intuitionistic fuzzy sets [6, 51] and some applications in multiple criteria decision making, safety programs and cluster analysis have been done [5,11, 56] and 4) the Hamming distance operator [45] that has been applied in many areas such as sports and finance [8, 19].
A generalization of the PIPOWAD operator is presented by using quasi-arithmetic means [21, 23]. In this manner, we obtained the Quasi-PIPOWAD operator. The advantage of using the quasi-arithmetic means is that they includes a wide range of aggregation operators, such as a generalized operator, quadratic aggregation, geometric aggregation, maximum operator, minimum operator and others.
Additionally, some specific cases of the PIPOWAD operator are presented as families. These cases are important because they can be used when the problem is simple, and all the elements and information needed to use the PIPOWAD operator are not necessary. Among the specific cases are the probabilistic maximum, the probabilistic minimum, the PIOWAD operator, and the PPOWAD operator.
This new operator was used in order to measure government transparency based on the IDAIM index in Mexico. The information was obtained by three different experts that have been working in governmental dependence in the field and based on their knowledge and expectations the calculation for Durango has been made using different operators. It can be seen, that if we take different information it is possible to compare different scenarios that will give the decision makers an opportunity to know in what they can work in order to achieve better results in future years.
The paper is organized as follows: In Section 2, we review some aggregation operators. Section 3 introduces the PIPOWAD operator, and Section 4 develops the generalized PIPOWAD operator. Section 5 explains the steps for the use of this operator in financial selection, and Section 6 presents the use of the PIPOWAD operator in a financial selection case. Section 7 summarizes the primary conclusions of the paper.
Preliminaries
OWA operator and main extensions
The OWA operator introduced by Yager [42] is an aggregation operator that provides a parameterized family of aggregation operators between the minimum and the maximum. It can be defined as follows:
The prioritized OWA (PrOWA) operator developed by Yager [41] is an aggregation operator that is useful when problem-solving decision makers do not have the same standing in the final decision. Thus, this operator allocates additional impact to some decision makers and less to others. This operator is formulated with the following expression [14, 44]:
Another extension of the OWA used in this paper is the probabilistic OWA (POWA) operator. This operator uses a weighted vector and a probability vector, making it possible to underestimate or overestimate based on the knowledge and attitude of the decision maker [30]. Another extension that is used in this paper is the induced OWA (IOWA) operator [38]. The main characteristic of this operator is that the weights are not assigned based on the value of the argument, but instead they are induced based on the knowledge or expectations of the decision maker. Along with the POWA operator, the PrOWA operator and the IOWA operator, several new extensions have been developed. One of them is the induced probabilistic (IPOWA) operator, which includes ordering the weights based on the induced values and a second probability vector in the same formulation [27].
The prioritized induced probabilistic OWA (PIPOWA) operator is an operator that considers the primary characteristics of the POWA, PrOWA and IOWA operators. This operator is useful in group decision-making problems, where it considers prioritized criteria among the decision makers, a probability vector and an induced-ordered weighting vector. The definition is as follows [34]:
Distance techniques are methodologies that can compare two set of elements to determine the distance between them, allowing selection of the alternative that is closer to the ideal set of data. The Hamming distance [45] is a classical tool that can be used with fuzzy sets, interval-valued fuzzy sets, intuitionistic fuzzy sets and Bonferroni means [23, 57]. Some of the basic properties of distance techniques are [25] as follows: Non-negativity: D (A1, A2)≥ 0 ; Commutativity: D (A1, A2) = D (A2, A1); Reflexivity: D (A1, A2) = 0 ; and Triangle inequality: D (A1, A2) + D (A2, A3) ≥ D (A1, A3) .
The Hamming distance can be defined as follows [28] when combining it with the OWA operator [20, 46, 59]:
The probabilistic OWA distance (POWAD) operator is another extension that uses the distance measure, probabilities and OWA operator in the same formulation and the induced OWA distance [31] (IOWAD) operator by including an induced reordering step [23].
Additionally, distance measures can be added in the prioritized OWA operator, obtaining the prioritized OWA distance (PrOWAD) operator, which is defined as follows:
Theoretical foundations
The prioritized induced probabilistic ordered weighted average distance (PIPOWAD) operator is an aggregation operator that includes in the same formulation probabilities, induced variables, prioritized variables and distance techniques. This new operator can be used for different types of problems and generates additional, new scenarios. It is important to note that the PIPOWAD operator includes specific cases, such as the prioritized probabilistic ordered weighted average distance (PPOWAD) operator and the prioritized induced ordered weighted average distance (PIOWAD) operator. The PIPOWAD operator is defined as follows:
In the case where the weights in the problem are not induced, the PIPOWAD operator becomes the PPOWAD operator. The definition is as follows:
Another specific case is when there is no probability vector in the formulation, so the PIPOWAD operator becomes the PIOWAD operator. The definition is as follows:
To obtain a clear vision of the process to generate the results of the PIPOWAD operator, we present the following example:
Information provide by expert 1
Information provide by expert 2
Information provide by expert 3
Best scenario
The result for a1 is as follows:
The same process is performed for c2 and c3, obtaining prioritized distance results (3.25, 2.8, 2.2) that are then multiplied to produce the results for the induced weighting and probabilistic vectors, as follows:
Obtaining a result of a1 = 0.954.
The same process is performed for a2 and a3. The results are a2 = 0.811 and a3 = 1.134. In this sense, the best scenario is for a2 > a1 > a3.
An important aspect of the PIPOWAD operator is that it includes a series of different operators if the weighting vector W and the coefficient β of the probability vector are analyzed. The main advantage of the families of the PIPOWAD operator is that if the problem is simple, it is possible to use other operators in the same family, such as the PPOWAD operator and the PIOWAD operator. Based on the coefficient β and weighting vector W, we obtain the following specific cases [21, 25], as follows: Use the PPOWAD operator if β = 0 and the PIOWAD operator if β = 1. It is important to note that the closer β is to 1, the more importance is given to the PIOWAD operator, and vice versa; The minimum distance when w
n
= 1 and w
j
= 0, for all j ≠ n and β = 0 ; The PIPOWA operator is obtained if one of the sets is empty; The probabilistic maximum (wp = 1 and wj = 0, for all j ≠ p, and up = Max{ai}); The probabilistic minimum (wp = 1 and wj = 0, for all j ≠ p, and up = Min{ai}); The arithmetic probabilistic approach (wj = 1/n, for all ai); The step-PIPOWAD operator (wk = 1 and wj = 0, for all j ≠ k); The general olympic-PIPOWAD operator (wj = 0 for j = 1, 2, ... , k, n, n − 1, ... , n − k + 1; and for all others, wj* = 1/(n − 2 k), where k < n/2); and The centered-PIPOWAD operator (if it is symmetric, strongly decaying from the center to the maximum and the minimum, and inclusive).
Heavy aggregation operators in the PIPOWAD operator
An interesting extension of the OWA operator is the heavy ordered weighted average (HOWA) operator (Yager, 2002). In this formulation the weighting vector is expanded, and it is not bounded to 1. In this sense, the weighting vector can range from 1 to ∞ or even -∞ to ∞. This operator has been expanded using order induced variables, moving average and other techniques [6]. The formulation is as follows.
So, if the weighting vector that is used in the PIPOWAD operator is unbounded, then the heavy prioritized induced probabilistic ordered weighted average distance (HPIPOWAD) operator is obtained. The formulation is as follows.
Some of the families of the HPIPOWAD operator can be seen in Table 5.
Families of the HPIPOWAD operator
In this section, we present some generalizations based on the generalized OWA (GOWA) operator [2, 39]. The generalized PIPOWAD (GPIPOWAD) includes a wide range of aggregation operators, including the quasi-arithmetic means (Quasi-PIPOWAD) operator. We focus on the latter because it includes the generalized means as a specific case. It is important to note that these new formulations are critical because they assist in solving more complex problems based on the information available and expectations, creating new decision-making scenarios. In the following, the definitions of the Quasi-PIPOWAD operator, the Quasi-PIOWAD operator and the Quasi-PPOWAD operator are presented:
Another case is when there is not a probability vector in the formulation, so the PIPOWAD operator becomes the PIOWAD operator. The definition is as follows:
The families of the Quasi-PIPOWAD operator can be separated based on the weighting vector W, the parameter λ and the probability vector p. The primary families are presented in Table 6.
Families of generalized PIPOWAD operators
Theoretical approach
Transparency can be defined as the openness of the government in informing citizens of how decisions are being made, what procedures are used and the consequences of those decisions [1]. In Mexico, the IDAIM measures the quality of the transparency laws in relation to the best national and international practices in the area. This indicator is composed of three main variables: the normative design (v1), the institutional design (v2) and the procedures for access to public information and transparency obligations (v3).
In the specific case of Durango, there is an organization in charge of analyzing and generating new ideas to improve the level of transparency and access to information. It is named the Duranguense Institute of Access to public information and protection of personal data (IDAIP is the acronym in Spanish). To use the PIPOWAD operator to forecast the future ranking of Durango in 2017, based on the information obtained by the directors of the IDAIP, the following steps are followed:
Numerical example
In this section, we present the results of the investigation of the IDAP of Durango based on the directors’ expectations concerning the next IDAIM result. To develop these results, we apply the steps that were defined in Section 5.1.
Expectations of the experts
Expectations of the experts
Results for Coahuila in 2015
With the information in Tables 7 and 8, we obtain the distances between the results. These are as follow (See Table 9).
Distance between the expectations of the expert and the best scenario (Coahuila)
Prioritized distance for Durango
Distance between Durango and Coahuila according to different operators
With the distance provided by the different operators, we can forecast the score that Durango will have in the IDAIM in 2017. The result is shown in Table 12.
Forecast for IDAIM score for Durango in 2017
As can be observed, for different operators. the future score for Durango changes because the information that each operator considers is different. It is important to note that the HPIPOWAD operator adds more complexity and provides more information to the decision maker, which is why we consider these results to be more complete than those obtained from the other operators. However, it is also important to analyze the different scenarios that the other operators provide.
In the case of the IDAIM score for Durango in 2017, it can be observed that it improves dramatically in comparison to the result in 2015. The experts that work at IDAIP share the opinion that the legislation in 2015 was obsolete, which is why the score of v1 for that year was so low. Additionally, they consider that with the new law and different constitutional reforms that provide autonomy to the IDAIP, they can work to improve the valuation of v2. Finally, in the case of the score obtained for v3, they are creating different campaigns to improve the culture of openness and transparency, as well as to reveal the obligations of the government institutions.
It is important to note that the HPIPOWAD operator is an useful technique that can be used to measure transparency and access to information laws in Mexico, because in the formulas that have been used in the IDAIM and also in the National Institute of Transparency, access to information and protection of personal data (INAI in Spanish acronym), they are applied considering that all the information that is provided is equally important not taking into account who are the decision makers and if they results have to be prioritized, also they don’t take into account the probabilities that some of the scenarios can changed or that the results can range out from the maximum or the minimum of the data recollected.
The main objective of this paper is to present an extension of the hamming distance and the OWA operator. In this sense, the prioritized induced probabilistic ordered weighted average distance (PIPOWAD) and the heavy prioritized induced probabilistic ordered weighted average distance (HPIPOWAD) operators are presented. The main contribution of this operator is that can be used to analyze complex situations where an ideal situation has to be compared with the real one based not only in the distance, but information of the knowledge and expectations of the group decision maker is included by using probabilistic, induced, prioritized and heavy vectors.
In the paper, we present the key definitions and some of the properties of the PIPOWAD operator. Additionally, the families of operators, such as quasi-arithmetic, generalized and quadratic, are presented. These families are important because when the problem that we want to solve is not complex or has some specific characteristics, it is possible to use these other formulations.
These new formulations are used in order to measure government transparency based on the IDAIM score for Durango, that with the information provided by the group decision making can be seen that there is a high expectation that in the future the results for the state will be closer to the ones that were obtained by Coahuila in 2015. Also, it is possible to analyze different scenarios based on the type of operator that has been used. The basic formulations are important ones when the problem is not that complex but if we want to add more information to the results the complete formulations of the PIPOWAD and HPIPOWAD operator provide a better result.
For future research it is possible to use new methodologies to unify the information provided by the different experts using uncertainty techniques like moving averages [7], linguistic variables [57], the expertons [2] and the forgotten effects methodology [33].
Conflict of interest statement
All authors declare: “We have no conflict of interest to declare”.
Footnotes
Annex
Ranking of the states in Mexico according to IDAIM 2015
| Rank | State | v 1 | v 2 | v 3 | Total |
| 1 | Coahuila | 9.8 | 8.3 | 9.8 | 9.339 |
| 2 | Distrito Federal | 8.0 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 8.111 |
| 3 | Colima | 8.0 | 7.1 | 7.8 | 7.713 |
| 4 | Puebla | 6.0 | 7.3 | 8.0 | 7.130 |
| 5 | Guerrero | 6.1 | 7.1 | 7.2 | 6.870 |
| 6 | Nayarit | 6.8 | 6.2 | 7.1 | 6.726 |
| 7 | Chihuahua | 7.1 | 5.8 | 7.1 | 6.706 |
| 8 | Jalisco | 7.3 | 6.4 | 6.1 | 6.614 |
| 9 | Morelos | 6.6 | 6.4 | 6.6 | 6.569 |
| 10 | Oaxaca | 7.1 | 6.0 | 6.3 | 6.519 |
| 11 | Nuevo Leon | 6.9 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 6.424 |
| 12 | Zacatecas | 7.4 | 5.4 | 6.2 | 6.394 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 6.6 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.381 |
| 14 | Veracruz | 6.0 | 5.0 | 7.3 | 6.167 |
| 15 | Durango | 6.3 | 5.4 | 6.6 | 6.149 |
| 16 | Michoacán | 7.3 | 5.6 | 5.3 | 6.112 |
| 17 | Baja California | 5.2 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 5.988 |
| 18 | San Luis Potosi | 5.3 | 5.8 | 6.6 | 5.957 |
| 19 | Aguascalientes | 6.1 | 4.9 | 5.8 | 5.657 |
| 20 | Sonora | 5.5 | 5.0 | 6.2 | 5.633 |
| 21 | Tabasco | 6.1 | 4.7 | 5.8 | 5.594 |
| 22 | Chiapas | 5.8 | 5.8 | 4.6 | 5.449 |
| 23 | Quintana Roo | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 5.215 |
| 24 | Estado de Mexico | 4.6 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 5.171 |
| 25 | Sinaloa | 6.0 | 3.7 | 5.6 | 5.143 |
| 26 | Tamaulipas | 5.3 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 5.142 |
| 27 | Guanajuato | 5.5 | 4.5 | 4.8 | 4.986 |
| 28 | Campeche | 5.7 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 4.976 |
| 29 | Querétaro | 4.7 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 4.950 |
| 30 | Yucatan | 4.7 | 4.1 | 5.8 | 4.929 |
| 31 | Baja California Sur | 4.7 | 3.9 | 5.5 | 4.741 |
| 32 | Hidalgo | 4.1 | 4.9 | 4.7 | 4.594 |
