In sampling from finite populations to estimate the finite population mean/total of the study variable, one often observes available information on an associated auxiliary variable along with study variable to obtain an estimator, which is more efficient than the simple mean per unit estimator based on observations on study variable only. The classical ratio estimator is one such estimator, which is simple to compute and is more efficient than the simple mean per unit estimator under certain conditions. However, the ratio estimator in spite of its simplicity is a biased estimator having bias of , being the sample size. The bias may be negligible when the sample size is very large. For small sample size the bias may be substantially large so as to make the estimate unreliable to be used in practice. Beale (1962) and Tin (1965) have suggested some modified forms of ratio estimator which remove the first order bias, thus reducing the biases to . Such modified ratio estimators are called Almost Unbiased Ratio estimators. This paper deals with construction of Generalized class of Almost unbiased ratio estimators using Srivastava’s (1971) generalized class of estimators and finds their expected values and variances in a generalized form. Further, as special cases Bahl-Tuteja’s (1991) ratio type exponential estimator and Swain’s (2014) square root transformation ratio type estimator are compared with regard to bias and efficiency along with numerical illustrations.
Large scale sample surveys are conducted in countries around the world, especially in developing countries to assess the present status of socio-economic scenario and also for future planning for development. In sample surveys auxiliary variables are often observed along with the main variable under study to estimate the parameters of the main variable with greater precision. In case of a single auxiliary variable positively correlated with the main variable the simplest method is the ratio method of estimation to estimate the population mean/population total/population ratio. The earliest use of ratio method of estimation in sample surveys is due to Cochran (1940) among many others. During last eight decades a large number of research papers on different aspects of ratio method of estimation and their modifications have been published. In spite of its simplicity the ratio estimate is a biased estimate, although bias decreases with increase in sample size. For small samples, the bias may be substantial, more so in stratification where the bias accumulates over strata to make the estimator sometimes unacceptable to be used in practice.This has made many research workers in sampling theory to devise techniques either changing the sampling scheme or at the estimation stage to reduce bias of ratio estimator completely or to almost unbiased.
Researches for reducing the bias of the ratio estimator date back to 1950’s through the illuminating works of Koop (1951), Lahiri (1951), Midzuno (1952), and Sen (1952), Hartley and Ross (1954), Goodman and Hartley (1958), Mickey (1959), Quenouille (1956), Durbin (1959), Pascual (1961), Williams (1961), Beale (1962), and Tin (1965) among many others. Some important discussions on bias reduction are found in Rao and Webster (1966), Chakrabarty (1968), and Mussa (1999). The ratio estimators whose biases of are removed and thus reducing the biases to , being the sample size, are termed as almost unbiased ratio or ratio-type estimators.
Lahiri (1951), Midzuno (1952), and Sen (1952) proposed sampling schemes to make the ratio estimator unbiased. Murthy and Nanjamma (1959) and Murthy (1962) used interpenetrating sub-samples to derive almost unbiased estimates.
Hartley and Ross (1954) introduced an alternative estimator of the population ratio/mean using mean of ratios. de Pascual (1961) discussed unbiased ratio estimates in stratified random sampling. Rao and Swain (2014) derived a class of alternative Hartley-Ross unbiased estimators in simple random sampling. Williams (1961) proposed a method for deriving unbiased ratio and regression estimators of which Hartley-Ross estimator is a special case. Huchinson (1971) made a Monte Carlo study of Hartley-Ross estimator along with other choices.
Biradar and Singh (1992) considered a weighted combination of simple mean per unit estimator, ratio estimator, and mean of the ratios estimator to derive a class of unbiased estimators.
Al-Jaraha (2008) has made some illuminating discussions on unbiased ratio estimators and has generalized Hartley-Ross estimator by introducing inclusion probabilities.
Beale (1962) and Tin (1965) used the estimate of the first order bias of ratio estimator in different forms and suggested almost unbiased ratio-type estimators whose first order biases are removed and the ultimate biases reducing to . Durbin (1959) utilizing Quenouille’s (1956) technique proposed a method of bias reduction of ratio estimator by an adjustment after splitting the sample in two halves.
Chakrabarty (1968) and Mussa (1999) considered a bias reduction technique by taking a weighted combination of classical ratio estimator and almost unbiased estimators such as those due to Quenouille (1956) and Tin (1965). Such techniques remove the first order bias of the ratio estimator, thus reducing the bias to .
Srivastava (1971) proposed a generalized class of estimators which includes all ratio type estimators as special cases. Prabhu-Ajgaonkar (1993) proved the non-existence of an optimum estimator in Srivastava’s generalized class of estimators.
A new technique advocated by Singh and Singh (1991) is to make the linear variety of ratio-type estimators almost unbiased through ‘almost bias precipitate filtration’ (for details see Singh, 2003). In this paper a generalized class of Beale type and Tin type almost unbiased ratio estimators are constructed using Srivastava’s (1971) generalized class of estimators and some of its special cases are compared with regard to bias and efficiency along with numerical illustrations.
Ratio estimator its modifications
Let there be a finite population (S) of size distinguishable units . Each unit is indexed by a pair of correlated real variables where is the study variable and is the auxiliary variable. The corresponding values of are .
A simple random sample of size without replacement is selected from the finite population (S). The sample units are with paired values .
Define and as the finite population means of and respectively.
The population ratio .
The finite population variances of and , and covariance between and are respectively defined as
and are the squared coefficients of variations of and respectively, and is the coefficient co-variation between and , and being the correlation coefficient between and .
The sample means of and are and respectively.
The sample variances of and are respectively and . The sample covariance between and is , and .
Sample ratio .
Write .
The ratio estimator of population mean , when is known, is given by
The ratio estimator of population ratio is
The expected value of to first order of approximation, that is, to is given by
The bias of to is
and the variance of to is
Thus, if the sample size is sufficiently large such that the coefficient of variation of less than say 0.1, the bias may be considered negligible compared to its standard deviation (Cochran, 1977). When the regression of on is linear and passes through the origin the classical ratio estimator attains the minimum possible variance. When this condition does not hold good, the ratio estimator is conditionally more efficient than the simple mean per unit estimator if
Hence, there exists other ratio-type of estimators which are less biased and more efficient than ratio estimator on certain zone of preference depending on the value of . Towards this end, some research workers have taken recourse to different transformation techniques on the auxiliary variable , for instance, power transformation, proposed by Srivastava (1967), exponential transformation suggested by Bahl and Tuteja (1992) and linear transformation suggested by Walsh (1970), Reddy (1974), Mohanty and Das (1971), Srivenkataramana (1978), Sisodia and Dwivedi (1981), Mohanty and Sahoo (1995), Upadhyaya and Singh (1984, 1999), Singh and Tailor (2003), Kadilar and Cingi (2004, 2006), Gupta and Shabbir (2007, 2008), Singh et al. (2008), Khoshnevisan et al. (2007) among others.
As the bias of ratio estimator to becomes substantial for small sample sizes, research workers have constructd ratio-type estimators, whose biases to are removed and the ultimate biases become of resulting in almost unbiased ratio estimators. In this paper discussions are restricted to Beale’s and Tin’s almost unbiased ratio estimators.
Almost unbiased ratio-type estimators
Beale (1962) proposed an almost unbiased ratio estimator given by
where and are consistent estimators of and respectively.
Tin (1965) proposed another almost unbiased ratio estimators by subtracting the estimate of first order bias from the estimator itself given by
Both Beale’s and Tin’s estimators use same set of sample information and to formulate their almost unbiased ratio-type estimators. Tin (1965) showed that in samping from finite populations and also under bivariate normality, the Beale’s estimator is less biased than and equally efficient with to and empirically appears to be a better type of estimator as regards bias and efficiency. Beale’s estimator is in fractional form and has inbuilt property that it controls extreme values for the estimators. For instance, when is small or even 0, Beale’s estimator is dominanted by and hence will not give extreme values, where as Tin’s estimator is dominated by and hence is extremely large when is is small. Tin’s estimator is beset with a disvantage that it sometimes (on rare occasions) gives a negative estimate for a positive parameter (Tin, 1965). De-Graft Johnson (1969) and David (1971) have given illuminating discussions on almost unbiased ratio-type estimators. Srivastava et al. (1983) derived exact bias and mean square error of Beale’s estimator under bivariate normal model in the form an infinite series.
A generalized class of almost unbiased ratio estimators
Srivastava (1971) proposed a general class of estimators of the population mean of the study variable in the presence of a single auxiliary variable with known population mean , is given by
where (i) is the sample mean of based on a simple random sample of size from the finite population consisting of units. (ii) and is a parametric function, such that it satisfies the following conditions (a) 1, (b) The first and second order derivatives of with respect to exist and are known constants at a given point 1.
In the present discourse it is further assumed that third and fourth order derivatives of with respect 1 exist and are known constants. Expanding about the point 1 in a fourth order Taylor’s series, we have
Write with . Assuming that 1, the higher degree terms greater than four may be assumed to be neglected. Thus we have
where , , , and where , , and are known constants.
Thus,
Retaining first three terms in , we have to
where and are coefficient of variation and coefficient of co-variation between and in the population.
To ,
Following Tin (1965), we subtract the estimate of the first order bias from the estimator itself to get an almost unbiased estimator in the form
where and are consistent estimators of and respectively.
Earlier, Beale (1962) proposed an innovative technique, which is in ratio form, given in generalized form as
Define the bivariate moments in finite population set up
Thus, assuming for large , , , and .
In the derivations that follow the results of bivariate moments given by Tin (1965) and De-Graft Johnson (1969) are used.
For large ,
where and where 0.
Assuming 1, 1, 1, and 1 for all possible samples and using traditional techniques (see Sukhatme et al., 1984) and keeping terms up to and assuming we find
Tin type generalized almost unbiased ratio estimator:
Beale type generalized almost unbiased ratio estimator:
Comparison of Beale type and Tin type Generalizes almost unbiased estimators:
provided, 0.
Some special classes of almost unbiased ratio-type estimators
Srivastava (1967) proposed a class of ratio-type estmators given by
where is a non-zero real number.
Here .
Thus, , , and .
Walsh (1970) suggested another class of estimators given by , where is a non-zero real number.
Here .
Thus, , , and .
Reddy (1974) suggested a class of estimators, given by
Here , , , and .
Khoshnevisan et al. (2007) following Srivastava (1967), Walsh (1970) and Reddy (1974) suggested a general family of estimators for estimating population mean of the study variable using some known functions of polulation parameter(s) of the auxiliary variable. This family of ratio-type estmators is given by
Here .
Here , , , and , where , and are non-zero real numbers, and and are known constants or known values of population parameters of the auxiliary variable , such as standard deviation of , coefficient of variation of , correlation coefficient between and , coefficient of skewness of , coefficient of kurtosis of , minimum and maximum values of , etc.
Note: The expected values and variances of , , and to can be obtained by substituting corresponding , , , and in Eqs (17) and (18) respectively. The expected values of Tin-type and Beale-type almost unbiased ratio-type estimators to can be obtained by substituting , , , and in Eqs (19) and (21) respectively and for variances in Eqs (20) and (22) respectively.
Some special cases of almost unbiased ratio type estimators under simple random sampling
Almost unbiased classical ratio estimator
1, 1, 1, and 1.
Substituting the values of , and in Eqs (17)–(22), we have to
These reslts are due to Tin (1965) and De-Graft Johnson (1969).
Almost unbiased ratio-type exponential estimator
Bahl-Tuteja (1991) proposed a ratio type exponential estimator as
Here, , , , , and .
Substituting in relevant expressions in Eqs (17)–(22), the following results are obtained.
The expected value and variance of Bahl-Tuteja ratio-type exponential estimator to as
Tin type almost unbiased estimator for Bahl-Tuteja estimator
Beale type almost unbiased estimator for Bahl-Tuteja estimator
Almost unbiased square root transformation ratio estimators
Swain (2014) proposed a square root transformation estimator given by
which can be put in Srivstava’s generalized class, where . We find , , , and .
The Tin type and Beale type almost unbiased square root transformation estimators are respectively
Substituting in relevant expressions in Eqs (17)–(22), the following results are obtained.
The expressions for the expected value and variance of square root estimator to are given below
Tin type almost unbiased square root estimator
Beale type almost unbiased square root estimator
Comparison of almost unbiased estimators of ratio type exponential estimator
B()
B()
V()
V()
Pop-1
1/10
0.000451522
5.1199864E05
0.145409
0.150557
1/20
0.00011288
1.2799966E05
0.073556
0.074843
1/50
1.80609E05
2.04799E06
0.029627
0.029832
1/100
4.51522E06
5.11999E07
0.014847
0.014899
Pop-2
1/10
0.00155
1.6076003E03
0.15518
0.160936
1/20
0.000387
4.0190008E04
0.078593
0.080032
1/50
6.2E05
6.4304E05
0.031678
0.031908
1/100
1.55E05
1.6076E05
0.015879
0.015937
Pop-3
1/10
0.018963
2.9385920E02
0.014743
0.094776
1/20
0.004741
7.3464801E03
0.02539
0.045398
1/50
0.000759
0.001175437
0.014481
0.017682
1/100
0.00019
0.000293859
0.007961
0.008761
Pop-5
1/10
0.000498
5.0625480E04
0.166505
0.169192
1/20
0.000124
1.2656370E04
0.08363
0.084302
1/50
1.99E05
2.02502E05
0.033543
0.03365
1/100
4.98E06
5.06255E06
0.016786
0.016813
Comments: In case of ratio type exponential estimator Beale type estimator is more efficient than Tin type estimator for all populations under consideration, Also, Beale type estimator is less biased than Tin type estimator, except for population 1 where Tin type estimator is marginally less biased than Beale type estimator.
Comparison of almost unbiased ratio-type exponential estimator and square root transformation ratio estimator in infinite populations when and y follow a bivariate normal distribution.
To ,
will be less biased than if .
is more efficient than if .
That is, if 1/2 or .
will be less biased than if .
is more efficient than if 0, which is always true.
will be less biased than if .
is more efficient than if 0, which is always true.
Note: is positive because and are positively correlated. Assume that and are positively measured.
Numerical illustrations
Consider four bivariate natural populations (1, 2, 3, and 5), each of size 3164, with relevant parameters given by De-Graft Johnson (1969). The Beale type and Tin type estimators to are compared for Bahl-Tuteja’s estimator and Swain’s Square root transformation ratio estimator (Tables 1 and 2). Computations are carried out omitting the constant multipliers.
Comparison of almost unbiased ratio type Square root transformation estimator
B()
B()
V()
V()
Pop-1
1/10
0.00045152
0.00179427
0.14606143
0.14988051
1/20
0.00011288
0.00044857
0.07371873
0.07467350
1/50
0.00001806
0.00007177
0.02965262
0.02980538
1/100
0.00000452
0.00001794
0.01485383
0.01489202
Pop-2
1/10
0.00154964
0.00048017
0.15592935
0.16030793
1/20
0.00038741
0.00012004
0.07878053
0.07987517
1/50
0.00006199
0.00001921
0.03170801
0.03188316
1/100
0.00001550
0.00000480
0.01588664
0.01593043
Pop-3
1/10
0.01896277
0.00493000
0.02561605
0.08892160
1/20
0.00474069
0.00123250
0.02810839
0.04393478
1/50
0.00075851
0.00019720
0.01491544
0.01744766
1/100
0.00018963
0.00004930
0.00806974
0.00870279
Pop-5
1/10
0.00049767
0.00041688
0.16684732
0.16884761
1/20
0.00012442
0.00010422
0.08371552
0.08421559
1/50
0.00001991
0.00001668
0.03355625
0.03363626
1/100
0.00000498
0.00000417
0.01678980
0.01680980
Comments: In case of square root transformation estimator Beale type estimator is more efficient than Tin type estimator for all populations, but marginally more biased than Tin type estimator except for population 1.
Conclusions
Tin type and Beale type generalized class of almost unbiased ratio-type estimators have been derived using Srivastava’s (1971) generalized class of estimators. As special cases, Bahl-Tuteja’s and Swain’s square root transformation estimators are compared with regard to bias and efficiency. Under bivariate normality, is more efficient than if 1/2, but conditionally less biased than . In case of both these estimators Beale’s estimator is more efficient than Tin’s estimator to and conditionally less biased than Tin’s estimator. In contrast Beale’s estimator is less biased than Tin’s estimator to and of equal efficiency to that of Tin’s estimator to the same order in case of simple ratio estimator. Numerical illustrations show that Beal type estimator performs well compared to Tin type estimator for both Bahl-Tuteja and Swain’s square root transformation ratio estimators.
Footnotes
Acknowledgments
The author wishes to express sincere thanks to Professor Sarjinder Singh, Texas A & M University, USA for going through the manuscript and rendering considered opinion and comments.
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