Abstract
In this paper, classical as well as Bayesian estimation of stress strength reliability

Introduction
Dagum distribution was suggested by Dagum (1977) for the personal income data with an alternative to the Pareto and Log-normal model. The Dagum distribution is also identified as the inverse Burr XII distribution, mainly in the actuarial literature. Kleiber (2008) have showed the application of Dagum distribution in income inequality. Domma (2011) presented the maximum likelihood estimates for the parameters of Dagum distribution under type I right censored and type-II double censored data. Shahzad and Asghar (2013) used TL-moments to estimate the parameters of this distribution. Oluyede and Ye (2014) proposed the weighted Dagum and related distribution with several properties. Dey et al. (2017) provided the properties and different method of estimation of the parameters of Dagum distribution.
This distribution has been widely used in various directions such as, wealth data, income and meterological data, reliability and survival analysis. Domma (2002) has showed that hazard function of Dagum distribution can be monotonically decreasing and bathtub shaped. This behaviour has gained the attention of researchers in different direction such as reliability and survival analysis. Domma et al. (2011) provided the several reliability measures with their characteristics of Dagum distribution. Ahmed (2015) provided the inference about the stress-strength reliability of Dagum distribution for complete sample.
This paper considers the estimation of stress-strength reliability for Dagum distribution under progressive type-II censored sample. Assume that, the strength of a component is represented by
The scheme of the paper is as follows: In Section 2, an overview related to model with some distributional properties and stress-strength reliability are given. A brief detail of progressive type-II censoring is also given in Section 2. Section 3 deals with MLEs of stress-strength reliability of the Dagum distribution. The asymptotic confidence interval, bootstrap percentile (boot-p) and bootstrap-t (boot-t) confidence intervals are also defined in Section 3. Section 4 deals with Bayesian estimation of stress-strength reliability using informative as well as non-informative priors. Highest posterior density (HPD) credible intervals are also defined in Section 4. A Monte Carlo simulation is carried out for classical as well as Bayesian estimation of stress strength reliability under different configuration of sample size. The mean square error (MSE) and asymptotic, boot-p and boot-t confidence intervals are obtained in Section 5. The expected loss along with HPD credible intervals are also obtained in Section 5. Real data set are considered for the illustration purpose in Section 6. Section 7 concludes the consequences of simulation study and real data sets.
Model
Let a random variable T follows the Dagum distribution with parameters
and the probability density function (pdf) is
where
Suppose
The plot of stress-strength reliability for different values of
Stress-strength reliability for Dagum distribution.
When all units cannot be observed up to their failure due to time, cost and other circumstances then requirement of censoring is essential. Type-I and type-II censoring schemes are commonly used censoring schemes. In type-II censoring, the life testing experiment is terminated at a pre fixed number of failures observed while in type-I censoring, the experiment is terminated at a pre fixed time. Hence type-I and type-II censoring schemes are also named as time censoring and failure censoring schemes, respectively. Arora et al. (2019) discussed the Bayesian estimation of reliability measures for Topp-Leone distribution using type-II censoring scheme. These censoring schemes do not provide the facility to remove the units during the experiment. To answer this problem, Cohen (1963) offered a more general censoring scheme named as progressive type-II censoring.
The progressive type-II censoring have an important role in life time data analysis, and reliability field and is a suitable scheme in which units are allowed to be removed from the experiment at each of several ordered failure times (Fernandez (2004)). Balakrishnan and Aggarwala (2000) delivered an excellent review of the progressive censoring. Recent work on progressive censoring can be seen in Rastogi et al. (2012), Ahmed (2014), Tian et al. (2014).
Progressive type-II censoring scheme can be explained as: suppose
In case of progressive type-II censoring, the likelihood function is given by Balakrishnan and Sandhu (1995) as
where
To generate the progressive type-II censored sample from Dagum distribution, the procedure given in Balakrishnan and Aggarwala (2000) is followed.
Generate Set Given censoring scheme
Now, Set Set
where
Let
where
From Eq. (5), log-likelihood function of
where
Now, MLEs
After solving Eqs (7) and (8) by numerical methods such as Newton-Raphson method (Dube et al. (2016)), we get the MLEs of
Profile log-likelihood function of 
The profile log-likelihood function of
It is not easy to find the exact distribution of
where
Bootstrap confidence interval
There are two types of confidence intervals obtained: bootstrap percentile (boot-p) and Studentized-t (boot-t) Interval Procedure. For the convenience, let
(a) Bootstrap percentile (boot-p) Interval Procedure
Efron (1982) proposed the procedure of boot-p confidence interval as follows:
Generate progressive type-II censored samples Generate Repeat step (ii) B times to calculate MLEs Arrange these MLEs Two sided
(b) Studentized-t (boot-t) Interval Procedure
Hall (1988) proposed the procedure of boot-t confidence interval as follows:
Step (i) and (ii) are same as in above section (a).
Define a statistic as Repeat step (ii) and (iii) B times and get Two sided
In this Section, Bayes estimators for
Squared Error Loss Function (SELF)
The squared error loss function is defined as
Generalized Entropy Loss Function (GELF)
Squared error loss function gives equal weights to under estimation and over estimation. However, in many situations under estimation is more serious than over estimations and vice versa. So, in order to overcome this difficulty, another useful asymmetric loss function namely generalized entropy loss function is used here.
Generalized entropy loss function is an asymmetric loss function and defined by Calabria and Pulcini (1996). This loss function is a generalization of the entropy loss function and defined as
where
Gamma Prior
Gamma prior is frequently used informative prior due to its flexibility (Dey & Tanujit, 2014; Kumari et al., 2019). Assuming the parameters
where
The joint prior density of
Remark
If the value of all hyper parameters is zero i.e.,
The joint posterior distribution of the unknown parameters
where
Hence, joint posterior distribution of the unknown parameters
Since, the joint posterior distribution of
The Metropolis-Hastings (M-H) algorithm can be used to generate random samples from any complex distribution of any dimension that is known up to a normalizing constant. The M-H algorithm was given by Metropolis et al. (1953) and later extended by Hastings (1970). The full conditional posterior distribution of parameters
The full posterior conditional distributions of
Start with the initial values Set Generate proposal values Compute the acceptance ratio
Generate two random numbers Accept Obtain Set Repeat step 1–8
The Bayes estimator of
Remark
Bayes estimators and expected loss function of
HPD Credible Intervals
Chen and Shao (1999) introduced the algorithm to find the HPD credible intervals.
Once the posterior sample is generated for
where
In this section, Monte Carlo simulation study using R software is carried out to obtain MLEs and Bayes estimates of
To generate the progressive type-II censored sample from Dagum distribution, the procedure given in Balakrishnan (2000) is followed. This procedure is also discussed by Krishna and Kumar (2013) and they have generated progressive type-II censored sample from generalized inverted exponential distribution. For simulation, different combinations of sample sizes are considered for
To understand the notations given in Table 1, consider few cases for
Combinations of different sample sizes and their respective censoring scheme
MCMC technique of M-H algorithm used in which a chain of 15,000 observations is generated with 2000 burn-in period i.e., first 2000 observations are discarded as burn-in period from 15,000 observations. This burn-in period decided by cumulative mean plots and the lag value is 20 which is decided by autocorrelation plots i.e., after discarding first 2000 observations as burn-in period from 15,000 observations, take every 20
Tables 2–4 represents mean square error (MSE), length of 95% asymptotic, boot-p and boot-t confidence intervals. The length of asymptotic confidence interval is larger than the others confidence intervals [Tables 2–4]. The length of asymptotic, boot-p and boot-t confidence intervals decreases as the proportion of failure
Tables 5–7 represents expected loss functions, 95% HPD credible intervals length for
MSE and 95% asymptotic, boot-p and boot-t confidence intervals length for
MSE and 95% asymptotic, boot-p and boot-t confidence intervals length for
MSE and 95% asymptotic, boot-p and boot-t confidence intervals length for
Expected loss functions and length of HPD credible intervals for
Expected loss functions and length of HPD credible intervals for
Expected loss functions and length of HPD credible intervals for
Results:
In case of MLE of While deriving Bayes estimates of Also in case of Bayesian estimation, the length of credible intervals for gamma prior is less than in case of non-informative prior. The length of 95% HPD credible intervals decreases as the proportion of failure increases. As the proportion of failure increases, the expected loss function decreases.
Real data analysis
In this Section, a pair of real data set reported by Badar and Priest (1982) is considered for illustration purpose. The data represent the strength measured in GPA of single-carbon fibres and impregnated 1000-carbon fibre tows. Single-carbon fibres were tested under tension at gauge lengths of 1, 10, 20, and 50 mm. Impregnated tows of 1000-carbon fibres were tested at gauge lengths of 20, 50, 150, and 300 mm. Kundu and Gupta (2006) considered the strength data of single fibres of 10 and 20 mm in gauge length, with sample sizes 63 and 69 after subtracting 0.75 from both the data sets, respectively for Weibull distribution in complete sample case. The transformed data sets are given below:
Gauge length 10 mm (X): 1.151, 1.382, 1.453, 1.478, 1.507, 1.600, 1.611, 1.646, 1.647, 1.695, 1.704, 1.724, 1.768, 1.772, 1.775, 1.782, 1.825, 1.864, 1.866, 1.868, 1.874, 1.909, 1.925, 1.988, 1.990, 2.106, 2.167, 2.178, 2.187, 2.187, 2.227, 2.246, 2.280, 2.375, 2.389, 2.395, 2.470, 2.473, 2.485, 2.493, 2.514, 2.522, 2.544, 2.582, 2.596, 2.627, 2.658, 2.685, 2.743, 2.751, 2.787, 2.804, 2.812, 2.878, 3.102, 3.121, 3.136, 3.221, 3.274, 3.277, 3.475, 3.645, 4.270. Gauge length 20 mm (Y): 0.562, 0.564, 0.729, 0.802, 0.950, 1.053, 1.111, 1.115, 1.194, 1.208, 1.216, 1.247, 1.256, 1.271, 1.277, 1.305, 1.313, 1.348, 1.390, 1.429, 1.474, 1.490, 1.503, 1.520, 1.522, 1.524, 1.551, 1.551, 1.609, 1.632, 1.632, 1.676, 1.684, 1.685, 1.728, 1.740, 1.761, 1.764, 1.785, 1.804, 1.816, 1.820, 1.836, 1.879, 1.883, 1.892, 1.898, 1.934, 1.947, 1.976, 2.020, 2.023, 2.050, 2.059, 2.068, 2.071, 2.098, 2.130, 2.204, 2.262, 2.317, 2.334, 2.340, 2.346, 2.378, 2.483, 2.683, 2.835, 2.835.
Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K–S) test is used for each data set to fit the model. It is observed that for data sets
Now, we generate progressive type-II censored samples from the above data sets using R.3.5.2. software following the procedure discussed by Krishna and Kumar (2013). Different types of progressive type-II censoring schemes are considered for real data sets
Using M-H algorithm, a chain of 15000 observations is generated for the above real data sets. Also the convergence and randomness of observations has been checked by cumulative mean plot and trace plot respectively. The burn-in period in 2000 with a lag value is 20.
Different censoring scheme for real data where
MSE and 95% asymptotic, boot-p and boot-t confidence intervals length, expected loss functions and length of HPD credible intervals of
The classical as well as Bayesian estimation of
This paper deals with the estimation of stress strength reliability
From the obtained results, it can be seen that the length of asymptotic confidence intervals is larger than the others confidence intervals [Tables 2–4]. The length of asymptotic, boot-p and boot-t confidence intervals decreases as the proportion of failure
As the proportions of failure increases, the expected loss function decreases as is seen from the Tables 5–7. The length of 95% HPD credible intervals decreases as the proportion of failure increases for the Bayes estimates of
Footnotes
Acknowledgments
The authors are thankful to the anonymous reviewers and the editor for their valuable suggestions and comments which has led to an improvement in the manuscript. We also like to acknowledge with thanks the financial assistance provided by the UGC, New Delhi, India. All the authors also acknowledge the support provided by DST under PURSE grant.
