In this paper, we consider the risk model perturbed by an independent diffusion process with a time delay in the arrival of the first claim. We derive the distribution of the counting process of the risk process, the integro-differential equations of the ruin probabilities and generalize its defective renewal equations. With claim amounts following exponential and mixed exponential distributions, explicit expressions and asymptotic properties of the ruin probabilities are derived. Numerical illustrations of the ruin probabilities are proposed when claim amounts are exponentially and mixed exponentially distributed. We extend the results to the case of the delayed renewal risk model with exchangeable risks which captures the possible dependence between inter-arrival times of the claims and derive the associated ruin probabilities.
The ordinary renewal risk model, usually referred to as the Sparre Andersen model, is often used to model the insurer’s surplus process. See [11,15,22], and references therein. This in turn is built on the classical compound Poisson process. Here, it is assumed that inter-claims times are exponentially distributed, claim sizes and inter-claims times are independent. Due to certain inadequacies of the classical compound risk model, the Gerber-Shiu function was introduced. This function allowed the inter-claims times to follow an arbitrary distribution. As a result, ruin probabilities and many ruin related quantities could be analytically studied. See [5,10,16]. As an extension to their work [9]. introduced a discounted penalty function with respect to the time of ruin, the surplus immediately before the ruin and the deficit at ruin to analyse these ruin related quantities in a unified manner. Subsequently the Gerber-Shiu discounted penalty function for the compound Poisson risk model has been extensively studied. See [16,19]. In the classical compound Poisson risk model, the stationary and independent increment assumptions on the surplus process play an important role. Sometimes, insurance claims may be delayed due to various reasons, thus classical assumptions are very restrictive in some applications.
In the literature the Gerber-Shiu function satisfies a defective renewal equation in the ordinary Sparre Andersen model, and one can use mathematical tools to solve the defective renewal equations. Because the assumption of independence and identical distribution for the claim inter time arrival may not be realistic, extensions to that model are made in many papers. Thus, the Gerber-Shiu function in the delayed renewal model has also been considered where the first inter claim time is assumed to follow a (possibly) different density than the common density of the subsequent inter-claims times as is discussed in [1,21,23]. Generalizations of the Gerber-Shiu function have also been studied, for example [6]. A Gerber-Shiu function that has been generalized to a more general cost function is considered in [4] and the Gerber-Shiu function at absolute ruin is considered in [3]. There has also been a considerable amount of research on models where the claim size and the inter-claims times are assumed to be dependent, preceding authors are [2,24,25].
Dufresne and Gerber [7] extended the classical model of collective risk theory by adding a diffusion process to the compound Poisson model. They showed that the probabilities of ruin (by oscillation or by a claim) satisfy certain defective renewal equations and derived the convolution formula for the probability of ruin and interpreted it in terms of the record highs of the aggregate loss process. [19] in their paper consider the surplus process of the classical continuous time risk model assuming independent diffusion (Wiener)process. They generalized the defective renewal equation for the expected discounted function of a penalty at the time of ruin in [9]. Wang [20] worked on a decomposition of the ruin probability for the risk process perturbed by diffusion. Gao and Wu [8] worked on the Gerber–Shiu discounted penalty function in a risk model with two types of delayed-claims and random income. They developed a new delayed model with random premium income and two types of by-claims, and then derived an integral system of equations for the Gerber–Shiu discounted penalty function and explicit solution of the Laplace transform of the discounted penalty function. They proved that the discounted penalty function satisfies a defective renewal equation and obtained an explicit result of the ruin probability under the exponential distribution. Zhang and Yang [27] worked on Gerber–Shiu analysis in a perturbed risk model with dependence between claim sizes and inter-claim times, where they also consider that the compound Poisson risk model is perturbed by a Brownian motion. Lee and Willmot [13] worked on the moments of the time to ruin in dependent Sparre Andersen models with emphasis on Coxian inter-claim times. The objective of this paper is to consider the risk model introduced by [7] and extends some results by taking into account the delay in the arrival of the first claim arrival time, and then extend the results to the case of the delayed renewal risk model with exchangeable risks and derive the associated ruin probabilities.
The paper is structured as follows. In Section 2, the risk model is presented. In Sections 3 and 4, we derive the distribution of the counting process and the equation for the Lundberg adjustment coefficient and its solution. Sections 5–8 deal with the integro-differential equations, the defective equations, their solutions and illustrations. Section 9 deals with the risk model with exchangeable risks and its numerical illustration followed by the conclusion.
Risk model
We consider the following compound aggregate delay Poisson risk process perturbed by an independent diffusion process. The claim inter-arrival times are assumed to be independent with exponential distribution with time delay in the arrival of the first claim. The surplus process at time t is: where u is the initial surplus and c the rate at which premiums are received per unit of time. denote the delayed renewal process and the ordinary renewal process is denoted by Nt and 𝜎 represents the volatility that accounts for the perturbation of the diffusion process.
The hypotheses of the model are summarized in the following:
The time arrival of the first claim V1 is exponentially distributed with parameter 𝜆1, i.e V1 ∼ Exp (𝜆1);
Claim inter-arrival time are independent and identically distributed (iid) with Vi ∼ V ∼ Exp (𝜆), ∀i ≥ 2;
are iid and distributed as the generic X;
and are mutually independent;
the standard Brownian motion (Bt)t≥0 is independent to the claim process.
if a random variable W is exponentially distributed, i.e, W ∼ Exp (𝜆) then its probability density function (p.d.f) is defined as fW(t) = 𝜆e−𝜆t; its cumulative distribution function (c.d.f) is defined as FW(t) = 1 − e−𝜆t, t ≥ 0 and the Laplace transform of fW is .
Distribution of the counting process
In this section, we derive the distribution of the counting process of the delayed renewal process when the inter arrival times of the claims are assumed to be exponentially distributed, and check it is consistent with the distribution in the ordinary renewal process.
Assuming that the arrival time of the first claim is exponentially distributed with parameter 𝜆1 (i.e V1 ∼ Exp (𝜆1)) and the inter arrival time of the others claims is exponentially distributed with parameter 𝜆 (i.e V ∼ Exp (𝜆2)) the p.d.f of the counting process satisfies the following:
Denote Tn = V1 + V2 + ⋯ + Vn, n ≥ 0 with T0 = 0. Since we have:
From [14] we get and substituting (3) in (2) we have
Using Lebesgue’s theorem, for , we get the result for the ordinary renewal Poisson process i.e .
Lundberg-type equation
Our goal is to determine the explicit expression for the ruin probability in the delayed risk model perturbed by a diffusion process. We introduce in this section a generalized version of the Lundberg equation for the risk process, and then we analyse the number of its roots. We need these roots to derive the defective renewal equation for the ruin probability.
Define the ruin probability by which is the first time the surplus level falls bellow zero. The time of ruin 𝜏 is: To guarantee that ruin will not almost surely occur(i.e the ultimate ruin probability P[𝜏 < ∞|U0=u] is not almost sure equal to one), the premium rate c is such that the
The delayed ruin probability md can be decomposed as md(u) = 𝜙d(u) + 𝜓d(u) where and This decomposition can be explained by the fact that if the ruin occurs it can be caused by the oscillation or by the claim. Let’s denote by 𝜙, 𝜓 the ruin probability caused claim and by oscillation in the ordinary risk model.
Let’s consider the sequence of the surplus at the nth claim such that where is the time of the occurrence of the n − th claim. Setting the surplus immediately after the nth claim , with the properties of the Brownian motion (independent increment and stationarity) we get To proceed, we first determine s such that is a martingale. Let’s Zn = esUn, therefore Assuming that the adaptability and integrability conditions are met, the martingale condition is satisfied if Let L (s) = E[e−𝛿V +s (cV +𝜎BV−X)]. The generalized Lundberg equation associated with the risk model in ((1)), n ≥ 2 is given by the following ordinary Lundberg equation, where Equation ((4)) has exactly one null root at 𝜌 = 0 in the right complex plane. See [19].
Integro-differential equation
In this section we derive the integro-differential equations satisfied by the ruin probability caused by the claims 𝜙d and the ruin probability caused the perturbations 𝜓d.
Under the assumptions of the delayed and perturbed risk model defined in Section (2), the ruin probabilities satisfy the following equations.
The ruin probability 𝜙d caused by claim satisfies the following differential equation.
The ruin probability 𝜓d caused by the oscillation satisfies the following differential equation
We consider a time interval and condition on the fact that the claim may occur or not to get the proof.
1. Let the consider the infinitesimal time interval [0, h], h > 0. where , By conditioning on the fact that a claim may occur or not and conditioning on the first claim in the time interval [0, h] we derive the following equation: We have the following approximating result:
Now let By the Ito’s lemma we have Or equivalently, thus From we have or for t →0 Thus
Using from [14] and by substituting ((8)), ((10)) in the expression of ((7)) gives: or equivalently, In Eq. ((11)), letting h →0 and using ((9)) gives the following differential equation: Note that for 𝜆1 →𝜆 we find the equation in the ordinary renewal risk model: which is the result of [7]. 2- Using the same arguments as in the derivation of 𝜙d we get and letting h →0 gives the following differential equation For 𝜆1 →𝜆 we get which is the result of [7].
The defective renewal equation
In this section we prove that the ruin probability caused by claims and the ruin probability caused the oscillation both satisfy a defective renewal equation. Let’s define and denote its Laplace transform by .
Under the condition of the risk model,
The ruin probability 𝜙d caused by the claims satisfies the defective renewal equation:
The ruin probability 𝜓d caused by the oscillation satisfies the defective renewal equation: The Laplace transform of k, g and h are given by: and r the positive root of .
Note that when 𝜆1 →𝜆 we get the result (12) of [9].
Taking the Laplace transform of (5), we have which gives,
Substituting the positive root r of the equation 𝜆1− and 𝜙d(0) = 0 in the equivalent expression implies that . Thus In the expression of given by the Laplace transform from the Eq. ((13)), by substituting (𝜌 = 0) the null root of the equation and 𝜙(0) = 0 implies . Thus we get By substituting ((19)) in ((18)) leads to the following expression of the Laplace transform:
Equivalently from ((20)) we have And from the null root 𝜌 = 0 of the Lundberg equation we have the following Substituting ((22)) in the Eq. ((21)) we get: which is equivalent to Thus Setting and we get 2- In the same way, taking the Laplace transform of ((14)), ((15)) and introducing the roots 𝜌 = 0 and r we get the following: with and . Since 𝜓(0) = 𝜓d(0) =1, substituting ((24)) in ((23)) and using ((22)) we get,
Thus
If 𝜆1 →𝜆 we get the result of [19] and the one of [9] with 𝛿 = 0.
the reasons for the remark are that: for , thus From the Eq. (22) we get We also note that Finally with g given in (26).
Expressions of g, k and h
With the following relation for all positive 𝜌, if we set and can be re-expressed as Then the expression of g, k, h are where
Representation of the solution
The goal of this section is to derive the solution of the integro-differential equations. Let’s be the the associated claim size c.d.f.
As discussed in detail in [26], Properties of the solution of the defective renewal equation depend heavily on those of the associated claim size distribution. The solutions of the Eqs (16) and (17) can be represented as follow, Where G∗n the n-fold convolution of independent random varaible with cdf G. We have 0 < 𝜋 <1 from the condition assuring that the ruin is not almost surely certain.
Considering that the claims are exponentially distributed i.e X ∼ Exp (𝜃) then the expression of Q defined in (32) satisfies the following where
The Laplace transform of (16), (17) we have Let define R such that . By identification, with the uniqueness Laplace transform of (29), (30) and taking the inverse of the Laplace transform, we can see that . By substituting X ∼ Exp (𝜃) We have that Since thus there exists two negatives roots −𝛼, −𝛽 such that with By taking inverse of the Laplace transform of we get: and notice that is a density function.
The mixed-exponential distribution is a good approximation of the claim amounts. Useful computational formulas are available for the ruin probabilities, together with related quantities such as stop-loss moments and the distribution of the deficit at ruin when the claim amount distribution is of mixed-Exponential type (e.g., [12] and [21]). The class of exponential mixtures is preserved under a wide variety of risk-theoretic operations. In particular, the residual lifetime distribution, the equilibrium or integrated tail distribution, the aggregate claims distribution, and the conditional distribution of the deficit at ruin (given that ruin occurs) are all different mixtures of the same Erlangs (e.g., [16,26]). More generally, in the Sparre Andersen or renewal risk model with mixed-Erlang claim amounts, the ladder height distribution is a different mixture of the same Erlangs [22]. The following two theorems gives the formula of the ruin probability when the claim amounts are exponentially distributed and are a mixture of two Exponential distributions.
Given that the claims sizes are exponentially distributed,
The delayed ruin probability 𝜙d caused by the claims is:
The delayed ruin probability 𝜓d caused by the oscillation is:
The ruin probability in the delayed risk model perturbed by a diffusion if claims are exponentially distributed is therefore where 𝛼, 𝛽 are defined previously and .
The proof can be done using the Lemma 7.1 with the expression of h and k in ((26)) the representation of the solution, or using directly the expression of the Laplace transform and inverting the Laplace transform, and draw by the uniqueness the solution. By substituting the exponential distribution directly in the laplace transform of 𝜙d and 𝜓d we get and can be written in the following way by drawing and rewriting the coefficients we get a1 = a2 = 0, Thus by taking the inverse of the Laplace transform we get the result. In the same way and can also be written as
Assuming that the arrival time of the first claim is exponentially distributed with parameter 𝜆1, the inter arrival time of the others claims exponentially distributed with parameter 𝜆 and given that the claims are mixed exponentially distributed,
the ruin probability caused by the claim is
the ruin probability caused by the oscillation is
The ruin probability in the delayed risk model perturbed by a diffusion if claims are mixed exponential is therefore md(u) = 𝜙d(u) + 𝜓d(u).
where −𝜌i, i = 1, 2, 3 are the roots of the function and the coefficients are given by:w1, w2 are defined in ((41)) and ((42)).
In this proof we first by derive the explicit expression of the Laplace transform when claims are mixed exponential claim and express the ruin probability.
That is X|𝛩 = 𝜃 ∼ Exp (𝜃) where then the density function and With this mixed distribution, the Laplace transform defined in (20) of the probability caused by a claim 𝜙d and the Laplace transform defined in (23) of the probability caused by oscillation 𝜓d become:
and with and with If we set p =1, the expressions of Laplace transform (39) and (40) become the expressions in (34) and (35) of the case exponential claim.
The degree three polynomial function P3(s) has exactly three roots in the set of complex number . The Eq. ((4)) is equivalent to By the Section 4, the Eq. ((4)) has exactly one root(null root) in the right complex plane, thus the other root are in the left complex plane. The coefficient of the degree three polynomial function P3(s) are positive thus one root of P3(s) at least is negative say −𝜌1 and the other −𝜌i, i = 2,3 are also negative or conjugate such that Re (−𝜌i) < 0, i = 2,3. We notice that w1(−𝜃1) = w1(−𝜃2) = w1(r) = 0 and w2(r) = 0. The Eqs ((39)) and ((40)) can the be written as where the coeffients ai, bi, i = 1, …,4 are defined in ((38)). By taking the inverse of the Laplace transforms, we obtain the result.
Asymptotic behaviour of the ruin probability
In this section we analyse the behaviour of the ruin probability in the delayed risk model perturbed by a diffusion when claims are exponentially distributed. We first consider the case the initial surplus is infinity then let the volatility tends into zero and obtained the ruin probability in the ordinary risk model with delayed in the arrival of the first claims. And by letting 𝜆1 tends to 𝜆, we compare the resulting ruin probability with ordinary case to see the consistency of the results. The ruin probability in the ordinary and perturbed risk model is given by the sum of and Now letting the volatility 𝜎 tends to zero, we obtain which leads to the expression of the delayed ruin probability of the delayed ordinary risk model.
The ultimate ruin probability with infinity initial surplus is given by Note that if we let simultaneously 𝜆1 →𝜆 and 𝜎 →0 we get the well known ruin probability in the ordinary Sparre Anderson risk model, i.e And in the case the initial surplus is zero, We have and thus More specifically, md(0) = 𝜙d(0) + 𝜓d(0) = 1 with 𝜙d(0) = 0 and 𝜓d(0) = 1.
Numerical illustration
In this section, the goal is to provide a numerical illustration of the ruin probability and from the obtained results, analyse the impact of changes in volatility on ruin probability and the impact of the initial surplus on the ruin probability.
Case claim amounts are exponentially distributed
For the illustration, we consider c = 1, 𝜃 = 1, 𝜆 = 0.75, 𝜆1 = 0.55
Ruin probability caused by claims with fixed volatility.
Ruin probability caused by oscillation with fixed volatility.
As expected, when the initial capital increases, we notice that both probabilities i.e ruin probability caused by claims and ruin probability caused by the oscillation decrease, and for zero initial surplus the ruin probability caused by oscillation is one.
The graphics show that, as the volatility in the diffusion process is high the probability caused by oscillation is much more important and increases with respect to the volatility.
Case claim amounts are mixed exponentially distributed
We provide numerical example for the ruin probability in the mixed exponential distribution of claims.
Ruin probability caused by claim with fixed initial capital.
Ruin probability caused by oscillation with fixed initial capital.
Numerical illustration in case of mixed exponential distributed
As in the exponential distribution case, we remark that the ruin probability caused by claims is zero and the ruin probability caused by oscillation is one when the initial is zero.
Delayed renewal risk model with exchangeable inter claim time
All this papers with the objective of determining the ruin probability for compound renewal sums, assumed that the distribution of the inter-occurrence times are independent. But in many applications, the assumption that the subsequent inter arrival times are independent turns out to be too restrictive and generalizations to dependent scenarios are called for. For instance, in car insurance, if there has been a long waiting time before a claim, the next inter-arrival time can be long, as well, because the policyholders are potentially “good drivers”; or it could be the other way around, where some policyholders only start to use their cars a long time after purchasing them, then claims would suddenly arrive more frequently after a long silence. On way to treat that dependence is the use of exchangeable risks. Let’s define the exchangeable risk model in this section. We assume that the inter claim inter time arrival Vi, i = 1, … are dependent such that V1|𝛬1andVi|𝛬, i = 2, … are independent and distributed exponentially. If 𝛬1 and 𝛬 are equal in distribution, we get the ordinary case. since we have that Therefore By the [18] theorem Thus we obtain the following Archimedian copula, see [17],
Considering that the mixing random variable 𝛬1, 𝛬 are independent and geometrically distributed with parameters q1 and q, P[𝛬 = k] = q (1 − q)k−1 we have and By (44) the copula of (V1, V2, …, Vn) is then
Expression of the ruin probability in the delayed and perturbed risk model with exchangeable inter claim time arrival
Under the assumption mentioned above in this section, If we condition on (𝛬1, 𝛬) we get the get the conditional probability (caused by claims and by oscillation), 𝜙d(𝜆1, 𝜆, u) and 𝜓d(𝜆1, 𝜆, u). The unconditional probabilities and by oscillation is therefore give by:
If (𝛬1, 𝛬) are discrete
If (𝛬1, 𝛬) are continuous
Under the assumptions that the 𝛬1 and 𝛬 are independent and geometrically distributed, and if condition on (𝛬1, 𝛬) the inter time arrival are independent and exponentially distributed, since P[𝛬 ≥ n] = (1 − q)n−1 the unconditional ruin probabilities are given by the following.
The ruin probability caused by claims with exchangeable risk is
The ruin probability caused by oscillations with exchangeable risk is
where 𝜙d(𝜆1, 𝜆, u) = 𝜙d(u) and 𝜓d(𝜆1, 𝜆, u) = 𝜓d(u) defined in (K ). With
If 𝛬1 and 𝜆 are continuous, since the integral expressions of the ruin probabilities in the delayed risk model with exchangeable inter claim time in are difficult to calculate, one can discretize the mixing random variables (𝛬1 and 𝜆) then use the formulae in the discrete case.
Numerical computation of the ruin probability for risk model with exchangeable inter claim time
We provide a numerical example for the ruin probability in the risk model with exchangeable inter claim and exponential distribution of claims.
Numerical illustration of ruin probabilities in risk model with exchangeable inter claim time
u
c
𝜃
𝜎
q1
q
0
1
1.5
0.25
0.9
0.9
0.01000000
0.82000000
1
1
1.5
0.25
0.9
0.9
0.33717541
0.02557218
2
1
1.5
0.25
0.9
0.9
0.21151701
0.01959137
3
1
1.5
0.25
0.9
0.9
0.13412028
0.01590761
4
1
1.5
0.25
0.9
0.9
0.08644935
0.01363867
5
1
1.5
0.25
0.9
0.9
0.05708742
0.01224116
1
1
1.5
0.25
0.9
0.1
0.04635282
0.01173024
1
1
1.5
0.25
0.9
0.2
0.08270565
0.01346048
1
1
1.5
0.22
0.9
0.3
0.11905847
0.01519073
1
1
1.5
0.25
0.9
0.5
0.19176412
0.01865121
1
1
1.5
0.25
0.9
0.7
0.26446976
0.02211170
1
1
1.5
0.25
0.9
0.9
0.33717541
0.02557218
3.25
2.5
2.15
0.05
0.75
0.25
0.1044902
0.05636531
3.25
2.5
2.15
0.25
0.75
0.25
0.1046333
0.05761663
3.25
2.5
2.15
0.5
0.75
0.25
0.1050191
0.06162310
3.25
2.5
2.15
0.75
0.75
0.25
0.1055117
0.06860135
3.25
2.5
2.15
1
0.75
0.25
0.1060099
0.07898944
We can notice that the ruin probability (caused by claims and by oscillations) both decrease when the initial capital increases. And the probability caused by oscillations increases as the volatility increases. When the initial surplus is zero we see that the ruin probability caused by claims is not zero but close and the ruin probability caused by oscillations is also not one but close. This because of numerical computations and, conditionally on 𝛬1, 𝛬 the probabilities are respectively 0, and 1, and by integrating upon the distribution of 𝛬1, 𝛬 we get the obtained results.
Conclusion
Insurance and financial institutions deals with risks and so the models that account for the oscillation must capture the error and randomness that may arise in the premium or in the claims. By considering the surplus process, the integro- differential equations of ruin probabilities caused by claims and by oscillations are derived. By considering exponential claim distribution, analytical expression of the ruin probability is determined when there is a delayed in the time arrival of the first claim in the surplus model perturbed a diffusion process. The numerical illustrations confirm the expectancy and the ruin probability increases as the volatility is much more important and the ruin probability decreases as the initial capital increases. The expression of the ruin probability is derived in the risk model with exchangeable inter claim time. Further extensions can be made by using Erlang distribution for inter-claim time, using a jump or Lévy process; or considering the volatility as stochastic to account for the states of economical growth and recession in a regime switching economy.
Footnotes
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank the anonymous referees for constructive comments that improved the contents and presentation of this paper.
Author contributions
This research paper is done by Essodina Takouda in the framework of a doctoral programme under the supervision of Prof. Franck Adékambi.
Funding
This work was supported by the Global Excellence and Stature (GES) 4.0 scholarship of the University of Johannesburg (UJ).
Conflicts of interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
References
1.
AdékambiF. and TakoudaE., Gerber–shiu function in a class of delayed and perturbed risk model with dependence, Risks8(1) (2020), 30.
2.
BadescuA.DrekicS. and LandriaultD., On the analysis of a multi-threshold markovian risk model, Scandinavian Actuarial Journal2007(4) (2007), 248–260.
3.
CaiJ., On the time value of absolute ruin with debit interest, Advances in Applied Probability39(2) (2007), 343–359.
4.
CaiJ.FengR. and WillmotG.E., The compound poisson surplus model with interest and liquid reserves: Analysis of the Gerber–Shiu discounted penalty function, Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability11(3) (2009), 401–423.
5.
ChadjiconstantinidisS. and VrontosS., On a renewal risk process with dependence under a Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern copula, Scandinavian Actuarial Journal2014(2) (2014), 125–158.
6.
CheungE.C.K.LandriaultD.WillmotG.E. and WooJae-Kyung, Structural properties of Gerber–Shiu functions in dependent sparre andersen models, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics46(1) (2010), 117–126.
7.
DufresneF. and GerberH.U., Risk theory for the compound poisson process that is perturbed by diffusion, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics10(1) (1991), 51–59.
8.
GaoJ. and WuL., On the Gerber–Shiu discounted penalty function in a risk model with two types of delayed-claims and random income, Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics269 (2014), 42–52.
9.
GerberH.U. and LandryB., On the discounted penalty at ruin in a jump-diffusion and the perpetual put option, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics22(3) (1998), 263–276.
10.
GerberH.U. and ShiuE.S.W., On the time value of ruin, North American Actuarial Journal2(1) (1998), 48–72.
11.
GerberH.U. and ShiuE.S.W., The time value of ruin in a Sparre Andersen model, North American Actuarial Journal9(2) (2005), 49–69.
12.
KlugmanS.A.PanjerH.H. and WillmotG.E., Loss Models: From Data to Decisions, Vol. 715, John Wiley & Sons, 2012.
13.
LeeW.Y. and WillmotG.E., On the moments of the time to ruin in dependent Sparre Andersen models with emphasis on coxian interclaim times, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics59 (2014), 1–10.
14.
LéveilléG. and AdékambiF., Covariance of discounted compound renewal sums with a stochastic interest rate, Scandinavian Actuarial Journal2011(2) (2011), 138–153.
15.
LiS. and Garrido*J., The Gerber–Shiu function in a Sparre Andersen risk process perturbed by diffusion, Scandinavian Actuarial Journal2005(3) (2005), 161–186.
16.
LinX.S. and WillmotG.E., The moments of the time of ruin, the surplus before ruin, and the deficit at ruin, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics27(1) (2000), 19–44.
17.
NelsenR.B., An Introduction to Copulas, Springer Science & Business Media, 2007.
18.
SklarA., Fonctions de ré partition à n dimensions et leurs marges, Publ Inst Statist Univ Paris1959(8) (1959), 229–231.
19.
TsaiC.C.-L. and WillmotG.E., A generalized defective renewal equation for the surplus process perturbed by diffusion, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics30(1) (2002), 51–66.
20.
WangG., A decomposition of the ruin probability for the risk process perturbed by diffusion, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics28(1) (2001), 49–59.
21.
WillmotG.E., A note on a class of delayed renewal risk processes, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics34(2) (2004), 251–257.
22.
WillmotG.E., On the discounted penalty function in the renewal risk model with general interclaim times, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics41(1) (2007), 17–31.
23.
WillmotG.E. and DicksonD.C.M., The Gerber–Shiu discounted penalty function in the stationary renewal risk model, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics32(3) (2003), 403–411.
24.
WillmotG.E. and LinX.S., Risk modelling with the mixed erlang distribution, Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry27(1) (2011), 2–16.
25.
WillmotG.E. and WooJ.-K., On the analysis of a general class of dependent risk processes, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics51(1) (2012), 134–141.
26.
WillmotG.E. and LinX.S., Lundberg Approximations for Compound Distributions with Insurance Applications, Vol. 156, Springer Science & Business Media, 2001.
27.
ZhangZ. and YangH., Gerber–shiu analysis in a perturbed risk model with dependence between claim sizes and interclaim times, Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics235(5) (2011), 1189–1204.