Abstract
Background
Predictors of sustained virological response (SVR) to all-oral HCV regimens can inform nuanced treatment decisions. We evaluated effectiveness and identified predictors of SVR for ledipasvir/sofosbuvir ± ribavirin (LDV/SOF ±RBV) and ombitasvir/paritaprevir/ ritonavir + dasabuvir (OPrD) ±RBV in patients treated in routine practice.
Methods
Observational, intent-to-treat cohort of 21,142 genotype-1 patients initiating 8 or 12 weeks of LDV/SOF ±RBV or 12 weeks of OPrD ±RBV at any Veterans Affairs facility. Multivariate logistic regression models were constructed to model SVR and identify predictors.
Results
SVR was 91.2% (9,781/10,720) for LDV/ SOF, 89.6% (3,266/3,646) for LDV/SOF+RBV, 91.7% (1,197/1,306) for OPrD and 87.8% (3,365/3,832) for OPrD+RBV. For LDV/SOF ±RBV, reduced odds of SVR occurred in African-Americans (0.80, 95% CI 0.70, 0.92, P<0.001), body mass index (BMI)<25 (0.77, 95% CI 0.66, 0.90, P <0.001), BMI≥30 (0.77, 95% CI 0.67, 0.89, P<0.001), proton pump inhibitors (PPIs; 0.81, 95% CI 0.71, 0.92, P<0.001), decompensated liver disease (0.58, 95% CI 0.45, 0.74, P <0.001) and FIB4>3.25 (0.60, 95% CI 0.53, 0.69, P <0.001). For OPrD ±RBV, FIB-4>3.25 negatively predicted SVR (0.72, 95% CI 0.59, 0.88, P<0.001). Detectable 4-week on-treatment HCV RNA≥15 IU/ml reduced SVR odds for both regimens (LDV/SOF ±RBV OR 0.49, 95% CI 0.41, 0.58, P<0.001; OPrD ±RBV OR 0.38, 95% CI 0.29, 0.50, P <0.001). Receipt of OPrD+RBV compared to LDV/SOF reduced odds of SVR (OR 0.70, 95% CI 0.62, 0.80, P <0.001). Mental health diagnosis did not impact likelihood of SVR.
Conclusions
The diversity and size of this cohort allowed for extensive examination of regimen-specific predictors of SVR. FIB-4>3.25 and detectable 4-week on-treatment HCV RNA had the greatest negative impact. African-American race, low or high BMI, and PPIs negatively impacted odds of SVR for LDV/SOF ±RBV Mental health diagnoses did not.