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Dry bulb air temperatures are increasing especially in the UK. On top of this there is the urban heat island intensity (UHII), the temperature difference between rural and hotter urban temperatures. This is important as most new and existing buildings are in urban areas subject to the urban heat island (UHI)., In this paper is an analysis of weather data in Manchester city centre is compared to the CIBSE Design Summer Year type 3 (DSY 3) weather data. The latter, based on weather data from the Meteorological Office at a non-urban contains little if any UHII data. The DSY3 is based on a very warm year but the lack of the UHII data severely underestimates city centre night time temperatures and overestimates the winter minima temperatures. This underestimates the heating effect for net-zero design for urban buildings. A simple algorithm, which has been derived from Manchester and London data, is shown to give a useful method of adding in the UHII.
Some standard weather files underestimate night-time urban temperatures and this has potential for inaccurate heating and cooling predictions for new net-zero building designs. By comparing Manchester city-centre data with CIBSE DSY3 and applying a simple urban heat island intensity algorithm, designers can more accurately model real urban conditions, improving the reliability of thermal performance assessments and supporting better-informed building design decisions.
CIBSE weather files are currently used by the building industry as the standard input data for building performance assessment for the purpose of regulatory compliance in the UK. In this study, the state-of-the-art CIBSE weather files are created with four major improvements incorporated, namely, (1) the enhanced representation of the UK climate through the creation of discriminative climate zones; (2) the latest climate change signals from the UK Climate Projection 2018 (UKCP18); (3) the satellite based solar radiation data from CAMS (Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service) data repository; (4) the up-to-date observation record from 1994 to 2023. The methodology for creating the latest CIBSE weather files is elaborated in detail to enhance the transparency of the new weather data. Evaluated using a simulation case study, the new weather files demonstrate spatial and temporal coherency. The new future weather files enable robust building performance assessment against future climate conditions under different scenarios and will play an important role in designing climate-resilient buildings and delivering a net zero built environment.
As per the principle of “garbage in, garbage out”, weather data plays an instrumental role in streamlining building design to achieve both energy efficiency and thermal comfort. In this study, we present the methodology for the creation of the state-of-the-art CIBSE weather files. The new CIBSE weather files not only employ the update-to-date observation and projection data, but are also grounded on a total of 28 granular climate zones to account for diverse climate characteristics and eliminate the ambiguity with weather data selection. The new files will lay a solid data foundation for future-proofing building design in the UK.
Energy Performance Certificates (EPCs) are indicators of building energy efficiency and carbon emissions across Europe, following the EU Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD). Assumptions behind EPC design differ significantly across Europe, despite emanating from a common starting point. Next Generation EPCs (NGEPC) relate to recently proposed updates to the EPBD, suggesting new functions and features that EPCs could adopt to be more useful for supporting decisions on zero carbon buildings. However, faced with such variation in approaches across Europe, this paper illustrates that a single pathway for upgrading EPCs will be difficult to achieve. Faced with this challenge, the paper presents methods of EPC categorisation to identify differences across European EPC approaches in a systematic way, directly addressing the consequences of a lack of harmonisation on the design of NGEPCs. By accounting for this variation, a framework is proposed for evolving specific EPC approaches to NGEPC status, captured in a way that is replicable to other EPC methods across Europe. Whilst the paper is informed by approaches across a selection of European countries, the situation in the UK is used as a more focussed case-study, with recommendations provided for how this approach may evolve in light of NGEPC progress.
The presented work provides guidance and decision-support for implementing changes to EPC frameworks as they incorporate next-generation EPC recommendations. The work particularly reflects on EPC practice in the UK but in context of many other European countries; in effect, learning from those countries (and the wider EPBD) but also potentially having impact on the implementation challenges in multiple countries.
The archetype-based housing stock study can lead a better coordination between the government and local authority-led retrofit planning.
This study investigates the energy, energy cost and carbon performances of different retrofit scenarios.
Using deterministic modelling, the existing performance of fourteen archetypes is compared by adding system-only, fabric-only, staged retrofit and whole-house retrofit.
System-only retrofit is seen as a faster domestic carbon savings benefit but could be a trigger for the homeowner’s interest in a wider heat pump uptake due to its energy cost savings barriers. Fabric-first retrofit significantly reduces residual carbon emissions, but longer economic payback times, with an average of 33 years, stress the importance of retrofit incentives. Whilst the average upfront embodied carbon investment for whole-house retrofit could pay back after 3 years, it could take up to 18 years, depending on the material and equipment selections. By quantifying the impacts of comfort-taking behaviour on energy cost and operational carbon savings, this study highlights that providing necessary information about retrofit sensitivities is important for a retrofit policy and consumer engagement across different archetypes.
This study can be seen as a context-dependent dialogue example for the South Yorkshire housing stocks, addressing retrofit policy initiatives, delivering retrofit sequencing at the right time, and preparing for the future energy infrastructure to align with retrofit deployment.
This study presents the energy, energy cost and carbon performance of fourteen archetypes, comparing environmental and economic payback as key indicators for the UK’s housing stock retrofit deployment. Using the presented archetype-based modelling study and other GIS-based retrofit planning models with socio-demographic databases, the combined method can rapidly and appropriately target respective dwellings to enable local authority-led area-based retrofit delivery. This work will be of interest to policymakers, retrofit providers and energy suppliers.
This study investigates the potential of leveraging data from existing SBEM (Simplified Building Energy Model) energy certification models to generate dynamic simulation models for decarbonisation analysis. A case study of a healthcare centre in London was used to demonstrate the approach. The existing SBEM model was adapted into a dynamic performance model and tuned using measured energy data. The tuned model was then employed to simulate a range of refurbishment scenarios. Results indicate that achieving net-zero emissions will require a combination of building envelope upgrades, technical system improvements, and the installation of photovoltaic (PV) panels. To mitigate future overheating risks under projected climate scenarios, additional measures such as external shading or active cooling may also be necessary. To assess the scalability and accuracy of the method, the same approach was automated and applied to 164 additional NHS properties for stock-level assessments. At the stock level, simulated energy consumption closely matched measured averages across the portfolio. However, performance gaps in some individual buildings highlight the need for further investigation into SBEM model accuracy or refinement of model inputs to ensure reliable predictions when assessments are conducted at the building level.
The National Health Service (NHS) aims to reduce its direct carbon emissions by 80% between 2028 and 2032 and achieve net-zero emissions by 2040. To support this target, it is essential to evaluate the current performance of NHS buildings and assess the impact of potential refurbishment measures. However, developing detailed dynamic simulation models for each property across the extensive NHS estate is time-consuming and resource-intensive. This study investigates the extent to which existing SBEM models, readily available through the UK’s building energy certification scheme, can be adapted and used as a data source to generate dynamic simulation models. These models can then support the assessment of refurbishment strategies at scale. The approach offers a practical and scalable solution for informing decarbonisation planning across large healthcare estates.
The global issue of climate change is now readily accepted by most. Buildings contribute 40% of EU emissions, so the need to address mitigation is clear, but changing climate also creates a need for adaptation in buildings. Modelling is an accepted way of estimating the performance of buildings, but issues exist with accuracy and assumptions. This calls for measurements to be made on new build and retrofit homes. However, field measurements can have issues; they are time consuming, expensive, and can also be intrusive. It is for these reasons that the facilities “Salford Energy House” and “Energy House 2.0” were constructed at the University of Salford in the UK. These globally unique facilities allow for full scale homes to be built inside climatic chambers where variables such as temperature, wind, rain, solar radiation, and snow can be replicated, meaning weather conditions experienced by 95% of the worlds populated land mass can be simulated. The chambers are currently home to five structures in total; examining future housing systems, conservatories, window treatments and whole house retrofit scenarios. In this paper we will discuss the design, construction, benefits, limitations, and an overview of research findings from these facilities.
This paper provides insights and learnings as to how environmental chambers shall be designed, specified, constructed and commissioned to lead to successful facilities, it gives details on some of the issues that were encountered around the energy performance gap. Also, some key learnings are delivered from the initial rounds of research on ASHP and building fabric that are useful for domestic design engineers.
Retrofitting existing buildings is widely regarded as a key strategy for minimising the environmental impact associated with buildings throughout their life cycle. Although significant attention has been given to residential buildings and effective measures have been implemented, non-domestic buildings still require focused efforts to meet the UK’s sustainability targets. The healthcare sector is a major contributor to the existing non-domestic building stock due to its energy-intensive nature. In the UK, the National Health Service (NHS) operates a wide variety of hospital types, making it difficult to develop effective retrofit strategies that are suitable for all. Therefore, a strategic approach to retrofitting that is tailored to the specific needs and preferences of each NHS Trust is essential. This study examines a range of retrofitting measures for deep-plan and tower Hospitals (DPTH) and identifies the optimal design for reducing life cycle carbon emissions while accounting for stakeholder priorities. The results suggest that while certain optimal scenarios are effective in reducing operational energy use, further life cycle assessment (LCA) reveals different scenarios with a greater impact on lowering the building’s life cycle carbon emissions. Hence, additional life cycle carbon assessment is necessary to evaluate the full impacts of the optimal retrofit designs.
This research offers building services engineers and sustainability consultants with a robust methodology to evaluate HVAC and glazing retrofit strategies for the energy-intensive areas in UK hospitals, aiming to minimise life cycle carbon emissions. By integrating stakeholder priorities into multi-objective optimisation study through multi-criteria decision-making analysis, the research helps practitioners identify retrofit scenarios that deliver significant carbon savings beyond operational energy reductions, supporting the development of more sustainable healthcare buildings.