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We examine theoretical models for circadian oscillations based on transcriptional regulation in
Circadian systems direct many metabolic parameters and, at the same time, they appear to be exquisitely shielded from metabolic variations. Although the recent decade of circadian research has brought insights into how circadian periodicity may be generated at the molecular level, little is known about the relationship between this molecular feedback loop and metabolism both at the cellular and at the organismic level. In this theoretical paper, we conjecture about the interdependence between circadian rhythmicity and metabolism. A mathematical model based on the chemical reactions of photosynthesis demonstrates that metabolism as such may generate rhythmicity in the circadian range. Two additional models look at the possible function of feedback loops outside of the circadian oscillator. These feedback loops contribute to the robustness and sustainability of circadian oscillations and to compensation for long-and short-term metabolic variations. The specific circadian property of temperature compensation is put into the context of metabolism. As such, it represents a general compensatory mechanism that shields the clock from metabolic variations.
Circadian rhythm generation in the suprachiasmatic nucleus was modeled by locally coupled self-sustained oscillators. The model is composed of 10,000 oscillators, arranged in a square array. Coupling between oscillators and standard deviation of (randomly determined) intrinsic oscillator periods were varied. A stable overall rhythm emerged. The model behavior was investigated for phase shifts of a 24-h zeitgeber cycle. Prolongation of either the dark or the light phase resulted in a lengthening of the period, whereas shortening of the dark or the light phase shortened the period. The model's response to shifts in the light-dark cycle was dependent only on the extent of the shift and was insensitive to changes in parameters. Phase response curves (PRC) and amplitude response curves were determined for single and triple 5-h light pulses (1000 lux). Single pulses lead to type 1 PRCs with larger phase shifts for weak coupling. Triple pulses generally evoked type 1 PRCs with the exception of weak coupling, where a type 0 PRC was observed.
This article focuses on the Goodwin oscillator and related minimal models, which describe negative feedback schemes that are of relevance for the circadian rhythms in
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In 1990, Kronauer proposed a mathematical model of the effects of light on the human circadian pacemaker. This study presents several refinements to Kronauer's original model of the pacemaker that enable it to predict more accurately the experimental results from a number of different studies of the effects of the intensity, timing, and duration of light stimuli on the human circadian pacemaker. These refinements include the following: The van der Pol oscillator from Kronauer’s model has been replaced with a higher order limit cycle oscillator so that the system’s amplitude recovery is slower near the singularity and faster near the limit cycle; the phase and amplitude of the circadian rhythm in sensitivity to light from Kronauer’s model has been refined so that the peak sensitivity to light on the limit cycle now occurs 4 h before the core body temperature minimum (CBTmin) and is three times as great as the minimum sensitivity on the limit cycle; the critical phase (at which type 1 phase response curves [PRCs] can be distinguished from type 0 PRCs) that occurs at CBTmin now corresponds to 0.8 h
The authors' previous models have been able to describe accurately the effects of extended (5 h) bright-light (>4000 lux) stimuli on the phase and amplitude of the human circadian pacemaker, but they are not sufficient to represent the surprising human sensitivity to both brief pulses of bright light and light of more moderate intensities. Therefore, the authors have devised a new model in which a dynamic stimulus processor (
A model based on the van der Pol equation has been developed to predict the pattern of adaptation of aircrew and other travellers to rapid time-zone transitions, when the exposure to light cannot be quantified. The parameters of the model include the stiffness ([.mu]) and the intrinsic period (
The patterns of light intensity to which humans expose their circadian pacemakers in daily life are very irregular and vary greatly from day to day. The circadian pacemaker can adjust to such irregular exposure patterns by daily phase shifts, such as summarized in a phase response curve. It is demonstrated in this paper on the basis of computer simulations applying actually recorded human light exposure patterns that the pacemaker can substantially improve its accuracy by an additional response to light: For that purpose, it should additionally change its angular velocity (and consequently its period [.tau]) in response to light. Reductions of [.tau] in response to light in the morning and increases of [.tau] in response to light in the evening can lead to an increase in entrained pacemaker accuracy with about 25%. Circadian pacemakers have evolved as accurate internal representations of external time, and investigated diurnal mammals all seem to respond to light by changing the period of their circadian pacemaker (in addition to shifting phase). The authors suggest that also human circadian systems take advantage of this possibility and that their pacemakers respond to light by shifting phase and changing period. As a consequence of this postulated mechanism, the simulations demonstrate that the period of the pacemaker under normally entrained conditions is 24 h. The maximum accuracy corresponds to a day-to-day standard deviation of the time of phase 0 of circa 15 min. This is considerably more accurate than the light signal humans usually perceive.
Numerous studies have used the classic van der Pol oscillator, which contains a cubic nonlinearity, to model the effect of light on the human circadian pacemaker. Jewett and Kronauer demonstrated that Aschoff's rule could be incorporated into van der Pol type models and used a van der Pol type oscillator with higher order nonlinearities. Kronauer, Forger, and Jewett have proposed a model for light preprocessing,

Thermoregulatory mechanisms were hypothesized to provide primary control of non-rapid-eye-movement sleep (NREM). On the basis of this hypothesis, we incorporated the thermoregulatory feedback loops mediated by the “heat memory,” heat load, and loss processes associated with sleep-wake cycles, which were modulated by two circadian oscillators. In addition, hypnogenic warm-sensitive neurons (HWSNs) were assumed to integrate thermoregulation and NREM control. The heat memory described above could be mediated by some sleep-promoting substances. In this paper, considering the possible carrier of the heat memory, its losing process is newly included in the model. The newly developed model can generate the appropriate features of human sleepwake patterns. One of the special features of the model is to generate the bimodal distribution of the sleepiness. This bimodality becomes distinct, as the losing rate of the heat memory decreases or the amplitude of the
According to the two-process model of sleep regulation, the timing and structure of sleep are determined by the interaction of a homeostatic and a circadian process. The original qualitative model was elaborated to quantitative versions that included the ultradian dynamics of sleep in relation to the non-REM-REM sleep cycle. The time course of EEG slow-wave activity, the major marker of non-REM sleep homeostasis, as well as daytime alertness were simulated successfully for a considerable number of experimental protocols. They include sleep after partial sleep deprivation and daytime napping, sleep in habitual short and long sleepers, and alertness in a forced desynchrony protocol or during an extended photoperiod. Simulations revealed that internal desynchronization can be obtained for different shapes of the thresholds. New developments include the analysis of the waking EEG to delineate homeostatic and circadian processes, studies of REM sleep homeostasis, and recent evidence for local, use-dependent sleep processes. Moreover, nonlinear interactions between homeostatic and circadian processes were identified. In the past two decades, models have contributed considerably to conceptualizing and analyzing the major processes underlying sleep regulation, and they are likely to play an important role in future advances in the field.
Quantitative models have been developed to describe salient aspects of human sleep regulation. The two-process model of sleep regulation and the thermoregulatory model of sleep control highlight the interaction between sleep homeostasis and circadian rhythmicity and the association between sleep and temperature regulation, respectively. These models have been successful and inspiring, but continuing progress remains dependent on rigorous testing of some of their basic assumptions. Whereas it has been established that EEG slowwave activity is a marker of sleep homeostasis, its causal role in regulating the timing of sleep and wakefulness remains to be demonstrated conclusively. Likewise, the causal role of the temperature regulatory system in sleep timing requires further investigation. In both models, many parameters have yet to be associated with specific physiologic processes. This makes it challenging, at least within the framework of these models, to account for interindividual differences or age-related changes in such features as sleep duration and sleep timing, as well as changes in the phase angle between the sleep-wake cycle and accepted markers of the circadian pacemaker, such as the body temperature or melatonin rhythm. Although the models may describe adequately global sleep patterns and their circadian modulation, detailed modeling of the frequent short awakenings from, and the subsequent transitions back to, sleep, as well as the variation of the propensity to awaken across the ultradian non-REM-REM cycle, is not addressed. Incoporation of these aspects of sleep in mathematical models of sleep regulation may further our understanding of a key aspect of sleep regulation, that is, its timing.
This paper starts by summarizing the development and refinement of the additive three-process model of alertness first published by Folkard and Åkerstedt in 1987. It reviews some of the successes that have been achieved by the model in not only predicting variations in subjective alertness on abnormal sleep-wake schedules but also in accounting for objective measures of sleep latency and duration. Nevertheless, predictions derived from the model concerning alertness on different shifts, and over successive night shifts, are difficult to reconcile with published data on accident risk. In light of this, we have examined two large sets of alertness ratings with a view to further refining the model and identifying additional factors that may influence alertness at any given point in time. Our results indicate that, at least for the range of sleep durations and wake-up times commonly found on rotating shift systems, we may assume the phase of the endogenous circadian component of alertness (process C) to be “set” by the time of waking. Such an assumption considerably enhanced the predictive power of the model and yielded remarkably similar phase estimates to those obtained by maximizing the post-hoc fit of the model. We then examined the manner in which obtained ratings differed from predicted values over a complete 8-day cycle of two, 12-h shift systems. This revealed a pronounced “first night compensation effect” that resulted in shift workers rating themselves as progressively more alert than would be predicted over the course of the first night shift. However, this appeared to be achieved only at the cost of lowered ratings on the second night shift. Finally, we were able to identify a “time on shift” effect whereby, with the exception of the first night shift, alertness ratings decreased over the course of each shift before showing a modest “end effect.” We conclude that the identification of these additional components offers the possibility that in the future we may be able to predict trends in accident risk on abnormal sleep-wake schedules.
The authors present here mathematical models in which levels of subjective alertness and cognitive throughput are predicted by three components that interact with one another in a nonlinear manner. These components are (1) a homeostatic component (
Modeling human neurobehavioral functions has the goal of identifying work-rest schedules that are safer and more productive. The models of Folkard et al. and of Jewett and Kronauer illustrate excellent progress toward this goal. Examination of these models reveals four additional areas that need to be addressed to facilitate continued development of accurate models of neurobehavioral functions. (1) The choice of neurobehavioral metrics may have a significant influence on model development. The lack of correlation among different neurobehavioral measures may make comparisons of models difficult. Many neurobehavioral measures are confounded by secondary and random error variance that can lead to model distortion. Although different models may ultimately be required for different neurobehavioral functions, measures that have been extensively validated to be sensitive to circadian variation and sleep loss should take priority in model development. (2) Because error variance in neurobehavioral outcomes can be substantial in uncontrolled environments, model validation should proceed from controlled laboratory protocols to real-world scenarios. Once validated, the ability of a model to predict field data can be tested. (3) While neurobehavioral models have been developed to predict behavior over time (i.e., within-subjects), to be useful in the real world, models will also ultimately have to provide estimates of between-subject variation in vulnerability to neurobehavioral dysfunction during night work or sleep loss (e.g., younger versus older workers). (4) Finally, to be theoretically accurate and practically useful, models of human neurobehavioral functions should be able to predict both cumulative effects (i.e., across days or weeks) and the influence of countermeasures (e.g., light, naps, caffeine).


Mathematical models have played an important role in the analysis of circadian systems. The models include simulation of differential equation systems to assess the dynamic properties of a circadian system and the use of statistical models, primarily harmonic regression methods, to assess the static properties of the system. The dynamical behaviors characterized by the simulation studies are the response of the circadian pacemaker to light, its rate of decay to its limit cycle, and its response to the rest-activity cycle. The static properties are phase, amplitude, and period of the intrinsic oscillator. Formal statistical methods are not routinely employed in simulation studies, and therefore the uncertainty in inferences based on the differential equation models and their sensitivity to model specification and parameter estimation error cannot be evaluated. The harmonic regression models allow formal statistical analysis of static but not dynamical features of the circadian pacemaker. The authors present a paradigm for analyzing circadian data based on the Box iterative scheme for statistical model building. The paradigm unifies the differential equation–based simulations (direct problem) and the model fitting approach using harmonic regression techniques (inverse problem) under a single schema. The framework is illustrated with the analysis of a core-temperature data series collected under a forced desynchrony protocol. The Box iterative paradigm provides a framework for systematically constructing and analyzing models of circadian data.
The classical power spectrum, computed in the frequency domain, outranks traditionally used periodograms derived in the time domain (such as the [.chi]2 periodogram) regarding the search for biological rhythms. Unfortunately, classical power spectral analysis is not possible with unequally spaced data (e.g., time series with missing data). The Lomb-Scargle periodogram fixes this shortcoming. However, peak detection in the Lomb-Scargle periodogram of unequally spaced data requires some careful consideration. To guide researchers in the proper evaluation of detected peaks, therefore, a novel procedure and a computer program have recently become available. It is recommended that the Lomb-Scargle periodogram be the default method of periodogram analysis in future biomedical applications of rhythm investigation.
