Uncertain field is virtually an extension of uncertain process with the index space changing from a totally ordered set into a partially ordered one such as time-space or a surface. For describing the uncertain field, this paper introduces several concepts of uncertainty distribution and inverse uncertainty distribution. In addition, a sufficient and necessary condition is proved for the uncertainty distribution of an uncertain field. Then a concept of independence of uncertain fields is introduced and the operational law is derived for a strictly monotone function of independent uncertain fields. Furthermore, another two concepts of uncertain stationary independent increment field and Liu field are proposed, and meanwhile some of their properties are investigated.
Liu [9] asserted that there exist two types of mathematical systems for modeling indeterminacy. One type is probability theory which is used to model randomness associated with frequency. While, the other type is uncertainty theory which is applied to describing uncertain phenomena associated with belief degree.
Uncertainty theory was established by Liu [4] in 2007 for modeling belief degrees via uncertain measure, and refined by Liu [6] with presenting product uncertain measure to deal with the operations between uncertain variables in different uncertainty spaces. Then some fundamental concepts were put forward such as uncertain variable for modeling an uncertain quantity, uncertainty distribution and inverse uncertainty distribution for describing an uncertain variable, and expected value for ranking uncertain variables. Additionally, Liu [4] defined uncertain vector and its joint uncertainty distribution, and Liu [11] gave a concept of independence of uncertain vectors. So far, uncertainty theory has became an almost complete mathematical system and been studied by large numbers of experts, such as Gao [2], Liu [14], Liu and Ha [15], Peng and Iwamura [16], Sheng and Kar [17], Wang and Peng [18] and Yao [19].
Uncertain process was initialized by Liu [5] in 2008 for modeling the evolution of uncertain phenomena. For describing the uncertain process, Liu [13] introduced some concepts of uncertainty distribution and inverse uncertainty distribution. Besides, a concept of independence of uncertain processes was proposed by Liu [13] using uncertain vectors. After that, Liu provided the operational law for calculating the inverse uncertainty distribution of a strictly monotone function of independent uncertain processes. Furthermore, Liu [5] proposed a concept of uncertain independent increment process and proved a sufficient and necessary condition for its inverse uncertainty distribution. Then Liu [12] gave the uncertainty distributions of extreme values and the first hitting time of uncertain independent increment processes. After that, a concept of uncertain stationary independent increment process was put forward by Liu [5]. Meanwhile, its inverse uncertainty distribution was studied by Liu [13] which is linear function of time. Additionally, Liu [8] proved that the expected value is also a linear function of time, and Chen [1] verified that the variance is proportional to the square of time.
We all know that uncertain process is a sequence of uncertain variables indexed by time which is a totally ordered set. If the totally ordered set becomes partially ordered one, what does the sequence of uncertain variables become? To answer this question, Liu [13] presented a new concept of uncertain field. This paper mainly study some concepts and properties about the uncertain field. The remainder of the paper is arranged as follows. In Section 2, we will review some fundamental concepts and properties concerning uncertain variables and uncertain processes. In Section 3, we will retrospect the concept of uncertain field and take some examples to illustrate what is the uncertain field in reality. In Section 4, we will introduce a concept of uncertainty distribution of an uncertain field and give a sufficient and necessary condition for it. In Section 5, we will present a concept of inverse uncertainty distribution and give a sufficient and necessary condition for it. In Section 6, we will define independence of uncertain fields and provide the operational law for a strictly monotone function of independent uncertain fields. Then the uncertain field with stationary independent increments will be studied in Section 7. And Section 8 will be devoted to initializing Liu field that is a type of uncertain field with stationary and independent increments. Some properties of Liu field will also be investigated in this section. Finally, we make a summary of this paper in Section 9.
Preliminaries
In this section, some fundamental concepts and properties will be reviewed concerning uncertain variables and uncertain processes.
Uncertain variable
Let Γ be a nonempty set, and ℒ a σ-algebra over Γ. Each element Λ in ℒ is called an event and assigned a number ℳ {Λ} to indicate the belief degree that we believe Λ will happen. In order to deal with belief degrees rationally in mathematics, Liu [4] suggested the following three axioms:
Axiom 1. (Normality Axiom) ℳ {Γ} =1 for the universal set Γ;
Axiom 2. (Duality Axiom) ℳ {Λ} + ℳ {Λc} =1 for any event Λ;
Axiom 3. (Subadditivity Axiom) For every countable sequence of events Λ1, Λ2, ⋯, we have
Definition 2.1. (Liu [4]) The set function ℳ is called an uncertain measure if it satisfies the normality, duality, and subadditivity axioms.
The triplet (Γ, ℒ, ℳ) is called an uncertainty space. Furthermore, the product uncertain measure on the product σ-algebra ℒ was defined by Liu [6] as follows:
Axiom 4. (Product Axiom) Let (Γk, ℒk, ℳk) be uncertainty spaces for k = 1, 2, ⋯. The product uncertain measure ℳ is an uncertain measure satisfying
where Λk are arbitrary events chosen from ℒk for k = 1, 2, ⋯, respectively.
Definition 2.2. (Liu [4]) An uncertain variable is a measurable function ξ from an uncertainty space (Γ, ℒ, ℳ) to the set of real numbers, i.e., for any Borel set B of real numbers, the set
is an event.
Theorem 2.1.Let ξ1, ξ2, ⋯ , ξn be uncertain variables, and f a real-valued measurable function. Then ξ = f (ξ1, ξ2, ⋯ , ξn) is an uncertain variable defined by
For describing an uncertain variable, Liu defined uncertainty distribution as follows.
Definition 2.3. (Liu [4]) Suppose ξ is an uncertain variable. Then the uncertainty distribution of ξ is defined by
for any real number x .
Theorem 2.2.(Peng-Iwamura Theorem [16]) A function is the uncertainty distribution of an uncertain variable if and only if it is a monotone increasing function except Φ (x) ≡0 and Φ (x) ≡1.
An uncertainty distribution Φ (x) is said to be regular if its inverse function Φ−1 (α) exists and is unique for each α ∈ (0, 1). Inverse uncertainty distribution plays an important role in the operation of independent uncertain variables, thus the concept of inverse uncertainty distribution is presented in the following.
Definition 2.4. (Liu [8]) Suppose ξ is an uncertain variable with regular uncertainty distribution Φ (x). Then the inverse function Φ−1 (α) is called the inverse uncertainty distribution of ξ.
Theorem 2.3.(Liu [10]) A function is the inverse uncertainty distribution of an uncertain variable if and only if it is a continuous and strictly increasing function with respect α.
The operational law of independent uncertain variables was given by Liu [8] in order to calculate the uncertainty distribution of strictly increasing or decreasing function of uncertain variables. Before introducing the operational law, a concept of independence of uncertain variables is presented as follows.
Definition 2.5. (Liu [6]) The uncertain variables ξ1, ξ2, ⋯ , ξn are said to be independent if
for any Borel sets B1, B2, ⋯ , Bn of real numbers.
Theorem 2.4.(Liu [6]) Let ξ1, ξ2, ⋯ , ξn be independent uncertain variables, and let f1, f2, ⋯ , fn be measurable functions. Then f1 (ξ1) , f2 (ξ2) , ⋯ , fn (ξn) are independent uncertain variables.
Theorem 2.5. (Liu [8]) Let ξ1, ξ2, ⋯ , ξn be independent uncertain variables with continuous uncertainty distributions Φ1, Φ2, ⋯ , Φn, respectively. If the function f (x1, x2, ⋯ , xn) is strictly increasing with respect to x1, x2, ⋯ , xm and strictly decreasing with respect to xm+1, xm+2, ⋯ , xn, then the uncertain variable
has an uncertainty distribution
Moreover, if Φ1, Φ2, ⋯ , Φn are regular, then ξ has an inverse uncertainty distribution
For ranking uncertain variables, the concept of expected value was proposed by Liu [4] in the following.
Definition 2.6. (Liu [4]) Let ξ be an uncertain variable. Then the expected value of ξ is defined by
provided that at least one of the two integrals is finite.
Theorem 2.6.(Liu [4]) Let ξ be an uncertain variable with uncertainty distribution Φ. If the expected value exists, then
Uncertain process
An uncertain process is essentially a sequence of uncertain variables indexed by time. The study of uncertain process was started by Liu in 2008.
Definition 2.7. (Liu [5]) Let T be a totally ordered set (e.g. time) and let (Γ, ℒ, ℳ) be an uncertainty space. An uncertain process is a measurable function from T × (Γ, ℒ, ℳ) to the set of real numbers such that {Xt ∈ B} is an event for any Borel set B for each t.
For describing uncertain process well, Liu proposed a concept of uncertainty distribution. In fact, an uncertainty distribution of an uncertain process is a sequence of uncertainty distributions of uncertain variables indexed by time.
Definition 2.8. (Liu [13]) An uncertain process Xt is said to have an uncertainty distribution Φt (x) if the uncertain variable Xt has the uncertainty distribution Φt (x) at each time t.
From the definition, it is clear that the uncertainty distribution of uncertain process is a surface instead of a curve.
Definition 2.9. (Liu [13]) Uncertain processes X1t, X2t, ⋯ , Xnt are said to be independent if for any positive integer k and any times t1, t2, ⋯ , tk, the uncertain vectors
are independent, i.e., for any k-dimensional Borel sets B1, B2, ⋯ , Bn of real numbers, we have
Theorem 2.7. (Liu [13]) Let X1t, X2t, ⋯ , Xnt be independent uncertain processes with regular uncertainty distributions Φ1t, Φ2t, ⋯ , Φnt, respectively. If the function f (x1, x2, ⋯ , xn) is strictly increasing with respect to x1, x2, ⋯ , xm and strictly decreasing with respect to xm+1, xm+2, ⋯ , xn, then the uncertain process
has an inverse uncertainty distribution
Definition 2.10. (Liu [5]) An uncertain process Xt is said to have independent increments if
are independent uncertain variables where t0 is initial time and t1, t2, ⋯ , tk are any times with t1 < t2 < ⋯ < tk.
Definition 2.11. (Liu [5]) An uncertain process Xt is said to have stationary increments if for any given t > 0, the increments Xs+t − Xs are identically distributed uncertain variables for all s > 0.
Definition 2.12. (Liu [5]) An uncertain process Xt is said to be a stationary independent increment process if it has not only stationary increments but also independent increments.
Definition 2.13. (Liu [6]) An uncertain process Ct is said to be a Liu process if
C0 = 0 and almost all sample paths are Lipschitz continuous,
Ct has stationary and independent increments,
every increment Cs+t − Cs is a normal uncertain variable with expected value 0 and variance t2, whose uncertainty distribution is
Uncertain field
As a generalization of the uncertain process, uncertain field was presented by Liu [13] whose index space is a partially ordered set such as a surface or a three-dimensional space. There are many uncertain fields in real world. For example, suppose we have m types of new rice cultivars and n experimental fields, then we combine new types and fields arbitrarily and next wait for the yields of all the combinations. That is an uncertain field, because all the rice cultivars are new without the known yields. Consider the wave height of one point at some time and location on a sea, then it is also an uncertain field because of lacking history data under the case of changeable weather.
Definition 3.1. (Liu [13]) Let (Γ, ℒ, ℳ) be an uncertainty space and let T be a partially ordered set. An uncertain field is a function Xt (γ) from T × (Γ, ℒ, ℳ) to the set of real numbers such that {Xt ∈ B} is an event for any Borel set B for each t.
Remark 3.1. If Xt is an uncertain field, then Xt is an uncertain variable for each given t.
Example 3.1. Let a and b be real numbers with a < b and let f be a nonnegative continuous function of t. Assume Xt is a linear uncertain variable for each t, i.e.,
Then Xt is an uncertain field.
Example 3.2. Let a, b, c be real numbers with a < b < c and let f be a nonnegative continuous function with respect to t in a partially ordered set T. Assume Xt is a zigzag uncertain variable for each t, i.e.,
Then Xt is an uncertain field.
Example 3.3. Let e and σ be real numbers with σ > 0 and let f be a nonnegative continuous function with respect to t. Assume Xt is a normal uncertain variable for each t, i.e.,
Then Xt is an uncertain field.
Example 3.4. Let e and σ be real numbers with σ > 0 and let f be a nonnegative continuous function with respect to t. Assume Xt is a lognormal uncertain variable for each t, i.e.,
Then Xt is an uncertain field.
Definition 3.2. Assume Xt is an uncertain field. Then for each γ ∈ Γ, the function Xt (γ) is called a sample path of Xt.
In fact Xt (γ) is a real-valued function of t for any given γ. Hence, an uncertain field may also be considered as a function from an uncertainty space to a collection of sample paths.
Definition 3.3. An uncertain field Xt is said to be sample-continuous if almost all sample paths are continuous functions with respect to t.
A sample path of an uncertain field.
Uncertainty distribution
As we all know, the uncertainty distribution of an uncertain process is a sequence of uncertainty distributions of uncertain variables indexed by time. In fact, the uncertainty distribution of an uncertain field is an extension of the uncertainty distribution of an uncertain process with the index space changing from a totally ordered set into a partially ordered one. Thus an uncertainty distribution of an uncertain field is a hyperplane instead of surface or a curve. Now we give a formal mathematical definition as follows.
Definition 4.1. An uncertain field Xt is said to have an uncertainty distribution Φt (x), if for each t, the uncertain variable Xt has an uncertainty distribution Φt (x).
Example 4.1. D-linear The linear uncertain field bf (t)) has an uncertainty distribution
Example 4.2. The zigzag uncertain field bf (t) , cf (t)) has an uncertainty distribution
Example 4.3. The normal uncertain field (ef (t) , σf (t)) has an uncertainty distribution
where σf (t) is a positive function.
Example 4.4. The normal uncertain field (ef (t) , σf (t)) has an uncertainty distribution
where σf (t) is a positive function.
Theorem 4.1.(Sufficient and Necessary Condition) A function is an uncertainty distribution of uncertain field if and only if for each t ∈ T, it is a monotone increasing function with respect to x except Φt (x) ≡0 and Φt (x) ≡1.
Proof. If Φt (x) is an uncertainty distribution of some uncertain field Xt, then for any given t, Φt is the uncertainty distribution of uncertain variable Xt. It follows from Peng-Iwamura Theorem that Φt (x) is a monotone increasing function in regard to x and Φt (x) ≢ 0, Φt (x) ≢ 1.
Conversely, if for any t, Φt (x) is a monotone increasing function with respect to x expect Φ t (x) ≡ 0 and Φ t (x) ≡1, it follows from Peng-Iwamura Theorem that there exists an uncertain variable ξt whose uncertainty distribution is just Φt (x). Define
Then Xt is an uncertain field and has the uncertainty distribution Φt (x).
Thus the theorem is derived. □
Theorem 4.2.Let Xt be an uncertain field with uncertainty distribution Φt (x), and let f (x) be a measurable function. Then f (Xt) is an uncertain field. Moreover, if f (x) is a strictly increasing function, then f (Xt) has an uncertainty distributionand if f (x) is a strictly decreasing function, then f (Xt) has an uncertainty distribution
Proof. Since Xt is an uncertain variable for any given t, it follows from Theorem 2.1 that f (Xt) is also an uncertain variable. Thus f (Xt) is an uncertain field. Then equations (1) and (2) may be derived from Theorem 2.5 immediately. □
Definition 4.2. An uncertainty distribution Φt (x) is said to be regular if for each t, it is a continuous and strictly increasing function with respect to x such that 0 < Φt (x) <1, and
Note that we have stipulated that constant variable has an regular uncertainty distribution. That is we allow a regular uncertain field to be a constant at some t0 whose uncertainty is
and say Φt0 (x) is a continuous and strictly increasing function with respect to x with 0 < Φt (x) <1 even though it is discontinuous at t0.
Inverse uncertainty distribution
Definition 5.1. Let Xt be an uncertain field with regular uncertainty distribution Φt (x). Then the inverse function is called the inverse uncertainty distribution of Xt.
Example 5.1. The linear uncertain field bf (t)) has an inverse uncertainty distribution
Example 5.2. The zigzag uncertain field bf (t) , cf (t)) has an uncertainty distribution
Example 5.3. The normal uncertain field (ef (t) , σf (t)) has an uncertainty distribution
where σf (t) is a positive function.
Example 5.4. The normal uncertain field (ef (t) , σf (t)) has an uncertainty distribution
where σf (t) is a positive function.
Theorem 5.1.(Sufficient and Necessary Condition) A functionis an inverse uncertainty distribution of uncertain field if and only if for each t ∈ T, it is a monotone increasing function with respect to α.
Proof. If is an inverse uncertainty distribution of some uncertain field Xt, then for any given t, Φt is the inverse uncertainty distribution of uncertain variable Xt. It follows from Theorem 2.3 that is a continuous and strictly increasing function in regard to α ∈ (0, 1).
Conversely, if for any t, is a continuous and strictly increasing function in regard to α ∈ (0, 1), then from Theorem 2.4, there exists an uncertain variable ξt whose inverse uncertainty distribution is just . Define
Then Xt is an uncertain field and has the inverse uncertainty distribution . Thus the theorem is obtained. □
We stipulate that if an uncertain field Xt is a constant at t0, we say Xt0 has an inverse uncertainty distribution
and is a continuous and strictly increasing function in regard to α ∈ (0, 1) even though it is not.
Independence of uncertain fields
The concept of independence of uncertain variables was defined by Liu [6] as a relationship between uncertain variables. And the uncertain measure of the intersection or union of a sequence of finite independent uncertain events is the minimum or maximum of respective uncertain measures of these uncertain events. As an extension of uncertain variable, Liu [4] presented a concept of uncertain vector whose components are uncertain variables. Then the independence of these uncertain vectors was proposed by Liu [10]. Based on independence of uncertain vectors, we give a concept of independence of uncertain fields.
Definition 6.1. Uncertain fields X1t, X2t, ⋯ , Xnt are said to be independent if for any positive integer k and any points t1, t2, ⋯ , tk, the uncertain vectors
are independent, i.e., for any k-dimensional Borel sets B1, B2, ⋯ , Bn of real numbers, there is
Theorem 6.1.Uncertain fields X1t, X2t, ⋯ , Xnt are independent if and only if for any positive integer k, any indices t1, t2, ⋯ , tk, and any k-dimensional Borel sets B1, B2, ⋯ , Bn of real numbers, there is
where
Proof. If X1t, X2t, ⋯ , Xnt are independent, then it follows from Definition 6.1 that
If Equation (3) holds, then we have
It follows from Definition 6.1 that X1t, X2t, ⋯ , Xnt are independent. Thus the proof is finished. □
Theorem 6.2.Let X1t, X2t, ⋯ , Xnt be independent uncertain fields with regular uncertainty distributions Φ1t, Φ2t, ⋯ , Φnt. If the function f (x1, x2, ⋯ , xn) is strictly increasing with respect to x1, x2, ⋯ , xm and is strictly decreasing with respect to xm+1, xm+2, ⋯ , xn, then the uncertain fieldhas an inverse uncertainty distribution
Proof. For each given point t, X1t, X2t, ⋯ , Xnt are independent uncertain variables with inverse uncertainty distributions , respectively. Hence, this theorem follows from Theorem 2.5 immediately. □
Stationary independent increment field
Let a = (a1, a2, ⋯ , am), b = (b1, b2, ⋯ , bm) with ai ≺ bi, i = 1, 2, ⋯ , m, and let an interval (a, b] = {(x1, x2, ⋯ , xm) ∣ aj < xj ≤ bj, j = 1, 2, ⋯ , m}.
Definition 7.1. An uncertain field Xt is said to have independent increments if for any integer n and s1, s2, ⋯ , sn, t1, t2, ⋯ , tn,
are independent uncertain variables where s1 is initial point, si ≺ ti and (si, ti] , i = 1, 2, ⋯ , n are pairwise disjoint.
Theorem 7.1. IIP Let Xt be an uncertain independent increment field. Then for any real numbers a and b, the uncertain fieldis also an uncertain independent increment field.
Proof. Since Xt is an uncertain independent increment field, the uncertain variables
are independent. It follows from Yt = aXt + b and Theorem 2.4 that
are also independent. That is, Yt is an uncertain independent increment field. □
Definition 7.2. An uncertain field Xt is said to have stationary increments if the increments Xs+t − Xs are identically distributed uncertain variables for any s and any given t.
Definition 7.3. An uncertain field Xt is said to be a stationary independent increment field if it has not only stationary increments but also independent increments.
Theorem 7.2.Let Xt be an uncertain stationary independent increment field. Then for any real numbers a and b, the uncertain fieldis also an uncertain stationary independent increment field.
Proof. Since Xt is an uncertain independent increment field, it follows from Theorem 7.1 that Yt is also an uncertain independent increment field. On the other hand, since Xt is an uncertain stationary increment field, the increments
are identically distributed uncertain variables for all s. Thus
are identically distributed uncertain variables for all s, and Yt is an uncertain stationary increment field. Hence the theorem is proved. □
Liu field
Liu field is a type of an uncertain field with zero initial value whose increments are stationary and independent normal uncertain variables. And it is an extension of Liu process with the index space changing form a totally ordered set into a partially ordered one.
Definition 8.1. An uncertain field Ct is said to be a Liu field with parameters λ1, λ2, ⋯ , λm (all are nonnegative) if
C0 = 0 and almost all sample paths are Lipschitz continuous;
Ct has stationary and independent increments;
for any t = (t1, t2, ⋯ , tm) ⪰0, every increment Ct+s − Cs is a normal uncertain variable with expected value 0 and standard variance .
Remark 8.1. Liu field is an uncertain stationary independent increment field whose increments have a normal uncertainty distribution with expected value 0 and standard variance ∑λiti. The uncertainty distribution of Ct is
and the inverse uncertainty distribution is
Theorem 8.1.Let Ct be a Liu field with parameters λ1, λ2, ⋯ , λm. Then for any point t ⪰ 0, the ratiois a normal uncertain variable with expected value 0 and variance 1. That is,
for any point t ⪰ 0.
Proof. Since Ct is a normal uncertain variable ∑λiti) for each t, that is, Ct has the uncertainty distribution
for any point t, we obtain from operational law that has an uncertainty distribution
Hence is a normal uncertain variable with expected value 0 and variance 1. The proof is finished. □
Theorem 8.2.Let Ct be a Liu field with parameters λ1, λ2, ⋯ , λm. Then for any point t ⪰ 0 and each i, i = 1, 2, ⋯ , m, the ratio ∂Ct/∂ti is a normal uncertain variable with expected value 0 and variance . That is,
for any point t ⪰ 0 and each i, i = 1, 2, ⋯ , m.
Proof. Since Ct1,t2,⋯,tm − Ct1,⋯,ti-1,0,ti+1,⋯,tm is a normal uncertain variable , that is, Ct1 ,t2, ⋯ ,tm −Ct1,⋯,ti−1,0,ti+1,⋯,tm has the uncertainty distribution
we obtain from operational law that (Ct1,t2,⋯,tm − Ct1,⋯,ti−1,0,ti+1,⋯,tm)/ti has an uncertainty distribution
Hence ∂Ct/∂ti is a normal uncertain variable with expected value 0 and variance . The proof is finished. □
Next will give the upper and lower bounds for the expected value and variance of the square of Liu field.
Theorem 8.3.Let Ct be a Liu field with parameters λ1, λ2, ⋯ , λm. Then for each point t ⪰ 0, we have
Proof. Since Ct is a normal uncertain variable and has an uncertainty distribution Φt (x) in (4) for any point t. It follows the definition of expected value that
On the one hand, we have
On the other hand, we have
Thus the proof is finished. □
Theorem 8.4.Let Ct be a Liu field with parameters λ1, λ2, ⋯ , λm. Then for any point t ⪰ 0, we have
Proof. Let e be the expected value of . It follows the definition of expected value that
On the one hand, we have
Since , we have
and
Thus we have
On the other hand, since we have
Thus the proof is finished. □
Conclusion
For describing the sequence of uncertain variables indexed by a partially ordered set, Liu [5] proposed a concept of uncertain field and this paper took some examples of uncertain fields for an intuitive understanding. In order to describe an uncertain field, this paper proposed concepts of uncertainty distribution and inverse uncertainty distribution of uncertain fields, respectively. In addition, we put up a concept of independence of uncertain fields, and provided the operational law of a strictly monotone function of independent uncertain fields. Furthermore, we studied the uncertain stationary independent increment field. Finally, we defined Liu field, and derived the upper and lower bounds for the expected value and variance of the square of Liu field, respectively.
Acknowledgments
This work was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China Grant Nos. 61573210 and 61304182.
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