Abstract
The evolving landscape of decision-making, especially in complex scenarios, poses a challenge in accurately capturing decision-makers’ cognitive information. This challenge becomes even more intricate in group decision-making situations due to the diverse cognitive perspectives of the participants. In response to these complexities, this study delves into the realm of dual probabilistic linguistic 2-tuple sets, an extension of dual-hesitant fuzzy sets known for their effectiveness in handling perplexing data. Dual probabilistic linguistic 2-tuple sets introduces a nuanced approach, considering multiple linguistic memberships, non-membership degrees, and their associated probabilistic and deviation information. We have devised diverse mechanisms aimed at augmenting the comprehension and utilization of dual probabilistic linguistic 2-tuple sets. These mechanisms encompass transformation functions, scoring methodologies and accuracy metrics. In this study, we introduce two aggregation operators for dual probabilistic linguistic 2-tuple sets based on prioritized averaging and Maclaurin symmetric mean principles. These operators serve as the cornerstone for a pioneering hybrid approach meticulously crafted for multiple criteria decision making within the framework of dual probabilistic linguistic 2-tuple sets. To demonstrate the practicality and efficacy of our approach, we present a real-world case study. The subsequent analytical comparison and discussion underscore the effectiveness of our methodology. The outcomes of this study not only showcase the excellent performance of our proposed method but also offer valuable practical implications for decision-makers navigating complex and diverse decision environments. Our work stands as a significant stride toward enhancing decision-making processes amid contemporary challenges.
Introduction
In the intricate landscape of multiple criteria decision making (MCDM), individuals grapple with the complex task of evaluating alternatives against predetermined criteria to draw definitive conclusions. The initial phase of this process, where decision-makers articulate their thoughts, stands as the foundation of effective decision-making. However, this phase is riddled with challenges stemming from the inherent fuzziness, unpredictability, and complexity of the human mind. The inability of experts to precisely convey their perspectives has prompted extensive exploration within the realm of linguistic sets-a domain acknowledged and examined by numerous scholars.
Zadeh’s semnal introduction of fuzzy sets (FS) [1] in 1965 marked a pivotal moment, offering a framework to model uncertainty and fuzzy information. Despite their utility, traditional FS encountered limitations in representing qualitative information, leading to explorations of extensions such as intuitionistic fuzzy sets (IFSs) [2], interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets (IVIFSs) [3], type-2 fuzzy sets [4], and hesitation fuzzy sets (HFSs) [5–7]. While these extensions adeptly handled quantitative data, integrating qualitative dimensions into decision-making models remained a challenge.
To bridge this gap, scholars delved into semantic expansions aimed at capturing the nuanced preferences of decision-makers. Two prominent trajectories emerged: the first focused on overcoming individual and inter-individual uncertainties, resulting in models like the 2-tuple fuzzy linguistic representation model [8] and the linguistic model based on type-2 fuzzy sets [9–11]. The second trajectory addressed proportional relationships among individuals, leading to pioneering work in the form of probabilistic linguistic term sets (PLTSs) [12]. PLTSs, offering a comprehensive approach to probability distribution and partial value scenarios, laid the foundation for subsequent research in comparisons, operations [13–15], preference relations [16, 17], and decision-making methodologies.
Within probabilistic linguistic environments, efforts focused on enhancing conventional methods such as probabilistic linguistic VlseKriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje (VIKOR) [21], Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution(TOPSIS) [22], and Preference Ranking Organization Method for Enrichment Evaluations(PROMETHEE) [23]. Despite this progress, existing aggregation operators like probabilistic linguistic weighted average (PLWA) [24] and probabilistic linguistic weighted geometric (PLWG) [25] fell short in handling the interrelated nature of real-world MCDM problems. To address this complexity, integrating PLTs with advanced aggregation operators like Bonferroni mean (BM) [26], Heronian mean (HM) [27], and Maclaurin symmetric mean (MSM) [28] became crucial. In the intricate realm of decision-making, understanding the relationships among diverse input arguments is pivotal. Traditional methods, such as BM and HM operators, often falter when faced with intricate interconnections among data points. Addressing this limitation, the MSM emerges as a potent solution, defining its prowess through its unique characteristics. The fundamental distinction between MSM and its counterparts, like BM, lies in MSM’s ability to represent interactions among a multitude of input data arguments-an achievement unattainable by BM. In our current study, we harness the capabilities of MSM aggregation operators to adeptly consolidate probabilistic linguistic information. Through this strategic utilization, we aim to pave the way for more nuanced and comprehensive decision-making processes.
In the domain of decision-making methodologies, a profound analysis of existing literature reveals critical gaps in risk assessment methods that demand attention. While conventional representation models using 2-tuple language offer continuous domain representation, enabling comprehensive information expression, their limitations become apparent when experts require nuanced or intricate language terms. Similarly, probabilistic linguistic terms, while enhancing flexibility in expert judgments, fall short in capturing the non-membership degree essential for policy-making decisions. Both 2-tuple language-based and probabilistic linguistic-based models tend to overlook deviations from linguistic terms, highlighting the need for a more refined approach.
The challenge posed by the absence of sophisticated operators capable of merging dual probability language preferences, while considering their generalization and adaptability, has been a persistent concern. In response to this gap, this study delves into the realm of relative theory in new fuzzy representations, aiming to provide a more nuanced understanding of human subjective cognitions. Within this endeavor, the Maclaurin symmetric mean and the Dual Maclaurin symmetric mean (DMSM) operators emerge as pivotal tools. These operators not only offer a flexible mechanism for fusing evaluation values but also demonstrate remarkable effectiveness in resolving complex decision-making problems.
The incorporation of transformation functions, representing diverse semantic values, further amplifies the utility of these operators. Consequently, the integration of dual probabilistic linguistic representation with these Maclaurin symmetric mean aggregation operators, along with the prioritized averaging(PA) operator, specifically denoted as dual probabilistic linguistic prioritized Maclaurin symmetric mean(DPLPMSM) and dual probabilistic linguistic prioritized dual Maclaurin symmetric mean(DPLPDMSM) operators, forms the foundational cornerstone of our methodology. This innovative approach not only addresses the existing challenges but also significantly advances the field by providing a comprehensive framework for handling intricate decision-making scenarios.
This paper presents several significant contributions:
(1)
(2)
(3)
The paper’s structure unfolds as follows: Section 2 meticulously defines DPLTSs, elucidating their corresponding operations, laws, and properties. Section 3 delves into the development of two innovative aggregation operators, namely DPLPMSM and DPLPDMSM, while exploring their essential properties. Section 4 outlines our carefully designed decision-making methodology, integrating these aggregation operators and the VIKOR technique. To illustrate the effectiveness of our approach, Section 5 presents an insightful example, highlighting the disparities in results obtained through different methods. Finally, Section 6 concludes our study, offering a reflective analysis of the findings, and outlines promising avenues for future research endeavors.
Dual probabilistic linguistic 2-tuple set
In this section, we delve into the theory surrounding linguistic term sets and provide a clear definition of DPLTSs.
Concepts of dual probabilistic linguistic 2-tuple set
In the section, we present a significant extension to the DPLTSs framework, introducing crucial theoretical advancements.
We define a linguistic term set as T = {s
α : α = - τ, . . . -1, 0, 1 . . . , τ}. The 2-tuple linguistic representation model conveys linguistic information through pairs of values, denoted as linguistic 2-tuple (s
α, δ), where s
α ∈ T signifies the central value of the linguistic term, and δ indicates the deviation from this central value. The deviation δ adheres to specific conditions:
Building upon the foundational theory of LTS, we enhance the theory by introducing improvements to the reversible transformation functions of linguistic 2-tuples.
Forward transformation function:
Reverse transformation function:
In the groundbreaking research by Xie et al. [31], the score function for dual probabilistic linguistic elements (DPLE) was initially defined as follows:
In this context,
Expanding upon these foundations and the concept of DPLTSs, our study proposes a refinement to both the score function and the accuracy function. Specifically, we advocate substituting r
i
and r
j
with
In DPLTSs, the parameters adhere to specific constraints:
be a DPLTS, where t = 1, 2, . . . , ♯ U
s
(P), k = 1, 2, . . . , ♯ V
s
(P). The score value and accuracy value function of Y
s
(P) are defined as follows:
The comparison of DPLTSs is analogous to other sets of linguistic terms.
In preparation for addressing decision-making problems, we define the deviation degree between DPLTSs as follows.
where t1 = 1, 2, . . . , ♯ U s 1 , t2 = 1, 2, . . . , ♯ U s 2 , k1 = 1, 2, . . . , ♯ V s 1 , k2 = 1, 2, . . . , ♯ V s 2 . Suppose that U n = ♯ U s 1 = ♯ U s 2 = t1 = t2 = t and V n = ♯ V s 1 = ♯ V s 2 = k1 = k2 = k.
The deviation degree measure between Y
s
1
(P) and Y
s
2
(P) is defined as
In this section, we introduce novel prioritized MSM operators and DMSM operators, namely DPLPMSM and DPLPDMSM, under the framework of DPLTSs, utilizing PA and MSM operators.
DPLPMSM
DPLPMSM d (Y s 1 (P1) , Y s 2 (P2) , . . . , Y s n (P n ))
In alignment with the score function, the terms
(s1, 0.01) (0.2)} , {(s-3, 0.01) (0.8) , (s-2, - 0.01) (0.2)} 〉,
Y s 2 (P) = 〈 {(s3, - 0.01) (1)} , {(s-2, 0.01) (1)} 〉,
Y s 3 (P) = 〈 {(s3, - 0.01) (1)} , {(s-2, 0.02) (1)} 〉 .}
Utilizing equation (7), the priority degrees T1,T2,T3 are calculated as 1, 0.8333, and 0.6778, respectively. Additionally, employing the modified version of equation (9), the aggregated result is determined as follows:
We introduce a novel operator, DPLPDMSM, which combines the PA and DMSM operators to synthesize dual probabilistic linguistic information effectively.
DPLPDMSM d (Y s 1 (P1) , Y s 2 (P2) , . . . , Y s n (P n ))
Examining the result of (12), we can draw the following remarks from the varied values of the parameter d = 1:
DPLPDMSM2 (Y s 1 (P1) , Y s 2 (P2) , . . . , Y s n (P n ))
1 ≤ i1, i2 ≤ n, i1 ≠ i2 .
Y s 1 (P) = 〈 {(s3, - 0.01) (0.4) , (s2, 0.01) (0.4) ,
(s1, 0.01) (0.2)} , {(s-3, 0.01) (1)} 〉,
Y s 2 (P) = 〈 {(s2, 0.02) (0.4) , (s1, 0.01) (0.4) ,
(s1, - 0.01) (0.2)} , {(s-3, 0.01) (0.4) ,
(s-2, - 0.01) (0.4) , (s-1, - 0.01) (0.2)} 〉,
Y
s
3
(P) = 〈 {(s0, - 0.01) (1)} , {(s-2, - 0.01) (1)} 〉 . Utilizing equation (12), the priority degrees T1,T2,T3 are calculated as 1, 0.8587, and 0.5324, respectively. Additionally, employing the modified version of equation (14), the aggregated result is determined as follows:
In this section, we introduce a decision-making approach tailored for DPLTSs employing the VIKOR method. Furthermore, we refine the VIKOR method as well as the PA and MSM operators to accommodate the distinct characteristics of DPLTS representations.
Problem description
In this subsection, we delineate the fundamental characteristics of MCDM problems within the framework of DPLTSs as follows:
Consider
Decision procedures for DPLTSs based on VIKOR
Standardization of the decision matrix is essential, especially when it encompasses both benefit and cost criteria. This standardization process transforms the decision matrix into a uniform format, accomplished through the following equation:
The individual decision matrix
We determine the priority degrees among the DMs through the following calculation:
The group evaluation matrix DA = (YR
ij
(P
ij
)) m×n is derived from equations (12) or (7) as outlined below:
Subsequently, we employ the VIKOR method to address multiple attribute decision-making. Here, we compute the positive ideal solutions and negative ideal solutions based on the matrix DA = (YR
ij
(P
ij
)) m×n, where
Prior to calculating the ideal solutions, we evaluate the following equations:
The positive ideal solutions and negative ideal solutions are denoted as
Similarly, the negative ideal solutions are shown as
= YR i " j (P i " j ) . We proceed to calculate the group utility S i and individual regret R i based on the positive ideal solutions and negative ideal solutions. Each decision maker assigns subjective weights to each criterion, and the aggregated assessments for these criteria are calculated using equations (12) or (7). Subsequently, we determine the combined weight for each criterion using equation in [32].
According to (6), the group utility S
i
is represented as follows:
The VIKOR method proves invaluable in multicriteria decision-making, particularly in scenarios where decision makers may lack the expertise or initial knowledge to articulate their preferences during system design. The resulting compromise solution is conducive to acceptance by decision makers, as it maximizes group utility for the ’majority’ (as indicated by min S in equation (22)), while simultaneously minimizing individual regret for the ’opponent’ (as indicated by min R in equation (23)). These compromise solutions form a robust foundation for negotiation, allowing decision makers to incorporate their preferences through criteria weights.
Subsequently, we determine the ranking of alternatives based on S
i
, R
i
, and Q
i
. Alternatives, denoted as A
i
, are sorted based on the values of S
i
, R
i
and Q
i
, with lower values indicating higher rankings. The final step involves proposing a promising and compromised solution. The promising solution is to check alternative (
In this section, we employ the proposed method to evaluate personalized healthcare systems implemented in various Chinese hospitals. Furthermore, we provide a comprehensive comparative analysis to showcase the applicability and reliability of our suggested approach.
Background
This situation poses a formidable challenge: how to effectively manage limited healthcare resources in China amidst an aging population and rising healthcare costs. Despite these obstacles, it is imperative to find efficient ways to allocate resources and maximize their utility.To address this challenge, China must transition from its outdated healthcare system to a personalized one. This innovative approach should recognize the crucial link between the environment and public health, emphasizing intelligent resource management. While some progress has been made in Chinese hospitals, further efforts are essential to safeguard public health and optimize resource utilization in the face of environmental challenges. Given the environmental degradation and scarcity of medical resources, optimizing resource allocation and improving efficiency is paramount. Several Chinese hospitals have initiated research on resource management within intelligent medical and health systems. Evaluating numerous domestic hospitals is crucial, focusing particularly on their individualized healthcare systems. This evaluation will be guided by three professional decision-makers (DM = dm1, dm2, dm3). The ideal hospital will be determined by assessing a i (i = 1, 2, 3, 4) against three primary criteria:
Decision-makers communicate their evaluations using the DPLTSs with a linguistic term set S = {s t |t = -3, - 2, - 1, 0, 1, 2, 3}. The decision matrices are presented in Tables 1, 2 and 3. Notably, as the qualities being assessed are benefit criterion, normalization is not required in our analysis. We adjust the dual probabilistic linguistic 2-tuple set for consistency in the decision matrix.
To facilitate accurate calculations, it is crucial to maintain consistency in both the number of elements and their associated probabilities within the decision matrix.
DM1’s assessment matrix
DM1’s assessment matrix
DM2’s assessment matrix
DM3’s assessment matrix
Using the equation (17) as the foundation, we determine the priority degrees among the decision makers (DMs) in the following manner:
The aggregate result for each alternative a i concerning can be obtained using the DPLPMSM operator (9) when d = 2. The subjective weights assigned by experts are [0.2, 0.1, 0.7].
Building upon equations [32], we derive the objective weights for the criteria as follows: OW = {0.3388, 0.3193, 0.3419} .
The overall weights for the criteria are determined through the integration of objective and subjective weights, as illustrated below:
Setting ɛ = 0.5, we proceed to calculate the group utility S i , individual regret R i , and total utility Q i associated with a i using the provided equations. The computations and rankings for all alternatives are consolidated and presented in Table 4.
The results for all alternatives
The results for all alternatives
Parameter analysis
In the following section, we illustrate the process outlined in the previous example using the same assessment matrices. We employ varying values of d in both the DPLPMSM and DPLPDMSM operators. The corresponding outcomes are presented in Tables 5–9.
The ranking results of example with d = 1 in DPLPMSM operator
The ranking results of example with d = 1 in DPLPMSM operator
The ranking results of example with d = n in DPLPMSM operator
The ranking results of example with d = 1 in DPLPDMSM operator
The ranking results of example with d = 2 in DPLPDMSM operator
The ranking results of example with d = n in DPLPDMSM operator
When examining the DPLPMSM operators across a range of d values, subtle variations in the outcomes become apparent. However, discrepancies emerge when d = n in the case of the DPLPDMSM operator, specifically concerning R i and Q i . a1 and a4 exhibit contrasting rankings, yet their data are remarkably similar, with R i values of 0.3864 and 0.4610, and Q i values of 0.6095 and 0.6624, respectively. This indicates that there are slight differences in the performance of individual regret and total utility. Individual regret minimizes regret for the opponent, while total utility integrates the results of both group utility and individual regret, and compares the proportion of differences directly with the extremes.
Variations in results between DPLPMSM and DPLPDMSM operators arise from their distinct operator structures. For instance, when d = 1, the DPLPMSM operator’s membership is akin to an averaging operator, while non-membership takes on the form of a geometric operator. Conversely, the behavior of the DPLPDMSM operator is the reverse. When d = n, the outcomes align between the two operators.
We compare other methods with our proposed method. The decision outcomes are detailed in Table 10.
The decision results of different methods
The decision results of different methods
In our comprehensive study, we delved into the intricacies of two distinct groups of decision-making methods: the first group, encompassing the extended TOPSIS method utilizing PLTSs and the probabilistic linguistic multi-criteria group decision-making (PLMCGDM) method, and the second group, focusing on the hesitant fuzzy linguistic Bonferroni mean (HFLBM) and the hesitant fuzzy linguistic weighted averaging (HFLWA) methods. The differentiation between these groups lies in their fundamental approaches: the first group leaning on probabilistic linguistic information and the second on fuzzy linguistic operators. The third group is base on probabilistic hesitant fuzzy set (PHFS).
Upon meticulous examination of Table 10, a distinct variance in the outcomes of the extended TOPSIS method employing PLTSs and the PLMCGDM method, as opposed to our approach, becomes apparent. In comparison to the extended TOPSIS method with PLTSs, notable distinctions arise. Specifically, when employing the DPLPMSM operator, discrepancies in rankings are evident, except for alternatives a2 and a4. Interestingly, the ranking of alternative a4 remains consistent for the DPLPDMSM operator when d = 1 and d = 2.
Furthermore, when contrasting with the PLMCGDM method, similar discrepancies in rankings emerge. Notably, for the DPLPMSM operator, differences in rankings persist, except for alternative a4. Similarly, for the DPLPDMSM operator, disparities in rankings are evident, except for alternative a1. These comparative analyses shed light on the nuanced variations among the methods under consideration.
The divergence emanates from their disparate representation methods:
Upon scrutinizing Table 10, substantial disparities in the ranking of alternatives emerge between the HFLBM, HFLWA methods, and our methodology. In contrast to the HFLBM method, the ranking of alternative a3 remains consistent when utilizing the DPLPDMSM operator for both d = 1 and d = 2. However, disparities in rankings are observed for other alternatives. Similarly, in comparison to the HFLWA method, the ranking of alternative a4 aligns with the DPLPMSM operator, yet discrepancies are evident for other alternatives. Furthermore, the rankings of alternatives a3 and a4 coincide with those from the DPLPMSM operator, while disparities persist for the remaining alternatives. These variations underscore the nuanced differences in outcomes among the methods analyzed.
In the Modified PHFS-based MCDM method, rankings vary among options, except for a2, which maintains a consistent position. However, when applying the DPLPMSM operator with both d = 1 and d = 2 ranking values, discrepancies arise in the rankings. In the VEHFS-based score method, a2 and a4 share a ranking, while other alternatives display varying rankings under the DPLPMSM operator. Notably, a4’s ranking remains unchanged under these conditions, with DPLPDMSM set at both d = 1 and d = 2, whereas other rankings differ.
In the realm of decision-making, subtle nuances in evaluation expressions play a pivotal role. Conventional methods often focus solely on either probabilistic information or membership and non-membership degrees. Our innovative approach integrates both probabilistic data and linguistic variances by introducing a dual probabilistic linguistic 2-tuple set. This integration enables us to comprehensively capture the intricacies of decision-making scenarios, including subtle linguistic nuances and probabilistic data intricacies.
To accommodate this intricate expression mechanism, we meticulously refined two MSM-based operators. These operators form the cornerstone of our methodology, enabling the capture of intricate interplays between criteria interdependence and priority relationships. Importantly, these innovative operators adeptly encapsulate diverse priorities and interdependencies discerned among decision-makers.
This unique integration of probabilistic data, linguistic subtleties, and advanced operator designs sets our approach apart. It provides a sophisticated, comprehensive, and nuanced perspective on decision-making processes, fostering a deeper understanding of the intricate dynamics at play in complex decision-making scenario.
In conclusion, this study has tackled the intricate challenges prevalent in real-world decision-making scenarios marked by diverse attributes, ambiguity, limited data, and the involvement of multiple decision-makers. The innovative MCDM technique proposed here for handling probabilistic hesitant fuzzy language data represents a significant advancement in this domain, offering profound implications for practical applications.
Methodological implications
A key contribution of this research lies in the introduction of DPLTSs as a pioneering evaluation framework. DPLTSs, an extension of conventional fuzzy linguistic sets, provides decision-makers with a versatile platform to express probabilistic hesitant information. Unlike conventional linguistic terms, DPLTSs employs linguistic 2-tuples with possibilities in membership and non-membership sets, ensuring precision even when decision-makers’ cognitive information does not align seamlessly with initial linguistic terms. This nuanced approach preserves the integrity of information, facilitating the accurate capture of preference relationships between criteria.
Building upon the foundational concept of DPLTSs, this paper introduces transformative functions, score functions, and pioneering aggregation operators—the DPLPMSM operator and the DPLPDMSM operator. These operators not only enhance the decision-making process but also pave the way for a novel extension of the VIKOR method and an innovative matching decision-making strategy. The efficacy of these methodologies has been rigorously validated through a comprehensive case study, bolstered by meticulous multiple comparisons that illuminate subtle differences in results.
Limitations
However, it is essential to acknowledge the limitations of the proposed technique. While DPLTSs provides a flexible framework, its seamless application across diverse real-world contexts necessitates further refinement and adaptation. The inherent complexity of the method might pose implementation and computational challenges, particularly in expansive decision-making scenarios. Addressing these limitations will be pivotal to ensuring the practical viability and broad applicability of the proposed approach.
Future directions
In our forthcoming research, we aim to enhance our proposed methods by developing more suitable aggregation operators and decision-making approaches tailored for MCDM problems involving DPLTSs. Additionally, we plan to explore the integration of DPLTSs with interval-valued fuzzy information.
This trajectory of our research will involve refining these methods further, enabling their integration with machine learning techniques. This integration will pave the way for solving decision-making problems in various scientific fields more effectively. The application of these advanced methods is crucial in addressing practical challenges such as supplier selection, investment appraisal, risk assessment, and other decision-making scenarios. In terms of future research directions, updating the aggregated operator to enhance its ability to summarize the opinions expressed within the single-valued neutrosophic set could be a valuable avenue for exploration. This development holds the potential to refine the precision and effectiveness of the summarization process, further advancing the field of neutrosophic theory and its applications.
Funding
This research was financially supported by Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions of China (No.:22KJD520002), Research on Modern Educational Technology in Jiangsu Province (2022-R-101356), Universities Philosophy and Social Science Researches in Jiangsu Province (No.: 2020S-JA0534) and Research Initiation Fund for High-level Talents of Jinling Institute Technology (No.: jit-b-201817, No.: jit-b-201906), China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (No.: 2020T130129ZX).
